Playoff Probabilities Report

Results are based on 7500 simulations of the remainder of season.

Teams are sorted by their average conference rank in the simulations, so a team with a worse average W-L record might possibly
be ranked ahead of a team with a better average W-L record.

See more details about the results. We also use these simulations to project the draft order and lottery winners.

Projected Standings

Projected Standings Table
Rk Eastern Conference W L W/L% SOS SRS Current Remain Best Worst Playoffs Division Top Seed Win Conf Win Finals Win Lottery
1Boston Celtics53.128.9.647-0.222.4648-265-356-2649-33100.0%95.1%52.5%20.2%3.1%
2Cleveland Cavaliers52.929.1.645-0.343.3347-256-457-2548-34100.0%100.0%45.7%27.3%4.9%
3Toronto Raptors49.932.1.608-0.383.6744-296-353-2944-38100.0%4.9%1.2%27.3%5.3%
4Washington Wizards49.332.7.602-0.611.7745-284-554-2845-37100.0%100.0%0.5%14.5%1.8%
5Atlanta Hawks41.340.7.504-0.23-1.6137-364-546-3637-4589.1%1.4%0.1%
6Milwaukee Bucks41.340.7.503-0.28-0.0237-364-546-3637-4589.6%3.1%0.4%0.1%
7Indiana Pacers41.140.9.502-0.39-1.2537-364-546-3637-4589.0%1.6%0.1%0.1%
8Chicago Bulls39.642.4.4830.03-0.8935-395-343-3935-4755.2%1.1%0.1%0.3%
9Miami Heat39.442.6.481-0.290.4135-384-544-3835-4749.5%2.5%0.2%0.5%
10Detroit Pistons38.243.8.466-0.13-1.2634-394-543-3934-4819.0%0.4%0.7%
11Charlotte Hornets37.344.7.455-0.410.4933-404-542-4033-498.7%0.4%0.7%
12New York Knicks31.051.0.378-0.23-3.8927-464-536-4627-557.5%
13Philadelphia 76ers30.851.2.3750.02-5.2827-464-535-4727-557.8%
14Orlando Magic30.251.8.3680.02-5.8827-463-635-4727-558.7%
15Brooklyn Nets19.362.7.2360.36-6.9516-573-625-5716-6625.2%

Table
Rk Western Conference W L W/L% SOS SRS Current Remain Best Worst Playoffs Division Top Seed Win Conf Win Finals Win Lottery
1Golden State Warriors65.816.2.802-0.4911.1359-147-268-1461-21100.0%100.0%93.2%64.9%58.5%
2San Antonio Spurs62.719.3.764-0.357.5256-167-366-1657-25100.0%99.9%6.8%18.7%14.6%
3Houston Rockets56.625.4.691-0.166.8051-226-360-2252-30100.0%0.1%11.2%8.5%
4Utah Jazz48.933.1.596-0.223.3944-295-453-2944-38100.0%88.6%2.1%1.1%
5Los Angeles Clippers48.533.5.5910.183.5844-314-351-3144-38100.0%2.2%1.1%
6Oklahoma City Thunder46.335.7.5650.461.2941-315-551-3142-40100.0%11.4%0.3%0.1%
7Memphis Grizzlies45.536.5.5540.681.2340-335-449-3340-42100.0%0.4%0.2%
8Portland Trail Blazers39.442.6.4800.15-0.8735-384-544-3835-4757.0%0.1%0.2%
9Denver Nuggets39.043.0.4750.150.4235-384-544-3835-4742.0%0.1%0.3%
10New Orleans Pelicans35.146.9.4280.42-1.4731-424-540-4231-510.6%1.6%
11Dallas Mavericks34.947.1.4250.33-2.0631-414-640-4231-510.4%1.9%
12Minnesota Timberwolves32.749.3.3990.48-0.4428-445-538-4428-544.0%
13Sacramento Kings31.950.1.3890.64-3.0828-454-537-4528-544.8%
14Phoenix Suns24.557.5.2990.34-5.5022-523-529-5322-6016.6%
15Los Angeles Lakers23.658.4.2880.39-7.0221-523-628-5421-6118.9%

 

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