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Playoff Probabilities Report

Results are based on 1000 simulations of remainder of season. (more…)
Teams are sorted by their average conference rank in the simulations, so occasionally a team with a worse average W-L record will be ranked ahead of a team with a better average W-L record.

Projected Standings

Rk Eastern Conference W L W/L% SOS SRS Current Remain Best Worst Playoffs Division Top Seed Win Conf Win Finals Win Lottery
1 Atlanta Hawks 62.6 19.4 .764 -0.45 5.84 48-12 15-7 70-12 56-26 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 46.5% 20.4%
2 Toronto Raptors 51.1 30.9 .623 -0.29 3.40 38-23 13-8 57-25 45-37 100.0% 100.0% 16.1% 5.0%
3 Cleveland Cavaliers 50.7 31.3 .618 -0.32 3.86 39-24 12-7 57-25 45-37 100.0% 58.9% 20.1% 5.8%
4 Chicago Bulls 50.0 32.0 .609 -0.30 2.47 38-23 12-9 56-26 44-38 100.0% 41.1% 11.8% 2.2%
5 Washington Wizards 44.6 37.4 .544 -0.66 -0.07 34-27 11-10 51-31 37-45 100.0% 1.6%
6 Milwaukee Bucks 43.6 38.4 .532 -0.56 0.57 32-29 12-9 50-32 37-45 100.0% 2.3% 0.5%
7 Indiana Pacers 37.0 45.0 .452 -0.47 -0.82 26-34 11-11 44-38 31-51 58.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.6%
8 Miami Heat 36.5 45.5 .445 -0.44 -3.05 27-33 9-13 43-39 30-52 47.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.6%
9 Charlotte Hornets 36.0 46.0 .439 -0.44 -2.29 26-33 10-13 43-39 29-53 37.8% 0.3% 1.1%
10 Brooklyn Nets 35.3 46.7 .431 -0.11 -3.40 25-34 10-13 43-39 29-53 29.6% 1.1%
11 Boston Celtics 34.5 47.5 .420 -0.46 -2.02 24-35 10-13 43-39 27-55 18.1% 0.1% 1.7%
12 Detroit Pistons 32.9 49.1 .401 -0.36 -1.66 23-37 10-12 41-41 25-57 7.7% 0.1% 2.3%
13 Orlando Magic 26.1 55.9 .318 -0.15 -5.79 19-43 7-13 32-50 20-62 10.9%
14 Philadelphia 76ers 19.0 63.0 .232 0.43 -10.03 13-48 6-15 26-56 13-69 16.5%
15 New York Knicks 18.6 63.4 .227 -0.06 -8.76 12-48 7-15 27-55 13-69 21.2%

Rk Western Conference W L W/L% SOS SRS Current Remain Best Worst Playoffs Division Top Seed Win Conf Win Finals Win Lottery
1 Golden State Warriors 63.6 18.4 .775 -0.45 9.64 47-12 17-6 69-13 56-26 100.0% 100.0% 99.3% 53.2% 41.6%
2 Memphis Grizzlies 55.6 26.4 .679 0.05 3.89 43-17 13-9 63-19 48-34 100.0% 74.7% 0.7% 6.2% 3.1%
3 Portland Trail Blazers 53.8 28.2 .656 -0.02 4.99 40-19 14-9 61-21 46-36 100.0% 99.1% 9.1% 4.4%
4 Los Angeles Clippers 53.3 28.7 .650 0.44 6.52 40-22 13-7 59-23 47-35 100.0% 14.6% 8.7%
5 Houston Rockets 53.1 28.9 .648 0.41 3.69 41-20 12-9 59-23 46-36 100.0% 18.3% 4.5% 2.4%
6 Dallas Mavericks 51.4 30.6 .627 -0.14 4.55 40-22 11-9 57-25 45-37 99.9% 5.1% 5.3% 2.9%
7 San Antonio Spurs 50.1 31.9 .611 0.03 3.91 37-23 13-9 57-25 43-39 98.5% 1.9% 5.6% 2.3%
8 Oklahoma City Thunder 45.9 36.1 .560 0.00 2.72 34-27 12-9 52-30 39-43 76.0% 0.9% 1.4% 0.5% 0.2%
9 New Orleans Pelicans 43.3 38.7 .528 0.18 0.52 33-28 10-11 49-33 36-46 20.7% 0.1% 0.5%
10 Phoenix Suns 41.2 40.8 .503 -0.16 0.34 32-30 9-11 47-35 36-46 4.9% 0.8%
11 Utah Jazz 35.7 46.3 .436 1.06 -0.06 24-36 12-10 43-39 29-53 1.1%
12 Sacramento Kings 31.1 50.9 .379 1.23 -2.77 21-38 10-13 38-44 25-57 5.0%
13 Denver Nuggets 29.5 52.5 .359 0.13 -4.11 22-39 7-14 38-44 24-58 5.8%
14 Los Angeles Lakers 24.4 57.6 .297 0.96 -5.39 16-44 8-14 33-49 17-65 11.8%
15 Minnesota Timberwolves 19.5 62.5 .238 0.74 -7.17 13-47 6-16 25-57 14-68 18.8%