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Archive for December, 2010

Checking In on James Posey & James Jones

22nd December 2010

In early November, we had a reader point out that James Posey & James Jones were having historic seasons -- namely, the two Jameses were 1-2 all-time in terms of the highest single-season percentage of shot attempts coming from beyond the 3-point arc. A month and a half later, I thought we'd check in once again on that pair, to see if they're still on a collision course with history.

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Posted in Analysis, Just For Fun, Totally Useless, Trivia | 9 Comments »

Gilbert Arenas

20th December 2010

So, I was thinking now would be a good time to talk about Gilbert Arenas.

First of all, I'm an unabashed Gilbert fan; I've always found him to be one of the NBA's most interesting people, in addition to one of its most gifted players. And after everything that's happened over the past few years, I'm glad he finally has an opportunity to make a fresh start in Orlando.

That said, I'm not sure he can help the Magic very much at this stage of his career.

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Posted in Analysis, Player Audit | 64 Comments »

Best Records vs. Top-4 Seeds, 1984-2010

17th December 2010

This is sort of a random data dump/trivia post, but this old Doug Drinen post about NFL teams' records vs. fellow playoff participants inspired me to run a similar query for NBA top-4 seeds' records against other top-4 seeds (in either conference). Since the NBA expanded to 16 playoff teams in 1984, here are the top-4 seeds with the best records vs. their fellow top-4 seeds:

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Posted in Analysis, History, Playoffs, Totally Useless, Trivia | 13 Comments »

BBR Rankings: Schedule-Adjusted Offensive and Defensive Ratings (December 17, 2010)

17th December 2010

2010-11 NBA power rankings through the games played on December 16, 2010:

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Posted in BBR Rankings, SRS, Statgeekery | 7 Comments »

NY Times: Anthony’s Potential Impact on Knicks

16th December 2010

Just how much would Carmelo Anthony help the New York Knicks?

Keeping Score: Anthony’s Potential Impact on Knicks

This will also appear in Friday's print edition.

Posted in NY Times | 3 Comments »

Tyrus Thomas

16th December 2010

Tyrus Thomas is in some pretty heady company this season:

Player Tm G GS MP USG% ORtg DRtg
Dwyane Wade MIA 26 26 927 31.3 112 99
LeBron James MIA 27 27 1000 31.8 111 99
Tyrus Thomas CHA 22 1 454 26.1 111 100

(For single seasons; played in the NBA/BAA; in the regular season; in 2010-11; requiring Offensive Rating >= 110 and Usage Pct >= 26 and Defensive Rating <= 101 and Minutes Played >= 450; sorted by descending Win Shares Per 48 Minutes.)

Now, the defensive rating might overstate Thomas' case (although the Bobcats are 4 pts/100 poss. better on D when he's in the game), but even if you remove the defensive rating requirement, he's still in a good group:

Player Tm G GS MP USG% ORtg PER TS% eFG% ORB% DRB% TRB% AST% STL% BLK% TOV% DRtg OWS DWS WS WS/48
Manu Ginobili SAS 24 24 765 26.5 120 24.3 0.630 0.557 1.9 11.4 6.7 25.3 2.9 0.7 13.9 102 2.7 1.3 3.9 0.245
Dirk Nowitzki DAL 25 25 909 28.7 118 25.1 0.640 0.589 2.6 20.8 12.3 12.6 1.1 1.9 11.1 102 2.8 1.5 4.3 0.228
Deron Williams UTA 26 26 989 27.0 120 24.9 0.604 0.530 2.1 10.3 6.3 44.8 1.9 0.4 14.7 108 3.8 0.9 4.7 0.226
Kobe Bryant LAL 26 26 859 35.6 114 26.0 0.557 0.487 3.8 13.3 8.8 26.3 2.0 0.3 10.5 106 2.9 1.0 3.9 0.217
Dwyane Wade MIA 26 26 927 31.3 112 24.5 0.581 0.524 5.7 15.1 10.6 22.8 2.1 2.0 13.9 99 2.3 1.9 4.2 0.216
LeBron James MIA 27 27 1000 31.8 111 24.3 0.565 0.496 2.2 16.5 9.8 36.2 2.0 1.1 15.0 99 2.4 1.9 4.4 0.210
Kevin Martin HOU 25 25 792 28.4 120 21.7 0.626 0.519 0.9 9.6 5.3 13.3 1.0 0.4 10.8 114 2.9 0.1 3.0 0.182
Tyrus Thomas CHA 22 1 454 26.1 111 23.1 0.596 0.522 11.8 20.8 16.4 5.6 2.2 6.3 14.5 100 0.9 0.8 1.7 0.179
Russell Westbrook OKC 26 26 953 31.3 111 25.1 0.552 0.458 5.7 10.9 8.4 44.6 2.9 0.7 16.2 107 2.5 0.9 3.4 0.172
Amare Stoudemire NYK 26 26 978 30.6 111 24.1 0.602 0.545 7.5 20.5 14.1 11.9 1.2 3.8 14.8 108 2.3 0.9 3.2 0.157
Eric Gordon LAC 24 24 905 28.9 113 20.6 0.568 0.488 3.2 7.1 5.1 23.2 1.4 1.0 12.5 113 2.3 0.3 2.6 0.135
Luis Scola HOU 25 25 828 27.0 111 20.8 0.546 0.512 7.9 22.9 15.4 11.8 1.0 1.7 8.3 109 1.6 0.7 2.3 0.132

I'll also grant that Thomas is the only non-starter in the group, meaning the lineups he's faced have not been as strong as the others on that list.

Still, that's impressive production thus far... Thomas flies under the radar because he always seems to come off the bench for mediocre teams, but he's quietly having a strong season. With BBR Blog favorite Gerald Wallace slumping and suffering an ankle injury this week, Thomas now has a chance to show everyone what he can do in expanded minutes.

Posted in Analysis, Statgeekery | 8 Comments »

Fantasy Basketball Hall of Fame Induction Ceremony: Tim Hardaway, Class of 2010

15th December 2010

Back in early May, I conducted a poll asking our readers to vote on who should be inducted into the inaugural Fantasy Basketball Hall of Fame class, and you responded very well, registering almost 1,000 votes. According to the rules of the HoF (based on the Baseball Hall of Fame process), a player had to be named on 75% of ballots to be inducted, which left us with two players (2 point guards, actually): Kevin Johnson, and Tim Hardaway. KJ was honored in July, so now it's time for the original king of the killer crossover...

Timothy Duane "Tim Bug" Hardaway
Position: Point Guard
Height: 6-0 ▪ Weight: 175 lbs.
Born: September 1, 1966 in Chicago, Illinois
High School: Carver in Chicago, Illinois
College: University of Texas at El Paso
Draft: Selected by the Golden State Warriors in the 1st round (14th pick, 14th overall) of the 1989 NBA draft.

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Posted in Fantasy Basketball, Hall of Fame, Insane ideas, Just For Fun | 12 Comments »

Player Season Finder Additions

15th December 2010

Yesterday I made some additions to the Player Season Finder, so let me briefly describe them here:

  • Tooltips were added below the seasons section for the last three seasons, making it easier to restrict your search to a recent season.
  • Birth country was added as a parameter, so you can now search for players born (or not born) in a particular country.
  • Single season searches can now be restricted to players who qualified for the Minutes Per Game leaderboard.
  • Games started was added to the statistics list in the additional criteria.
  • A fifth option was added to the additional criteria section, allowing you to compare two statistics. For example, you can search for players with an assist-to-turnover ratio of at least 5:1 (minimum 100 assists).

Posted in Announcements, Play Index | 5 Comments »

Layups: Book of Basketball Painting

14th December 2010

This is pretty sweet... It's a PDF version of the Book of Basketball painting ESPN commissioned John Alexander to create, featuring all of the players the top 50 players in Bill Simmons' Hall of Fame pantheon-pyramid.

(Btw, somebody should make a Sporcle quiz where you identify the players from their depiction in the picture.)

Posted in Just For Fun, Layups | 26 Comments »

Likelihood of Recent Winning Streaks

14th December 2010

Although we're only a month and a half into the season, the 2010-11 campaign has already seen its share of impressive winning streaks. The Spurs rattled off 12 straight across almost the entire month of November (a streak matched by the Mavericks last week), the Lakers & Hornets each won 8 consecutive to start the year, and the Celtics, Heat, & Knicks are currently in the midst of 8+ game win streaks themselves. How probable have these runs of victories been?

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Posted in Analysis, Statgeekery, Statistical +/- | 6 Comments »