Playoff Probabilities Report
Results based on the method used by Justin Kubatko to
win the TrueHoop Stat Geek
Smackdown in both
2007 and
2008.
Projected Standings
Explanation ▪ Results based on 1000 simulations of remainder of season
| Rk |
Eastern Conference |
W |
L |
W-L% |
Current |
Remain |
Best |
Worst |
Playoffs |
Division |
Top Seed |
Win Conf |
Win Finals |
Win Lottery |
| 1 |
Atlanta Hawks |
61.2 |
20.8 |
.746 |
11-3 |
50-18 |
72-10 |
51-31 |
100.0% |
91.1% |
74.6% |
58.0% |
37.6% |
0.0% |
| 2 |
Boston Celtics |
56.9 |
25.1 |
.694 |
10-4 |
47-21 |
68-14 |
46-36 |
100.0% |
99.8% |
19.7% |
28.1% |
13.8% |
0.0% |
| 3 |
Orlando Magic |
54.3 |
27.7 |
.662 |
11-3 |
43-25 |
65-17 |
41-41 |
100.0% |
8.9% |
5.6% |
9.5% |
3.5% |
0.0% |
| 4 |
Cleveland Cavaliers |
47.1 |
34.9 |
.574 |
10-4 |
37-31 |
61-21 |
36-46 |
99.6% |
63.8% |
0.0% |
1.3% |
0.1% |
0.0% |
| 5 |
Milwaukee Bucks |
44.7 |
37.3 |
.545 |
8-4 |
37-33 |
57-25 |
32-50 |
96.7% |
32.0% |
0.1% |
1.1% |
0.1% |
0.0% |
| 6 |
Miami Heat |
44.6 |
37.4 |
.544 |
8-5 |
37-32 |
56-26 |
34-48 |
97.2% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
1.3% |
0.1% |
0.0% |
| 7 |
Toronto Raptors |
42.2 |
39.8 |
.515 |
7-8 |
35-32 |
54-28 |
29-53 |
92.4% |
0.2% |
0.0% |
0.5% |
0.1% |
0.1% |
| 8 |
Detroit Pistons |
39.3 |
42.7 |
.479 |
5-9 |
34-34 |
51-31 |
26-56 |
72.2% |
3.8% |
0.0% |
0.2% |
0.1% |
0.4% |
| |
|
| 9 |
Chicago Bulls |
35.1 |
46.9 |
.428 |
6-7 |
29-40 |
46-36 |
25-57 |
22.4% |
0.4% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
1.3% |
| 10 |
Indiana Pacers |
33.5 |
48.5 |
.408 |
5-7 |
28-42 |
46-36 |
20-62 |
14.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
2.4% |
| 11 |
Charlotte Bobcats |
31.1 |
50.9 |
.379 |
4-9 |
27-42 |
44-38 |
19-63 |
2.8% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
4.6% |
| 12 |
Washington Wizards |
30.1 |
51.9 |
.367 |
4-9 |
26-43 |
44-38 |
18-64 |
2.5% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
6.3% |
| 13 |
Philadelphia 76ers |
25.7 |
56.3 |
.313 |
5-9 |
21-47 |
38-44 |
14-68 |
0.2% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
9.5% |
| 14 |
New York Knickerbockers |
23.2 |
58.8 |
.282 |
3-11 |
20-48 |
34-48 |
13-69 |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
13.4% |
| 15 |
New Jersey Nets |
12.3 |
69.7 |
.150 |
0-14 |
12-56 |
25-57 |
5-77 |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
20.7% |
|
| Rk |
Western Conference |
W |
L |
W-L% |
Current |
Remain |
Best |
Worst |
Playoffs |
Division |
Top Seed |
Win Conf |
Win Finals |
Win Lottery |
| 1 |
Portland Trail Blazers |
57.4 |
24.6 |
.700 |
11-5 |
46-20 |
68-14 |
47-35 |
100.0% |
64.7% |
33.7% |
31.4% |
17.0% |
0.0% |
| 2 |
Los Angeles Lakers |
57.2 |
24.8 |
.697 |
11-3 |
46-22 |
68-14 |
44-38 |
99.8% |
74.4% |
31.9% |
21.9% |
10.5% |
0.0% |
| 3 |
Denver Nuggets |
55.0 |
27.0 |
.671 |
10-4 |
45-23 |
65-17 |
42-40 |
99.3% |
32.0% |
15.9% |
14.4% |
5.9% |
0.0% |
| 4 |
Phoenix Suns |
53.6 |
28.4 |
.653 |
11-3 |
43-25 |
65-17 |
41-41 |
98.7% |
25.6% |
7.6% |
6.0% |
2.0% |
0.0% |
| 5 |
Dallas Mavericks |
53.1 |
28.9 |
.647 |
10-4 |
43-25 |
65-17 |
40-42 |
98.1% |
48.4% |
6.4% |
8.7% |
3.2% |
0.0% |
| 6 |
Houston Rockets |
52.1 |
29.9 |
.635 |
8-6 |
44-24 |
62-20 |
40-42 |
97.8% |
36.2% |
2.4% |
8.0% |
3.2% |
0.1% |
| 7 |
San Antonio Spurs |
49.6 |
32.4 |
.605 |
6-6 |
44-26 |
62-20 |
35-47 |
91.7% |
15.3% |
1.0% |
6.0% |
1.8% |
0.0% |
| 8 |
Oklahoma City Thunder |
49.5 |
32.5 |
.604 |
8-7 |
42-25 |
61-21 |
37-45 |
91.2% |
3.3% |
1.1% |
3.1% |
0.9% |
0.1% |
| |
|
| 9 |
Utah Jazz |
42.7 |
39.3 |
.520 |
7-7 |
36-32 |
56-26 |
30-52 |
18.8% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.4% |
0.1% |
0.5% |
| 10 |
New Orleans Hornets |
37.7 |
44.3 |
.460 |
6-9 |
32-35 |
50-32 |
26-56 |
3.1% |
0.1% |
0.0% |
0.1% |
0.0% |
1.3% |
| 11 |
Sacramento Kings |
36.2 |
45.8 |
.442 |
5-8 |
31-38 |
49-33 |
24-58 |
0.9% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
1.1% |
| 12 |
Golden State Warriors |
35.5 |
46.5 |
.433 |
5-8 |
31-38 |
47-35 |
25-57 |
0.6% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
1.5% |
| 13 |
Los Angeles Clippers |
30.8 |
51.2 |
.376 |
6-9 |
25-42 |
43-39 |
19-63 |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
4.6% |
| 14 |
Memphis Grizzlies |
27.5 |
54.5 |
.335 |
5-9 |
22-46 |
41-41 |
16-66 |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
9.9% |
| 15 |
Minnesota Timberwolves |
11.0 |
71.0 |
.135 |
1-13 |
10-58 |
21-61 |
3-79 |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
22.2% |
|
