Playoff Probabilities Report

Results are based on 10,000 simulations of the remainder of season, including the 8th-seed play-in round and removal of home-court advantage for the neutral Orlando site.

See more details about the results. We also use these simulations to project the draft order and lottery winners.

Projected Standings

Projected Standings Table
  Seed  
Rk Eastern Conference W L W/L% SOS SRS Current Playoffs Division 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Win 1st Rd Win Semi Win Conf Win Finals
1Milwaukee Bucks56.017.0.767-0.679.4156-17100.0%100.0%100.0100.0%0.0%
2Toronto Raptors53.019.0.736-0.265.9753-19100.0%100.0%100.0100.0%0.0%
3Boston Celtics48.024.0.667-0.475.8348-24100.0%100.0100.0%100.0%20.5%9.9%
4Indiana Pacers45.028.0.616-0.331.6345-28100.0%100.00.0%0.0%
5Miami Heat44.029.0.603-0.352.5944-29100.0%100.0%100.0100.0%100.0%79.5%23.4%
6Philadelphia 76ers43.030.0.589-0.132.2543-30100.0%100.00.0%0.0%
7Brooklyn Nets35.037.0.486-0.44-1.0135-37100.0%100.00.0%0.0%
8Orlando Magic33.040.0.4520.09-0.9333-40100.0%100.00.0%0.0%
9Charlotte Hornets23.042.0.354-0.28-7.0323-42
10Atlanta Hawks20.047.0.2990.27-7.7120-47
11Chicago Bulls22.043.0.338-0.93-4.0022-43
12Cleveland Cavaliers19.046.0.2920.12-7.7719-46
13New York Knicks21.045.0.318-0.26-6.7221-45
14Detroit Pistons20.046.0.303-0.82-4.3820-46
15Washington Wizards25.047.0.347-0.57-5.2425-47

Table
  Seed  
Rk Western Conference W L W/L% SOS SRS Current Playoffs Division 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Win 1st Rd Win Semi Win Conf Win Finals
1Los Angeles Lakers52.019.0.7320.496.2852-19100.0%100.0%100.0100.0%100.0%94.1%64.2%
2Los Angeles Clippers49.023.0.6810.216.6649-23100.0%100.0100.0%0.0%
3Denver Nuggets46.027.0.6300.242.3546-27100.0%100.0%100.0100.0%100.0%5.9%2.5%
4Houston Rockets44.028.0.6110.173.1344-28100.0%100.0%100.0100.0%0.0%
5Oklahoma City Thunder44.028.0.6110.342.3344-28100.0%100.00.0%0.0%
6Utah Jazz44.028.0.6110.052.5244-28100.0%100.00.0%0.0%
7Dallas Mavericks43.032.0.573-0.074.8743-32100.0%100.00.0%0.0%
8Portland Trail Blazers35.039.0.4730.54-0.6135-39100.0%100.00.0%0.0%
9New Orleans Pelicans30.042.0.4170.74-0.5530-42
10Sacramento Kings31.041.0.4310.46-1.5931-41
11Memphis Grizzlies34.039.0.4660.16-0.9134-39
12Minnesota Timberwolves19.045.0.2970.28-4.0219-45
13Golden State Warriors15.050.0.2310.59-8.1215-50
14Phoenix Suns34.039.0.4660.350.5634-39
15San Antonio Spurs32.039.0.4510.46-0.6532-39