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Playoff Probabilities Report

Results are based on 1000 simulations of remainder of season. (more…)
Teams are sorted by their average conference rank in the simulations, so occasionally a team with a worse average W-L record will be ranked ahead of a team with a better average W-L record.

Projected Standings

Rk Eastern Conference W L W/L% SOS SRS Current Remain Best Worst Playoffs Division Top Seed Win Conf Win Finals Win Lottery
1 Atlanta Hawks 62.5 19.5 .762 -0.96 6.33 40-8 22-12 70-12 54-28 100.0% 99.9% 98.2% 45.9% 18.8%
2 Toronto Raptors 54.4 27.6 .663 -0.76 4.62 33-15 21-13 61-21 46-36 100.0% 100.0% 1.8% 26.8% 8.7%
3 Washington Wizards 49.5 32.5 .603 -0.73 1.27 31-17 18-16 57-25 42-40 100.0% 0.1% 4.0% 0.9%
4 Chicago Bulls 49.0 33.0 .598 -0.20 2.02 30-19 19-14 57-25 40-42 100.0% 58.3% 10.1% 2.6%
5 Cleveland Cavaliers 47.5 34.5 .579 -0.20 2.19 29-20 18-15 56-26 39-43 100.0% 33.9% 8.3% 1.9%
6 Milwaukee Bucks 44.7 37.3 .545 -0.64 1.09 25-22 20-15 52-30 35-47 99.8% 7.8% 4.3% 0.5%
7 Charlotte Hornets 35.8 46.2 .436 -0.10 -2.42 20-27 16-19 44-38 27-55 58.9% 0.1% 0.9%
8 Miami Heat 35.8 46.2 .436 0.19 -3.53 20-26 16-20 45-37 25-57 55.5% 0.2% 0.8%
9 Detroit Pistons 33.6 48.4 .410 -0.09 -2.26 18-30 16-18 43-39 22-60 28.9% 1.2%
10 Boston Celtics 33.5 48.5 .408 -0.13 -2.17 16-29 17-20 45-37 24-58 26.0% 0.1% 0.1% 2.4%
11 Indiana Pacers 32.8 49.2 .400 -0.31 -2.27 17-32 16-17 40-42 25-57 18.5% 0.2% 3.7%
12 Brooklyn Nets 32.1 49.9 .391 -0.50 -4.39 18-28 14-22 42-40 22-60 12.2% 3.5%
13 Orlando Magic 26.9 55.1 .329 0.14 -6.20 15-35 12-20 35-47 20-62 0.2% 10.7%
14 New York Knicks 20.8 61.2 .253 0.14 -7.78 9-38 12-23 30-52 13-69 16.8%
15 Philadelphia 76ers 18.5 63.5 .226 0.51 -11.01 10-38 9-25 28-54 11-71 18.7%

Rk Western Conference W L W/L% SOS SRS Current Remain Best Worst Playoffs Division Top Seed Win Conf Win Finals Win Lottery
1 Golden State Warriors 63.7 18.3 .777 -0.51 10.72 37-8 27-10 71-11 55-27 100.0% 99.2% 97.1% 54.6% 42.8%
2 Memphis Grizzlies 55.6 26.4 .678 -0.12 5.14 35-12 21-14 64-18 47-35 100.0% 71.8% 1.5% 6.8% 3.5%
3 Los Angeles Clippers 54.7 27.3 .667 -0.01 7.19 33-15 22-12 63-19 46-36 100.0% 0.8% 1.0% 18.5% 11.1%
4 Portland Trail Blazers 52.0 30.0 .634 -0.35 4.74 32-16 20-14 60-22 44-38 99.7% 99.4% 0.2% 5.0% 2.4%
5 Houston Rockets 52.1 29.9 .635 -0.05 3.64 33-15 19-15 61-21 43-39 99.3% 14.1% 0.1% 4.6% 2.4%
6 Dallas Mavericks 51.8 30.2 .632 -0.53 5.23 32-17 20-13 60-22 43-39 99.6% 12.1% 0.1% 6.7% 3.0%
7 San Antonio Spurs 49.2 32.8 .600 -0.04 3.59 30-18 19-15 57-25 41-41 95.6% 2.0% 2.8% 1.2% 0.1%
8 Phoenix Suns 45.2 36.8 .551 -0.07 1.76 28-21 17-16 54-28 37-45 58.8% 1.0% 0.1% 0.4%
9 New Orleans Pelicans 43.7 38.3 .533 0.27 1.36 25-22 19-16 53-29 36-46 33.9% 0.3%
10 Oklahoma City Thunder 41.8 40.2 .510 0.40 1.19 23-24 19-16 50-32 33-49 13.1% 0.6% 0.4%
11 Denver Nuggets 33.3 48.7 .407 0.61 -2.72 19-29 14-20 42-40 25-57 2.6%
12 Utah Jazz 33.3 48.7 .406 1.06 -1.52 17-30 16-19 43-39 25-57 2.4%
13 Sacramento Kings 32.5 49.5 .397 0.93 -1.99 17-29 16-20 42-40 25-57 2.8%
14 Los Angeles Lakers 27.0 55.0 .329 1.81 -4.76 13-34 14-21 35-47 19-63 9.8%
15 Minnesota Timberwolves 16.8 65.2 .204 0.31 -9.21 8-39 9-26 24-58 8-74 22.5%