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Final 2011 NBA Finals Series Win Probability Graph

Posted by Neil Paine on June 12, 2011

Dallas' Series Win Probability Graph after Game 6 (Dallas wins series 4-2):

Dallas' Quarter-by-Quarter Series Win Probability Data:

Minutes Elapsed p(win)
0 46.7%
Game 1
12 48.0%
24 48.8%
36 42.3%
48 33.8%
Game 2
60 34.3%
72 34.9%
84 29.3%
96 54.0%
Game 3
108 46.0%
120 46.0%
132 45.9%
144 30.9%
Game 4
156 30.3%
168 27.2%
180 21.7%
192 45.0%
Game 5
204 43.0%
216 48.3%
228 53.4%
240 63.7%
Game 6
252 73.0%
264 69.9%
276 90.7%
288 100.0%

(For more info on the Series Win Probability methodology, click here)

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101 Responses to “Final 2011 NBA Finals Series Win Probability Graph”

  1. huevonkiller Says:

    Great article.