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2010 Playoff Series Preview: L.A. Lakers vs. Oklahoma City

Posted by Neil Paine on April 16, 2010

2010 Playoffs Home2010 Playoff Previews

1. Los Angeles Lakers

Coach: Phil Jackson
SRS: 4.78 (5th of 30) ▪ Pace Factor: 92.8 (14th of 30)
Offensive Rating: 108.8 (11th of 30) ▪ Defensive Rating: 103.7 (4th of 30)

Four Factors

Team eFG% Rank TOV% Rank ORB% Rank FT/FGA Rank
Los Angeles Lakers 0.496 15 0.124 5 0.276 7 0.221 18
Los Angeles Lakers - Opp 0.484 6 0.132 18 0.256 9 0.195 2

Roster (w/ 2010 Regular-Season Stats)

Pos Player Age Ht Wt G MPG ORtg %Pos DRtg SPM T/Min %Pass %Shoot %Fouled %TO
SG Kobe Bryant 31 78 200 73 38.8 109.1 31.4 104.4 4.77 1.56 49 35 11 5
SF Ron Artest 30 78 244 77 33.8 106.0 16.4 105.0 0.97 0.92 57 31 7 5
PF/SF Lamar Odom 30 82 220 82 31.5 109.0 17.9 100.4 2.94 1.02 60 28 7 6
PF/C Pau Gasol 29 84 227 65 37.0 120.3 22.2 101.8 4.65 1.08 50 33 12 6
PG/SG Derek Fisher 35 73 200 82 27.2 105.4 13.9 105.9 -0.75 0.87 61 29 6 4
C Andrew Bynum 22 84 285 65 30.4 117.0 20.6 102.0 0.51 0.72 28 48 16 8
SG/PG Shannon Brown 24 76 205 82 20.7 105.3 17.8 105.1 -1.70 0.82 45 42 8 5
PF/C/SF Josh Powell 27 81 225 63 9.2 88.7 18.8 106.3 -7.69 0.79 45 42 6 7
SG/PG Sasha Vujacic 25 79 193 67 8.6 112.1 15.1 105.4 -0.10 0.78 53 36 6 4
SF Luke Walton 29 80 235 29 9.4 96.0 17.1 105.4 -3.93 1.23 70 25 1 4
PG Jordan Farmar 23 74 180 82 18.0 105.3 18.2 105.9 -1.61 0.96 53 37 5 5
C Didier Ilunga-Mbenga 29 84 245 49 7.2 98.6 16.1 101.3 -4.18 0.51 26 57 9 8
SF Adam Morrison 25 80 205 31 7.8 91.6 18.0 108.0 -7.60 0.86 51 41 3 5

Best Pure Shooter: Sasha Vujacic
Best 3 Pt. Shooter: Jordan Farmar
Best Scorer: Kobe Bryant
Best Rebounder: Lamar Odom
Best Passer: Kobe Bryant
Best Defender: Ron Artest
Who to Foul: Josh Powell (64.5%)

8. Oklahoma City Thunder

Coach: Scott Brooks
SRS: 3.55 (9th of 30) ▪ Pace Factor: 93.1 (12th of 30)
Offensive Rating: 108.3 (12th of 30) ▪ Defensive Rating: 104.6 (9th of 30)

Four Factors

Team eFG% Rank TOV% Rank ORB% Rank FT/FGA Rank
Oklahoma City Thunder 0.494 18 0.139 24 0.286 3 0.268 2
Oklahoma City Thunder - Opp 0.483 4 0.140 7 0.264 16 0.229 17

Roster (w/ 2010 Regular-Season Stats)

Pos Player Age Ht Wt G MPG ORtg %Pos DRtg SPM T/Min %Pass %Shoot %Fouled %TO
SF/SG Kevin Durant 21 81 215 82 39.5 117.8 30.3 103.4 7.12 1.22 34 42 17 7
SF Jeff Green 23 81 235 82 37.1 106.4 18.2 104.7 0.12 0.71 36 49 8 6
PG Russell Westbrook 21 75 187 82 34.3 104.8 27.6 106.0 1.73 1.99 69 21 6 5
SG Thabo Sefolosha 25 77 215 82 28.6 102.6 11.1 103.9 0.18 0.62 59 30 5 6
C Nenad Krstic 26 84 240 76 22.9 110.5 16.7 105.6 -3.28 0.58 30 56 8 6
G James Harden 20 77 220 76 22.9 108.8 19.8 104.3 2.52 0.97 48 34 11 6
PF/C Nick Collison 29 81 255 75 20.8 120.4 12.7 104.4 -0.43 0.44 33 45 12 9
F Serge Ibaka 20 82 235 73 18.1 109.1 16.3 101.1 -3.46 0.43 10 65 13 12
G Eric Maynor 22 75 175 55 16.5 102.7 18.7 107.3 -2.35 1.63 75 18 3 4
SG Kyle Weaver 23 78 201 12 12.0 107.7 12.0 103.1 1.45 0.74 61 31 4 4
C/PF Etan Thomas 31 81 256 23 14.0 89.3 13.2 104.9 -8.76 0.34 5 62 16 16
PG Kevin Ollie 37 76 195 25 10.5 102.0 9.5 107.4 -4.34 0.67 67 26 4 3
F D.J. White 23 81 251 12 8.5 132.9 20.2 102.6 3.99 0.74 31 54 11 4
C Byron Mullens 20 84 275 13 4.2 72.4 18.3 105.1 -11.69 0.54 20 66 0 14

Best Pure Shooter: Kevin Durant
Best 3 Pt. Shooters: James Harden, Kevin Durant
Best Scorer: Kevin Durant
Best Rebounder: Serge Ibaka
Best Passer: Russell Westbrook
Best Defenders: Serge Ibaka, Thabo Sefolosha
Who to Foul: Serge Ibaka (63.0%)

Season Series

Lakers win series 4-2
Game 1 @ LAL - Lakers 87, Thunder 79
Game 2 @ LAL - Lakers 95, Thunder 92
Game 3 @ OKC - Thunder 101, Lakers 96
Game 4 @ OKC - Thunder 110, Lakers 89
Game 5 @ LAL - Lakers 111, Thunder 87
Game 6 @ OKC - Lakers 95, Thunder 94
Picks Most Likely Second Opinion
SPM "True Skill" Projection says: Lakers in 5 Lakers in 4
I say: Lakers in 5 Lakers in 6

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8 Responses to “2010 Playoff Series Preview: L.A. Lakers vs. Oklahoma City”

  1. Dwight Howard Says:

    Lol at Kobe Bryant being the best passer. Though he leads the team in AST% at 23.8%, that's actually pretty terrible for the team's dominant ballhandler and the frequency with which Bryant gets double-teamed.

    He's not playing within the triangle or getting Gasol enough touches this year; his usage rating is too high, and he's one of the primary reasons his team has seen a drop in offensive rating this year. The fact of the matter is that Bynum and especially Gasol are too efficient offensive players to be using the comparatively small number of posessions that they are using.

    Bryant's usage rating is in the Durant/Wade stratosphere, which makes no sense because Bryant is 1) on a much better team and 2) less efficient than Durant and Wade at this point in his career.

  2. Neil Paine Says:

    Ha, yeah, the passer ratings are just going by Ast%. In fact, when I saw "Best Passer: Kobe Bryant", I thought "now there's something I never thought I'd type."

  3. Jason J Says:

    Bryant isn't a bad passer per se. He sees a lot of angles and makes some nice drop offs in the p/r. He's just turnover prone and more of a gunner than any team's primary creator should be - which is one of the challenges of having a system that prizes shooting pgs over actual pgs.

  4. Neil Paine Says:

    Yeah, it's always tough to get a read on the passing abilities of players in the Triangle. Which is why Phil is such a believer in the system, since it rejects the notion of the action flowing through 1 single player (or at least being initiated by 1 guy).

  5. sp6r=underrated Says:

    The lakers are a team living on reputation. If they win a championship, which I highly doubt they will, it will be like 1988 when they struggled their way to a title while getting a lot of fortunate breaks. Still, the thunder are a great match-up for them. LA can use their great front-court to attack the lack of size on the Thunder. If the Thunder are to have a chance it will require Westbrook to take advantage of Fisher's corpse.

    Overall, lakers in 6.

  6. AYC Says:

    It's too bad SA got the 7th seed. I would've loved to see them soften up LA in the first round. As for Kobe, his problem isn't ability to pass, it's willingness...

  7. Alvy Says:

    I feel like I've seen a *few* games where Kobe went 6/9 with 15 points, and 4 ast, 5 rebs, and maybe like 2 OT, while Gasol and Bynum lead the team with like 21+ points. Kobe just does whatever he wants sometimes, I dunno.

  8. Fritz Novak Says:

    "I feel like I've seen a *few* games where Kobe went 6/9 with 15 points, and 4 ast, 5 rebs, and maybe like 2 OT, while Gasol and Bynum lead the team with like 21+ points. Kobe just does whatever he wants sometimes, I dunno."

    I've seen a lot more games this year when he went 6-24 and Bynum and Gasol were 6/9 and 7/11 with double digit rebounds each. His selfishness was barely even justified last year, and with his injuries and shooting struggles, it's downright shameless. If I see another article about how Kobe has "learned to embrace his teammates" I'm swearing off sports journalism forever.