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Finals series win probability data, 1992-2010

Year Winner Loser Min Remaining Winner's p(series W)
1992 CHI POR 293 53.3%
1992 CHI POR 281 55.4%
1992 CHI POR 269 63.4%
1992 CHI POR 257 66.0%
1992 CHI POR 245 66.2%
1992 CHI POR 233 58.3%
1992 CHI POR 221 55.1%
1992 CHI POR 209 74.1%
1992 CHI POR 204 63.5%
1992 CHI POR 192 46.0%
1992 CHI POR 180 55.1%
1992 CHI POR 168 58.9%
1992 CHI POR 156 64.3%
1992 CHI POR 144 69.1%
1992 CHI POR 132 77.4%
1992 CHI POR 120 74.0%
1992 CHI POR 108 76.5%
1992 CHI POR 96 55.0%
1992 CHI POR 84 72.0%
1992 CHI POR 72 74.7%
1992 CHI POR 60 82.1%
1992 CHI POR 48 84.2%
1992 CHI POR 36 76.9%
1992 CHI POR 24 74.5%
1992 CHI POR 12 61.9%
1992 CHI POR 0 100.0%
1993 CHI PHO 303 46.7%
1993 CHI PHO 291 58.7%
1993 CHI PHO 279 59.1%
1993 CHI PHO 267 55.0%
1993 CHI PHO 255 65.9%
1993 CHI PHO 243 65.6%
1993 CHI PHO 231 73.3%
1993 CHI PHO 219 72.3%
1993 CHI PHO 207 84.3%
1993 CHI PHO 195 84.0%
1993 CHI PHO 183 82.7%
1993 CHI PHO 171 81.7%
1993 CHI PHO 159 82.3%
1993 CHI PHO 154 82.3%
1993 CHI PHO 149 82.3%
1993 CHI PHO 144 69.5%
1993 CHI PHO 132 73.0%
1993 CHI PHO 120 72.2%
1993 CHI PHO 108 76.6%
1993 CHI PHO 96 85.8%
1993 CHI PHO 84 73.8%
1993 CHI PHO 72 78.2%
1993 CHI PHO 60 71.8%
1993 CHI PHO 48 63.7%
1993 CHI PHO 36 79.4%
1993 CHI PHO 24 76.3%
1993 CHI PHO 12 89.0%
1993 CHI PHO 0 100.0%
1994 HOU NYK 336 53.3%
1994 HOU NYK 324 54.5%
1994 HOU NYK 312 59.8%
1994 HOU NYK 300 62.5%
1994 HOU NYK 288 66.2%
1994 HOU NYK 276 62.0%
1994 HOU NYK 264 65.1%
1994 HOU NYK 252 53.3%
1994 HOU NYK 240 46.0%
1994 HOU NYK 228 55.1%
1994 HOU NYK 216 56.6%
1994 HOU NYK 204 59.4%
1994 HOU NYK 192 69.1%
1994 HOU NYK 180 65.2%
1994 HOU NYK 168 62.8%
1994 HOU NYK 156 72.9%
1994 HOU NYK 144 55.0%
1994 HOU NYK 132 54.4%
1994 HOU NYK 120 42.5%
1994 HOU NYK 108 57.6%
1994 HOU NYK 96 36.3%
1994 HOU NYK 84 35.3%
1994 HOU NYK 72 50.9%
1994 HOU NYK 60 41.9%
1994 HOU NYK 48 60.4%
1994 HOU NYK 36 61.6%
1994 HOU NYK 24 64.0%
1994 HOU NYK 12 69.8%
1994 HOU NYK 0 100.0%
1995 HOU ORL 197 46.7%
1995 HOU ORL 185 39.4%
1995 HOU ORL 173 38.3%
1995 HOU ORL 161 59.0%
1995 HOU ORL 149 49.2%
1995 HOU ORL 144 65.9%
1995 HOU ORL 132 73.9%
1995 HOU ORL 120 82.6%
1995 HOU ORL 108 83.6%
1995 HOU ORL 96 84.3%
1995 HOU ORL 84 82.6%
1995 HOU ORL 72 84.4%
1995 HOU ORL 60 83.0%
1995 HOU ORL 48 94.3%
1995 HOU ORL 36 94.8%
1995 HOU ORL 24 91.8%
1995 HOU ORL 12 94.3%
1995 HOU ORL 0 100.0%
1996 CHI SEA 288 53.3%
1996 CHI SEA 276 57.6%
1996 CHI SEA 264 57.4%
1996 CHI SEA 252 54.9%
1996 CHI SEA 240 66.2%
1996 CHI SEA 228 62.0%
1996 CHI SEA 216 66.2%
1996 CHI SEA 204 76.9%
1996 CHI SEA 192 79.2%
1996 CHI SEA 180 90.2%
1996 CHI SEA 168 93.2%
1996 CHI SEA 156 92.7%
1996 CHI SEA 144 94.2%
1996 CHI SEA 132 93.4%
1996 CHI SEA 120 90.7%
1996 CHI SEA 108 90.5%
1996 CHI SEA 96 90.3%
1996 CHI SEA 84 90.6%
1996 CHI SEA 72 90.3%
1996 CHI SEA 60 89.6%
1996 CHI SEA 48 84.2%
1996 CHI SEA 36 89.5%
1996 CHI SEA 24 91.4%
1996 CHI SEA 12 95.7%
1996 CHI SEA 0 100.0%
1997 CHI UTA 288 53.3%
1997 CHI UTA 276 52.0%
1997 CHI UTA 264 47.8%
1997 CHI UTA 252 48.3%
1997 CHI UTA 240 66.2%
1997 CHI UTA 228 69.8%
1997 CHI UTA 216 77.0%
1997 CHI UTA 204 78.8%
1997 CHI UTA 192 79.2%
1997 CHI UTA 180 74.3%
1997 CHI UTA 168 71.1%
1997 CHI UTA 156 69.8%
1997 CHI UTA 144 69.1%
1997 CHI UTA 132 65.2%
1997 CHI UTA 120 76.5%
1997 CHI UTA 108 71.0%
1997 CHI UTA 96 55.0%
1997 CHI UTA 84 42.7%
1997 CHI UTA 72 50.3%
1997 CHI UTA 60 46.6%
1997 CHI UTA 48 84.2%
1997 CHI UTA 36 76.9%
1997 CHI UTA 24 73.2%
1997 CHI UTA 12 70.2%
1997 CHI UTA 0 100.0%
1998 CHI UTA 293 46.7%
1998 CHI UTA 281 47.2%
1998 CHI UTA 269 42.6%
1998 CHI UTA 257 38.2%
1998 CHI UTA 245 49.2%
1998 CHI UTA 240 33.8%
1998 CHI UTA 228 37.1%
1998 CHI UTA 216 39.6%
1998 CHI UTA 204 30.7%
1998 CHI UTA 192 54.0%
1998 CHI UTA 180 56.5%
1998 CHI UTA 168 67.2%
1998 CHI UTA 156 69.2%
1998 CHI UTA 144 69.5%
1998 CHI UTA 132 71.0%
1998 CHI UTA 120 70.9%
1998 CHI UTA 108 75.0%
1998 CHI UTA 96 85.8%
1998 CHI UTA 84 87.1%
1998 CHI UTA 72 91.3%
1998 CHI UTA 60 76.4%
1998 CHI UTA 48 63.7%
1998 CHI UTA 36 60.0%
1998 CHI UTA 24 57.8%
1998 CHI UTA 12 53.2%
1998 CHI UTA 0 100.0%
1999 SAS NYK 240 53.3%
1999 SAS NYK 228 47.5%
1999 SAS NYK 216 59.8%
1999 SAS NYK 204 61.8%
1999 SAS NYK 192 66.2%
1999 SAS NYK 180 69.8%
1999 SAS NYK 168 70.4%
1999 SAS NYK 156 74.1%
1999 SAS NYK 144 79.2%
1999 SAS NYK 132 73.5%
1999 SAS NYK 120 77.5%
1999 SAS NYK 108 76.8%
1999 SAS NYK 96 69.1%
1999 SAS NYK 84 67.8%
1999 SAS NYK 72 75.3%
1999 SAS NYK 60 85.0%
1999 SAS NYK 48 90.3%
1999 SAS NYK 36 89.3%
1999 SAS NYK 24 92.0%
1999 SAS NYK 12 92.0%
1999 SAS NYK 0 100.0%
2000 LAL IND 293 53.3%
2000 LAL IND 281 62.3%
2000 LAL IND 269 62.2%
2000 LAL IND 257 60.0%
2000 LAL IND 245 66.2%
2000 LAL IND 233 65.7%
2000 LAL IND 221 68.4%
2000 LAL IND 209 70.7%
2000 LAL IND 197 79.2%
2000 LAL IND 185 74.8%
2000 LAL IND 173 72.6%
2000 LAL IND 161 70.5%
2000 LAL IND 149 69.1%
2000 LAL IND 137 61.7%
2000 LAL IND 125 66.7%
2000 LAL IND 113 76.5%
2000 LAL IND 101 72.0%
2000 LAL IND 96 90.3%
2000 LAL IND 84 86.7%
2000 LAL IND 72 84.8%
2000 LAL IND 60 84.2%
2000 LAL IND 48 84.2%
2000 LAL IND 36 81.4%
2000 LAL IND 24 78.6%
2000 LAL IND 12 71.9%
2000 LAL IND 0 100.0%
2001 LAL PHI 245 53.3%
2001 LAL PHI 233 53.7%
2001 LAL PHI 221 45.6%
2001 LAL PHI 209 48.3%
2001 LAL PHI 197 50.8%
2001 LAL PHI 192 34.1%
2001 LAL PHI 180 34.4%
2001 LAL PHI 168 35.2%
2001 LAL PHI 156 43.4%
2001 LAL PHI 144 46.0%
2001 LAL PHI 132 46.6%
2001 LAL PHI 120 59.9%
2001 LAL PHI 108 60.9%
2001 LAL PHI 96 69.1%
2001 LAL PHI 84 77.4%
2001 LAL PHI 72 85.0%
2001 LAL PHI 60 89.5%
2001 LAL PHI 48 90.3%
2001 LAL PHI 36 89.3%
2001 LAL PHI 24 93.1%
2001 LAL PHI 12 99.2%
2001 LAL PHI 0 100.0%
2002 LAL NJN 192 53.3%
2002 LAL NJN 180 62.3%
2002 LAL NJN 168 62.2%
2002 LAL NJN 156 62.5%
2002 LAL NJN 144 66.2%
2002 LAL NJN 132 70.6%
2002 LAL NJN 120 71.3%
2002 LAL NJN 108 78.4%
2002 LAL NJN 96 79.2%
2002 LAL NJN 84 85.0%
2002 LAL NJN 72 85.2%
2002 LAL NJN 60 80.5%
2002 LAL NJN 48 94.2%
2002 LAL NJN 36 92.7%
2002 LAL NJN 24 94.8%
2002 LAL NJN 12 96.7%
2002 LAL NJN 0 100.0%
2003 SAS NJN 288 53.3%
2003 SAS NJN 276 50.2%
2003 SAS NJN 264 52.3%
2003 SAS NJN 252 64.9%
2003 SAS NJN 240 66.2%
2003 SAS NJN 228 64.7%
2003 SAS NJN 216 58.1%
2003 SAS NJN 204 50.4%
2003 SAS NJN 192 46.0%
2003 SAS NJN 180 40.8%
2003 SAS NJN 168 51.3%
2003 SAS NJN 156 42.3%
2003 SAS NJN 144 69.1%
2003 SAS NJN 132 71.6%
2003 SAS NJN 120 59.9%
2003 SAS NJN 108 72.9%
2003 SAS NJN 96 55.0%
2003 SAS NJN 84 57.0%
2003 SAS NJN 72 69.7%
2003 SAS NJN 60 76.6%
2003 SAS NJN 48 84.2%
2003 SAS NJN 36 74.7%
2003 SAS NJN 24 78.6%
2003 SAS NJN 12 70.2%
2003 SAS NJN 0 100.0%
2004 DET LAL 245 46.7%
2004 DET LAL 233 49.8%
2004 DET LAL 221 46.6%
2004 DET LAL 209 57.8%
2004 DET LAL 197 65.9%
2004 DET LAL 185 64.8%
2004 DET LAL 173 59.8%
2004 DET LAL 161 64.5%
2004 DET LAL 149 68.4%
2004 DET LAL 144 54.0%
2004 DET LAL 132 60.8%
2004 DET LAL 120 61.0%
2004 DET LAL 108 67.0%
2004 DET LAL 96 69.5%
2004 DET LAL 84 67.7%
2004 DET LAL 72 70.9%
2004 DET LAL 60 67.3%
2004 DET LAL 48 85.8%
2004 DET LAL 36 86.2%
2004 DET LAL 24 94.5%
2004 DET LAL 12 99.8%
2004 DET LAL 0 100.0%
2005 SAS DET 341 53.3%
2005 SAS DET 329 50.2%
2005 SAS DET 317 50.0%
2005 SAS DET 305 57.7%
2005 SAS DET 293 66.2%
2005 SAS DET 281 73.7%
2005 SAS DET 269 77.0%
2005 SAS DET 257 78.4%
2005 SAS DET 245 79.2%
2005 SAS DET 233 83.7%
2005 SAS DET 221 80.8%
2005 SAS DET 209 74.8%
2005 SAS DET 197 69.1%
2005 SAS DET 185 64.4%
2005 SAS DET 173 58.0%
2005 SAS DET 161 56.0%
2005 SAS DET 149 55.0%
2005 SAS DET 137 53.2%
2005 SAS DET 125 56.5%
2005 SAS DET 113 60.1%
2005 SAS DET 101 58.9%
2005 SAS DET 96 84.2%
2005 SAS DET 84 83.6%
2005 SAS DET 72 84.3%
2005 SAS DET 60 73.8%
2005 SAS DET 48 60.4%
2005 SAS DET 36 64.2%
2005 SAS DET 24 53.7%
2005 SAS DET 12 55.1%
2005 SAS DET 0 100.0%
2006 MIA DAL 293 46.7%
2006 MIA DAL 281 54.2%
2006 MIA DAL 269 45.5%
2006 MIA DAL 257 45.1%
2006 MIA DAL 245 33.8%
2006 MIA DAL 233 33.5%
2006 MIA DAL 221 23.0%
2006 MIA DAL 209 20.9%
2006 MIA DAL 197 20.8%
2006 MIA DAL 185 25.2%
2006 MIA DAL 173 26.4%
2006 MIA DAL 161 9.6%
2006 MIA DAL 149 30.9%
2006 MIA DAL 137 34.8%
2006 MIA DAL 125 39.4%
2006 MIA DAL 113 42.2%
2006 MIA DAL 101 45.0%
2006 MIA DAL 89 48.0%
2006 MIA DAL 77 30.3%
2006 MIA DAL 65 39.9%
2006 MIA DAL 53 41.1%
2006 MIA DAL 48 63.7%
2006 MIA DAL 36 54.5%
2006 MIA DAL 24 67.8%
2006 MIA DAL 12 76.4%
2006 MIA DAL 0 100.0%
2007 SAS CLE 192 53.3%
2007 SAS CLE 180 56.9%
2007 SAS CLE 168 57.4%
2007 SAS CLE 156 64.9%
2007 SAS CLE 144 66.2%
2007 SAS CLE 132 73.7%
2007 SAS CLE 120 78.6%
2007 SAS CLE 108 79.2%
2007 SAS CLE 96 79.2%
2007 SAS CLE 84 78.2%
2007 SAS CLE 72 81.7%
2007 SAS CLE 60 86.8%
2007 SAS CLE 48 94.2%
2007 SAS CLE 36 94.1%
2007 SAS CLE 24 96.2%
2007 SAS CLE 12 98.2%
2007 SAS CLE 0 100.0%
2008 BOS LAL 288 53.3%
2008 BOS LAL 276 54.5%
2008 BOS LAL 264 46.7%
2008 BOS LAL 252 57.7%
2008 BOS LAL 240 66.2%
2008 BOS LAL 228 63.8%
2008 BOS LAL 216 75.4%
2008 BOS LAL 204 79.0%
2008 BOS LAL 192 79.2%
2008 BOS LAL 180 79.5%
2008 BOS LAL 168 75.3%
2008 BOS LAL 156 83.1%
2008 BOS LAL 144 69.1%
2008 BOS LAL 132 57.4%
2008 BOS LAL 120 57.1%
2008 BOS LAL 108 67.5%
2008 BOS LAL 96 90.3%
2008 BOS LAL 84 85.5%
2008 BOS LAL 72 89.2%
2008 BOS LAL 60 85.7%
2008 BOS LAL 48 84.2%
2008 BOS LAL 36 87.7%
2008 BOS LAL 24 98.9%
2008 BOS LAL 12 99.9%
2008 BOS LAL 0 100.0%
2009 LAL ORL 250 53.3%
2009 LAL ORL 238 51.1%
2009 LAL ORL 226 61.1%
2009 LAL ORL 214 65.8%
2009 LAL ORL 202 66.2%
2009 LAL ORL 190 65.7%
2009 LAL ORL 178 70.4%
2009 LAL ORL 166 60.9%
2009 LAL ORL 154 63.5%
2009 LAL ORL 149 79.2%
2009 LAL ORL 137 82.3%
2009 LAL ORL 125 76.0%
2009 LAL ORL 113 73.9%
2009 LAL ORL 101 69.1%
2009 LAL ORL 89 66.0%
2009 LAL ORL 77 59.4%
2009 LAL ORL 65 78.3%
2009 LAL ORL 53 72.0%
2009 LAL ORL 48 90.3%
2009 LAL ORL 36 89.7%
2009 LAL ORL 24 96.1%
2009 LAL ORL 12 99.2%
2009 LAL ORL 0 100.0%
2010 LAL BOS 336 53.3%
2010 LAL BOS 324 56.9%
2010 LAL BOS 312 60.5%
2010 LAL BOS 300 65.6%
2010 LAL BOS 288 66.2%
2010 LAL BOS 276 59.2%
2010 LAL BOS 264 58.1%
2010 LAL BOS 252 64.4%
2010 LAL BOS 240 46.0%
2010 LAL BOS 228 56.1%
2010 LAL BOS 216 61.8%
2010 LAL BOS 204 59.4%
2010 LAL BOS 192 69.1%
2010 LAL BOS 180 66.9%
2010 LAL BOS 168 74.0%
2010 LAL BOS 156 74.7%
2010 LAL BOS 144 55.0%
2010 LAL BOS 132 53.2%
2010 LAL BOS 120 47.6%
2010 LAL BOS 108 42.3%
2010 LAL BOS 96 36.3%
2010 LAL BOS 84 48.9%
2010 LAL BOS 72 57.5%
2010 LAL BOS 60 59.8%
2010 LAL BOS 48 60.4%
2010 LAL BOS 36 34.3%
2010 LAL BOS 24 36.2%
2010 LAL BOS 12 34.5%
2010 LAL BOS 0 100.0%