Playoff Probabilities Report

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Results are based on 10,000 simulations of the remainder of season.

See more details about the results. We also use these simulations to project the draft order and lottery winners.

Projected Standings

Projected Standings Table
														Seed
Rk	Eastern Conference	W	L	W/L%	SOS	rSOS	SRS	Current	Remain	Best	Worst	Playoffs	Division	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	Win Conf	Win Finals
1	Milwaukee Bucks	58.4	23.6	.712	2.23	-0.91	11.69	10-3	48-21	71-11	43-39	100.0%	99.5%	64.6	21.9	9.6	3.4	0.4	0.1			46.3%	31.4%
2	Boston Celtics	54.0	28.0	.659	-1.07	0.01	7.39	11-2	43-26	70-12	38-44	100.0%	54.0%	16.7	30.3	27.3	19.6	5.1	1.0	0.1		16.9%	8.6%
3	Toronto Raptors	53.5	28.5	.653	0.86	-0.61	8.09	9-4	45-24	67-15	39-43	100.0%	44.2%	10.7	25.6	30.3	26.1	6.1	1.2	0.2		18.2%	9.9%
4	Miami Heat	52.5	29.5	.640	-0.18	-0.53	6.99	9-3	43-27	67-15	38-44	100.0%	98.4%	7.9	20.7	28.1	32.5	8.3	2.1	0.4	0.1	13.1%	6.2%
5	Philadelphia 76ers	45.3	36.7	.553	-0.87	0.26	2.21	8-5	37-32	61-21	27-55	98.2%	1.9%	0.1	1.1	2.9	9.4	35.2	32.1	13.5	4.0	2.1%	0.6%
6	Indiana Pacers	44.6	37.4	.544	-1.88	0.37	2.48	8-6	37-31	61-21	29-53	96.9%	0.5%	0.1	0.5	1.7	7.6	34.2	33.2	14.8	5.0	2.2%	0.8%
7	Orlando Magic	40.4	41.6	.493	-0.27	0.23	0.42	6-7	34-35	56-26	25-57	82.1%	1.4%		0.1	0.2	1.3	8.1	19.5	34.6	18.4	0.9%	0.3%
8	Washington Wizards	37.1	44.9	.452	0.28	0.01	-1.81	3-8	34-37	52-30	21-61	49.5%	0.2%				0.2	1.7	5.7	16.3	25.6	0.2%	0.1%

9	Cleveland Cavaliers	35.0	47.0	.427	1.15	0.05	-3.23	4-9	31-38	50-32	22-60	28.2%						0.6	2.4	8.1	17.1	0.1%
10	Brooklyn Nets	33.8	48.2	.413	-0.90	0.24	-4.98	5-8	29-40	48-34	19-63	15.7%						0.2	1.1	4.3	10.1
11	Detroit Pistons	33.4	48.6	.408	-0.97	0.18	-4.51	4-9	29-40	49-33	18-64	13.9%						0.2	1.0	3.7	8.9
12	Chicago Bulls	32.6	49.4	.398	-0.42	0.28	-4.49	4-10	29-39	47-35	18-64	8.9%						0.1	0.5	2.3	6.0
13	Charlotte Hornets	30.5	51.5	.372	-0.26	0.24	-7.97	6-8	25-43	44-38	17-65	3.6%							0.1	1.0	2.5
14	Atlanta Hawks	29.8	52.2	.364	1.74	0.14	-7.65	4-9	26-43	45-37	15-67	2.5%							0.1	0.6	1.7
15	New York Knicks	27.8	54.2	.339	-1.35	0.65	-8.43	4-10	24-44	42-40	13-69	0.7%								0.1	0.6

Table
														Seed
Rk	Western Conference	W	L	W/L%	SOS	rSOS	SRS	Current	Remain	Best	Worst	Playoffs	Division	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	Win Conf	Win Finals
1	Los Angeles Lakers	56.2	25.8	.686	-0.53	-0.08	9.26	12-2	44-24	71-11	40-42	100.0%	78.4%	68.9	18.8	7.2	3.5	1.1	0.4	0.1		38.7%	19.7%
2	Los Angeles Clippers	51.4	30.6	.626	1.18	-0.27	7.39	9-5	42-26	65-17	36-46	99.7%	18.9%	14.5	26.2	23.1	17.0	10.4	5.1	2.7	0.6	21.8%	9.6%
3	Houston Rockets	51.1	30.9	.623	-0.63	-0.06	5.16	11-3	40-28	64-18	36-46	99.7%	88.9%	10.5	28.7	24.3	16.7	10.2	5.7	2.6	1.1	12.6%	4.4%
4	Utah Jazz	48.1	33.9	.586	1.21	-0.35	4.60	8-5	40-29	62-20	31-51	97.5%	59.7%	2.8	11.9	17.1	19.2	18.3	15.1	9.3	3.8	8.8%	3.1%
5	Phoenix Suns	47.1	34.9	.574	0.54	-0.10	5.15	7-6	40-29	61-21	33-49	95.9%	2.8%	1.7	6.3	11.9	16.6	20.9	18.8	14.0	5.9	9.4%	3.4%
6	Denver Nuggets	46.8	35.2	.571	-1.23	0.42	2.77	9-3	38-32	61-21	30-52	94.9%	36.2%	1.3	5.6	10.6	15.7	18.7	20.0	15.5	7.6	4.2%	1.2%
7	Dallas Mavericks	44.8	37.2	.547	-0.96	0.27	2.27	8-5	37-32	61-21	31-51	87.9%	10.9%	0.4	2.3	4.8	9.1	14.4	20.7	23.3	13.1	3.4%	0.7%
8	Oklahoma City Thunder	39.9	42.1	.487	1.19	-0.14	0.69	5-9	35-33	54-28	24-58	46.0%	2.3%		0.1	0.5	1.2	2.7	6.1	12.7	22.7	0.8%	0.2%

9	Minnesota Timberwolves	39.1	42.9	.477	-0.57	0.67	-1.99	8-6	31-37	54-28	26-56	33.2%	1.8%		0.1	0.3	0.7	1.6	4.0	8.7	17.8	0.2%	0.1%
10	Sacramento Kings	38.1	43.9	.464	1.19	0.07	-2.20	6-7	32-37	54-28	22-60	24.9%			0.1	0.2	0.3	1.1	2.8	6.2	14.3	0.1%
11	New Orleans Pelicans	36.2	45.8	.442	1.05	0.15	-2.17	5-9	31-37	53-29	19-63	11.3%	0.2%			0.1	0.1	0.4	0.9	2.9	7.0	0.1%
12	Portland Trail Blazers	34.0	48.0	.415	-0.37	0.55	-3.77	5-10	29-38	48-34	18-64	4.7%						0.1	0.3	1.0	3.2
13	San Antonio Spurs	34.0	48.0	.415	-1.19	0.56	-3.62	5-9	29-39	49-33	19-63	4.3%	0.1%					0.1	0.3	1.0	3.0
14	Memphis Grizzlies	27.4	54.6	.334	0.43	0.83	-9.00	5-9	22-46	41-41	14-68
15	Golden State Warriors	26.9	55.1	.328	0.64	0.70	-7.62	3-12	24-43	41-41	13-69

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