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BBR Rankings: 2010-02-05

Posted by Neil Paine on February 5, 2010

Rising: Thunder (W-DEN, W-GSW, W-ATL, W-@NOH), Magic (W-ATL, W-@DET, W-MIL)
Falling: Raptors (W-IND, L-@IND, W-NJN), Grizzlies (L-@SAS, L-NOH, W-LAL, L-@CLE)

(Want to know how the BBR Rankings are calculated? Read this first... "MLE" = Maximum Likelihood Estimate.)

Rank Prev Team W L WPct SOSRk Week MLE Rank
1 1 Cleveland Cavaliers 40 11 0.784 26 4-0 1.50115 1
2 2 Los Angeles Lakers 38 12 0.760 21 3-1 1.32089 2
3 5 Orlando Magic 33 16 0.673 23 3-0 0.86149 3
4 3 Dallas Mavericks 31 18 0.633 6 1-2 0.76969 5
5 4 Atlanta Hawks 31 17 0.646 12 2-2 0.80775 4
6 6 Boston Celtics 31 16 0.660 29 2-2 0.75130 6
7 7 Denver Nuggets 33 16 0.673 28 2-2 0.74848 7
8 8 Utah Jazz 30 18 0.625 4 3-0 0.67243 8
9 11 Phoenix Suns 30 21 0.588 14 3-0 0.57664 9
10 14 Oklahoma City Thunder 28 21 0.571 5 4-0 0.46056 10
11 9 Houston Rockets 26 22 0.542 1 2-1 0.37998 12
12 13 Portland Trail Blazers 30 22 0.577 13 3-2 0.42492 11
13 10 Memphis Grizzlies 26 22 0.542 8 1-3 0.31780 14
14 15 San Antonio Spurs 28 20 0.583 18 2-2 0.31782 13
15 12 Toronto Raptors 27 23 0.540 17 2-1 0.29101 15
16 19 Charlotte Bobcats 24 24 0.500 7 2-2 0.09106 17
17 16 New Orleans Hornets 26 23 0.531 25 1-3 0.14633 16
18 17 Chicago Bulls 23 24 0.489 11 1-2 0.03201 19
19 18 Miami Heat 24 26 0.480 2 1-4 0.05575 18
20 21 Milwaukee Bucks 21 26 0.447 19 2-1 -0.20985 20
21 20 Los Angeles Clippers 21 28 0.429 20 1-3 -0.27347 21
22 22 Sacramento Kings 16 32 0.333 3 0-4 -0.73042 23
23 23 New York Knicks 19 29 0.396 30 1-2 -0.68840 22
24 24 Detroit Pistons 16 31 0.340 9 1-2 -0.73972 24
25 26 Philadelphia 76ers 17 31 0.354 27 2-1 -0.82223 26
26 25 Indiana Pacers 17 32 0.347 24 1-2 -0.81967 25
27 27 Washington Wizards 16 32 0.333 22 2-2 -0.90886 27
28 28 Golden State Warriors 13 35 0.271 15 0-4 -1.09874 28
29 29 Minnesota Timberwolves 11 38 0.224 10 2-0 -1.45208 29
30 30 New Jersey Nets 4 44 0.083 16 0-4 -2.78364 30
Home-Court Advantage 0.60964

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3 Responses to “BBR Rankings: 2010-02-05”

  1. DSMok1 Says:

    An alternative ranking system: SRS of efficiencies (compiled off 4-factor box scores on this site--thanks!)
    .
    Home Court Advantage: 3.54
    .
    Team Margin/100 Poss
    CLE 7.51
    UTA 6.75
    LAL 6.50
    DEN 5.99
    ATL 5.41
    ORL 5.25
    OKC 4.72
    SAS 4.09
    PHO 3.61
    POR 3.49
    BOS 3.05
    DAL 1.08
    HOU 0.75
    TOR 0.03
    MEM -0.07
    MIA -0.49
    MIL -0.59
    NOH -1.32
    CHA -1.55
    CHI -2.02
    SAC -3.12
    LAC -3.31
    GSW -3.79
    PHI -4.25
    DET -4.75
    IND -4.78
    NYK -5.42
    WAS -5.61
    MIN -7.06
    NJN -12.18
    .
    As a side note: why, when I calculate the league average efficiency (by averaging the 4 factor box scores) do I come up with a different value than that shown in the league-wide season box score?

  2. Neil Paine Says:

    Oh, that's because our game-by-game team stats don't have "Team Turnovers" (shot clock/5-second inbound/8 second halfcourt violations/etc.) included in the team total.

    As an aside, for your SRS, did you base it on the average of game-by-game efficiency differentials?

  3. DSMok1 Says:

    Basically, I took the whole season and ran Solver to minimize the difference between the actual efficiency margins (from the box scores) and the "predicted" margin for each game (adjusted for home/away). Since this is SRS, it was not least squares (I think that would overweight blowouts unnecessarily anyway) but simply minimizing the sum of the differences.

    It gives a lot of useful information, I think... I've run it for the last 20 seasons, too. I like such a method as the purest form of an adjusted efficiency differential.