Playoff Probabilities Report

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Results are based on 10,000 simulations of the remainder of season.

See more details about the results. We also use these simulations to project the draft order and lottery winners.

Projected Standings

Projected Standings Table
  Seed  
Rk Eastern Conference W L W/L% SOS rSOS SRS Current Remain Best Worst Playoffs Division 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Win Conf Win Finals
1Milwaukee Bucks64.215.8.802-0.85-0.0410.4453-1211-468-1258-22100.0%100.0%99.90.168.7%50.6%
2Toronto Raptors56.824.2.701-0.570.165.8846-1811-663-1850-31100.0%82.4%0.182.317.10.514.6%6.9%
3Boston Celtics52.926.1.669-0.48-0.345.6943-2110-558-2146-33100.0%17.6%17.475.76.10.70.111.3%4.8%
4Miami Heat49.430.6.618-0.650.212.5841-248-755-2543-37100.0%100.0%0.15.753.027.613.62.6%0.8%
5Philadelphia 76ers48.732.3.6020.00-1.472.2239-2610-655-2642-39100.0%1.124.036.638.31.4%0.4%
6Indiana Pacers48.033.0.592-0.33-0.171.6139-269-754-2741-40100.0%0.416.535.148.11.0%0.2%
7Orlando Magic37.542.5.4690.12-0.65-0.8530-358-745-3531-4999.9%49.750.20.2%
8Brooklyn Nets37.042.0.469-0.540.85-1.1830-347-844-3530-4999.9%50.349.60.1%
9Washington Wizards29.150.9.363-0.812.22-4.8624-405-1137-4324-560.1%0.1
10Charlotte Hornets27.952.1.349-0.120.30-6.8823-425-1036-4423-57
11Chicago Bulls26.852.2.339-0.731.94-3.8122-435-933-4622-57
12New York Knicks26.254.8.323-0.09-0.16-6.5521-455-1032-4921-60
13Detroit Pistons25.655.4.316-0.661.10-4.2220-466-933-4820-61
14Atlanta Hawks24.656.4.3040.40-1.05-7.5720-475-931-5020-61
15Cleveland Cavaliers23.057.0.2870.330.13-7.5719-464-1130-5019-61

Table
  Seed  
Rk Western Conference W L W/L% SOS rSOS SRS Current Remain Best Worst Playoffs Division 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Win Conf Win Finals
1Los Angeles Lakers61.318.7.7660.34-1.377.7549-1412-566-1452-28100.0%99.1%99.10.944.0%19.1%
2Los Angeles Clippers54.925.1.6860.22-0.866.7444-2011-560-2048-32100.0%0.9%0.984.411.42.50.60.224.0%9.2%
3Denver Nuggets51.528.5.6430.060.853.0243-228-758-2245-35100.0%65.0%10.247.618.714.17.12.35.0%0.9%
4Houston Rockets49.830.2.6220.03-0.153.7840-2410-655-2543-37100.0%75.9%1.913.228.623.719.613.06.0%1.2%
5Utah Jazz49.529.5.6270.030.643.2041-239-655-2443-36100.0%24.1%2.117.927.724.419.68.45.1%1.1%
6Dallas Mavericks48.532.5.598-0.201.425.8440-278-654-2741-40100.0%24.1%0.12.26.112.924.554.312.1%4.1%
7Oklahoma City Thunder48.330.7.6120.34-0.072.7940-248-754-2541-38100.0%10.9%0.47.716.424.329.122.03.6%0.7%
8Memphis Grizzlies38.241.8.4770.022.67-1.0532-336-944-3632-4846.1%46.10.1%
9New Orleans Pelicans37.241.9.4701.13-3.000.3028-369-643-3630-4935.3%35.30.2%
10Portland Trail Blazers35.844.2.4480.49-0.69-1.1129-377-742-3829-516.5%6.5
11Sacramento Kings35.444.6.4430.48-0.05-1.4428-367-942-3829-517.2%7.2
12San Antonio Spurs35.244.8.4400.57-0.33-1.1927-368-942-3829-514.6%4.6
13Phoenix Suns33.048.0.4080.330.34-1.0426-397-940-4127-540.2%0.2
14Minnesota Timberwolves25.354.7.3160.510.93-3.7819-456-1032-4819-61
15Golden State Warriors19.360.7.2420.790.05-7.9215-504-1126-5415-65