Playoff Probabilities Report

Results are based on 10,000 simulations of the remainder of season, including the play-in round.

See more details about the results. We also use these simulations to project the draft order and lottery winners.

Projected Standings

Projected Standings Table
  First Round Seed Pre Play-In  
Rk Eastern Conference W L W/L% SOS rSOS SRS Current Remain Best Worst Playoffs Division 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8   1-6 7 8 9 10 Out   Win Conf Win Finals
1Boston Celtics55.526.5.677-0.330.145.1436-1519-1265-1746-36100.0%88.7%78.314.74.62.10.4100.029.9%19.7%
2Cleveland Cavaliers50.331.7.6130.13-0.774.7431-2119-1159-2339-4399.8%51.0%6.724.424.821.416.94.50.80.498.71.10.224.6%14.8%
3Philadelphia 76ers50.531.5.616-0.370.633.2632-1719-1461-2141-4199.7%8.4%6.721.826.222.716.84.20.90.398.41.10.40.113.8%7.5%
4Milwaukee Bucks50.631.4.617-0.090.182.1133-1718-1461-2140-4299.7%48.9%6.027.723.021.017.63.70.60.398.90.80.20.18.7%4.0%
5Brooklyn Nets49.332.7.601-0.230.402.8131-1918-1460-2239-4399.4%2.9%2.311.019.527.928.57.91.60.897.02.30.50.211.3%5.6%
6Miami Heat43.238.8.527-0.100.410.1528-2315-1653-2933-4972.5%67.3%0.20.92.28.628.718.113.740.723.114.09.96.85.62.1%0.7%
7New York Knicks43.838.2.534-0.060.321.8127-2417-1454-2834-4879.9%0.20.92.27.830.423.714.841.427.815.17.94.63.25.2%2.3%
8Washington Wizards40.741.3.4960.24-0.280.2024-2617-1551-3130-5243.2%20.5%0.10.31.48.416.516.510.114.118.518.116.323.01.2%0.3%
9Chicago Bulls40.441.6.4930.44-0.460.4223-2617-1650-3230-5239.8%0.21.25.215.617.66.711.520.320.016.924.61.3%0.4%
10Atlanta Hawks39.642.4.483-0.200.39-0.8325-2615-1649-3328-5428.8%12.2%0.10.84.410.013.55.39.113.016.919.436.40.5%0.2%
11Toronto Raptors39.142.9.4770.42-0.520.9223-2916-1449-3328-5424.7%0.22.08.813.72.26.711.115.018.146.91.1%0.5%
12Indiana Pacers37.744.3.4600.38-0.14-1.6824-2814-1647-3528-5412.1%0.63.58.00.62.36.811.616.961.90.2%0.1%
13Orlando Magic32.849.2.4010.220.05-3.0520-3113-1842-4023-590.4%0.10.30.20.31.198.5
14Detroit Pistons23.158.9.2820.75-0.35-6.6813-3910-2032-5014-68100.0
15Charlotte Hornets26.155.9.3180.57-0.12-5.8015-3611-2038-4417-65100.0

Table
  First Round Seed Pre Play-In  
Rk Western Conference W L W/L% SOS rSOS SRS Current Remain Best Worst Playoffs Division 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8   1-6 7 8 9 10 Out   Win Conf Win Finals
1Denver Nuggets53.029.0.647-0.27-0.113.5534-1619-1363-1942-40100.0%99.6%65.529.54.40.40.1100.024.5%12.1%
2Memphis Grizzlies51.830.2.632-0.23-0.364.1532-1820-1261-2140-42100.0%98.5%32.055.610.81.00.30.299.928.4%14.8%
3Sacramento Kings46.835.2.570-0.34-0.192.6728-2119-1458-2437-4596.7%72.0%2.212.148.116.18.15.13.02.091.73.42.11.30.70.814.8%6.4%
4Phoenix Suns42.939.1.523-0.010.171.4527-2516-1452-3034-4873.9%16.0%0.10.810.314.714.012.711.59.852.611.210.18.86.810.46.4%2.3%
5Dallas Mavericks42.439.6.518-0.01-0.340.3827-2515-1552-3034-4865.6%0.9%0.10.54.612.613.212.811.410.643.712.411.010.29.013.83.4%1.2%
6New Orleans Pelicans42.839.2.522-0.11-0.251.4026-2517-1452-3033-4971.8%0.7%0.56.315.514.613.112.09.750.111.810.39.07.211.66.1%2.2%
7Golden State Warriors42.040.0.512-0.030.010.0526-2416-1653-2931-5158.8%8.2%0.55.38.910.411.610.611.536.711.911.311.310.218.72.6%0.7%
8Utah Jazz41.940.1.511-0.05-0.091.1426-2616-1452-3031-5161.9%0.2%0.23.310.911.611.912.311.737.911.512.210.99.817.74.7%1.6%
9Oklahoma City Thunder41.840.2.5090.44-0.791.4224-2618-1453-2931-5157.4%0.1%0.23.08.510.611.112.012.133.311.311.411.010.722.34.9%1.6%
10Los Angeles Clippers40.941.1.499-0.861.31-0.8428-2513-1652-3032-5040.4%3.7%0.12.24.35.88.39.210.520.79.610.612.313.932.91.4%0.4%
11Minnesota Timberwolves40.741.3.496-0.350.51-0.2927-2614-1551-3131-5138.6%0.1%1.14.26.37.19.310.718.78.910.312.413.836.01.3%0.3%
12Portland Trail Blazers39.742.3.484-0.310.390.0724-2616-1650-3230-5229.4%0.72.74.65.27.58.713.26.58.99.612.349.61.3%0.5%
13Los Angeles Lakers37.045.0.451-0.130.30-1.5023-2814-1747-3527-555.6%0.2%0.10.30.40.91.32.61.71.51.83.25.586.30.1%
14Houston Rockets21.560.5.2620.090.58-7.4112-389-2331-5113-69100.0
15San Antonio Spurs21.860.2.2650.410.15-9.3214-378-2332-5015-67100.0