Playoff Probabilities Report

Results are based on 7500 simulations of the remainder of season.

Teams are sorted by their average conference rank in the simulations, so a team with a worse average W-L record might possibly
be ranked ahead of a team with a better average W-L record.

See more details about the results. We also use these simulations to project the draft order and lottery winners.

Projected Standings

Projected Standings Table
Rk Eastern Conference W L W/L% SOS rSOS SRS Current Remain Best Worst Playoffs Division Top Seed Win Conf Win Finals Win Lottery
1Milwaukee Bucks58.523.5.7140.34-1.4010.1918-841-1569-1346-36100.0%98.0%52.8%46.9%35.5%
2Toronto Raptors58.024.0.708-0.27-0.867.8722-736-1770-1245-37100.0%82.4%40.3%28.9%19.9%
3Boston Celtics53.328.7.650-0.60-0.587.0216-1037-1966-1639-43100.0%16.1%6.3%16.1%10.1%
4Philadelphia 76ers48.433.6.590-0.61-0.251.8219-929-2561-2135-4799.9%1.4%0.4%2.1%0.7%
5Indiana Pacers48.333.7.589-1.66-0.023.0417-1031-2460-2236-4699.9%2.0%0.2%3.3%1.4%
6Charlotte Hornets44.737.3.545-0.54-0.362.7713-1332-2457-2533-4998.6%90.4%2.4%1.0%
7Detroit Pistons38.543.5.470-0.730.14-1.9313-1226-3153-2926-5669.0%0.1%1.1%
8Orlando Magic37.045.0.4520.59-0.72-2.7812-1525-3052-3025-5754.2%5.8%0.1%2.0%
9Miami Heat36.245.8.441-1.480.52-1.8311-1525-3149-3323-5939.9%3.1%0.1%2.1%
10Brooklyn Nets34.147.9.415-0.570.18-2.4910-1824-3048-3422-6022.8%3.5%
11Washington Wizards33.248.8.405-0.24-0.32-5.0611-1622-3347-3521-6114.7%0.7%4.3%
12New York Knicks28.453.6.3460.70-0.13-5.918-2020-3442-4017-650.8%9.0%
13Cleveland Cavaliers24.357.7.2960.600.07-7.736-2118-3738-4414-680.1%14.0%
14Atlanta Hawks22.559.5.2750.570.02-9.746-2017-3936-4611-7117.0%
15Chicago Bulls22.060.0.2681.22-0.45-9.826-2216-3835-4711-7117.8%

Table
Rk Western Conference W L W/L% SOS rSOS SRS Current Remain Best Worst Playoffs Division Top Seed Win Conf Win Finals Win Lottery
1Denver Nuggets53.428.6.6510.26-0.086.5618-935-2066-1640-4299.7%71.1%49.9%32.3%12.9%
2Golden State Warriors51.830.2.631-0.530.375.3319-933-2163-1939-4399.1%74.8%25.7%22.9%8.0%
3Oklahoma City Thunder50.531.5.616-1.770.895.0717-833-2465-1737-4597.6%25.9%17.2%19.2%5.7%
4Los Angeles Clippers47.134.9.5750.090.332.2017-1030-2561-2133-4986.7%16.3%3.6%6.4%1.3%0.1%
5Los Angeles Lakers45.336.7.552-0.740.591.4817-1028-2759-2330-5273.1%8.1%1.2%3.6%0.7%0.2%
6Portland Trail Blazers44.737.3.5450.630.292.2315-1230-2557-2531-5166.6%2.0%0.9%4.2%0.8%0.4%
7Memphis Grizzlies44.137.9.5380.400.270.9415-1129-2756-2631-5160.2%41.3%0.7%2.3%0.3%0.3%
8Dallas Mavericks42.939.1.523-0.810.681.2714-1129-2856-2629-5345.2%25.8%0.3%2.2%0.5%0.5%
9New Orleans Pelicans42.939.1.5240.240.122.0714-1529-2455-2730-5247.7%27.6%0.2%2.7%0.4%0.4%
10Utah Jazz42.839.2.5221.74-0.531.1713-1530-2456-2630-5248.3%0.7%0.2%2.1%0.5%0.5%
11Sacramento Kings41.540.5.5070.300.32-0.3614-1228-2854-2828-5431.7%0.9%0.1%0.5%0.1%0.7%
12Minnesota Timberwolves41.440.6.5051.080.130.9713-1428-2753-2929-5330.5%0.3%1.2%0.2%0.6%
13Houston Rockets38.044.0.463-0.080.79-1.2012-1426-3050-3224-587.1%2.8%0.1%1.7%
14San Antonio Spurs37.744.3.460-0.110.61-2.1414-1424-3051-3126-566.5%2.4%0.1%1.9%
15Phoenix Suns18.763.3.2281.650.44-10.214-2415-3931-518-7422.0%

 

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