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BBR Rankings: (Almost) Post-Round 1 Schedule-Adjusted Offensive and Defensive Ratings

Posted by Neil Paine on April 29, 2011

2010-11 NBA power rankings through the games played on April 28, 2011:

Full-Season Post-Deadline
Rk Prv Team Cnf Div W L WPct Off Rk Prv Def Rk Prv Ovr Off Def Ovr
1 1 Miami Heat E SE 62 25 0.713 4.37 1 2 -3.05 5 6 7.42 5.25 -0.91 6.16
2 2 Chicago Bulls E C 66 21 0.759 0.93 13 13 -6.16 2 1 7.09 3.00 -5.70 8.70
3 3 Los Angeles Lakers W P 61 27 0.693 3.58 7 7 -3.05 6 5 6.63 1.35 -5.50 6.85
4 4 San Antonio Spurs W SW 63 24 0.724 3.79 4 3 -2.11 9 10 5.90 4.05 0.45 3.60
5 5 Boston Celtics E A 60 26 0.698 -1.06 21 21 -6.52 1 2 5.47 -3.65 -6.29 2.64
6 6 Orlando Magic E SE 54 34 0.614 0.25 15 15 -4.74 3 3 4.99 -1.51 -5.61 4.11
7 8 Dallas Mavericks W SW 61 27 0.693 2.26 9 9 -2.64 8 7 4.91 2.55 -4.33 6.88
8 7 Denver Nuggets W NW 51 36 0.586 4.21 2 1 -0.40 14 14 4.61 2.60 -5.98 8.58
9 9 Oklahoma City Thunder W NW 59 28 0.678 3.67 5 5 -0.51 13 15 4.18 5.10 -2.32 7.42
10 10 Memphis Grizzlies W SW 49 38 0.563 0.22 16 16 -2.79 7 8 3.01 1.32 -3.74 5.05
11 11 Houston Rockets W SW 43 39 0.524 4.02 3 4 1.58 20 20 2.44 3.76 -1.38 5.14
12 12 Portland Trail Blazers W NW 50 38 0.568 1.54 10 10 -0.24 15 13 1.78 3.41 -0.58 3.99
13 13 New Orleans Hornets W SW 48 40 0.545 -0.83 18 18 -1.97 10 9 1.14 1.12 2.51 -1.39
14 14 Philadelphia 76ers E A 42 45 0.483 -0.70 17 17 -1.60 11 11 0.90 -2.14 -1.88 -0.26
15 15 New York Knicks E A 42 44 0.488 3.63 6 6 3.43 27 27 0.20 5.12 5.94 -0.83
Rk Prv Team Cnf Div W L WPct Off Rk Prv Def Rk Prv Ovr Off Def Ovr
16 16 Phoenix Suns W P 40 42 0.488 2.35 8 8 2.91 22 22 -0.56 1.16 2.15 -0.99
17 18 Atlanta Hawks E SE 48 40 0.545 -1.03 20 20 0.03 16 16 -1.07 -2.18 0.50 -2.68
18 17 Milwaukee Bucks E C 35 47 0.427 -5.79 30 30 -4.58 4 4 -1.21 -6.07 -4.43 -1.64
19 19 Indiana Pacers E C 38 49 0.437 -2.46 23 23 -0.91 12 12 -1.55 -4.01 -0.20 -3.81
20 20 Utah Jazz W NW 39 43 0.476 1.04 11 11 2.72 21 21 -1.68 0.65 4.86 -4.21
21 21 Golden State Warriors W P 36 46 0.439 0.98 12 12 3.17 25 25 -2.19 1.89 2.36 -0.46
22 22 Los Angeles Clippers W P 32 50 0.390 -1.83 22 22 1.22 19 19 -3.05 -2.65 -1.03 -1.61
23 23 Detroit Pistons E C 30 52 0.366 0.69 14 14 5.06 29 29 -4.37 3.55 8.39 -4.85
24 24 Charlotte Bobcats E SE 34 48 0.415 -3.69 25 25 1.00 17 17 -4.69 -4.26 3.73 -8.00
25 25 Sacramento Kings W P 24 58 0.293 -3.90 26 26 1.19 18 18 -5.09 -2.36 1.62 -3.99
26 26 Minnesota T-Wolves W NW 17 65 0.207 -3.12 24 24 3.15 24 24 -6.27 -4.08 3.40 -7.48
27 27 Toronto Raptors E A 22 60 0.268 -0.95 19 19 6.00 30 30 -6.95 -1.46 8.20 -9.66
28 28 New Jersey Nets E A 24 58 0.293 -4.00 27 27 3.00 23 23 -7.01 -3.55 4.70 -8.25
29 29 Washington Wizards E SE 23 59 0.280 -4.66 28 28 3.18 26 26 -7.85 -4.91 4.53 -9.44
30 30 Cleveland Cavaliers E C 19 63 0.232 -5.03 29 29 4.61 28 28 -9.64 -6.29 1.90 -8.19
HCA 3.43 3.47
LgRtg 108.00 108.30

To read more about the methodology and what these numbers mean, click here.

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11 Responses to “BBR Rankings: (Almost) Post-Round 1 Schedule-Adjusted Offensive and Defensive Ratings”

  1. Neil Paine Says:

    Ken Pomeroy-ized version:

    Full-Season Post-Deadline
    Rk Team Off Def Pyth Off Def Pyth
    1 MIA 112.37 104.95 0.722 113.55 107.39 0.686
    2 CHI 108.93 101.84 0.720 111.29 102.59 0.758
    3 LAL 111.59 104.96 0.702 109.65 102.80 0.712
    4 SAS 111.80 105.89 0.681 112.35 108.74 0.612
    5 BOS 106.95 101.48 0.676 104.65 102.01 0.589
    6 ORL 108.26 103.27 0.659 106.79 102.69 0.634
    7 DAL 110.27 105.36 0.654 110.84 103.96 0.710
    8 DEN 112.22 107.61 0.643 110.90 102.32 0.755
    9 OKC 111.68 107.49 0.631 113.40 105.98 0.721
    10 MEM 108.22 105.21 0.598 109.62 104.56 0.659
    11 HOU 112.02 109.58 0.576 112.06 106.92 0.659
    12 POR 109.54 107.76 0.557 111.71 107.72 0.625
    13 NOH 107.17 106.03 0.537 109.42 110.80 0.456
    14 PHI 107.30 106.41 0.529 106.16 106.42 0.491
    15 NYK 111.63 111.43 0.506 113.41 114.24 0.475
    Rk Team Off Def Pyth Off Def Pyth
    16 PHO 110.36 110.91 0.482 109.46 110.45 0.468
    17 ATL 106.97 108.04 0.465 106.12 108.80 0.414
    18 MIL 102.21 103.42 0.459 102.23 103.87 0.445
    19 IND 105.54 107.09 0.449 104.29 108.10 0.377
    20 UTA 109.05 110.72 0.447 108.95 113.16 0.370
    21 GSW 108.98 111.17 0.431 110.19 110.65 0.485
    22 LAC 106.17 109.22 0.402 105.65 107.27 0.447
    23 DET 108.69 113.07 0.365 111.84 116.69 0.356
    24 CHA 104.32 109.00 0.351 104.04 112.03 0.262
    25 SAC 104.10 109.19 0.339 105.94 109.92 0.373
    26 MIN 104.89 111.16 0.307 104.22 111.69 0.275
    27 TOR 107.06 114.01 0.293 106.84 116.50 0.229
    28 NJN 104.00 111.01 0.286 104.75 113.00 0.257
    29 WAS 103.34 111.19 0.264 103.39 112.83 0.227
    30 CLE 102.97 112.61 0.222 102.01 110.19 0.253
    HCA 0.609 0.610
  2. Dan Says:

    I find it very interesting how the Hawks rate in the bottom half of the league, but managed to take down Orlando in 6.

  3. Neil Paine Says:

    The short explanation: sh*t happens sometimes.

  4. Owen Says:

    How often has the top team by efficiency differential won the title in the past 30 years? It's some absurdly high number right?

  5. Jason J Says:

    @ 2 & 3 - Matchups. When you don't have to double Dwight Howard, and you don't abandon the dribbler on the Howard pick and rolls (see the Celtics last year), Dwight's teammates become fairly useless. Nelson may be the only other player on the team capable of getting his own. The pundits kept saying, "Well this good a three point shooting team can't keep missing so many." The problem with that analysis is that it ignores the fact that the Magic were a good 3 points shooting team because they had open three point shooters all season. No double on Howard, no open shooters. Ta-da! Bad shooting.

    The reason this sort of strategy didn't work against other bigs is that they had better creative scorers around them (Manu, Parker, Kobe, Wade, Penny, Drexler, Magic, Oscar, West, etc.), or in the case of the 1994 Finals, the other team couldn't create any offense either so it was a wash.

    On the other side, the Magic have a decent team defense because they funnel to Dwight, and he changes everything. But Atlanta was able to score in isolation because the Orlando perimeter defenders aren't great and Johnson and Crawford are streaky unguardable. They didn't do a great job creating points, but it was enough.

  6. Neil Paine Says:

    And that was the long explanation.

  7. Jason J Says:

    I get paid by the word. Or I will once Justin hires me.

  8. Neil Paine Says:

    That day could be soon, given the state of my incredibly lucrative baseball writing career. (Not.)

  9. Jason J Says:

    Well, lucrative or not, it's still pretty awesome to be writing articles for the Times.

  10. Neil Paine Says:

    Oh, for sure -- I was just kidding about how I'm probably not going to be moving on from this gig quite yet. Although I would give you a hearty recommendation if I did. Platoon you with a pure stat guy, and we'd have a championship team.

  11. Matt, Colombia Says:

    What about just for the playoffs so far?