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Layups: How you finish depends on how you start

Posted by Neil Paine on June 1, 2009

Basketball Geek's Ryan Parker has been looking at how plays end in recent posts, calculating the distribution of each type of play-ender over the past few seasons. And in his most recent post, he pairs that knowledge up with the circumstances under which each play began. The conclusions: Steals are really good (duh), offensive rebounds lead to a high probability of scoring (duh), the old yarn about missed threes leading to long defensive rebounds and better scoring chances appears to be slightly true, and a bit of a surprise -- offenses actually do worst coming out of a timeout (contrary to conventional wisdom, which assumes the coach will draw up a good play for a score).

(Hat tip: TrueHoop.)

One Response to “Layups: How you finish depends on how you start”

  1. Jayslo Says:

    Timeouts are often called when a team is playing poorly and the game is getting out of hand. Might an offense tend to perform worse after a timeout because of whatever circumstances prompt the timeout in the first place?