Playoff Probabilities Report

Results are based on 7500 simulations of the remainder of season.

Teams are sorted by their average conference rank in the simulations, so a team with a worse average W-L record might possibly
be ranked ahead of a team with a better average W-L record.

See more details about the results. We also use these simulations to project the draft order and lottery winners.

Projected Standings

Projected Standings Table
Rk Eastern Conference W L W/L% SOS rSOS SRS Current Remain Best Worst Playoffs Division Top Seed Win Conf Win Finals Win Lottery
1Toronto Raptors58.723.3.716-0.54-0.367.9541-1618-766-1650-32100.0%95.2%95.2%62.2%32.6%
2Boston Celtics53.328.7.650-0.26-0.413.2440-1913-1061-2145-37100.0%4.8%4.8%15.7%4.1%
3Cleveland Cavaliers47.634.4.581-0.15-0.580.0434-2214-1256-2639-4399.6%71.2%2.6%0.4%
4Philadelphia 76ers46.435.6.5660.60-1.602.5830-2516-1154-2836-4698.3%7.7%1.9%
5Washington Wizards46.135.9.562-0.560.991.3333-2413-1255-2738-4497.9%83.1%4.5%0.8%
6Indiana Pacers44.737.3.545-0.550.770.7633-2512-1254-2835-4794.5%16.2%3.7%0.6%
7Milwaukee Bucks44.038.0.537-0.320.31-0.3632-2512-1353-2936-4691.7%12.0%1.9%0.2%0.1%
8Miami Heat42.739.3.5200.03-0.95-0.8630-2813-1152-3035-4779.8%16.8%1.0%0.1%0.1%
9Detroit Pistons40.341.7.4910.01-0.38-0.1028-2912-1349-3332-5035.1%0.6%0.6%0.1%0.5%
10Charlotte Hornets36.645.4.4470.24-0.98-0.3824-3313-1245-3728-542.9%0.1%1.3%
11New York Knicks33.148.9.404-0.080.15-2.5223-3610-1342-4025-570.1%1.8%
12Chicago Bulls29.152.9.3550.42-0.42-5.4820-379-1637-4522-607.5%
13Orlando Magic28.153.9.342-0.10-0.06-4.3118-3910-1536-4620-629.7%
14Brooklyn Nets27.654.4.3370.130.01-4.1219-409-1436-4620-6210.5%
15Atlanta Hawks26.455.6.322-0.200.94-4.3418-418-1535-4719-6314.0%

Table
Rk Western Conference W L W/L% SOS rSOS SRS Current Remain Best Worst Playoffs Division Top Seed Win Conf Win Finals Win Lottery
1Golden State Warriors61.620.4.7510.12-1.498.2244-1418-668-1454-28100.0%100.0%54.1%42.2%26.7%
2Houston Rockets61.220.8.747-0.540.248.1844-1317-868-1451-31100.0%100.0%45.9%40.9%26.8%
3San Antonio Spurs47.634.4.580-0.501.302.5935-2413-1055-2738-4496.6%3.4%1.3%
4Minnesota Timberwolves47.634.4.581-0.170.572.7636-2512-955-2739-4397.2%53.5%3.9%1.2%
5Oklahoma City Thunder46.235.8.564-0.110.223.3033-2613-1055-2739-4390.9%24.2%4.6%1.6%0.1%
6Denver Nuggets44.337.7.5400.010.291.0532-2612-1252-3036-4668.5%8.2%1.0%0.3%0.1%
7Portland Trail Blazers44.337.7.540-0.240.700.8132-2612-1252-3036-4668.3%8.3%1.0%0.4%0.2%
8Utah Jazz44.038.0.5360.47-0.352.2830-2814-1052-3036-4664.9%5.7%1.8%0.6%0.2%
9New Orleans Pelicans43.838.2.5340.150.390.3131-2613-1252-3036-4661.0%0.6%0.2%0.2%
10Los Angeles Clippers43.338.7.528-0.140.470.7730-2613-1351-3134-4852.7%0.6%0.2%0.3%
11Los Angeles Lakers33.848.2.4120.290.03-2.6623-3411-1442-4026-561.9%
12Dallas Mavericks28.953.1.3530.58-0.38-1.8018-4011-1337-4521-617.3%
13Memphis Grizzlies28.953.1.3530.63-0.62-3.0918-3811-1538-4421-617.3%
14Sacramento Kings25.956.1.3160.370.49-7.6718-398-1735-4719-6315.7%
15Phoenix Suns23.858.2.2900.321.11-8.6318-416-1731-5118-6421.3%

 

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