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Missing Rings: 2000s Edition (Part I)

Posted by Neil Paine on January 12, 2009

As a part of their America's Game documentaries, the NFL Network has a series called The Missing Rings, which highlights franchises who have never won a Super Bowl, and when they came closest to winning the big game. That's a topic which seems particularly suited to the NBA (only 8 different franchises have won a title in the last 28 years), and it's one I'd like to tackle here at some point during the season, if not simply because of pro basketball's uniquely oligarchical balance of power.

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Posted in History | 15 Comments »

Layups: Eric Musselman on Player Roles

Posted by Neil Paine on January 11, 2009

Former Warriors and Kings coach Eric Musselman has a blog, in which he picks articles from around the basketball world to illustrate various coaching points. The whole site is an interesting read, but I've been particularly interested in reading his posts about player roles within the team concept.

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Layups: And the Best PG in the East is…

Posted by Neil Paine on January 10, 2009

Following up on Kevin Pelton's earlier post at Basketball Prospectus, he breaks down the East's top 3 PGs in each facet of the game. His conclusion? Well, let's just say that last year, one Western Conference team traded away the East's #1 PG of the future to get the East's #1 PG of the past.

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Comparing Projection Systems

Posted by Justin Kubatko on January 9, 2009

Back in October, Basketball Prospectus' Kevin Pelton introduced the SCHOENE projection system. Kevin's system is quite detailed, so rather than summarize it here I would encourage you to read his article. Around the same time Kevin released SCHOENE, I came up with the Simple Projection System, or SPS. The SPS is very simple (hence the name), and is described in full in the previous link. Since we are nearing the midpoint of the 2008-09 season, I thought it would be interesting to see how these two new projection systems are faring.

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Posted in Analysis, Projections | 1 Comment »

Layups: Who’s the East’s Best PG?

Posted by Neil Paine on January 9, 2009

Kevin Pelton of Basketball Prospectus sorts out the Eastern Conference point guard hierarchy, since Jason Kidd and Chauncey Billups both vacated the #1 position when each headed West over the past year. "With apologies to Mike Bibby, Andre Miller, Mo Williams, Jose Calderon, Derrick Rose and Rodney Stuckey," he narrows the list down to just 3 clear-cut candidates: Devin Harris, Jameer Nelson, and Rajon Rondo.

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Layups: HoopsAnalyst on the Surprising Hawks

Posted by Neil Paine on January 8, 2009

In his latest post, Harlan Schreiber of HoopsAnalyst takes a look at the Hawks, who stand out among 2009's surprise teams because they looked like they were trending distinctly downward over the offseason (Josh Childress, where art thou?). He also looks at historical surprise teams, and comes up with a list with a few teams in common with our quantitative one from a few months ago.

Posted in Layups | 2 Comments »

What Can We Expect From Starbury?

Posted by Neil Paine on January 8, 2009

Although he is still technically a member of the New York Knicks (and could remain so until February 19th's trade deadline), we've all heard the rampant speculation and rumors surrounding Stephon Marbury's eventual destination. He wants to go to the Celtics, and even Kevin Garnett approves the hypothetical move, despite Marbury not exactly departing KG's T-Wolves on the greatest terms back in 1999. However, there is the matter of salary-cap logistics -- what happens if Marbury still won't take a buyout, and how do you move his massive contract?

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Layups: Team 3-Point Ability, Colley Matrix-style

Posted by Neil Paine on January 8, 2009

Some of our readers who are also college football fans will be familar with Wes Colley's system for ranking teams, which is one of the best unbiased methods out there and is actually included in the BCS rankings (although I'm not sure if that boosts the method's credibility or not). Anyway, our friend Ryan Parker of the up-and-coming stats site has applied Colley's methodology to NBA teams' 3-point shooting numbers. The results? The Spurs are good at making the trey; the Hawks do a nice job of defending against it.

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Layups: Can You Name the Rebounding Leaders?

Posted by Neil Paine on January 7, 2009

Another Sporcle quiz (I love that site!)... Can you name the NBA's top 25 all-time rebounders in 7 minutes?

Posted in Layups | 1 Comment »

Durant Revisited

Posted by Neil Paine on January 7, 2009

Welcome back to the Basketball-Reference blog! I hope everybody had a wonderful holiday, and got to spend quality time with friends and/or family... For our part, we here at BBR would like to wish all of our readers a terrific 2009, and we hope you get a chance to enjoy what should be one of the best basketball years in recent memory. Needless to say, it's going to be a fun 12 months.

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Posted in Analysis | 4 Comments »

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