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2010-11 NBA Blogosphere Previews: Sacramento Kings

Posted by Neil Paine on October 26, 2010

Welcome to our 2010-11 NBA Blogosphere Previews, in which we contact the finest team bloggers on the web and ask them to contribute their thoughts on the squad they cover. What follows is their take, along with the team's depth chart (courtesy of ESPN.com), projected 2011 stats via our Simple Projection System, and polls where you get to have your say. Enjoy!

Sacramento Kings

Coach: Paul Westphal

2010 Summary:
Record: 25-57, Finished 5th in NBA Pacific Division
SRS: -4.06 (25th of 30) ▪ Pace: 94.0 (7th of 30)
Off Rtg: 105.3 (22nd of 30) ▪ Def Rtg: 109.9 (20th of 30)
Expected W-L: 29-53 (25th of 30)

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Posted in Analysis, From the NBA Blogosphere, Polls, Projections, Season Preview | Comments Off

2010-11 Projected NBA Standings

Posted by Neil Paine on October 25, 2010

It's that time of year again... Time to plug a ton of projected numbers into a computer, simulate the NBA schedule thousands of times, and see what kind of predictions it spits out. This year I ran three sets of 2,500 simulated seasons -- one based on statistical plus/minus (the raw version of which I posted here, but also adjusted for team using past franchise & coaching histories), one based on Win Shares (using the Simple Projection System method), and one based on a heavily regressed-to-the-mean version of last year's Simple Ratings (not so much for prediction purposes, but as an experiment to see how well the "dumbest" possible projections fare vs. complex methods). To see the individual minutes and ratings that went into these projections, click here.

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Posted in Analysis, BBR Rankings, Projections, Season Preview, SRS, Statgeekery, Statistical +/-, Win Shares | 33 Comments »

2010-11 NBA Blogosphere Previews: Dallas Mavericks

Posted by Neil Paine on October 25, 2010

Welcome to our 2010-11 NBA Blogosphere Previews, in which we contact the finest team bloggers on the web and ask them to contribute their thoughts on the squad they cover. What follows is their take, along with the team's depth chart (courtesy of ESPN.com), projected 2011 stats via our Simple Projection System, and polls where you get to have your say. Enjoy!

Dallas Mavericks

Coach: Rick Carlisle

2010 Summary:
Record: 55-27, Finished 1st in NBA Southwest Division
Pythagorean W-L: 49-33 (12th of 30)
SRS: 2.67 (12th of 30) ▪ Pace Factor: 92.5 (17th of 30)
Offensive Rating: 109.2 (10th of 30) ▪ Defensive Rating: 106.3 (12th of 30)

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Posted in Analysis, From the NBA Blogosphere, Polls, Projections, Season Preview | Comments Off

2010-11 NBA Blogosphere Previews: New Orleans Hornets

Posted by Neil Paine on October 25, 2010

Welcome to our 2010-11 NBA Blogosphere Previews, in which we contact the finest team bloggers on the web and ask them to contribute their thoughts on the squad they cover. What follows is their take, along with the team's depth chart (courtesy of ESPN.com), projected 2011 stats via our Simple Projection System, and polls where you get to have your say. Enjoy!

New Orleans Hornets

Coach: Monty Williams

2010 Summary:
Record: 37-45, Finished 5th in NBA Southwest Division
Pythagorean W-L: 34-48 (20th of 30)
SRS: -2.27 (20th of 30) ▪ Pace Factor: 92.6 (15th of 30)
Offensive Rating: 107.4 (18th of 30) ▪ Defensive Rating: 110.1 (21st of 30)

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Posted in Analysis, From the NBA Blogosphere, Polls, Projections, Season Preview | Comments Off

2010-11 NBA Blogosphere Previews: Indiana Pacers

Posted by Neil Paine on October 25, 2010

Welcome to our 2010-11 NBA Blogosphere Previews, in which we contact the finest team bloggers on the web and ask them to contribute their thoughts on the squad they cover. What follows is their take, along with the team's depth chart (courtesy of ESPN.com), projected 2011 stats via our Simple Projection System, and polls where you get to have your say. Enjoy!

Indiana Pacers

Coach: Jim O'Brien

2010 Summary:
Record: 32-50, Finished 4th in NBA Central Division
Pythagorean W-L: 33-49 (21st of 30)
SRS: -3.10 (21st of 30) ▪ Pace Factor: 97.1 (2nd of 30)
Offensive Rating: 103.7 (26th of 30) ▪ Defensive Rating: 106.8 (14th of 30)

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Posted in Analysis, From the NBA Blogosphere, Polls, Projections, Season Preview | Comments Off

2010-11 NBA Blogosphere Previews: Charlotte Bobcats

Posted by Neil Paine on October 22, 2010

Welcome to our 2010-11 NBA Blogosphere Previews, in which we contact the finest team bloggers on the web and ask them to contribute their thoughts on the squad they cover. What follows is their take, along with the team's depth chart (courtesy of ESPN.com), projected 2011 stats via our Simple Projection System, and polls where you get to have your say. Enjoy!

Charlotte Bobcats

Coach: Larry Brown

2010 Summary:
Record: 44-38, Finished 4th in NBA Southeast Division
Pythagorean W-L: 45-37 (15th of 30)
SRS: 1.30 (15th of 30) ▪ Pace Factor: 90.4 (26th of 30)
Offensive Rating: 104.4 (24th of 30) ▪ Defensive Rating: 102.8 (1st of 30)

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Posted in Analysis, From the NBA Blogosphere, Polls, Projections, Season Preview | Comments Off

2010-11 NBA Blogosphere Previews: New Jersey Nets

Posted by Neil Paine on October 22, 2010

Welcome to our 2010-11 NBA Blogosphere Previews, in which we contact the finest team bloggers on the web and ask them to contribute their thoughts on the squad they cover. What follows is their take, along with the team's depth chart (courtesy of ESPN.com), projected 2011 stats via our Simple Projection System, and polls where you get to have your say. Enjoy!

New Jersey Nets

Coach: Avery Johnson

2010 Summary:
Record: 12-70, Finished 5th in NBA Atlantic Division
Pythagorean W-L: 17-65 (30th of 30)
SRS: -8.93 (29th of 30) ▪ Pace Factor: 91.4 (24th of 30)
Offensive Rating: 100.6 (30th of 30) ▪ Defensive Rating: 110.5 (25th of 30)

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Posted in Analysis, From the NBA Blogosphere, Polls, Projections, Season Preview | Comments Off

2010-11 NBA Blogosphere Previews: Chicago Bulls

Posted by Neil Paine on October 22, 2010

Welcome to our 2010-11 NBA Blogosphere Previews, in which we contact the finest team bloggers on the web and ask them to contribute their thoughts on the squad they cover. What follows is their take, along with the team's depth chart (courtesy of ESPN.com), projected 2011 stats via our Simple Projection System, and polls where you get to have your say. Enjoy!

Chicago Bulls

Coach: Tom Thibodeau

2010 Summary:
Record: 41-41, Finished 3rd in NBA Central Division
Pythagorean W-L: 36-46 (18th of 30)
SRS: -1.63 (18th of 30) ▪ Pace Factor: 93.1 (11th of 30)
Offensive Rating: 103.5 (27th of 30) ▪ Defensive Rating: 105.3 (11th of 30)

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Posted in Analysis, From the NBA Blogosphere, Polls, Projections, Season Preview | 1 Comment »

2010-11 NBA Blogosphere Previews: Los Angeles Clippers

Posted by Neil Paine on October 21, 2010

Welcome to our 2010-11 NBA Blogosphere Previews, in which we contact the finest team bloggers on the web and ask them to contribute their thoughts on the squad they cover. What follows is their take, along with the team's depth chart (courtesy of ESPN.com), projected 2011 stats via our Simple Projection System, and polls where you get to have your say. Enjoy!

Los Angeles Clippers

Coach: Vinny Del Negro

2010 Summary:
Record: 29-53, Finished 3rd in NBA Pacific Division
Pythagorean W-L: 24-58 (28th of 30)
SRS: -6.01 (28th of 30) ▪ Pace Factor: 92.6 (16th of 30)
Offensive Rating: 103.3 (28th of 30) ▪ Defensive Rating: 110.1 (22nd of 30)

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Posted in Analysis, From the NBA Blogosphere, Polls, Projections, Season Preview | 2 Comments »

2010-11 NBA Blogosphere Previews: Toronto Raptors

Posted by Neil Paine on October 21, 2010

Welcome to our 2010-11 NBA Blogosphere Previews, in which we contact the finest team bloggers on the web and ask them to contribute their thoughts on the squad they cover. What follows is their take, along with the team's depth chart (courtesy of ESPN.com), projected 2011 stats via our Simple Projection System, and polls where you get to have your say. Enjoy!

Toronto Raptors

Coach: Jay Triano

2010 Summary:
Record: 40-42, Finished 2nd in NBA Atlantic Division
Pythagorean W-L: 36-46 (19th of 30)
SRS: -1.83 (19th of 30) ▪ Pace Factor: 93.1 (13th of 30)
Offensive Rating: 111.3 (5th of 30) ▪ Defensive Rating: 113.2 (30th of 30)

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Posted in Analysis, From the NBA Blogosphere, Polls, Projections, Season Preview | Comments Off

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