Playoff Probabilities Report

Results are based on 10,000 simulations of the remainder of season, including the play-in round.

See more details about the results. We also use these simulations to project the draft order and lottery winners.

Projected Standings

Projected Standings Table
  Seed Pre Play-In  
Rk Eastern Conference W L W/L% SOS rSOS SRS Current Remain Best Worst Playoffs Division 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8   7 8 9 10   Win Conf Win Finals
1Chicago Bulls50.931.1.621-0.50-0.054.2317-834-2365-1739-4398.3%60.6%39.222.414.58.96.23.81.91.32.11.50.60.521.5%5.9%
2Brooklyn Nets50.231.8.612-0.41-0.113.2617-733-2564-1836-4697.6%84.6%27.825.417.811.46.64.52.41.82.81.71.10.615.8%3.5%
3Milwaukee Bucks48.433.6.590-0.960.233.2516-932-2561-2136-4693.3%27.6%14.818.116.415.111.58.15.63.75.74.52.41.814.8%3.3%
4Miami Heat46.235.8.5630.02-0.182.5014-1132-2561-2133-4982.5%44.2%5.89.512.413.112.911.69.77.59.88.26.54.49.8%1.9%
5Cleveland Cavaliers46.235.8.5631.04-0.473.1613-1233-2460-2232-5083.1%11.5%5.18.611.813.814.312.19.77.710.08.06.24.512.3%2.7%
6Atlanta Hawks45.736.3.5570.42-0.272.9813-1233-2461-2130-5279.2%36.8%4.27.511.311.912.412.310.79.010.78.47.35.711.3%2.3%
7Philadelphia 76ers43.438.6.529-0.200.000.8913-1130-2860-2231-5154.5%6.7%1.12.74.06.98.210.210.810.611.311.111.310.93.3%0.5%
8Charlotte Hornets43.039.0.5240.76-0.260.2914-1229-2757-2530-5252.6%13.2%0.82.34.05.57.610.011.011.511.012.112.011.03.0%0.5%
9Boston Celtics43.039.0.524-0.520.231.1613-1230-2757-2530-5253.2%6.1%0.82.03.96.08.19.811.111.411.011.411.711.03.9%0.6%
10Washington Wizards41.340.7.504-0.100.07-1.0214-1127-3055-2725-5732.7%5.8%0.20.81.63.14.25.87.89.27.89.611.712.90.8%0.1%
11Toronto Raptors40.341.7.4910.620.070.2811-1329-2955-2727-5527.4%1.3%0.10.30.91.83.24.37.19.66.89.010.813.11.4%0.2%
12New York Knicks40.141.9.489-0.180.27-0.3912-1228-3054-2828-5424.5%1.3%0.10.30.81.52.74.46.48.26.28.09.711.61.0%0.1%
13Indiana Pacers39.642.4.4830.32-0.081.1610-1630-2652-3024-5821.1%0.3%0.10.20.61.02.13.25.78.44.86.68.812.21.3%0.2%
14Orlando Magic21.760.3.2651.130.16-9.555-2017-4036-4610-72
15Detroit Pistons21.960.1.2670.750.35-8.944-1918-4136-469-73

Table
  Seed Pre Play-In  
Rk Western Conference W L W/L% SOS rSOS SRS Current Remain Best Worst Playoffs Division 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8   7 8 9 10   Win Conf Win Finals
1Golden State Warriors62.519.5.762-1.16-0.0711.8820-442-1674-850-32100.0%88.4%84.313.12.563.3%54.6%
2Phoenix Suns56.825.2.693-0.35-0.426.0320-437-2171-1144-38100.0%11.6%10.551.736.90.90.112.3%7.9%
3Utah Jazz55.126.9.672-1.33-0.147.8516-739-2068-1440-42100.0%99.5%5.235.057.02.50.20.119.6%14.3%
4Memphis Grizzlies44.237.8.5380.38-0.380.5014-1030-2858-2430-5291.6%82.1%0.12.342.921.512.96.85.18.44.93.51.91.3%0.5%
5Los Angeles Clippers42.139.9.513-0.480.170.8813-1229-2856-2629-5381.4%0.518.321.717.912.810.113.710.57.05.31.3%0.6%
6Denver Nuggets41.940.1.5110.90-0.440.5511-1231-2855-2728-5479.9%0.4%0.516.121.018.213.710.514.411.27.95.21.0%0.3%
7Minnesota Timberwolves40.141.9.489-0.220.020.1611-1329-2952-3028-5464.0%0.2%0.27.311.614.715.914.415.714.612.910.00.5%0.2%
8Dallas Mavericks38.643.4.4710.05-0.11-1.6911-1228-3153-2924-5848.2%12.4%4.18.010.412.713.112.513.614.214.40.3%0.1%
9Los Angeles Lakers38.243.8.466-0.980.40-2.0213-1225-3255-2724-5840.8%2.95.48.611.312.511.013.414.315.30.1%0.1%
10Portland Trail Blazers38.044.0.4640.97-0.50-1.5911-1427-3052-3024-5839.8%2.75.27.811.412.610.812.815.215.20.1%
11San Antonio Spurs36.745.3.447-0.24-0.10-0.898-1529-3051-3123-5929.1%5.5%1.33.05.18.011.86.89.712.816.00.2%
12Sacramento Kings36.245.8.4420.53-0.17-2.4710-1426-3249-3321-6124.8%1.02.44.37.39.86.59.111.915.60.1%
13New Orleans Pelicans27.954.1.3400.84-0.11-5.897-1921-3543-3915-670.3%0.10.20.10.20.30.8
14Oklahoma City Thunder24.657.4.300-0.010.35-9.187-1618-4139-4313-690.10.1
15Houston Rockets25.856.2.314-1.260.65-7.967-1619-4039-4315-670.10.2