BBR Mailbag: Individuals w/ the Highest % of Team Win Shares
Posted by Neil Paine on March 15, 2011
Frequent BBR commenter "Panic" has a good topic for a data dump today:
"I have a modest proposal for a data dump, if you haven't already looked at this: Kevin Love has 10.9 win shares and his team has an expected 20 wins, for a Love-contributed 54.5% of wins, by far the league's highest percentage of his team's wins by one player. Where does this measure up historically? I'm guessing below maybe Bellamy's rookie year and the Warriors when Arizin was in Korea, maybe a Wilt season or two. Any in the modern era?"
Let's take a look -- here are the players with the highest ratio of individual Win Shares to team wins in a single season (numbers thru Sunday's games):
Rank | Player | Year | Team | WS | Tm W | % Tm W |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Neil Johnston | 1953 | PHW | 15.3 | 12 | 127.7% |
2 | Walt Bellamy | 1962 | CHP | 16.3 | 18 | 90.3% |
3 | Wilt Chamberlain | 1963 | SFW | 20.9 | 31 | 67.5% |
4 | Kevin Love | 2011 | MIN | 11.4 | 17 | 67.2% |
5 | Brook Lopez | 2010 | NJN | 7.9 | 12 | 65.7% |
6 | Neil Johnston | 1954 | PHW | 18.3 | 29 | 63.1% |
7 | Michael Cage | 1987 | LAC | 7.2 | 12 | 60.2% |
8 | Shareef Abdur-Rahim | 1999 | VAN | 4.6 | 8 | 57.0% |
9 | Walt Bellamy | 1963 | CHZ | 13.7 | 25 | 54.7% |
10 | Ray Felix | 1954 | BLB | 8.6 | 16 | 54.0% |
11 | Wilt Chamberlain | 1965 | TOT | 15.1 | 28 | 53.8% |
12 | Dana Barros | 1995 | PHI | 12.7 | 24 | 52.8% |
13 | Wilt Chamberlain | 1964 | SFW | 25.0 | 48 | 52.0% |
14 | Adrian Dantley | 1982 | UTA | 12.6 | 25 | 50.3% |
15 | Adrian Dantley | 1981 | UTA | 13.6 | 28 | 48.5% |
16 | Paul Arizin | 1952 | PHW | 16.0 | 33 | 48.5% |
17 | Wilt Chamberlain | 1962 | PHW | 23.1 | 49 | 47.2% |
18 | Neil Johnston | 1955 | PHW | 15.4 | 33 | 46.6% |
19 | Charles Barkley | 1988 | PHI | 16.7 | 36 | 46.4% |
20 | Walt Bellamy | 1964 | BAL | 14.4 | 31 | 46.3% |
Rank | Player | Year | Team | WS | Tm W | % Tm W |
21 | Elgin Baylor | 1960 | MNL | 11.5 | 25 | 46.0% |
22 | Kevin Garnett | 2006 | MIN | 14.9 | 33 | 45.1% |
23 | Oscar Robertson | 1967 | CIN | 17.4 | 39 | 44.7% |
24 | Elton Brand | 2000 | CHI | 7.5 | 17 | 44.4% |
25 | Adrian Dantley | 1980 | UTA | 10.5 | 24 | 43.8% |
26 | Jack Twyman | 1960 | CIN | 8.3 | 19 | 43.5% |
27 | Tiny Archibald | 1972 | CIN | 12.9 | 30 | 43.0% |
28 | Bailey Howell | 1964 | DET | 9.8 | 23 | 42.8% |
29 | Antawn Jamison | 2009 | WAS | 8.1 | 19 | 42.8% |
30 | Kareem Abdul-Jabbar | 1976 | LAL | 17.0 | 40 | 42.5% |
31 | Michael Jordan | 1988 | CHI | 21.2 | 50 | 42.5% |
32 | Michael Jordan | 1987 | CHI | 16.9 | 40 | 42.2% |
33 | Michael Jordan | 1989 | CHI | 19.8 | 47 | 42.1% |
34 | Richie Guerin | 1962 | NYK | 12.1 | 29 | 41.8% |
35 | Bob Pettit | 1956 | STL | 13.8 | 33 | 41.7% |
36 | Bob Pettit | 1955 | MLH | 10.7 | 26 | 41.2% |
37 | Bailey Howell | 1963 | DET | 14.0 | 34 | 41.2% |
38 | Elgin Baylor | 1961 | LAL | 14.8 | 36 | 41.1% |
39 | Wilt Chamberlain | 1961 | PHW | 18.8 | 46 | 40.9% |
40 | Artis Gilmore | 1979 | CHI | 12.7 | 31 | 40.9% |
Rank | Player | Year | Team | WS | Tm W | % Tm W |
41 | Elton Brand | 2001 | CHI | 6.1 | 15 | 40.7% |
42 | Paul Arizin | 1959 | PHW | 13.0 | 32 | 40.6% |
43 | David Wesley | 1997 | BOS | 6.1 | 15 | 40.4% |
44 | Kareem Abdul-Jabbar | 1972 | MIL | 25.4 | 63 | 40.3% |
45 | Cedric Maxwell | 1979 | BOS | 11.7 | 29 | 40.2% |
46 | MicheAl Williams | 1993 | MIN | 7.6 | 19 | 40.2% |
47 | Tracy McGrady | 2004 | ORL | 8.4 | 21 | 40.2% |
48 | Shareef Abdur-Rahim | 2000 | VAN | 8.8 | 22 | 40.2% |
49 | Oscar Robertson | 1961 | CIN | 13.2 | 33 | 40.1% |
50 | Rudy Tomjanovich | 1974 | HOU | 12.8 | 32 | 40.1% |
51 | Oscar Robertson | 1963 | CIN | 16.8 | 42 | 40.0% |
52 | Buck Williams | 1988 | NJN | 7.6 | 19 | 39.9% |
53 | Bob Pettit | 1962 | STL | 11.5 | 29 | 39.6% |
54 | Tiny Archibald | 1973 | KCO | 14.2 | 36 | 39.6% |
55 | Fred Hoiberg | 2001 | CHI | 5.9 | 15 | 39.4% |
56 | Michael Cage | 1988 | LAC | 6.7 | 17 | 39.3% |
57 | Antawn Jamison | 2001 | GSW | 6.7 | 17 | 39.3% |
58 | Spencer Haywood | 1973 | SEA | 10.2 | 26 | 39.2% |
59 | Wilt Chamberlain | 1966 | PHI | 21.4 | 55 | 38.9% |
60 | P.J. Brown | 2005 | NOH | 6.9 | 18 | 38.5% |
Rank | Player | Year | Team | WS | Tm W | % Tm W |
61 | Dan Issel | 1980 | DEN | 11.5 | 30 | 38.4% |
62 | Jack Twyman | 1959 | CIN | 7.3 | 19 | 38.4% |
63 | Tracy McGrady | 2003 | ORL | 16.1 | 42 | 38.4% |
64 | Jerry West | 1966 | LAL | 17.1 | 45 | 38.1% |
65 | Oscar Robertson | 1964 | CIN | 20.6 | 55 | 37.5% |
66 | Michael Finley | 1998 | DAL | 7.5 | 20 | 37.5% |
67 | Oscar Robertson | 1966 | CIN | 16.9 | 45 | 37.5% |
68 | Bob Kauffman | 1973 | BUF | 7.9 | 21 | 37.4% |
69 | George Yardley | 1958 | DET | 12.3 | 33 | 37.3% |
70 | Chris Paul | 2009 | NOH | 18.3 | 49 | 37.3% |
71 | Shareef Abdur-Rahim | 2001 | VAN | 8.5 | 23 | 37.0% |
72 | Neil Johnston | 1957 | PHW | 13.7 | 37 | 37.0% |
73 | Jim Spanarkel | 1981 | DAL | 5.5 | 15 | 36.9% |
74 | Michael Jordan | 1985 | CHI | 14.0 | 38 | 36.8% |
75 | Terry Dischinger | 1963 | CHZ | 9.2 | 25 | 36.6% |
76 | Kevin Garnett | 2005 | MIN | 16.1 | 44 | 36.6% |
77 | Terry Dischinger | 1964 | BAL | 11.3 | 31 | 36.6% |
78 | Shareef Abdur-Rahim | 1998 | VAN | 6.9 | 19 | 36.5% |
79 | Bob Boozer | 1968 | CHI | 10.6 | 29 | 36.5% |
80 | Kareem Abdul-Jabbar | 1973 | MIL | 21.9 | 60 | 36.4% |
Rank | Player | Year | Team | WS | Tm W | % Tm W |
81 | Bob McAdoo | 1974 | BUF | 15.3 | 42 | 36.4% |
82 | John Drew | 1976 | ATL | 10.6 | 29 | 36.4% |
83 | Bob McAdoo | 1975 | BUF | 17.8 | 49 | 36.4% |
84 | David Robinson | 1994 | SAS | 20.0 | 55 | 36.3% |
85 | Oscar Robertson | 1962 | CIN | 15.6 | 43 | 36.3% |
86 | Bob Kauffman | 1972 | BUF | 8.0 | 22 | 36.2% |
87 | Chris Bosh | 2006 | TOR | 9.8 | 27 | 36.2% |
88 | Eric Murdock | 1994 | MIL | 7.2 | 20 | 36.1% |
89 | Bob Kauffman | 1971 | BUF | 7.9 | 22 | 36.1% |
90 | George Mikan | 1952 | MNL | 14.4 | 40 | 35.9% |
91 | Nate Thurmond | 1965 | SFW | 6.1 | 17 | 35.8% |
92 | Artis Gilmore | 1982 | CHI | 12.1 | 34 | 35.6% |
93 | Dikembe Mutombo | 2000 | ATL | 9.9 | 28 | 35.5% |
94 | Juwan Howard | 2003 | DEN | 6.0 | 17 | 35.5% |
95 | Stephon Marbury | 2005 | NYK | 11.7 | 33 | 35.5% |
96 | Ed Macauley | 1952 | BOS | 13.8 | 39 | 35.4% |
97 | Josh Childress | 2005 | ATL | 4.6 | 13 | 35.4% |
98 | David Lee | 2010 | NYK | 10.3 | 29 | 35.4% |
99 | Andre Miller | 2002 | CLE | 10.3 | 29 | 35.4% |
100 | Oscar Robertson | 1965 | CIN | 17.0 | 48 | 35.3% |
That's right, Neil Johnston had more Win Shares in 1953 than his team had wins. (Philadelphia underperformed their pythagorean record by 4 wins that year, but even if we looked at pW, Johnston would have had 15.3 of the team's 16.)
By the way, Panic really nailed this -- Johnston's season involved "the Warriors when Arizin was in Korea", Bellamy's rookie year is #2 on the list, Wilt's 1963 is #3, and Kevin Love's 2011 checks in at #4. It's never fun to be on a terrible team, but Love is certainly in some impressive company when it comes to historic one-man shows.
March 15th, 2011 at 9:37 am
Good to see Soul-Glo Michael Cage on the list. Who's the career "leader?" Shareef Abdur-Rahim?
March 15th, 2011 at 11:38 am
Gotta love any list that includes The Mayor.
March 15th, 2011 at 11:58 am
Adrian Dantley! Can't make a list here without that cat showing up.
Love's having a pretty amazing season. I can't imagine his stock will ever be higher than it is right now. If the Wolves are serious about rebuilding, and if Love's porous defense prevents him from being the centerpiece of a good team, the TWolves should quietly shop him and see what they'd be able to get. All their other assets have deteriorated in value this year and you can't really say the Darko or Beasley gambit paid off. It'll be an interesting summer for the Wolves.
March 15th, 2011 at 12:47 pm
Interesting - no Kobe postShaq and preGasol or LBJ in Cle or Wade in Mia.
March 15th, 2011 at 1:27 pm
For .500 teams only MJ, Wilt, and Kareem supplied at least 40% of the win shares.
Only 5 players on the entire 100 season list had teams that won 50 games or more - Captain, Stilt, Admiral, Big O, and Air. Man, nicknames used to be keen!
March 15th, 2011 at 1:28 pm
#5 - put Oscar in the first category as well. Didn't mean to omit him.
March 15th, 2011 at 2:04 pm
Wilt was traded in the middle of the 1965 season; only 7.5 of his WS came with the Warriors that year (in 38 games)
March 15th, 2011 at 2:16 pm
Apparently the Warriors only won 17 games for that entire season, so never mind....
March 15th, 2011 at 2:31 pm
#1 - Career leaders:
#7 - For split-season players, I weighted the wins of the teams he was on by the # of games he played with each.
March 15th, 2011 at 3:11 pm
#9 - Can we see those numbers next to career winning %ages? It would be interesting to see who had the highest win share percentage on the winningest teams.
March 16th, 2011 at 1:55 am
This stat mainly shows the margin between the best player on the team to the rest of the team. Notice none of Jordans championship years were on this list, and Kareem was pre-magic johnson. Also, Im sure everybody saw Brook Lopez atop the list mainly because the 2nd best person on the team Harris was hurt throughout the year....and the rest of the team sucked didnt they go like 0-16 to start the season?
March 16th, 2011 at 10:34 am
Neil Johnston -- holy shit this guy's stats are redunkulous. Possibly the best player I'd never heard of until today. Familiar with Arizin, but according to win shares, this guy was better.
I guess part of this is just about how much more dominating any good big man was in those days (though these days, he'd be a slight-ish SF at 6-8 210 if he could even play). Everybody's heard of Mikan, but in terms of raw efficiency, this guy was even better. Who knew?
March 16th, 2011 at 11:55 am
Johnston's effectiveness ended when Bill Russell entered the league; his style of play was already obsolete by the time the 60's rolled around.
March 16th, 2011 at 6:06 pm
@MES Johnston had a standing hook shot and midrange set shot that were unstoppable in the unathletic 50s, but as the league's talent pool expanded to include more black and generally athletic players (think Maurice Stokes, and Bill Russell as AYC pointed out) the hook shots got pinned to the backboard the set shots shoved in his face. Apparently Johnston had a difficult time coaching Wilt Chamberlain because Chamberlain considered him a dinosaur. Arizin, by contrast aged better because he used the jump shot; Schayes survived into the 60s because his set shots were more accurate from farther away, and he had a drive-and-kick game.
But relative to the rest of the league, man was Johnston good, and it's a shame that he's often overlooked when discussing the game's great players...he had a solid 3 or 4 year run as the top player in basketball.
March 18th, 2011 at 8:46 am
ok, better than Mikan was exaggerated, he was just close, but I was always under the impression that Mikan had dominated almost chamberlain style until the late 50s. So that's still very impressive in his time. I can see why Mikan is better remembered though, as his game was starting to incorporate some of the tactics that would come to dominate post play.
It's sometimes hard for this 1968 baby whose earliest basketball memories are of the Knicks-Celtics and Knicks-Lakers series in the early 70s, and who was shown how to shoot a jump shot by his dad at the age of 7 on our driveway court, to remember that anybody ever used a set shot for anything but free throws.