BBR Rankings: Schedule-Adjusted Offensive and Defensive Ratings (March 4, 2011)
4th March 2011
2010-11 NBA power rankings through the games played on March 3, 2011:
Posted in BBR Rankings, SRS, Statgeekery | 42 Comments »
4th March 2011
2010-11 NBA power rankings through the games played on March 3, 2011:
Posted in BBR Rankings, SRS, Statgeekery | 42 Comments »
25th February 2011
2010-11 NBA power rankings through the games played on February 24, 2011:
Posted in BBR Rankings, SRS, Statgeekery | Comments Off on BBR Rankings: Schedule-Adjusted Offensive and Defensive Ratings (February 25, 2011)
18th February 2011
2010-11 NBA power rankings through the games played on February 17, 2011:
Posted in BBR Rankings, SRS, Statgeekery | 12 Comments »
11th February 2011
Alex Sonty, who writes ChicagoNow's Load O' Bull blog, has been paying close attention to Henry Abbott's TrueHoop posts about Derrick Rose -- specifically, this post about past MVP winners and their teams' rankings in wins. Henry found that team wins were highly correlated with MVP voting, to the point that 19 of the last 20 MVPs came from a team with a top-3 record. This of course is bad news for Rose, as the Bulls are 6th in winning % at the moment.
But Alex was wondering how past winners stack up in a schedule-adjusted margin-of-victory based metric like the Simple Rating System, where the Bulls are 5th. So here's the master list -- every MVP winner, with their team's rank in both WPct and SRS:
Posted in Analysis, Awards, BBR Mailbag, History, SRS | 14 Comments »
11th February 2011
2010-11 NBA power rankings through the games played on February 10, 2011:
Posted in BBR Rankings, SRS, Statgeekery | Comments Off on BBR Rankings: Schedule-Adjusted Offensive and Defensive Ratings (February 11, 2011)
4th February 2011
2010-11 NBA power rankings through the games played on February 3, 2011:
Posted in BBR Rankings, SRS, Statgeekery | 14 Comments »
28th January 2011
2010-11 NBA power rankings through the games played on January 27, 2011:
Posted in BBR Rankings, SRS, Statgeekery | Comments Off on BBR Rankings: Schedule-Adjusted Offensive and Defensive Ratings (January 28, 2011)
21st January 2011
2010-11 NBA power rankings through the games played on January 20, 2011:
Posted in BBR Rankings, SRS, Statgeekery | 7 Comments »
20th January 2011
I finally got around to calculating the standard errors for our team Simple Ratings today:
Team | Estimate | Std. Error |
---|---|---|
SAS | 7.97 | 2.62 |
MIA | 6.90 | 2.60 |
BOS | 6.67 | 2.63 |
LAL | 5.78 | 2.59 |
CHI | 4.81 | 2.61 |
ORL | 4.61 | 2.61 |
DEN | 3.48 | 2.63 |
DAL | 3.30 | 2.62 |
NOH | 2.40 | 2.60 |
OKC | 2.05 | 2.61 |
ATL | 1.75 | 2.60 |
UTA | 1.73 | 2.61 |
HOU | 0.86 | 2.60 |
POR | 0.52 | 2.60 |
MEM | 0.49 | 2.61 |
NYK | 0.09 | 2.62 |
MIL | -0.57 | 2.65 |
PHI | -0.79 | 2.63 |
IND | -0.87 | 2.65 |
LAC | -1.51 | 2.63 |
PHO | -1.91 | 2.64 |
GSW | -2.92 | 2.62 |
CHA | -3.74 | 2.64 |
DET | -3.94 | 2.61 |
TOR | -4.23 | 2.62 |
MIN | -5.33 | 2.60 |
WAS | -5.82 | 2.64 |
SAC | -6.12 | 2.64 |
NJN | -6.22 | 2.61 |
CLE | -10.88 | 2.62 |
Then I set up a little Monte Carlo sim to estimate what is the probability of each team being the NBA's best (aka the team with the greatest "true" SRS skill). After 10,000 simulations using the estimates and standard errors above, here were the results:
Posted in Analysis, Layups, SRS, Statgeekery | 8 Comments »
14th January 2011
2010-11 NBA power rankings through the games played on January 13, 2011:
Posted in BBR Rankings, SRS, Statgeekery | 1 Comment »