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2010 Playoff Series Preview: Boston vs. Miami

Posted by Neil Paine on April 16, 2010

2010 Playoffs Home2010 Playoff Previews

4. Boston Celtics

Coach: Doc Rivers
SRS: 3.37 (10th of 30) ▪ Pace Factor: 91.6 (22nd of 30)
Offensive Rating: 107.7 (15th of 30) ▪ Defensive Rating: 103.8 (5th of 30)

Four Factors

Team eFG% Rank TOV% Rank ORB% Rank FT/FGA Rank
Boston Celtics 0.522 5 0.145 27 0.228 28 0.248 6
Boston Celtics - Opp 0.487 9 0.149 2 0.262 12 0.251 24

Roster (w/ 2010 Regular-Season Stats)

Pos Player Age Ht Wt G MPG ORtg %Pos DRtg SPM T/Min %Pass %Shoot %Fouled %TO
PG Rajon Rondo 23 73 171 81 36.6 111.0 23.0 103.0 4.05 2.07 77 15 4 4
SG Ray Allen 34 77 205 80 35.2 114.6 19.1 107.7 0.25 0.92 48 38 8 5
SF/SG Paul Pierce 32 78 230 71 34.0 114.0 23.0 104.8 3.24 1.13 48 32 14 6
C Kendrick Perkins 25 82 280 78 27.6 105.2 17.8 101.5 -1.27 0.66 34 37 17 12
PF Kevin Garnett 33 83 220 69 29.9 112.4 21.5 101.0 2.47 1.06 51 36 9 5
PF/C Rasheed Wallace 35 82 225 79 22.5 100.0 18.9 100.5 1.98 0.73 36 50 8 5
SG/SF Marquis Daniels 29 78 200 51 18.4 101.6 15.6 107.1 -4.03 0.78 53 34 7 6
PF Glen Davis 24 81 289 54 17.3 103.2 20.4 105.9 -3.33 0.71 31 43 18 8
PG Nate Robinson 25 69 180 26 14.7 107.3 24.3 109.9 2.60 1.41 61 31 4 5
SG/SF Michael Finley 36 79 215 21 15.0 104.0 13.1 108.1 -2.30 0.67 54 39 3 4
SG/PG Tony Allen 28 76 213 54 16.5 101.1 20.1 100.9 1.35 0.96 50 30 12 8
PF Shelden Williams 26 81 250 54 11.1 117.8 15.8 103.0 -0.27 0.61 35 34 23 8
PF Brian Scalabrine 31 81 241 52 9.1 89.2 10.5 107.7 -5.06 0.57 60 32 2 6

Best Pure Shooter: Ray Allen
Best 3 Pt. Shooters: Paul Pierce, Ray Allen
Best Scorer: Paul Pierce
Best Rebounder: Kendrick Perkins
Best Passer: Rajon Rondo
Best Defender: Kevin Garnett
Who to Foul: Kendrick Perkins (58.2%)

5. Miami Heat

Coach: Erik Spoelstra
SRS: 2.00 (13th of 30) ▪ Pace Factor: 89.6 (28th of 30)
Offensive Rating: 106.6 (19th of 30) ▪ Defensive Rating: 104.1 (6th of 30)

Four Factors

Team eFG% Rank TOV% Rank ORB% Rank FT/FGA Rank
Miami Heat 0.496 15 0.128 9 0.261 19 0.223 17
Miami Heat - Opp 0.480 2 0.139 8 0.251 6 0.246 22

Roster (w/ 2010 Regular-Season Stats)

Pos Player Age Ht Wt G MPG ORtg %Pos DRtg SPM T/Min %Pass %Shoot %Fouled %TO
SG Dwyane Wade 28 76 212 77 36.3 113.3 35.1 102.5 10.50 1.98 56 28 11 5
PF Michael Beasley 21 81 235 78 29.8 101.2 24.6 102.5 -1.12 0.88 30 53 10 7
SG/SF Quentin Richardson 29 78 223 76 27.4 114.1 14.1 103.8 1.92 0.61 44 46 5 5
PG Carlos Arroyo 30 74 202 72 22.0 114.7 14.8 108.3 -2.18 1.20 72 21 4 3
C Joel Anthony 27 81 245 80 16.5 112.1 9.8 103.3 -1.16 0.28 20 45 22 13
PF/C Udonis Haslem 29 80 230 78 27.9 111.4 16.9 103.8 -3.56 0.56 26 54 14 6
PF/C Jermaine O'Neal 31 83 226 70 28.4 107.8 22.3 102.7 -0.95 0.84 34 46 12 8
PG Mario Chalmers 23 73 190 73 24.8 100.5 17.1 105.0 0.45 1.22 68 21 4 6
SF/SG Dorell Wright 24 79 200 72 20.8 113.8 15.4 103.8 0.90 0.74 50 39 5 5
SG Daequan Cook 22 77 205 45 15.4 90.4 18.4 106.5 -4.43 0.83 46 46 4 4
SF James Jones 29 80 225 36 14.0 112.8 12.3 107.5 -1.61 0.52 39 47 9 4
C Jamaal Magloire 31 83 259 36 10.0 96.3 14.2 100.6 -5.03 0.37 5 43 39 13
PF Shavlik Randolph 26 82 240 3 15.7 86.0 20.1 105.4 -7.04 0.57 21 63 6 10
SG/SF Yakhouba Diawara 27 79 225 6 7.3 56.6 14.0 108.0 -9.53 0.72 58 33 0 10

Best Pure Shooters: Daequan Cook, James Jones
Best 3 Pt. Shooter: Quentin Richardson
Best Scorer: Dwyane Wade
Best Rebounder: Udonis Haslem
Best Passer: Dwyane Wade
Best Defender: Joel Anthony
Who to Foul: Joel Anthony (71.7%)

Season Series

Celtics win series 4-1
Game 1 @ BOS - Celtics 85, Heat 76
Game 2 @ BOS - Celtics 106, Heat 77
Game 3 @ MIA - Celtics 100, Heat 98
Game 4 @ MIA - Heat 101, Celtics 92
Game 5 @ BOS - Celtics 96, Heat 86
Picks Most Likely Second Opinion
SPM "True Skill" Projection says: Celtics in 5 Celtics in 7
I say: Celtics in 6 Heat in 7

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4 Responses to “2010 Playoff Series Preview: Boston vs. Miami”

  1. Jason J Says:

    It bothers me that all of Boston's starters who are under 33 years old shoot free throws like they have their hands tied together.

  2. Neil Paine Says:

    It's hard to find things about the C's that don't bother me right now. I haven't given up on them, but like all of us, I'm feeling pretty pessimistic.

  3. AYC Says:

    I'm surprised nobody is picking MIA for the upset here; they have played extremely well lately, and the C's have played like @$$, let's be honest. Also, Wade is the type of player capable of carrying the Heat past BOS all by himself

  4. robinred Says:

    @3

    Bill Simmons picked the Heat, but the internet consensus seems to be Celtics in 7.