Playoff Probabilities Report

Results are based on 7500 simulations of the remainder of season.

Teams are sorted by their average conference rank in the simulations, so a team with a worse average W-L record might possibly
be ranked ahead of a team with a better average W-L record.

See more details about the results. We also use these simulations to project the draft order and lottery winners.

Projected Standings

Projected Standings Table
Rk Eastern Conference W L W/L% SOS rSOS SRS Current Remain Best Worst Playoffs Division Top Seed Win Conf Win Finals Win Lottery
1Milwaukee Bucks59.922.1.731-0.90-1.019.1034-1226-1068-1449-33100.0%95.8%74.7%53.8%40.7%
2Toronto Raptors57.224.8.697-0.29-1.275.3136-1421-1166-1648-34100.0%87.9%22.4%19.0%10.7%
3Indiana Pacers52.929.1.645-1.460.214.3532-1521-1462-2042-40100.0%4.2%1.9%9.2%4.3%
4Boston Celtics51.730.3.630-1.04-0.135.4430-1822-1261-2142-40100.0%8.9%0.7%12.6%6.8%
5Philadelphia 76ers50.731.3.618-0.89-0.072.8732-1719-1460-2240-42100.0%3.2%0.3%4.2%1.8%
6Brooklyn Nets41.640.4.507-0.830.39-0.6326-2316-1752-3031-5193.0%0.4%0.1%0.3%
7Charlotte Hornets39.842.2.485-1.040.50-0.3123-2417-1850-3229-5380.5%57.5%0.5%0.1%1.1%
8Miami Heat38.943.1.474-0.730.20-0.8822-2417-1949-3326-5663.7%32.2%0.3%0.1%1.7%
9Detroit Pistons36.745.3.447-0.05-0.60-2.6221-2616-1946-3627-5532.8%4.1%
10Washington Wizards35.546.5.433-0.56-0.44-3.4120-2616-2045-3726-5620.3%7.2%4.9%
11Orlando Magic34.247.8.418-0.17-0.60-3.6720-2814-2046-3626-569.6%3.1%6.2%
12Atlanta Hawks26.355.7.320-0.110.13-7.6815-3211-2436-4617-6511.3%
13New York Knicks22.759.3.2770.98-0.94-7.4510-3613-2333-4913-6912.7%
14Chicago Bulls20.461.6.2490.39-0.48-9.8211-379-2532-5012-7014.0%
15Cleveland Cavaliers17.364.7.2110.51-0.17-10.869-408-2528-549-7313.9%

Table
Rk Western Conference W L W/L% SOS rSOS SRS Current Remain Best Worst Playoffs Division Top Seed Win Conf Win Finals Win Lottery
1Golden State Warriors55.526.5.677-0.300.476.5133-1423-1267-1543-39100.0%99.7%78.8%37.1%17.1%
2Denver Nuggets51.830.2.632-0.321.124.5031-1521-1562-2042-4099.7%69.1%16.1%17.9%5.6%
3Oklahoma City Thunder48.433.6.590-1.091.993.8129-1819-1659-2339-4395.7%13.7%2.2%10.9%3.4%
4Portland Trail Blazers47.934.1.5840.86-0.263.1329-2019-1457-2538-4496.2%8.6%1.2%9.1%2.5%
5Utah Jazz47.734.3.5820.76-0.764.1127-2221-1257-2538-4495.7%8.7%1.0%11.7%4.0%
6San Antonio Spurs45.936.1.5600.61-0.392.7627-2219-1455-2736-4685.6%46.5%0.3%5.7%1.5%0.1%
7Houston Rockets45.736.3.5570.450.441.9227-2019-1655-2735-4781.3%47.8%0.4%3.5%0.7%0.1%
8Los Angeles Clippers44.537.5.5430.93-0.511.3126-2219-1556-2633-4970.5%0.3%0.1%2.1%0.3%0.4%
9Los Angeles Lakers41.340.7.504-0.131.140.4525-2316-1850-3231-5123.3%0.5%0.1%1.2%
10New Orleans Pelicans40.941.1.4980.130.342.0522-2619-1551-3130-5221.9%4.5%0.9%0.2%1.3%
11Minnesota Timberwolves39.942.1.4860.161.040.3523-2417-1852-3030-5211.0%0.3%2.2%
12Sacramento Kings39.842.2.4850.690.06-1.2724-2416-1849-3329-5311.6%0.1%2.0%
13Dallas Mavericks39.043.0.4760.660.100.6221-2618-1749-3328-547.2%1.2%0.1%2.6%
14Memphis Grizzlies34.747.3.4231.26-0.35-2.1319-2916-1845-3725-570.3%6.3%
15Phoenix Suns21.360.7.2601.380.03-7.6611-3810-2332-5013-6913.6%

 

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