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Archive for the 'SRS' Category

Playoff Preview: #1 Chicago vs. #5 Atlanta

29th April 2011

Chicago Bulls

62-20, 1st in NBA Central Division (Schedule and Results)
Coach: Tom Thibodeau (62-20)

PTS/G: 98.6 (20th of 30) ▪ Opp PTS/G: 91.3 (2nd of 30)
SRS: 6.53 (2nd of 30) ▪ Pace: 90.4 (23rd of 30)
Off Rtg: 108.3 (11th of 30) ▪ Def Rtg: 100.3 (1st of 30)
Expected W-L: 61-21 (1st of 30)

Arena: United Center ▪ Attendance: 893,462 (1st of 30)

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Posted in Playoffs, SRS, Statgeekery, Statistical +/-, Win Shares | 8 Comments »

BBR Rankings: (Almost) Post-Round 1 Schedule-Adjusted Offensive and Defensive Ratings

29th April 2011

2010-11 NBA power rankings through the games played on April 28, 2011:

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Posted in BBR Rankings, Playoffs, SRS, Statgeekery | 11 Comments »

Best Road Performances in Opening-Round Game 1s?

18th April 2011

It was a banner weekend for underdogs, as the away teams kicked off the 2011 Playoffs with 3 wins, including victories by the Western Conference #8 and #7 seeds. How do the road teams' performances in this set of opening-round game 1s compare to other years since the playoffs expanded in 1984?

Let's take a look (all numbers from the perspective of the average road team in Game 1 of the 1st round):

Year roadW roadL WPct Margin expected Mgn Diff
2011 3 5 0.375 -0.63 -7.37 6.75
2010 1 7 0.125 -7.88 -4.88 -2.99
2009 4 4 0.500 -5.88 -7.46 1.58
2008 2 6 0.250 -7.13 -6.25 -0.88
2007 3 5 0.375 -2.75 -7.71 4.96
2006 1 7 0.125 -10.38 -6.14 -4.24
2005 2 6 0.250 -8.25 -6.23 -2.02
2004 0 8 0.000 -14.75 -7.02 -7.73
2003 4 4 0.500 -1.13 -6.95 5.82
2002 1 7 0.125 -8.25 -5.92 -2.33
2001 3 5 0.375 -1.25 -5.03 3.78
2000 2 6 0.250 -3.63 -6.29 2.67
1999 2 6 0.250 -7.75 -6.41 -1.34
1998 2 6 0.250 -8.13 -6.67 -1.45
1997 1 7 0.125 -15.13 -7.42 -7.70
1996 3 5 0.375 -5.00 -7.94 2.94
1995 1 7 0.125 -17.63 -6.90 -10.73
1994 2 6 0.250 -8.88 -6.41 -2.46
1993 2 6 0.250 -10.75 -8.19 -2.56
1992 1 7 0.125 -12.50 -9.63 -2.87
1991 3 5 0.375 -1.75 -9.25 7.50
1990 0 8 0.000 -11.75 -8.46 -3.29
1989 2 6 0.250 -4.75 -9.61 4.86
1988 0 8 0.000 -10.00 -9.86 -0.14
1987 1 7 0.125 -12.00 -10.24 -1.76
1986 1 7 0.125 -16.25 -9.91 -6.34
1985 1 7 0.125 -11.38 -7.78 -3.60
1984 3 5 0.375 -2.00 -7.87 5.87

(Click column headers to sort by each category.)

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Posted in Analysis, History, Playoffs, SRS, Statgeekery, Trivia | 3 Comments »

Playoff Preview: #1 Chicago vs. #8 Indiana

15th April 2011

Chicago Bulls

62-20, 1st in NBA Central Division (Schedule and Results)
Coach: Tom Thibodeau (62-20)

SRS: 6.53 (2nd of 30) ▪ Pace: 90.4 (23rd of 30)
Off Rtg: 108.3 (11th of 30) ▪ Def Rtg: 100.3 (1st of 30)
Expected W-L: 61-21 (1st of 30)

Arena: United Center ▪ Attendance: 893,462 (1st of 30)

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Posted in Playoffs, SRS, Statgeekery, Statistical +/-, Win Shares | Comments Off

BBR Rankings: Final Regular-Season Schedule-Adjusted Offensive and Defensive Ratings

14th April 2011

2010-11 NBA power rankings through the games played on April 13, 2011:

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Posted in BBR Rankings, SRS, Statgeekery | 33 Comments »

BBR Rankings: Schedule-Adjusted Offensive and Defensive Ratings (April 8, 2011)

8th April 2011

2010-11 NBA power rankings through the games played on April 7, 2011:

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Posted in BBR Rankings, SRS, Statgeekery | 15 Comments »

BBR Rankings: Schedule-Adjusted Offensive and Defensive Ratings (April 1, 2011)

1st April 2011

2010-11 NBA power rankings through the games played on March 31, 2011:

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Posted in BBR Rankings, SRS, Statgeekery | 5 Comments »

BBR Rankings: Schedule-Adjusted Offensive and Defensive Ratings (March 25, 2011)

25th March 2011

2010-11 NBA power rankings through the games played on March 24, 2011:

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Posted in BBR Rankings, SRS, Statgeekery | 6 Comments »

BBR Rankings: Schedule-Adjusted Offensive and Defensive Ratings (March 18, 2011)

18th March 2011

2010-11 NBA power rankings through the games played on March 17, 2011:

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Posted in BBR Rankings, SRS, Statgeekery | 51 Comments »

BBR Rankings: Schedule-Adjusted Offensive and Defensive Ratings (March 11, 2011)

11th March 2011

2010-11 NBA power rankings through the games played on March 10, 2011:

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Posted in BBR Rankings, SRS, Statgeekery | 12 Comments »