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Archive for April, 2011

Playoff Preview: #4 Oklahoma City vs. #8 Memphis

30th April 2011

Oklahoma City Thunder

55-27, 1st in NBA Northwest Division (Schedule and Results)
Coach: Scott Brooks (55-27)

PTS/G: 104.8 (5th of 30) ▪ Opp PTS/G: 101.0 (18th of 30)
SRS: 3.81 (9th of 30) ▪ Pace: 92.7 (13th of 30)
Off Rtg: 111.2 (5th of 30) ▪ Def Rtg: 107.2 (15th of 30)
Expected W-L: 51-31 (9th of 30)

Arena: Ford Center ▪ Attendance: 726,071 (14th of 30)

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Posted in Playoffs, SRS, Statgeekery, Statistical +/-, Win Shares | 4 Comments »

Playoff Preview: #2 LA Lakers vs. #3 Dallas

29th April 2011

Los Angeles Lakers

57-25, 1st in NBA Pacific Division (Schedule and Results)
Coach: Phil Jackson (57-25)

PTS/G: 101.5 (9th of 30) ▪ Opp PTS/G: 95.4 (8th of 30)
SRS: 6.01 (3rd of 30) ▪ Pace: 90.7 (21st of 30)
Off Rtg: 111.0 (6th of 30) ▪ Def Rtg: 104.3 (6th of 30)
Expected W-L: 58-24 (3rd of 30)

Arena: STAPLES Center ▪ Attendance: 778,777 (8th of 30)

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Posted in Playoffs, SRS, Statgeekery, Statistical +/-, Win Shares | 7 Comments »

Playoff Preview: #2 Miami vs. #3 Boston

29th April 2011

Miami Heat

58-24, 1st in NBA Southeast Division (Schedule and Results)
Coach: Erik Spoelstra (58-24)

PTS/G: 102.1 (8th of 30) ▪ Opp PTS/G: 94.6 (6th of 30)
SRS: 6.76 (1st of 30) ▪ Pace: 90.9 (20th of 30)
Off Rtg: 111.7 (3rd of 30) ▪ Def Rtg: 103.5 (5th of 30)
Expected W-L: 61-21 (2nd of 30)

Arena: AmericanAirlines Arena ▪ Attendance: 810,930 (4th of 30)

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Posted in Playoffs, SRS, Statgeekery, Statistical +/-, Win Shares | 8 Comments »

Playoff Preview: #1 Chicago vs. #5 Atlanta

29th April 2011

Chicago Bulls

62-20, 1st in NBA Central Division (Schedule and Results)
Coach: Tom Thibodeau (62-20)

PTS/G: 98.6 (20th of 30) ▪ Opp PTS/G: 91.3 (2nd of 30)
SRS: 6.53 (2nd of 30) ▪ Pace: 90.4 (23rd of 30)
Off Rtg: 108.3 (11th of 30) ▪ Def Rtg: 100.3 (1st of 30)
Expected W-L: 61-21 (1st of 30)

Arena: United Center ▪ Attendance: 893,462 (1st of 30)

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Posted in Playoffs, SRS, Statgeekery, Statistical +/-, Win Shares | 8 Comments »

BBR Rankings: (Almost) Post-Round 1 Schedule-Adjusted Offensive and Defensive Ratings

29th April 2011

2010-11 NBA power rankings through the games played on April 28, 2011:

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Posted in BBR Rankings, Playoffs, SRS, Statgeekery | 11 Comments »

Layups: Trade Histories for Playoff Stars

28th April 2011

Matt Scribbins has an interesting piece today at Hoopdata, regarding the trade histories of some really important players in these playoffs. Many trades involving the picks that eventually became superstars took place years before the player even set foot on NBA hardwood.

Posted in Layups | 1 Comment »

Layups: 2011 Internet Basketball Awards, Results edition

27th April 2011

The results are in for the 2011 Internet Basketball Awards - you can read Kevin Pelton's summary of the voting here.

Posted in Announcements, Awards, Layups | 3 Comments »

Layups: ‘Just For Kids’ Graying Gel (Video)

27th April 2011

Sorry about the lack of posts recently; I've been busy working on the new Stathead Blog. Don't worry, though -- I will have playoff previews and other posts forthcoming, once we find out the matchups for Round 2. And in the meantime, here's a funny video parodying those incessant Clyde Frazier-Keith Hernandez (and now, inexplicably, Randy Johnson) Just For Men commercials. (Note: PG-13 for language.)

Posted in Just For Fun, Layups, YouTube Finds | Comments Off

Stathead Blog

25th April 2011

Sports Reference's New Blog: Stathead

I have to admit that I find it very hard to follow all of the great research that people people are producing every day on the web. It's hard enough just checking the two or three largest sites, but when you add in team blogs, other stathead blogs and everything else, it becomes impossible. This doesn't even include trying to locate recent research in hockey, baseball, football and soccer.

So we've decided to do something about it. Every weekday, the Stathead blog will summarize the best research-related studies, news, conferences, and resources for baseball, basketball, football, hockey and soccer.

The blog will primarily be edited by Neil Paine and will typically feature 20-30 links to analytic content around the internet. We've been working out the format over the last two weeks, and we think you'll soon appreciate our concise summaries for all of the articles we write about.

Feedback as always is welcome.

Posted in Analysis, Announcements, From the NBA Blogosphere, General, Insane ideas | 1 Comment »

Layups: The Week in NBA Linkage

22nd April 2011

A roundup of this week's links:

April 22, 2011

  • Revisiting tempo-rature in Milwaukee - Brewhoop’s Alex Boeder looks at the relationship between pace factor and the Milwaukee Bucks’ chances of winning. Link
  • Thoughts on Pacers, Heat and Mavs - Wayne Winston gives the +/- and impact ratings from recent games. Link
  • Jason Kidd, Dallas Mavericks’ Statistical Oddity - As Carl Bialik notes at the WSJ Daily Fix, Jason Kidd might be the poster child for using True Shooting % over raw FG%. Link
  • The Rise of Roy - At BBall Prospectus, Kevin Pelton writes about Brandon Roy’s vintage performance in Game 3. Link
  • Heat get offensive on the glass for big lead - ESPN’s Stats & Info dug up the statistical nuggets on Miami’s big offensive rebounding performance. Link
  • Comparing Bulls/Heat after 3-0 Starts - Hoopdata’s Jeff Fogle looks at the similarities and differences of Chicago and Miami’s 3-0 playoff starts. Link
  • Oklahoma City Has Stars, and Depth - Writing for the NY Times, Rob Mahoney highlights OKC’s supporting cast, who were efficient despite Denver taking away the team’s bread-and-butter isos and pick & rolls. Link
  • Bonus Baseball Link: Mets Get Little Bang for Their Bucks - At the NY Times, I reviewed the Mets’ perpetually bad marginal payroll-to-marginal wins ratio. Link

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Posted in Layups | 4 Comments »