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BBR Rankings: 2010-01-08

Posted by Neil Paine on January 8, 2010

Rising: New Orleans (W-HOU, W-@UTA, W-@OKC), Boston (W-TOR, W-@MIA)
Falling: Sacramento (L-@LAL, L-DAL, L-PHO), Miami (L-CHA, W-ATL, L-BOS)

(Want to know how the BBR Rankings are calculated? Read this first.)

Rank Prev Team W L WPct SOSRk Week
1 1 Cleveland Cavaliers 28 9 0.757 26 2-1
2 2 Los Angeles Lakers 28 7 0.800 22 3-1
3 5 Boston Celtics 25 8 0.758 30 2-0
4 4 Dallas Mavericks 24 11 0.686 13 2-1
5 7 Phoenix Suns 23 13 0.639 10 2-1
6 3 Orlando Magic 24 11 0.686 28 1-3
7 6 Houston Rockets 20 16 0.556 1 0-3
8 8 Atlanta Hawks 22 12 0.647 27 1-2
9 11 Denver Nuggets 22 13 0.629 29 2-1
10 12 San Antonio Spurs 21 12 0.636 25 2-1
11 10 Oklahoma City Thunder 19 16 0.543 7 1-2
12 9 Portland Trail Blazers 22 15 0.595 21 1-2
13 17 New Orleans Hornets 17 16 0.515 6 3-0
14 13 Utah Jazz 19 16 0.543 14 1-2
15 15 Toronto Raptors 18 18 0.500 8 2-1
16 16 Memphis Grizzlies 17 17 0.500 16 2-1
17 14 Miami Heat 17 16 0.515 3 1-2
18 20 Los Angeles Clippers 16 18 0.471 17 2-0
19 18 Chicago Bulls 14 19 0.424 2 1-2
20 21 Charlotte Bobcats 15 19 0.441 19 3-1
21 22 Milwaukee Bucks 14 18 0.438 24 2-0
22 19 Sacramento Kings 14 20 0.412 15 0-3
23 24 New York Knicks 15 20 0.429 23 3-0
24 23 Detroit Pistons 11 23 0.324 4 0-2
25 25 Washington Wizards 11 22 0.333 18 1-2
26 26 Golden State Warriors 10 24 0.294 12 1-2
27 27 Philadelphia 76ers 10 24 0.294 9 1-1
28 28 Indiana Pacers 11 23 0.324 20 2-1
29 29 Minnesota Timberwolves 7 29 0.194 5 0-3
30 30 New Jersey Nets 3 32 0.086 11 0-3

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10 Responses to “BBR Rankings: 2010-01-08”

  1. DSMok1 Says:

    These rankings are really rounding into shape now. Looks good, top to bottom!

  2. Neil Paine Says:

    I'll have to run them for older seasons as well. I wonder just how historically bad the Nets are. Right now they have the 6th worst SRS in league history.

  3. Dave Says:

    Aren't the Nets on pace for the worst season ever?

  4. Ian Says:

    It's amazing how well Portland is hanging in there in spite of all of their injuries. I'm just hazarding a guess here, but this version of the Blazers may be one of the most injured teams in recent history!

  5. Neil Paine Says:

    Incidentally, we should probably do a post on that sometime -- "most injured teams ever"... Tough to find man games lost to injury, though.

  6. Rich Rifkin Says:

    I'm sure the numbers, when you're not watching them play, back up your contention that the Kings are falling. However, oddly enough, seeing them play every game, the Kings are really on the precipice of getting much better and winning a lot more. They lost every close game for a few weeks, 3 of them going to overtime, one to double OT. But they finally won one of those last night, beating Denver. My sense is that when Kevin Martin comes back in a week or two, they will be able to play above .500 ball the rest of the season. I'm not saying Sacramento will be world beaters. I don't think they will sniff the 8th seed, this year. But wins should start coming for them, including more road wins. They must be the youngest team in the NBA, based on minutes played. Look at the age and years in the league of their 5 players getting the most minutes:

    Jason Thompson, 23, 1
    Tyreke Evans, 20, R
    Beno Udrih, 27, 5
    Omri Casspi, 21, R
    Spencer Hawes, 21, 2

    Does any other NBA team start 4 players 23 and under? Does any other team start 2 rookies? Does any other team start a frontline as young as the Kings?

    Beyond the youth leading them in minutes, the Kings are giving more and more time of late to a third rookie, Jon Brockman. Part of the reason it seems to me the Kings will win more as the season progresses -- besides just getting back their best two returning players from last season, K-Mart and Francisco Garcia -- is that all of these youngsters are learning. In Paul Westphal, the Kings have a decent coach who is teaching them.

  7. kevin Says:

    "Incidentally, we should probably do a post on that sometime -- "most injured teams ever"... "

    That's easy- the Clippers. Pick any year you want.

  8. Neil Paine Says:

    Rich, these rankings aren't meant to be predictive. The team is being judged here primarily on past wins and losses, with adjustments made for who they played and the location of the game. The Kings fell three spots because they lost 3 times between Jan 1 and Jan 7, twice at home (albeit against 3 top-5 teams). It has nothing to do with whether they're on the precipice of getting better, or how many young players they're playing. These rankings are retrodictive, and only concerned with whether you won or lost in the past.

  9. Rich Rifkin Says:

    Neil, I understand that and don't question your list. The Kings' mounting losses (including a lot of them at home) necessitated a drop in the rankings ... by the numbers. (By the way ... I love your blog entries. Great job.)

    My lone point is that, watching Sacramento lately play very competitively with the best teams in the NBA, I think going forward they will start winning and thus earn a higher spot in the rankings (say in the next 5 weeks).

    After a home game tomorrow with Orlando, which I suspect will be yet another close, could go either way contest, the Kings hit the road for 6 games.

    Two of those road games will be against Atlanta and Orlando, both in your top 8; two are against Miami and Charlotte, middle-rung team ranked better than Sacramento; and two are with Philly and Washington, both now lower-ranked than the Kings.

    The Kings have been bad on the road, 3-13. That is not too surprising for a young, below-average ballclub. Yet, if my contention that the Kings have really improved, despite losing a lot lately, is true, they should start winning some close games, including road games. If they go 0-6, 1-5 on their road trip, I would take that as evidence that my contention is wrong or premature. But I think they should win at least 3 of those games, doubling their road-win total for the season in a week and a half.

  10. Jake from Jump Higher Says:

    Wow, New Jersey is so bad this year ... maybe without Vince Carter. Hope Cleveland and Lakers will meet in the finals.