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2010-11 NBA Blogosphere Previews: Minnesota Timberwolves

Posted by Neil Paine on October 18, 2010

Welcome to our 2010-11 NBA Blogosphere Previews, in which we contact the finest team bloggers on the web and ask them to contribute their thoughts on the squad they cover. What follows is their take, along with the team's depth chart (courtesy of ESPN.com), projected 2011 stats via our Simple Projection System, and polls where you get to have your say. Enjoy!

Minnesota Timberwolves

Coach: Kurt Rambis

2010 Summary:
Record: 15-67, Finished 5th in NBA Northwest Division
Pythagorean W-L: 17-65 (29th of 30)
SRS: -9.06 (30th of 30) ▪ Pace Factor: 96.1 (3rd of 30)
Offensive Rating: 101.7 (29th of 30) ▪ Defensive Rating: 111.6 (28th of 30)

Read the rest of this entry »

Posted in Analysis, From the NBA Blogosphere, Polls, Projections, Season Preview | 3 Comments »

2010-11 NBA Blogosphere Previews: Houston Rockets

Posted by Neil Paine on October 15, 2010

Welcome to our 2010-11 NBA Blogosphere Previews, in which we contact the finest team bloggers on the web and ask them to contribute their thoughts on the squad they cover. What follows is their take, along with the team's depth chart (courtesy of ESPN.com), projected 2011 stats via our Simple Projection System, and polls where you get to have your say. Enjoy!

Houston Rockets

Coach: Rick Adelman

2010 Summary:
Record: 42-40, Finished 3rd in NBA Southwest Division
Pythagorean W-L: 40-42 (16th of 30)
SRS: -0.01 (16th of 30) ▪ Pace Factor: 94.0 (6th of 30)
Offensive Rating: 107.6 (16th of 30) ▪ Defensive Rating: 108.0 (17th of 30)

Read the rest of this entry »

Posted in Analysis, From the NBA Blogosphere, Polls, Projections, Season Preview | 3 Comments »

2010-11 NBA Blogosphere Previews: Detroit Pistons

Posted by Neil Paine on October 15, 2010

Welcome to our 2010-11 NBA Blogosphere Previews, in which we contact the finest team bloggers on the web and ask them to contribute their thoughts on the squad they cover. What follows is their take, along with the team's depth chart (courtesy of ESPN.com), projected 2011 stats via our Simple Projection System, and polls where you get to have your say. Enjoy!

Detroit Pistons

Coach: John Kuester

2010 Summary:
Record: 27-55, Finished 5th in NBA Central Division
Pythagorean W-L: 26-56 (27th of 30)
SRS: -5.02 (27th of 30) ▪ Pace Factor: 88.5 (29th of 30)
Offensive Rating: 105.6 (21st of 30) ▪ Defensive Rating: 111.4 (26th of 30)

Read the rest of this entry »

Posted in Analysis, From the NBA Blogosphere, Polls, Projections, Season Preview | 2 Comments »

2010-11 NBA Blogosphere Previews: Milwaukee Bucks

Posted by Neil Paine on October 15, 2010

Welcome to our 2010-11 NBA Blogosphere Previews, in which we contact the finest team bloggers on the web and ask them to contribute their thoughts on the squad they cover. What follows is their take, along with the team's depth chart (courtesy of ESPN.com), projected 2011 stats via our Simple Projection System, and polls where you get to have your say. Enjoy!

Milwaukee Bucks

Coach: Scott Skiles

2010 Summary:
Record: 46-36, Finished 2nd in NBA Central Division
Pythagorean W-L: 46-36 (14th of 30)
SRS: 1.38 (14th of 30) ▪ Pace Factor: 91.7 (19th of 30)
Offensive Rating: 104.9 (23rd of 30) ▪ Defensive Rating: 103.1 (2nd of 30)

Read the rest of this entry »

Posted in Analysis, From the NBA Blogosphere, Polls, Projections, Season Preview | 3 Comments »

2010-11 NBA Blogosphere Previews: Utah Jazz

Posted by Neil Paine on October 14, 2010

Welcome to our 2010-11 NBA Blogosphere Previews, in which we contact the finest team bloggers on the web and ask them to contribute their thoughts on the squad they cover. What follows is their take, along with the team's depth chart (courtesy of ESPN.com), projected 2011 stats via our Simple Projection System, and polls where you get to have your say. Enjoy!

Utah Jazz

Coach: Jerry Sloan

2010 Summary:
Record: 53-29, Finished 1st in NBA Northwest Division
Pythagorean W-L: 55-27 (3rd of 30)
SRS: 5.33 (3rd of 30) ▪ Pace Factor: 93.8 (9th of 30)
Offensive Rating: 110.7 (8th of 30) ▪ Defensive Rating: 105.0 (10th of 30)

Read the rest of this entry »

Posted in Analysis, From the NBA Blogosphere, Polls, Projections, Season Preview | 3 Comments »

Projected Player Skill Index

Posted by Neil Paine on October 12, 2010

You probably didn't know this (I admit we didn't exactly advertise it... at all, really), but our Simple Projection System (SPS) has been updated to produce projected stats for the upcoming 2010-11 season. That's good, because today I'm going to use those numbers tocome up with rudimentary "skill indices" for every projected player in the database, if for no other reason than to get a broad view of what each player is good at and how they fit in on their 2011 teams.

Read the rest of this entry »

Posted in Analysis, Data Dump, Projections, Season Preview, Statistical +/- | 19 Comments »

Layups: The Preseason As a Predictor

Posted by Neil Paine on October 11, 2010

A neat article here from 48 Minutes of Hell, looking at how well the preseason predicts the regular season... As it turns out, the games going on right now aren't quite as meaningless as we like to believe.

(Hat tip to TrueHoop.)

Posted in Layups | Comments Off

Poll: Would You Want the Rest of LeBron’s Career or the Rest of Durant’s Career?

Posted by Neil Paine on October 11, 2010

In a major oversight on my part, I forgot to include a poll in last week's LeBron/Durant post -- but now you have a chance to vote here... If you're building an expansion team starting this season, and you can draft any player in the league, do you build your team around LeBron James or Kevin Durant?

Posted in Polls | 6 Comments »

Would You Want the Rest of LeBron’s Career or the Rest of Durant’s Career?

Posted by Neil Paine on October 7, 2010

Lots of interesting material in the NBA's annual GM survey this week, but I want to focus on one particular item:

"Kevin Durant (56 percent) was voted as the top player GMs would sign to start an NBA franchise."

You can write this off as LeBron James backlash if you want (the GMs also predicted James wouldn't win the 2011 MVP -- though I actually happen to agree there), but 68% of GMs said James was the game's best small forward right now, so I don't think that's it.

Instead, they're essentially saying that LeBron is better now, but they would prefer the total value added by the rest of Durant's career (he's age 22 this season) over the value from the rest of LeBron's career (he'll be 26 this year). Is this the rational choice? Are those extra four years going to push KD's expected rest-of-career value over James', or should you side with LeBron because of his superior track record thus far (and, hence, greater expected peak production)?

Read the rest of this entry »

Posted in Analysis, Projections, Win Shares | 64 Comments »

Layups: Magic Basketball.net Interview

Posted by Neil Paine on October 5, 2010

Recently I had a chance to answer some Eastern Conference-related questions for Eddy Rivera of MagicBasketball.net, a longtime friend of the BBR Blog. In the interview, we chatted about not just the Magic, but also the Heat and the Celtics. Check it out!

Posted in Layups, Offseason, Season Preview | Comments Off

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