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Playoff Probabilities Report

Results are based on 7500 simulations of the remainder of season.

Teams are sorted by their average conference rank in the simulations, so occasionally a team with a worse average W-L record will be ranked ahead of a team with a better average W-L record. See more details about the results.

We also use these simulations to project the draft order and lottery winners.

Projected Standings

Rk Eastern Conference W L W/L% SOS SRS Current Remain Best Worst Playoffs Division Top Seed Win Conf Win Finals Win Lottery
1 Atlanta Hawks 60.0 22.0 .732 -0.68 4.75 60-22 0-0 60-22 60-22 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 36.2% 11.8%
2 Cleveland Cavaliers 53.0 29.0 .646 -0.40 4.08 53-29 0-0 53-29 53-29 100.0% 100.0% 31.4% 8.3%
3 Chicago Bulls 50.0 32.0 .610 -0.46 2.54 50-32 0-0 50-32 50-32 100.0% 13.7% 2.6%
4 Toronto Raptors 49.0 33.0 .598 -0.62 2.45 49-33 0-0 49-33 49-33 100.0% 100.0% 12.1% 2.3%
5 Washington Wizards 46.0 36.0 .561 -0.55 0.17 46-36 0-0 46-36 46-36 100.0%
6 Milwaukee Bucks 41.0 41.0 .500 -0.52 -0.09 41-41 0-0 41-41 41-41 100.0% 2.2% 0.3%
7 Boston Celtics 40.0 42.0 .488 -0.56 -0.40 40-42 0-0 40-42 40-42 100.0% 2.0% 0.3%
8 Brooklyn Nets 38.0 44.0 .463 -0.25 -3.13 38-44 0-0 38-44 38-44 100.0% 0.3%
9 Indiana Pacers 38.0 44.0 .463 -0.51 -0.23 38-44 0-0 38-44 38-44 100.0% 2.1% 0.3%
10 Miami Heat 37.0 45.0 .451 -0.32 -2.92 37-45 0-0 37-45 37-45 1.2%
11 Charlotte Hornets 33.0 49.0 .402 -0.27 -3.44 33-49 0-0 33-49 33-49 1.5%
12 Detroit Pistons 32.0 50.0 .390 -0.39 -1.39 32-50 0-0 32-50 32-50 2.8%
13 Orlando Magic 25.0 57.0 .305 -0.15 -5.87 25-57 0-0 25-57 25-57 8.9%
14 Philadelphia 76ers 18.0 64.0 .220 -0.07 -9.04 18-64 0-0 18-64 18-64 15.9%
15 New York Knicks 17.0 65.0 .207 -0.18 -9.50 17-65 0-0 17-65 17-65 20.4%

Rk Western Conference W L W/L% SOS SRS Current Remain Best Worst Playoffs Division Top Seed Win Conf Win Finals Win Lottery
1 Golden State Warriors 67.0 15.0 .817 -0.09 10.01 67-15 0-0 67-15 67-15 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 57.9% 49.1%
2 Los Angeles Clippers 56.0 26.0 .683 0.22 6.80 56-26 0-0 56-26 56-26 100.0% 23.2% 15.9%
3 Houston Rockets 56.0 26.0 .683 0.38 3.82 56-26 0-0 56-26 56-26 100.0% 100.0% 5.5% 2.9%
4 Portland Trail Blazers 51.0 31.0 .622 0.18 4.41 51-31 0-0 51-31 51-31 100.0% 100.0% 4.9% 2.5%
5 Memphis Grizzlies 55.0 27.0 .671 0.38 3.62 55-27 0-0 55-27 55-27 100.0% 3.4% 1.5%
6 San Antonio Spurs 55.0 27.0 .671 0.14 6.34 55-27 0-0 55-27 55-27 100.0%
7 Dallas Mavericks 50.0 32.0 .610 0.46 3.36 50-32 0-0 50-32 50-32 100.0% 3.1% 1.4%
8 Oklahoma City Thunder 45.0 37.0 .549 0.28 2.47 45-37 0-0 45-37 45-37 100.0% 1.2% 0.4%
9 New Orleans Pelicans 45.0 37.0 .549 0.34 1.13 45-37 0-0 45-37 45-37 100.0% 0.7% 0.3%
10 Phoenix Suns 39.0 43.0 .476 0.52 -0.38 39-43 0-0 39-43 39-43 0.7%
11 Utah Jazz 38.0 44.0 .463 0.49 0.71 38-44 0-0 38-44 38-44 0.7%
12 Denver Nuggets 30.0 52.0 .366 0.48 -3.07 30-52 0-0 30-52 30-52 4.3%
13 Sacramento Kings 29.0 53.0 .354 0.64 -3.07 29-53 0-0 29-53 29-53 6.6%
14 Los Angeles Lakers 21.0 61.0 .256 0.67 -6.17 21-61 0-0 21-61 21-61 12.2%
15 Minnesota Timberwolves 16.0 66.0 .195 0.79 -8.00 16-66 0-0 16-66 16-66 24.9%