Playoff Probabilities Report

March Madness Bracket Picks

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Results are based on 7500 simulations of the remainder of season.

Teams are sorted by their average conference rank in the simulations, so a team with a worse average W-L record might possibly
be ranked ahead of a team with a better average W-L record.

See more details about the results. We also use these simulations to project the draft order and lottery winners.

Projected Standings

Projected Standings Table
Rk	Eastern Conference	W	L	W/L%	SOS	rSOS	SRS	Current	Remain	Best	Worst	Playoffs	Division	Top Seed	Win Conf	Win Finals	Win Lottery
1	Milwaukee Bucks	60.6	21.4	.739	-0.72	-1.33	8.24	53-19	8-2	63-19	56-26	100.0%	100.0%	94.7%	52.6%	37.5%
2	Toronto Raptors	58.1	23.9	.708	-0.24	-2.62	5.34	51-21	7-3	61-21	53-29	100.0%	99.7%	5.3%	23.7%	13.5%
3	Philadelphia 76ers	53.1	28.9	.648	-0.18	-2.41	3.19	47-25	6-4	57-25	48-34	100.0%	0.3%		8.6%	3.7%
4	Indiana Pacers	49.5	32.5	.603	-0.78	1.35	3.08	44-28	5-5	54-28	44-38	100.0%			4.3%	1.5%
5	Boston Celtics	49.3	32.7	.601	-0.50	-0.74	4.49	43-29	6-4	53-29	44-38	100.0%			9.2%	4.5%
6	Detroit Pistons	41.4	40.6	.504	-0.39	0.67	-0.82	36-34	5-7	47-35	36-46	93.6%			0.5%	0.1%
7	Brooklyn Nets	40.2	41.8	.491	-0.73	3.84	-1.06	37-36	3-6	46-36	37-45	88.0%			0.3%	0.1%	0.1%
8	Miami Heat	39.9	42.1	.487	-0.40	0.95	-0.16	35-36	5-6	46-36	35-47	69.1%	60.7%		0.5%	0.1%	0.4%

9	Orlando Magic	38.7	43.3	.472	-0.35	-0.37	-0.54	34-38	5-5	43-39	34-48	43.6%	36.0%		0.2%		0.9%
10	Charlotte Hornets	35.9	46.1	.438	-0.41	1.22	-1.61	31-39	5-7	42-40	31-51	5.4%	3.1%				3.4%
11	Washington Wizards	34.4	47.6	.419	-0.36	-0.52	-2.96	30-42	4-6	40-42	30-52	0.3%	0.2%				5.4%
12	Atlanta Hawks	26.5	55.5	.323	-0.45	3.60	-6.65	24-48	2-8	32-50	24-58						10.4%
13	Chicago Bulls	23.7	58.3	.289	0.03	0.64	-7.56	21-52	3-6	30-52	21-61						12.6%
14	Cleveland Cavaliers	21.2	60.8	.259	0.07	1.50	-8.92	19-53	2-8	27-55	19-63						14.2%
15	New York Knicks	17.2	64.8	.209	0.40	-0.45	-8.62	14-58	3-7	23-59	14-68						14.3%

Table
Rk	Western Conference	W	L	W/L%	SOS	rSOS	SRS	Current	Remain	Best	Worst	Playoffs	Division	Top Seed	Win Conf	Win Finals	Win Lottery
1	Golden State Warriors	56.3	25.7	.686	0.10	-0.83	6.03	48-22	8-4	60-22	50-32	100.0%	100.0%	78.9%	30.2%	14.3%
2	Denver Nuggets	54.5	27.5	.665	0.03	1.11	5.05	47-22	8-5	60-22	49-33	100.0%	92.7%	20.2%	21.8%	8.8%
3	Portland Trail Blazers	51.0	31.0	.622	0.45	-1.10	4.13	44-27	7-4	55-27	45-37	100.0%	5.1%	0.6%	12.3%	4.6%
4	Houston Rockets	50.8	31.2	.619	0.27	0.19	3.35	45-27	6-4	55-27	45-37	100.0%	90.2%	0.3%	8.2%	2.4%
5	Utah Jazz	49.8	32.2	.608	0.51	-3.01	4.73	42-29	8-3	53-29	43-39	100.0%	2.2%		15.2%	5.9%
6	San Antonio Spurs	47.7	34.3	.582	0.39	-1.80	1.88	42-30	6-4	52-30	43-39	100.0%	9.8%		3.3%	0.7%
7	Los Angeles Clippers	47.6	34.4	.581	0.38	-0.89	1.39	42-30	6-4	52-30	42-40	100.0%			2.3%	0.5%
8	Oklahoma City Thunder	47.6	34.4	.581	-0.06	1.82	3.30	42-30	6-4	52-30	42-40	100.0%			6.6%	1.8%

9	Sacramento Kings	39.7	42.3	.484	0.40	-0.36	-0.56	34-36	6-6	45-37	34-48	0.1%					0.7%
10	Minnesota Timberwolves	36.9	45.1	.450	0.22	2.13	-0.82	32-39	5-6	43-39	32-50						2.6%
11	Los Angeles Lakers	35.7	46.3	.435	0.23	1.64	-2.00	31-40	5-6	41-41	31-51						3.8%
12	New Orleans Pelicans	35.7	46.3	.435	0.34	-1.26	-0.10	31-43	5-3	39-43	31-51						3.8%
13	Memphis Grizzlies	33.6	48.4	.410	0.46	0.73	-1.94	29-42	5-6	39-43	29-53						6.8%
14	Dallas Mavericks	33.0	49.0	.403	0.48	0.03	-1.31	28-43	5-6	38-44	28-54						7.2%
15	Phoenix Suns	20.2	61.8	.247	0.87	-0.38	-8.08	17-55	3-7	26-56	17-65						13.5%

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