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Playoff Probabilities Report

Results are based on 1000 simulations of remainder of season. (more…)
Teams are sorted by their average conference rank in the simulations, so occasionally a team with a worse average W-L record will be ranked ahead of a team with a better average W-L record.

Projected Standings

Rk Eastern Conference W L W/L% SOS SRS Current Remain Best Worst Playoffs Division Top Seed Win Conf Win Finals Win Lottery
1 Toronto Raptors 52.3 29.7 .637 -2.30 6.79 9-2 43-28 65-17 40-42 100.0% 97.5% 75.0% 42.7% 18.1%
2 Chicago Bulls 46.4 35.6 .566 -3.04 2.33 8-3 38-33 58-24 35-47 97.3% 58.7% 11.1% 16.5% 4.2%
3 Cleveland Cavaliers 44.3 37.7 .540 0.46 2.36 5-5 39-33 56-26 32-50 93.3% 35.6% 4.7% 12.3% 2.8%
4 Washington Wizards 44.1 37.9 .538 -1.46 0.24 7-3 37-35 56-26 28-54 90.5% 51.4% 5.5% 9.7% 1.5% 0.2%
5 Miami Heat 42.5 39.5 .518 -1.28 0.36 6-5 37-34 55-27 29-53 86.4% 32.3% 2.3% 6.6% 1.9% 0.3%
6 Boston Celtics 39.8 42.2 .486 0.10 -0.60 4-6 36-36 52-30 27-55 66.7% 1.4% 0.5% 3.4% 0.8% 0.6%
7 Milwaukee Bucks 39.0 43.0 .476 -3.09 -3.09 7-5 32-38 52-30 27-55 59.2% 4.1% 0.3% 1.9% 0.3% 1.9%
8 Atlanta Hawks 38.9 43.1 .474 -1.36 -2.66 5-5 34-38 52-30 25-57 55.1% 11.7% 0.3% 1.8% 0.2% 1.8%
9 Brooklyn Nets 38.6 43.4 .471 -0.90 -1.17 4-7 35-36 56-26 24-58 52.5% 1.1% 0.2% 2.1% 0.2% 2.1%
10 Indiana Pacers 36.7 45.3 .447 -1.84 -3.26 5-7 32-38 50-32 23-59 35.4% 1.6% 0.9% 0.1% 2.7%
11 Charlotte Hornets 36.5 45.5 .445 2.11 -3.31 4-8 32-38 49-33 22-60 33.9% 3.0% 1.2% 0.2% 2.7%
12 Orlando Magic 35.3 46.7 .431 -0.90 -4.21 5-8 30-39 52-30 21-61 24.5% 1.6% 0.1% 0.8% 0.1% 3.5%
13 Detroit Pistons 31.0 51.0 .378 -2.06 -6.56 3-9 28-42 44-38 19-63 3.7% 0.1% 10.6%
14 New York Knicks 28.9 53.1 .353 -2.38 -7.46 3-10 26-43 42-40 18-64 1.5% 12.0%
15 Philadelphia 76ers 20.5 61.5 .251 1.74 -14.63 0-11 21-50 34-48 10-72 23.6%

Rk Western Conference W L W/L% SOS SRS Current Remain Best Worst Playoffs Division Top Seed Win Conf Win Finals Win Lottery
1 Golden State Warriors 55.6 26.4 .678 1.33 11.63 8-2 48-24 67-15 43-39 99.9% 92.7% 40.3% 27.9% 19.7%
2 Portland Trail Blazers 54.0 28.0 .658 2.06 10.51 8-3 46-25 65-17 42-40 100.0% 99.9% 23.0% 22.9% 16.1%
3 Dallas Mavericks 54.3 27.7 .662 -0.13 10.29 9-3 45-25 66-16 42-40 99.5% 62.4% 25.5% 23.8% 18.6%
4 Memphis Grizzlies 49.9 32.1 .608 -0.79 5.30 10-2 40-30 61-21 37-45 94.0% 15.9% 4.0% 6.2% 3.5% 0.1%
5 New Orleans Pelicans 49.7 32.3 .606 2.01 7.51 6-4 44-28 63-19 39-43 92.5% 14.3% 4.5% 7.7% 5.3% 0.3%
6 San Antonio Spurs 47.4 34.6 .578 1.90 5.00 7-4 40-31 63-19 35-47 83.1% 5.1% 1.1% 4.2% 2.3% 0.2%
7 Sacramento Kings 46.4 35.6 .566 3.77 4.32 6-5 40-31 58-24 34-48 75.9% 4.4% 0.9% 2.9% 1.7% 0.4%
8 Houston Rockets 45.8 36.2 .558 -2.42 2.75 9-3 37-33 59-23 33-49 67.7% 2.3% 0.5% 2.2% 1.4%
9 Los Angeles Clippers 44.5 37.5 .543 1.85 3.25 6-4 39-33 57-25 32-50 58.8% 2.5% 0.2% 2.0% 0.9% 0.4%
10 Phoenix Suns 41.2 40.8 .502 0.59 0.26 7-5 34-36 54-28 29-53 23.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.9%
11 Utah Jazz 36.4 45.6 .444 0.94 -2.47 5-7 31-39 55-27 24-58 3.3% 0.1% 3.8%
12 Denver Nuggets 34.4 47.6 .420 0.70 -3.76 4-7 30-41 49-33 22-60 1.1% 6.2%
13 Los Angeles Lakers 32.6 49.4 .398 3.70 -4.14 3-9 30-40 47-35 21-61 0.3% 8.9%
14 Minnesota Timberwolves 31.8 50.2 .387 0.91 -5.99 3-7 29-43 46-36 20-62 0.4% 9.0%
15 Oklahoma City Thunder 31.3 50.7 .381 0.88 -4.73 3-10 28-41 43-39 19-63 7.8%