Playoff Probabilities Report

Results are based on 10,000 simulations of the remainder of season, including the play-in round.

See more details about the results. We also use these simulations to project the draft order and lottery winners.

Projected Standings

Projected Standings Table
														First Round Seed									Pre Play-In
Rk	Eastern Conference	W	L	W/L%	SOS	rSOS	SRS	Current	Remain	Best	Worst	Playoffs	Division	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8		1-6	7	8	9	10	Out		Win Conf	Win Finals
1	Milwaukee Bucks	57.8	24.2	.704	-0.12	0.79	4.18	53-21	5-3	61-21	53-29	100.0%	99.9%	71.8	27.5	0.7							100.0							16.4%	9.9%
2	Boston Celtics	56.5	25.5	.688	-0.26	1.36	6.12	52-23	4-3	59-23	52-30	100.0%	96.5%	27.7	68.7	3.2	0.4						100.0							31.6%	22.3%
3	Philadelphia 76ers	53.6	28.4	.654	-0.15	1.97	4.57	49-25	5-3	57-25	49-33	100.0%	3.5%	0.5	3.6	81.9	14.1						100.0							16.8%	10.1%
4	Cleveland Cavaliers	52.2	29.8	.637	-0.02	-1.68	5.63	48-28	4-2	54-28	48-34	100.0%	0.1%		0.1	14.4	85.5						100.0							24.4%	16.6%
5	New York Knicks	46.3	35.7	.565	0.19	-1.10	2.73	42-33	4-3	49-33	42-40	99.5%						84.6	12.3	1.8	0.7		97.0	3.0						5.3%	2.7%
6	Brooklyn Nets	44.3	37.7	.541	0.40	-2.00	1.00	40-35	4-3	47-35	40-42	90.6%						9.6	52.9	18.9	9.2		62.5	34.2	2.8	0.5				1.9%	0.9%
7	Miami Heat	43.3	38.7	.528	0.26	-0.28	-0.51	40-35	3-4	47-35	40-42	81.0%	98.2%					5.7	33.6	26.6	15.1		39.3	54.4	4.8	1.2	0.3			0.6%	0.2%
8	Chicago Bulls	40.5	41.5	.494	0.19	-0.65	1.33	36-38	4-4	44-38	36-46	47.8%							0.7	21.2	25.9		0.7	4.2	35.8	32.8	24.7	1.9		1.3%	0.6%

9	Atlanta Hawks	40.1	41.9	.488	-0.17	2.56	-0.01	37-38	3-4	44-38	37-45	35.0%	1.8%						0.3	12.7	22.0		0.3	1.9	23.2	33.3	39.1	2.3		0.4%	0.1%
10	Toronto Raptors	40.3	41.7	.492	0.05	1.32	1.13	37-38	3-4	44-38	37-45	44.9%							0.2	18.6	26.1		0.2	2.4	33.3	31.6	31.1	1.5		1.3%	0.6%
11	Indiana Pacers	35.9	46.1	.438	0.20	1.31	-2.58	33-42	3-4	40-42	33-49	0.5%								0.1	0.5				0.1	0.6	1.9	97.5
12	Washington Wizards	36.4	45.6	.444	0.15	0.32	-0.83	33-42	3-4	40-42	33-49	0.5%									0.5					0.2	2.7	97.2
13	Orlando Magic	34.8	47.2	.424	0.10	1.07	-2.30	32-43	3-4	39-43	32-50	0.1%									0.1						0.3	99.7
14	Charlotte Hornets	27.1	54.9	.331	0.35	0.40	-5.61	25-51	2-4	31-51	25-57																	100.0
15	Detroit Pistons	18.4	63.6	.224	0.62	-0.71	-7.34	16-58	2-6	23-59	16-66																	100.0

Table
														First Round Seed									Pre Play-In
Rk	Western Conference	W	L	W/L%	SOS	rSOS	SRS	Current	Remain	Best	Worst	Playoffs	Division	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8		1-6	7	8	9	10	Out		Win Conf	Win Finals
1	Denver Nuggets	54.8	27.2	.668	-0.39	0.40	3.76	50-24	5-3	58-24	50-32	100.0%	100.0%	96.4	3.4	0.3							100.0							28.3%	12.2%
2	Memphis Grizzlies	51.8	30.2	.631	-0.46	0.39	3.90	47-27	5-3	55-27	47-35	100.0%	100.0%	3.3	76.6	20.1							100.0							27.7%	11.4%
3	Sacramento Kings	49.6	32.4	.605	-0.27	-1.18	2.26	45-29	5-3	53-29	45-37	100.0%	99.9%	0.4	20.0	79.5	0.1						100.0							13.5%	4.6%
4	Phoenix Suns	43.5	38.5	.531	0.04	-0.38	1.74	39-35	5-3	47-35	39-43	96.9%	0.1%			0.1	65.8	17.7	7.8	3.5	2.1		91.4	4.2	2.3	1.2	0.5	0.3		11.2%	3.3%
5	Los Angeles Clippers	42.2	39.8	.514	-0.35	1.36	-0.10	39-36	3-4	46-36	39-43	74.5%					10.8	21.1	16.8	14.1	11.8		48.6	15.4	14.4	11.1	6.5	4.1		2.8%	0.5%
6	Minnesota Timberwolves	41.6	40.4	.507	-0.10	-0.94	-0.31	38-37	4-3	45-37	38-44	74.7%					7.4	19.9	19.5	15.2	12.7		46.8	17.8	14.7	10.3	6.5	4.0		2.4%	0.4%
7	Golden State Warriors	42.1	39.9	.514	-0.06	-0.69	0.40	39-37	3-3	45-37	39-43	79.2%					7.4	19.6	24.4	16.5	11.2		51.4	18.6	13.7	8.9	5.6	1.9		3.9%	1.0%
8	New Orleans Pelicans	40.9	41.1	.499	-0.41	1.31	1.12	37-37	4-4	45-37	37-45	55.1%					5.8	10.4	11.4	13.8	13.8		27.5	13.4	12.6	13.1	13.1	20.3		3.9%	1.1%

9	Oklahoma City Thunder	41.1	40.9	.501	-0.01	-1.45	1.13	37-38	4-3	44-38	37-45	53.2%					1.7	6.6	10.7	16.6	17.5		19.1	14.2	17.0	18.0	17.4	14.3		4.0%	1.1%
10	Los Angeles Lakers	40.5	41.5	.494	-0.04	-0.95	-0.32	37-38	3-4	44-38	37-45	35.8%					0.8	3.7	6.6	11.3	13.4		11.1	10.3	13.3	16.2	17.6	31.4		1.3%	0.2%
11	Dallas Mavericks	39.6	42.4	.483	-0.17	-0.74	0.09	36-39	4-3	43-39	36-46	20.7%					0.2	0.5	1.9	6.1	12.0		2.6	3.8	8.2	14.8	22.0	48.6		0.7%	0.1%
12	Utah Jazz	38.8	43.2	.473	-0.13	0.36	-0.67	35-39	4-4	43-39	35-47	9.9%					0.1	0.5	1.0	2.8	5.5		1.6	2.2	3.9	6.4	10.7	75.3		0.2%
13	Portland Trail Blazers	35.5	46.5	.433	-0.04	-0.09	-2.12	32-42	4-4	40-42	32-50	0.1%															0.1	99.8
14	San Antonio Spurs	20.5	61.5	.250	0.24	0.20	-10.25	19-56	2-5	26-56	19-63																	100.0
15	Houston Rockets	20.1	61.9	.245	0.34	-0.94	-7.97	18-57	2-5	24-58	18-64																	100.0