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Playoff Probabilities Report

Results are based on 1000 simulations of remainder of season. (more…)
Teams are sorted by their average conference rank in the simulations, so occasionally a team with a worse average W-L record will be ranked ahead of a team with a better average W-L record.

Projected Standings

Rk Eastern Conference W L W/L% SOS SRS Current Remain Best Worst Playoffs Division Top Seed Win Conf Win Finals Win Lottery
1 Toronto Raptors 56.9 25.1 .694 -0.91 7.16 22-7 35-18 66-16 43-39 100.0% 100.0% 69.7% 43.0% 22.1%
2 Chicago Bulls 52.6 29.4 .641 -0.43 4.26 20-9 33-20 63-19 42-40 100.0% 74.1% 15.1% 18.3% 7.3%
3 Atlanta Hawks 52.0 30.0 .634 -0.90 3.72 21-8 31-22 62-20 40-42 100.0% 70.1% 9.9% 14.5% 5.6%
4 Washington Wizards 49.5 32.5 .603 -1.32 2.25 20-8 29-25 59-23 39-43 100.0% 29.9% 2.5% 6.6% 2.2%
5 Cleveland Cavaliers 49.5 32.5 .603 0.01 3.77 18-11 31-22 59-23 36-46 99.7% 25.7% 2.8% 14.0% 5.5%
6 Milwaukee Bucks 41.7 40.3 .508 -0.16 -0.80 15-15 27-25 54-28 31-51 93.7% 0.2% 1.8%
7 Brooklyn Nets 36.6 45.4 .446 -0.85 -2.71 13-15 24-30 49-33 26-56 54.8% 0.7% 0.1% 1.3%
8 Miami Heat 36.2 45.8 .442 -0.41 -3.51 14-16 22-30 48-34 24-58 52.8% 0.4% 0.5%
9 Boston Celtics 35.8 46.2 .437 -0.75 -1.46 10-17 26-29 48-34 25-57 47.6% 0.6% 0.3% 1.4%
10 Indiana Pacers 34.6 47.4 .422 0.47 -2.23 10-20 25-27 45-37 24-58 32.2% 0.1% 2.1%
11 Charlotte Hornets 32.1 49.9 .392 0.57 -3.80 10-20 22-30 45-37 22-60 11.5% 4.5%
12 Orlando Magic 31.0 51.0 .378 0.31 -5.16 11-21 20-30 41-41 20-62 7.2% 5.1%
13 Detroit Pistons 25.8 56.2 .315 0.18 -5.95 6-23 20-33 36-46 17-65 0.4% 11.1%
14 New York Knicks 24.7 57.3 .302 0.47 -5.89 5-26 20-31 38-44 13-69 0.1% 16.4%
15 Philadelphia 76ers 18.0 64.0 .219 0.24 -11.40 4-24 14-40 29-53 7-75 23.2%

Rk Western Conference W L W/L% SOS SRS Current Remain Best Worst Playoffs Division Top Seed Win Conf Win Finals Win Lottery
1 Golden State Warriors 59.8 22.2 .729 -0.33 8.31 23-5 37-17 70-12 49-33 100.0% 96.6% 74.0% 36.3% 24.0%
2 Portland Trail Blazers 55.9 26.1 .682 -0.76 6.30 24-7 32-19 67-15 46-36 100.0% 99.8% 17.9% 19.6% 10.7%
3 Memphis Grizzlies 52.4 29.6 .640 0.21 4.83 21-8 31-22 64-18 41-41 98.8% 41.1% 3.2% 8.7% 4.2%
4 Los Angeles Clippers 51.6 30.4 .630 -0.17 5.60 20-10 32-20 61-21 41-41 98.5% 3.4% 1.5% 10.4% 6.0%
5 Dallas Mavericks 51.5 30.5 .628 -0.91 5.45 21-10 31-20 62-20 43-39 98.7% 28.9% 1.8% 13.0% 6.8%
6 Houston Rockets 51.1 30.9 .623 -0.42 3.47 21-7 30-24 61-21 40-42 98.4% 25.1% 1.5% 5.6% 2.0%
7 San Antonio Spurs 47.6 34.4 .581 -0.15 3.75 18-13 30-21 58-24 36-46 89.2% 4.4% 0.1% 4.8% 2.5%
8 New Orleans Pelicans 43.2 38.8 .527 1.13 0.99 15-14 28-25 53-29 32-50 43.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.2%
9 Phoenix Suns 42.6 39.4 .520 -0.60 1.14 17-14 26-25 53-29 33-49 36.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.5%
10 Oklahoma City Thunder 42.0 40.0 .512 -0.20 1.93 15-16 27-24 52-30 31-51 29.8% 0.2% 0.7% 0.4% 0.3%
11 Sacramento Kings 37.6 44.4 .459 1.26 -0.26 12-17 26-27 48-34 25-57 3.8% 0.9%
12 Denver Nuggets 37.0 45.0 .451 0.74 -1.76 13-17 24-28 49-33 25-57 3.5% 1.9%
13 Utah Jazz 31.4 50.6 .383 1.40 -3.40 9-20 22-31 43-39 23-59 4.8%
14 Los Angeles Lakers 29.4 52.6 .359 1.79 -5.05 9-21 20-32 39-43 20-62 6.5%
15 Minnesota Timberwolves 19.6 62.4 .239 0.47 -9.88 5-23 15-39 32-50 11-71 19.3%