2025-26 NBA MVP Award Tracker

The NBA MVP Award Tracker ranks candidates based on a model built using previous voting results. Players must have played in at least 70% of the league-wide average for team games to qualify. Players who are not currently on pace to play in 65 games are in italics. Players who cannot reach 65 games played are excluded unless granted an exemption.

Top Candidates

Top Candidates Table
Rk Player Team W L W/L% G GS MP FG FGA FG% 3P 3PA 3P% 2P 2PA 2P% eFG% FT FTA FT% ORB DRB TRB AST STL BLK TOV PF PTS   Prob%
1Nikola Jokić (0.634)DEN5428.659656534.89.917.4.5691.74.5.3808.212.9.636.6186.17.4.8313.09.912.910.71.40.83.72.727.767.6%
2Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (0.939)OKC6418.780686833.210.819.4.5531.74.4.3869.115.0.602.5977.99.0.8790.63.74.36.61.40.82.22.031.121.6%
3Luka Dončić (0.250)LAL5329.646646435.810.822.8.4764.010.8.3666.911.9.575.5637.910.1.7800.67.17.78.31.60.54.02.433.53.8%
4Victor Wembanyama (0.569)SAS6220.756645529.28.616.9.5121.95.5.3496.711.4.590.5695.87.0.8272.09.511.53.11.03.12.42.425.02.7%
5Cade Cunningham (0.117)DET6022.732646433.98.618.6.4612.05.7.3426.612.9.514.5134.86.0.8120.94.75.59.91.40.83.73.123.91.6%
6Jalen Duren (0.000)DET6022.732707028.27.511.5.6500.00.07.511.5.650.6504.66.1.7473.86.710.52.00.80.81.92.819.50.9%
7Jamal Murray (0.000)DEN5428.659757535.48.818.1.4833.37.5.4355.510.6.517.5734.65.2.8870.44.04.47.10.90.42.31.725.40.5%
8Kevin Durant (0.000)HOU5230.634787836.49.217.6.5202.45.8.4136.811.9.572.5885.26.0.8740.54.95.54.80.80.93.21.826.00.4%
9Chet Holmgren (0.000)OKC6418.780696928.96.311.3.5571.33.5.3625.07.8.646.6143.34.1.7921.97.08.91.70.61.91.62.317.10.4%
10Jaylen Brown (0.089)BOS5626.683717134.410.421.7.4772.05.7.3478.416.0.523.5226.07.5.7951.15.86.95.11.00.43.62.728.70.4%