Playoff Probabilities Report

Results are based on 7500 simulations of the remainder of season.

Teams are sorted by their average conference rank in the simulations, so a team with a worse average W-L record might possibly
be ranked ahead of a team with a better average W-L record.

See more details about the results. We also use these simulations to project the draft order and lottery winners.

Projected Standings

Projected Standings Table
Rk Eastern Conference W L W/L% SOS SRS Current Remain Best Worst Playoffs Division Top Seed Win Conf Win Finals Win Lottery
1Toronto Raptors56.525.5.6891.269.3514-743-1869-1343-39100.0%98.1%64.9%49.7%22.1%
2Cleveland Cavaliers54.527.5.6650.316.9115-539-2368-1442-40100.0%91.6%33.2%28.0%9.2%
3Charlotte Hornets45.236.8.551-0.721.9213-932-2858-2432-5094.9%86.8%0.4%3.9%0.6%
4Detroit Pistons46.335.7.5650.853.7312-1234-2459-2334-4896.8%5.6%0.7%8.6%1.9%0.1%
5Boston Celtics45.436.6.553-0.581.5113-932-2860-2230-5294.6%1.9%0.5%3.4%0.6%
6Chicago Bulls43.838.2.534-1.601.4011-1033-2859-2331-5188.2%1.6%0.2%3.1%0.4%0.1%
7Milwaukee Bucks43.039.0.524-0.921.1311-932-3058-2430-5284.1%1.3%0.1%2.4%0.3%0.2%
8New York Knicks40.042.0.4870.88-2.0312-1028-3255-2727-5556.0%0.1%0.4%0.1%0.5%
9Atlanta Hawks38.643.4.471-0.24-1.9411-1228-3151-3125-5741.6%10.1%0.2%1.0%
10Indiana Pacers36.845.2.449-0.45-3.3111-1126-3449-3323-5923.1%0.1%1.6%
11Miami Heat34.947.1.4250.34-2.127-1528-3247-3520-6210.6%1.8%0.1%3.1%
12Washington Wizards33.848.2.412-0.68-3.437-1327-3548-3421-616.7%1.0%0.1%3.6%
13Orlando Magic32.549.5.396-1.06-5.5410-1322-3746-3618-643.2%0.3%4.8%
14Brooklyn Nets26.755.3.3260.14-7.866-1521-4041-4114-6814.8%
15Philadelphia 76ers21.159.9.261-0.06-9.654-1817-4233-4810-7123.1%

Table
Rk Western Conference W L W/L% SOS SRS Current Remain Best Worst Playoffs Division Top Seed Win Conf Win Finals Win Lottery
1Golden State Warriors63.318.7.772-1.1812.7319-344-1675-751-31100.0%93.3%88.2%59.6%44.8%
2Los Angeles Clippers55.926.1.6820.148.5816-740-1968-1443-39100.0%6.7%5.7%20.2%11.5%
3San Antonio Spurs55.326.7.6750.425.4218-437-2367-1541-41100.0%67.8%4.9%8.1%3.4%
4Houston Rockets52.929.1.6460.475.7915-738-2266-1640-42100.0%32.1%1.2%7.7%3.7%
5Utah Jazz48.034.0.586-0.973.9014-934-2561-2134-4899.1%63.1%2.6%0.9%
6Oklahoma City Thunder46.135.9.562-0.292.3014-832-2859-2333-4997.2%34.5%1.5%0.4%
7Memphis Grizzlies41.340.7.503-1.10-1.5715-826-3357-2528-5475.4%0.1%0.1%0.3%
8Portland Trail Blazers39.142.9.4770.36-1.9912-1127-3253-2925-5753.6%2.0%0.1%0.8%
9Sacramento Kings36.744.3.4540.08-0.838-1329-3149-3219-6228.5%0.1%1.8%
10Denver Nuggets35.946.1.4380.80-2.028-1428-3250-3222-6020.4%0.3%2.2%
11Los Angeles Lakers34.647.4.4211.72-4.1110-1425-3350-3221-6112.0%3.4%
12Minnesota Timberwolves33.348.7.407-0.50-1.976-1527-3448-3419-636.7%0.1%4.7%
13New Orleans Pelicans33.248.8.4050.29-2.857-1526-3448-3420-626.8%4.9%
14Dallas Mavericks27.154.9.3311.91-6.334-1723-3843-3915-670.2%14.1%
15Phoenix Suns27.154.9.3300.18-7.056-1621-3944-3815-670.1%14.6%

 

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