Playoff Probabilities Report

Results are based on 10,000 simulations of the remainder of season, including the play-in round.

See more details about the results. We also use these simulations to project the draft order and lottery winners.

Projected Standings

Projected Standings Table
														First Round Seed									Pre Play-In
Rk	Eastern Conference	W	L	W/L%	SOS	rSOS	SRS	Current	Remain	Best	Worst	Playoffs	Division	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8		1-6	7	8	9	10	Out		Win Conf	Win Finals
1	Boston Celtics	64.6	17.4	.788	-0.43	-5.15	10.91	62-17	3-0	65-17	62-20	100.0%	100.0%	100.0									100.0							77.3%	62.2%
2	Milwaukee Bucks	49.8	32.2	.608	-0.31	3.98	2.92	49-31	1-1	51-31	49-33	100.0%	84.4%		82.0	15.8	2.2						100.0							4.6%	1.6%
3	Cleveland Cavaliers	48.4	33.6	.590	-0.36	-3.90	2.13	47-33	1-1	49-33	47-35	99.8%	15.6%		13.4	14.2	44.9	19.7	6.3	0.8	0.5		98.5	1.5						2.7%	0.9%
4	New York Knicks	48.7	33.3	.594	-0.30	2.03	4.28	47-32	2-1	50-32	47-35	100.0%			4.7	61.2	22.0	8.3	3.9				100.0							7.6%	3.2%
5	Indiana Pacers	47.1	34.9	.575	-0.27	0.06	2.44	46-34	1-1	48-34	46-36	98.7%				4.6	15.7	28.6	43.4	4.3	2.2		92.3	6.6	1.2					3.1%	1.0%
6	Orlando Magic	46.9	35.1	.572	-0.61	2.56	1.30	46-34	1-1	48-34	46-36	95.8%	83.8%			4.2	15.1	39.1	21.6	10.2	5.8		79.9	7.1	13.0					1.6%	0.4%
7	Philadelphia 76ers	46.3	35.7	.564	-0.52	-0.78	2.20	45-35	1-1	47-35	45-37	85.4%					0.1	2.8	15.4	43.6	23.5		18.3	50.7	31.0					2.1%	0.8%
8	Miami Heat	45.5	36.5	.555	-0.51	-6.18	0.83	44-36	1-1	46-36	44-38	80.8%	16.2%					1.7	9.4	41.1	28.6		11.1	34.1	54.8					0.9%	0.2%

9	Chicago Bulls	38.6	43.4	.471	-0.16	-4.71	-1.94	37-42	2-1	40-42	37-45	20.1%									20.1					99.4	0.6
10	Atlanta Hawks	36.5	45.5	.446	-0.33	4.58	-2.01	36-44	1-1	38-44	36-46	19.4%									19.4					0.6	99.4
11	Brooklyn Nets	32.6	49.4	.397	-0.22	3.24	-2.87	32-48	1-1	34-48	32-50																	100.0
12	Toronto Raptors	25.5	56.5	.311	-0.05	0.83	-6.18	25-55	1-1	27-55	25-57																	100.0
13	Charlotte Hornets	20.2	61.8	.246	-0.03	6.52	-10.24	20-60	0-2	22-60	20-62																	100.0
14	Washington Wizards	15.4	66.6	.188	-0.10	4.49	-9.48	15-65	0-2	17-65	15-67																	100.0
15	Detroit Pistons	13.9	68.1	.169	0.10	-1.67	-8.95	13-66	1-2	16-66	13-69																	100.0

Table
														First Round Seed									Pre Play-In
Rk	Western Conference	W	L	W/L%	SOS	rSOS	SRS	Current	Remain	Best	Worst	Playoffs	Division	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8		1-6	7	8	9	10	Out		Win Conf	Win Finals
1	Denver Nuggets	57.5	24.5	.702	0.12	-6.40	5.33	56-24	2-0	58-24	56-26	100.0%	68.8%	68.8	18.6	12.5							100.0							19.1%	5.3%
2	Oklahoma City Thunder	56.3	25.7	.687	-0.10	3.05	6.67	55-25	1-1	57-25	55-27	100.0%	17.5%	17.5	17.8	64.7							100.0							25.0%	8.9%
3	Minnesota Timberwolves	56.4	25.6	.688	-0.09	0.39	6.72	55-25	1-1	57-25	55-27	100.0%	13.7%	13.7	63.6	22.8							100.0							26.8%	9.5%
4	Los Angeles Clippers	52.4	29.6	.639	0.17	-1.62	3.68	51-29	1-1	53-29	51-31	100.0%	100.0%				97.7	2.3					100.0							8.5%	1.9%
5	Dallas Mavericks	51.2	30.8	.624	0.08	-1.14	3.18	50-30	1-1	52-30	50-32	100.0%	100.0%				2.3	97.7					100.0							6.1%	1.3%
6	New Orleans Pelicans	48.7	33.3	.593	-0.03	1.93	4.54	47-32	2-1	50-32	47-35	93.3%							67.1	17.2	9.1		67.1	29.6	2.2	1.0	0.1			7.4%	1.9%
7	Phoenix Suns	47.8	34.2	.583	-0.09	4.40	2.79	47-33	1-1	49-33	47-35	84.1%							31.3	35.4	17.4		31.3	40.7	26.7	1.4				3.3%	0.7%
8	Sacramento Kings	46.8	35.2	.571	0.59	-0.21	2.07	45-34	2-1	48-34	45-37	64.9%							1.6	37.3	26.1		1.6	26.7	52.7	13.9	5.1			1.7%	0.3%

9	Los Angeles Lakers	46.0	36.0	.561	0.51	-1.01	0.89	45-35	1-1	47-35	45-37	24.2%							0.1	3.7	20.4		0.1	2.1	5.9	27.4	64.6			0.6%	0.1%
10	Golden State Warriors	46.0	36.0	.561	0.25	-2.62	2.84	44-35	2-1	47-35	44-38	33.5%								6.4	27.0			0.9	12.5	56.3	30.3			1.6%	0.2%
11	Houston Rockets	40.7	41.3	.497	0.23	-2.90	1.18	39-40	2-1	42-40	39-43																	100.0
12	Utah Jazz	29.9	52.1	.364	0.62	2.56	-4.41	29-50	1-2	32-50	29-53																	100.0
13	Memphis Grizzlies	27.5	54.5	.336	0.38	3.11	-6.57	27-53	1-1	29-53	27-55																	100.0
14	Portland Trail Blazers	21.7	60.3	.265	0.68	2.03	-7.98	21-58	1-2	24-58	21-61																	100.0
15	San Antonio Spurs	20.9	61.1	.255	0.77	-1.81	-6.24	20-60	1-1	22-60	20-62																	100.0