Playoff Probabilities Report

Results are based on 7500 simulations of the remainder of season.

Teams are sorted by their average conference rank in the simulations, so a team with a worse average W-L record might possibly
be ranked ahead of a team with a better average W-L record.

See more details about the results. We also use these simulations to project the draft order and lottery winners.

Projected Standings

Projected Standings Table
Rk Eastern Conference W L W/L% SOS rSOS SRS Current Remain Best Worst Playoffs Division Top Seed Win Conf Win Finals Win Lottery
1Toronto Raptors57.824.2.705-0.51-0.347.7841-1717-765-1749-33100.0%88.3%88.5%60.2%31.0%
2Boston Celtics53.928.1.657-0.25-0.433.4041-1913-961-2146-36100.0%11.7%11.5%16.5%4.6%
3Cleveland Cavaliers47.834.2.583-0.18-0.550.2935-2313-1157-2540-4299.7%67.1%3.0%0.4%
4Philadelphia 76ers46.635.4.5680.50-1.402.4731-2516-1054-2837-4598.8%7.7%1.7%
5Washington Wizards45.836.2.559-0.541.151.1234-2512-1154-2838-4498.0%84.4%4.3%0.7%
6Indiana Pacers45.136.9.549-0.611.001.0734-2511-1255-2737-4596.5%15.8%4.3%0.8%0.1%
7Milwaukee Bucks45.037.0.548-0.160.01-0.1433-2512-1253-2936-4696.0%17.0%2.2%0.3%
8Miami Heat42.339.7.5160.06-1.01-0.8430-2912-1150-3235-4776.8%15.1%1.2%0.1%0.1%
9Detroit Pistons39.742.3.4840.08-0.51-0.2328-3012-1249-3332-5025.5%0.2%0.4%0.1%0.4%
10Charlotte Hornets37.944.1.4630.19-0.980.1426-3312-1145-3729-538.5%0.5%0.2%0.8%
11New York Knicks33.748.3.411-0.140.42-2.4324-3610-1241-4126-560.1%1.7%
12Chicago Bulls28.753.3.3510.49-0.57-5.3220-389-1538-4421-616.6%
13Orlando Magic27.654.4.336-0.100.00-4.3518-4010-1436-4619-6310.0%
14Brooklyn Nets27.254.8.3320.140.07-4.3019-418-1435-4720-6210.9%
15Atlanta Hawks26.056.0.317-0.171.00-4.6218-428-1434-4819-6313.9%

Table
Rk Western Conference W L W/L% SOS rSOS SRS Current Remain Best Worst Playoffs Division Top Seed Win Conf Win Finals Win Lottery
1Golden State Warriors61.720.3.7530.13-1.608.2145-1417-668-1454-28100.0%100.0%50.3%41.4%26.8%
2Houston Rockets61.720.3.752-0.500.118.3845-1317-768-1452-30100.0%100.0%49.7%43.0%28.5%
3Minnesota Timberwolves47.334.7.577-0.010.152.5936-2611-955-2740-4295.9%45.3%3.5%1.3%
4San Antonio Spurs47.035.0.574-0.491.332.5035-2512-1055-2738-4494.0%3.2%0.9%
5Oklahoma City Thunder46.435.6.566-0.230.583.1734-2612-1055-2739-4391.9%27.6%4.4%1.7%0.1%
6Portland Trail Blazers45.236.8.551-0.210.611.1433-2612-1153-2937-4579.9%13.4%1.1%0.3%0.1%
7Denver Nuggets44.837.2.5460.040.211.1133-2612-1154-2836-4674.3%10.8%1.3%0.3%0.1%
8New Orleans Pelicans44.137.9.5380.110.470.2932-2612-1253-2935-4763.9%0.7%0.1%0.1%
9Los Angeles Clippers43.438.6.529-0.170.610.7831-2712-1252-3035-4751.5%0.6%0.2%0.4%
10Utah Jazz43.238.8.5270.50-0.411.9630-2913-1051-3134-4848.6%2.8%0.9%0.2%0.4%
11Los Angeles Lakers34.547.5.4200.230.09-2.2924-3410-1442-4027-551.4%
12Dallas Mavericks28.253.8.3440.54-0.26-2.1818-4110-1337-4519-637.7%
13Memphis Grizzlies28.253.8.3440.64-0.62-3.4218-3910-1536-4619-638.3%
14Sacramento Kings25.856.2.3140.420.35-7.5318-408-1636-4619-6314.7%
15Phoenix Suns23.458.6.2860.331.13-8.6518-425-1730-5218-6422.3%

 

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