Playoff Probabilities Report
Results are based on 10,000 simulations of the remainder of
season, including the play-in round.
See more details about the results. We also use these simulations to
project the draft order and lottery winners.
Projected Standings
Seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rk | Eastern Conference | W | L | W/L% | SOS | rSOS | SRS | Current | Remain | Best | Worst | Playoffs | Division | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | Win Conf | Win Finals |
1 | Philadelphia 76ers | 48.0 | 24.0 | .667 | -0.33 | -0.16 | 4.80 | 36-17 | 12-7 | 54-18 | 40-32 | 100.0% | 70.0% | 59.4 | 26.4 | 14.0 | 0.2 | 27.6% | 8.6% | ||||
2 | Brooklyn Nets | 46.8 | 25.2 | .650 | -0.56 | 0.65 | 3.72 | 36-17 | 11-8 | 54-18 | 39-33 | 100.0% | 30.0% | 25.9 | 42.6 | 30.9 | 0.5 | 17.2% | 4.2% | ||||
3 | Milwaukee Bucks | 45.7 | 26.3 | .634 | -0.26 | -0.53 | 5.88 | 33-20 | 13-6 | 52-20 | 37-35 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 14.6 | 30.8 | 51.8 | 2.4 | 0.3 | 34.6% | 12.6% | |||
4 | Atlanta Hawks | 39.5 | 32.5 | .549 | -0.06 | -0.50 | 2.00 | 29-25 | 11-7 | 46-26 | 33-39 | 96.4% | 65.4% | 0.1 | 1.7 | 47.1 | 23.6 | 13.6 | 6.8 | 3.5 | 6.8% | 1.2% | |
5 | Boston Celtics | 38.8 | 33.2 | .539 | 0.22 | -1.37 | 2.22 | 28-26 | 11-7 | 46-26 | 31-41 | 95.7% | 1.1 | 25.5 | 34.8 | 20.5 | 8.8 | 4.9 | 7.7% | 1.5% | |||
6 | Charlotte Hornets | 37.1 | 34.9 | .515 | 0.04 | -0.31 | -0.75 | 27-25 | 10-10 | 45-27 | 29-43 | 80.0% | 20.4% | 0.3 | 11.8 | 15.8 | 22.2 | 17.6 | 12.4 | 1.4% | 0.2% | ||
7 | Miami Heat | 37.2 | 34.8 | .517 | -0.01 | -0.21 | -0.59 | 28-25 | 9-10 | 46-26 | 29-43 | 78.7% | 14.2% | 0.2 | 8.0 | 14.0 | 21.5 | 20.6 | 14.4 | 1.3% | 0.1% | ||
8 | Indiana Pacers | 35.8 | 36.2 | .497 | 0.23 | -0.90 | 0.02 | 25-27 | 11-9 | 44-28 | 26-46 | 61.5% | 2.6 | 6.1 | 11.8 | 20.5 | 20.5 | 1.5% | 0.2% | ||||
9 | New York Knicks | 35.5 | 36.5 | .493 | -0.67 | 1.61 | 0.30 | 27-27 | 9-9 | 43-29 | 28-44 | 61.3% | 1.9 | 5.3 | 10.0 | 22.9 | 21.2 | 1.5% | 0.2% | ||||
10 | Chicago Bulls | 31.2 | 40.8 | .433 | -0.17 | 0.32 | -1.17 | 22-30 | 9-11 | 39-33 | 24-48 | 18.4% | 0.1 | 0.4 | 2.2 | 15.7 | 0.3% | ||||||
11 | Toronto Raptors | 29.8 | 42.2 | .414 | -0.41 | 0.88 | 0.02 | 21-33 | 9-9 | 37-35 | 23-49 | 7.7% | 0.5 | 7.2 | 0.1% | ||||||||
12 | Washington Wizards | 27.1 | 44.9 | .377 | 0.58 | -1.10 | -4.80 | 19-33 | 8-12 | 34-38 | 20-52 | 0.3% | 0.3 | ||||||||||
13 | Cleveland Cavaliers | 25.4 | 46.6 | .353 | 0.54 | -0.73 | -6.90 | 19-34 | 6-13 | 35-37 | 19-53 | 0.1% | 0.1 | ||||||||||
14 | Orlando Magic | 22.8 | 49.2 | .316 | 0.30 | 0.00 | -7.38 | 17-36 | 6-13 | 30-42 | 17-55 | ||||||||||||
15 | Detroit Pistons | 24.0 | 48.0 | .334 | 0.35 | -0.81 | -3.40 | 16-38 | 8-10 | 31-41 | 17-55 |
Seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rk | Western Conference | W | L | W/L% | SOS | rSOS | SRS | Current | Remain | Best | Worst | Playoffs | Division | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | Win Conf | Win Finals |
1 | Utah Jazz | 54.9 | 17.1 | .763 | 0.37 | -2.31 | 10.09 | 40-13 | 15-4 | 59-13 | 47-25 | 100.0% | 99.9% | 95.3 | 4.5 | 0.2 | 53.1% | 42.9% | |||||
2 | Phoenix Suns | 50.0 | 22.0 | .694 | -0.37 | 0.26 | 6.57 | 37-15 | 13-7 | 57-15 | 42-30 | 100.0% | 63.0% | 4.3 | 56.1 | 30.8 | 7.9 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 16.3% | 10.2% | ||
3 | Los Angeles Clippers | 48.5 | 23.5 | .674 | -0.04 | -0.72 | 6.79 | 37-18 | 12-5 | 54-18 | 41-31 | 100.0% | 36.9% | 0.3 | 35.1 | 49.3 | 13.2 | 1.9 | 0.2 | 17.7% | 11.7% | ||
4 | Denver Nuggets | 45.9 | 26.1 | .638 | -0.13 | -0.12 | 4.95 | 34-19 | 12-7 | 53-19 | 38-34 | 99.9% | 0.1% | 0.1 | 4.2 | 17.0 | 51.8 | 21.5 | 5.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 6.7% | 3.7% |
5 | Los Angeles Lakers | 43.8 | 28.2 | .608 | -0.52 | 1.15 | 3.93 | 33-20 | 11-8 | 50-22 | 36-36 | 99.6% | 0.2% | 0.2 | 2.4 | 22.4 | 53.6 | 17.9 | 2.4 | 0.9 | 3.6% | 1.9% | |
6 | Dallas Mavericks | 41.2 | 30.8 | .573 | 0.48 | -1.34 | 2.54 | 29-23 | 12-8 | 48-24 | 33-39 | 93.4% | 89.7% | 0.3 | 4.2 | 17.6 | 46.3 | 16.8 | 8.0 | 1.7% | 0.6% | ||
7 | Portland Trail Blazers | 39.2 | 32.8 | .545 | -0.47 | 1.73 | -0.66 | 31-22 | 8-11 | 48-24 | 32-40 | 77.7% | 0.4 | 3.9 | 23.4 | 30.9 | 19.1 | 0.1% | |||||
8 | Memphis Grizzlies | 37.5 | 34.5 | .520 | 0.25 | -0.52 | 1.40 | 26-25 | 11-10 | 45-27 | 30-42 | 68.2% | 9.7% | 0.1 | 0.8 | 6.6 | 35.2 | 25.6 | 0.7% | 0.2% | |||
9 | Golden State Warriors | 34.4 | 37.6 | .478 | 0.50 | -0.89 | -1.27 | 25-28 | 9-10 | 42-30 | 27-45 | 25.4% | 0.2 | 7.6 | 17.6 | 0.1% | |||||||
10 | New Orleans Pelicans | 33.6 | 38.4 | .467 | 0.29 | -0.49 | -0.07 | 24-29 | 10-9 | 41-31 | 26-46 | 22.5% | 0.5% | 0.2 | 4.5 | 17.8 | 0.1% | ||||||
11 | San Antonio Spurs | 33.2 | 38.8 | .461 | -0.44 | 1.65 | -2.07 | 25-26 | 8-13 | 41-31 | 26-46 | 12.2% | 0.1% | 0.1 | 2.3 | 9.8 | |||||||
12 | Sacramento Kings | 29.7 | 42.3 | .413 | 0.44 | -0.30 | -3.94 | 22-31 | 8-11 | 36-36 | 23-49 | 1.1% | 1.1 | ||||||||||
13 | Houston Rockets | 18.9 | 53.1 | .263 | -0.55 | 2.95 | -7.06 | 14-39 | 5-14 | 26-46 | 14-58 | ||||||||||||
14 | Minnesota Timberwolves | 19.3 | 52.7 | .269 | 0.14 | 1.08 | -7.12 | 14-40 | 5-13 | 27-45 | 14-58 | ||||||||||||
15 | Oklahoma City Thunder | 25.2 | 46.8 | .350 | 0.35 | 0.63 | -8.11 | 20-33 | 5-14 | 33-39 | 20-52 |
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