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Layups: How Do Shooting Distributions Change At the End of Games?

Posted by Neil Paine on August 6, 2009

Jon Nichols has been doing some nice work with play-by-play data over at recently, and today he takes a look at how shooting tendencies change in the closing stages of games. The striking part of the data is how much more teams launch 3-pointers in the closing stages of the game (eschewing the midrange/post game in the process) than in the previous 46 minutes, showing just how much of an equalizing strategy the 3-point shot is for teams that trail late.

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