Posted by Neil Paine on April 23, 2009
Brian Burke, a football guy who runs the thought-provoking Advanced NFL Stats site, has been adding Win Probability models for basketball as well over the past few months, starting with NCAA games a few months ago. Now he's developed a pro version, and posts the live, in-game win probabilities at his new NBA site. He also explains the ins and outs of the WP model here. As someone who has dabbled in this sort of thing in the past, I highly recommend Brian's work, so go check it out.