Comments on: 2010 Western Conference Semifinals Preview: L.A. Lakers vs. Utah NBA & ABA Basketball Statistics & History Mon, 21 Nov 2011 20:56:04 +0000 hourly 1 By: Walter Tue, 04 May 2010 14:21:01 +0000 I typically side with the "let the numbers do the talking and not going with gut feeling" but I think this series is unique. These two teams have faced each other twice already in previous playoffs with essentially the same players. I think the Lakers are just a bad match-up for the Jazz. The combination of Boozer and Millsap play very well against almost every team in the league the but the Lakers are just too big and long.
I think this one goes only 4 or 5 at the most. The Lakers will win the first two at home. They will have 3 days off to rest before game 3 which is huge for an ailing Kobe, Artest, and Bynum so I think they get game 3 as well and go up 3-0 in the series. It will be up to them whether they decide to play hard and close it out in 4 or just go through the motions and close it out at home in game 5.

By: Neil Paine Sun, 02 May 2010 16:25:28 +0000 Agreed, DSM. That's pretty much the story I saw with SPM and SRS -- full-season SRS actually likes Utah to win to whole thing, but it doesn't know Okur and Kirilenko are out. SPM using last round's minutes thinks L.A. is significantly better. Then again, it thought Denver would beat the undermanned Jazz and L.A. would destroy OKC, so there's a good possibility the series will still be very close.

By: Neil Paine Sun, 02 May 2010 16:21:12 +0000 Re: "Paris" #2

Yup ... these are my readers.

By: DSMok1 Sun, 02 May 2010 12:51:20 +0000 My Adjusted Team Efficiencies, converted to SPM, then converted back based on expected lineups/rosters. If Utah had all of their players, this would be a toss-up.

4 to 0 11.2%
4 to 1 24.1%
4 to 2 17.0%
4 to 3 20.5%
3 to 4 8.6%
2 to 4 11.5%
1 to 4 4.7%
0 to 4 2.4%

7.49 4.55
72.8% 27.2%

By: Paris Hilton Sun, 02 May 2010 08:42:50 +0000 Neil, will you come to LA and have sex with me if the Lakers win the title this year?

I'd like to adjust your plus-minus...

Paris <3

By: Luke Sun, 02 May 2010 00:08:11 +0000 I love the Lakers, but they have been VERY shaky lately. This will be a very interesting series.