2019-20 Playoff Probabilities Report

Results are based on 10,000 simulations of the remainder of season, including the 8th-seed play-in round and removal of home-court advantage for the neutral Orlando site.

See more details about the results.

Projections will be published for the 2020-21 season when the second-half schedule is released.

Projected Standings

Projected Standings Table
														Seed
Rk	Eastern Conference	W	L	W/L%	SOS	rSOS	SRS	Current	Remain	Best	Worst	Playoffs	Division	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	Win Conf	Win Finals
1	Milwaukee Bucks	56.0	17.0	.767	-0.67	-1.11	9.41	56-17	0-0	56-17	56-17	100.0%	100.0%	100.0
2	Toronto Raptors	53.0	19.0	.736	-0.26	0.57	5.97	53-19	0-0	53-19	53-19	100.0%	100.0%		100.0
3	Boston Celtics	48.0	24.0	.667	-0.47	1.16	5.83	48-24	0-0	48-24	48-24	100.0%				100.0
4	Indiana Pacers	45.0	28.0	.616	-0.33	-0.74	1.63	45-28	0-0	45-28	45-28	100.0%					100.0
5	Miami Heat	44.0	29.0	.603	-0.35	-0.17	2.59	44-29	0-0	44-29	44-29	100.0%	100.0%					100.0				100.0%
6	Philadelphia 76ers	43.0	30.0	.589	-0.13	-0.79	2.25	43-30	0-0	43-30	43-30	100.0%							100.0
7	Brooklyn Nets	35.0	37.0	.486	-0.44	0.11	-1.01	35-37	0-0	35-37	35-37	100.0%								100.0
8	Orlando Magic	33.0	40.0	.452	0.09	-0.76	-0.93	33-40	0-0	33-40	33-40	100.0%									100.0

9	Charlotte Hornets	23.0	42.0	.354	-0.28	-0.81	-7.03	23-42	0-0	23-42	23-42
10	Atlanta Hawks	20.0	47.0	.299	0.27	0.39	-7.71	20-47	0-0	20-47	20-47
11	Chicago Bulls	22.0	43.0	.338	-0.93	-1.01	-4.00	22-43	0-0	22-43	22-43
12	Cleveland Cavaliers	19.0	46.0	.292	0.12	0.20	-7.77	19-46	0-0	19-46	19-46
13	New York Knicks	21.0	45.0	.318	-0.26	-2.43	-6.72	21-45	0-0	21-45	21-45
14	Detroit Pistons	20.0	46.0	.303	-0.82	2.38	-4.38	20-46	0-0	20-46	20-46
15	Washington Wizards	25.0	47.0	.347	-0.57	0.02	-5.24	25-47	0-0	25-47	25-47

Table
														Seed
Rk	Western Conference	W	L	W/L%	SOS	rSOS	SRS	Current	Remain	Best	Worst	Playoffs	Division	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	Win Conf	Win Finals
1	Los Angeles Lakers	52.0	19.0	.732	0.49	-2.91	6.28	52-19	0-0	52-19	52-19	100.0%	100.0%	100.0								100.0%	100.0%
2	Los Angeles Clippers	49.0	23.0	.681	0.21	-1.07	6.66	49-23	0-0	49-23	49-23	100.0%			100.0
3	Denver Nuggets	46.0	27.0	.630	0.24	0.42	2.35	46-27	0-0	46-27	46-27	100.0%	100.0%			100.0
4	Houston Rockets	44.0	28.0	.611	0.17	0.57	3.13	44-28	0-0	44-28	44-28	100.0%	100.0%				100.0
5	Oklahoma City Thunder	44.0	28.0	.611	0.34	-0.01	2.33	44-28	0-0	44-28	44-28	100.0%						100.0
6	Utah Jazz	44.0	28.0	.611	0.05	2.45	2.52	44-28	0-0	44-28	44-28	100.0%							100.0
7	Dallas Mavericks	43.0	32.0	.573	-0.07	-0.81	4.87	43-32	0-0	43-32	43-32	100.0%								100.0
8	Portland Trail Blazers	35.0	39.0	.473	0.54	-1.11	-0.61	35-39	0-0	35-39	35-39	100.0%									100.0

9	New Orleans Pelicans	30.0	42.0	.417	0.74	-1.28	-0.55	30-42	0-0	30-42	30-42
10	Sacramento Kings	31.0	41.0	.431	0.46	0.77	-1.59	31-41	0-0	31-41	31-41
11	Memphis Grizzlies	34.0	39.0	.466	0.16	-1.34	-0.91	34-39	0-0	34-39	34-39
12	Minnesota Timberwolves	19.0	45.0	.297	0.28	0.13	-4.02	19-45	0-0	19-45	19-45
13	Golden State Warriors	15.0	50.0	.231	0.59	0.49	-8.12	15-50	0-0	15-50	15-50
14	Phoenix Suns	34.0	39.0	.466	0.35	-0.53	0.56	34-39	0-0	34-39	34-39
15	San Antonio Spurs	32.0	39.0	.451	0.46	-3.18	-0.65	32-39	0-0	32-39	32-39