Playoff Probabilities Report

Results are based on 7500 simulations of the remainder of season.

Teams are sorted by their average conference rank in the simulations, so a team with a worse average W-L record might possibly
be ranked ahead of a team with a better average W-L record.

See more details about the results. We also use these simulations to project the draft order and lottery winners.

Projected Standings

Projected Standings Table
Rk Eastern Conference W L W/L% SOS SRS Current Remain Best Worst Playoffs Division Top Seed Win Conf Win Finals Win Lottery
1Cleveland Cavaliers53.628.4.654-0.383.5147-247-458-2448-34100.0%100.0%64.6%29.2%5.4%
2Boston Celtics52.729.3.643-0.242.4247-266-356-2648-34100.0%100.0%34.2%20.1%3.1%
3Toronto Raptors49.432.6.603-0.353.6543-296-453-2944-38100.0%0.7%27.1%5.5%
4Washington Wizards48.633.4.593-0.661.5944-285-553-2944-38100.0%100.0%0.5%12.4%1.4%
5Atlanta Hawks42.139.9.514-0.14-1.3437-355-547-3537-4596.1%1.9%0.1%
6Milwaukee Bucks42.040.0.512-0.270.2037-355-547-3537-4594.7%3.9%0.4%
7Indiana Pacers40.841.2.497-0.33-1.3936-365-546-3636-4684.0%1.5%0.1%0.1%
8Miami Heat39.842.2.486-0.320.4535-375-545-3735-4762.7%2.7%0.2%0.3%
9Chicago Bulls38.943.1.4750.04-1.1034-395-443-3934-4836.7%0.8%0.1%0.3%
10Detroit Pistons38.243.8.466-0.13-1.2534-394-543-3934-4819.9%0.3%0.5%
11Charlotte Hornets37.045.0.451-0.350.3732-405-542-4032-506.0%0.3%0.8%
12New York Knicks31.150.9.380-0.33-3.9327-454-636-4627-557.4%
13Philadelphia 76ers31.051.0.3790.04-5.1627-454-636-4627-556.9%
14Orlando Magic30.251.8.3690.03-5.8827-463-635-4727-559.0%
15Brooklyn Nets18.563.5.2260.39-7.2215-574-624-5815-6724.9%

Table
Rk Western Conference W L W/L% SOS SRS Current Remain Best Worst Playoffs Division Top Seed Win Conf Win Finals Win Lottery
1Golden State Warriors65.616.4.800-0.5111.1058-148-268-1460-22100.0%100.0%92.4%62.1%56.1%
2San Antonio Spurs62.519.5.762-0.307.5655-167-466-1657-25100.0%99.8%7.6%19.7%15.3%
3Houston Rockets56.325.7.687-0.166.7350-226-460-2250-32100.0%0.2%12.3%9.5%
4Utah Jazz49.432.6.602-0.253.5944-285-554-2844-38100.0%90.2%2.6%1.3%
5Los Angeles Clippers48.833.2.5960.203.5343-306-352-3044-38100.0%2.2%1.1%
6Oklahoma City Thunder46.535.5.5670.361.3841-306-552-3041-41100.0%9.8%0.5%0.1%
7Memphis Grizzlies45.636.4.5570.541.2640-326-450-3240-42100.0%0.4%0.2%
8Denver Nuggets39.842.2.4850.180.8135-375-545-3735-4770.5%0.2%0.1%0.1%
9Portland Trail Blazers38.543.5.4690.28-1.1733-385-644-3833-4927.7%0.5%
10Dallas Mavericks35.446.6.4310.29-2.0231-404-741-4131-511.4%1.7%
11New Orleans Pelicans34.347.7.4190.44-1.8230-424-639-4330-520.5%2.1%
12Minnesota Timberwolves33.248.8.4050.52-0.2528-435-639-4328-543.4%
13Sacramento Kings31.150.9.3790.62-3.1727-454-636-4627-556.4%
14Phoenix Suns24.857.2.3030.34-5.3922-513-630-5222-6017.4%
15Los Angeles Lakers24.157.9.2940.41-6.8821-513-731-5121-6118.0%

 

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