BBR Rankings: Schedule-Adjusted Offensive and Defensive Ratings (January 14, 2011)
Posted by Neil Paine on January 14, 2011
2010-11 NBA power rankings through the games played on January 13, 2011:
| Rank | Prev | Team | Con | Div | W | L | WPct | Offense | Rk | Prv | Defense | Rk | Prv | Overall |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Miami Heat | E | SE | 30 | 11 | 0.732 | 4.12 | 4 | 3 | -4.18 | 5 | 3 | 8.30 |
| 2 | 3 | San Antonio Spurs | W | SW | 33 | 6 | 0.846 | 4.67 | 1 | 1 | -3.05 | 8 | 10 | 7.72 |
| 3 | 2 | Boston Celtics | E | A | 29 | 9 | 0.763 | 1.99 | 10 | 10 | -5.58 | 2 | 2 | 7.57 |
| 4 | 4 | Los Angeles Lakers | W | P | 29 | 11 | 0.725 | 4.62 | 2 | 4 | -2.16 | 11 | 11 | 6.77 |
| 5 | 7 | Orlando Magic | E | SE | 25 | 14 | 0.641 | 1.42 | 11 | 14 | -3.76 | 6 | 5 | 5.17 |
| 6 | 6 | Chicago Bulls | E | C | 25 | 13 | 0.658 | -1.82 | 20 | 20 | -6.52 | 1 | 1 | 4.70 |
| 7 | 5 | Dallas Mavericks | W | SW | 26 | 11 | 0.703 | 1.27 | 13 | 12 | -2.75 | 9 | 7 | 4.02 |
| 8 | 12 | Denver Nuggets | W | NW | 22 | 16 | 0.579 | 4.52 | 3 | 6 | 1.66 | 19 | 22 | 2.86 |
| 9 | 8 | Atlanta Hawks | E | SE | 26 | 14 | 0.650 | 1.38 | 12 | 11 | -1.12 | 13 | 13 | 2.50 |
| 10 | 10 | New Orleans Hornets | W | SW | 23 | 16 | 0.590 | -2.02 | 23 | 23 | -4.46 | 4 | 6 | 2.44 |
| 11 | 9 | Utah Jazz | W | NW | 26 | 13 | 0.667 | 3.46 | 8 | 8 | 1.23 | 16 | 17 | 2.23 |
| 12 | 11 | Oklahoma City Thunder | W | NW | 27 | 13 | 0.675 | 3.54 | 7 | 9 | 1.43 | 18 | 16 | 2.11 |
| 13 | 15 | New York Knickerbockers | E | A | 22 | 16 | 0.579 | 3.94 | 5 | 5 | 2.44 | 22 | 24 | 1.50 |
| 14 | 13 | Portland Trail Blazers | W | NW | 20 | 19 | 0.513 | -0.08 | 16 | 16 | -1.14 | 12 | 12 | 1.06 |
| 15 | 16 | Houston Rockets | W | SW | 17 | 22 | 0.436 | 3.24 | 9 | 7 | 2.75 | 23 | 23 | 0.49 |
| Rank | Prev | Team | Con | Div | W | L | WPct | Offense | Rk | Prv | Defense | Rk | Prv | Overall |
| 16 | 14 | Memphis Grizzlies | W | SW | 18 | 21 | 0.462 | -1.89 | 21 | 21 | -2.38 | 10 | 9 | 0.49 |
| 17 | 18 | Milwaukee Bucks | E | C | 14 | 22 | 0.389 | -5.08 | 29 | 29 | -4.81 | 3 | 4 | -0.27 |
| 18 | 17 | Philadelphia 76ers | E | A | 15 | 23 | 0.395 | -0.67 | 17 | 17 | -0.11 | 14 | 14 | -0.55 |
| 19 | 20 | Indiana Pacers | E | C | 16 | 20 | 0.444 | -3.90 | 24 | 27 | -3.32 | 7 | 8 | -0.58 |
| 20 | 19 | Phoenix Suns | W | P | 16 | 21 | 0.432 | 3.67 | 6 | 2 | 6.31 | 30 | 30 | -2.64 |
| 21 | 21 | Golden State Warriors | W | P | 15 | 23 | 0.395 | 0.32 | 15 | 15 | 3.43 | 26 | 25 | -3.11 |
| 22 | 22 | Los Angeles Clippers | W | P | 13 | 24 | 0.351 | -1.98 | 22 | 22 | 1.32 | 17 | 19 | -3.31 |
| 23 | 23 | Toronto Raptors | E | A | 13 | 25 | 0.342 | 0.77 | 14 | 13 | 5.08 | 29 | 28 | -4.31 |
| 24 | 27 | Charlotte Bobcats | E | SE | 15 | 21 | 0.417 | -4.93 | 26 | 28 | -0.06 | 15 | 15 | -4.87 |
| 25 | 25 | Minnesota Timberwolves | W | NW | 10 | 30 | 0.250 | -1.57 | 19 | 19 | 3.43 | 25 | 26 | -5.00 |
| 26 | 24 | Detroit Pistons | E | C | 12 | 26 | 0.316 | -1.29 | 18 | 18 | 4.03 | 27 | 27 | -5.32 |
| 27 | 28 | Washington Wizards | E | SE | 10 | 27 | 0.270 | -4.12 | 25 | 24 | 2.36 | 21 | 21 | -6.47 |
| 28 | 26 | New Jersey Nets | E | A | 10 | 28 | 0.263 | -5.01 | 27 | 25 | 1.72 | 20 | 18 | -6.73 |
| 29 | 29 | Sacramento Kings | W | P | 8 | 28 | 0.222 | -5.05 | 28 | 30 | 2.81 | 24 | 20 | -7.86 |
| 30 | 30 | Cleveland Cavaliers | E | C | 8 | 30 | 0.211 | -5.99 | 30 | 26 | 4.60 | 28 | 29 | -10.59 |
| HCA | 3.72 | |||||||||||||
| LgRtg | 107.40 |
To read more about the methodology and what these numbers mean, click here.
January 14th, 2011 at 5:15 pm
Hey, Neil! I updated my ratings as well, and explored to some extent the effects of:
1. Rest Days (an average delta of 0.3 per team)
2. Minimizing Residuals^1.5 vs. Residuals^2 (Residuals^1 = median, Residuals^2 = arithmetic mean, Residuals^1.5 = someplace in between.)
http://godismyjudgeok.com/DStats/2011/nba-rankings/nba-adjusted-efficiency-rankings-1-13-2011/