Playoff Probabilities Report

Results are based on 7500 simulations of the remainder of season.

Teams are sorted by their average conference rank in the simulations, so a team with a worse average W-L record might possibly
be ranked ahead of a team with a better average W-L record.

See more details about the results. We also use these simulations to project the draft order and lottery winners.

Projected Standings

Projected Standings Table
Rk	Eastern Conference	W	L	W/L%	SOS	rSOS	SRS	Current	Remain	Best	Worst	Playoffs	Division	Top Seed	Win Conf	Win Finals	Win Lottery
1	Milwaukee Bucks	58.5	23.5	.714	0.34	-1.40	10.19	18-8	41-15	69-13	46-36	100.0%	98.0%	52.8%	46.9%	35.5%
2	Toronto Raptors	58.0	24.0	.708	-0.27	-0.86	7.87	22-7	36-17	70-12	45-37	100.0%	82.4%	40.3%	28.9%	19.9%
3	Boston Celtics	53.3	28.7	.650	-0.60	-0.58	7.02	16-10	37-19	66-16	39-43	100.0%	16.1%	6.3%	16.1%	10.1%
4	Philadelphia 76ers	48.4	33.6	.590	-0.61	-0.25	1.82	19-9	29-25	61-21	35-47	99.9%	1.4%	0.4%	2.1%	0.7%
5	Indiana Pacers	48.3	33.7	.589	-1.66	-0.02	3.04	17-10	31-24	60-22	36-46	99.9%	2.0%	0.2%	3.3%	1.4%
6	Charlotte Hornets	44.7	37.3	.545	-0.54	-0.36	2.77	13-13	32-24	57-25	33-49	98.6%	90.4%		2.4%	1.0%
7	Detroit Pistons	38.5	43.5	.470	-0.73	0.14	-1.93	13-12	26-31	53-29	26-56	69.0%			0.1%		1.1%
8	Orlando Magic	37.0	45.0	.452	0.59	-0.72	-2.78	12-15	25-30	52-30	25-57	54.2%	5.8%		0.1%		2.0%

9	Miami Heat	36.2	45.8	.441	-1.48	0.52	-1.83	11-15	25-31	49-33	23-59	39.9%	3.1%		0.1%		2.1%
10	Brooklyn Nets	34.1	47.9	.415	-0.57	0.18	-2.49	10-18	24-30	48-34	22-60	22.8%					3.5%
11	Washington Wizards	33.2	48.8	.405	-0.24	-0.32	-5.06	11-16	22-33	47-35	21-61	14.7%	0.7%				4.3%
12	New York Knicks	28.4	53.6	.346	0.70	-0.13	-5.91	8-20	20-34	42-40	17-65	0.8%					9.0%
13	Cleveland Cavaliers	24.3	57.7	.296	0.60	0.07	-7.73	6-21	18-37	38-44	14-68	0.1%					14.0%
14	Atlanta Hawks	22.5	59.5	.275	0.57	0.02	-9.74	6-20	17-39	36-46	11-71						17.0%
15	Chicago Bulls	22.0	60.0	.268	1.22	-0.45	-9.82	6-22	16-38	35-47	11-71						17.8%

Table
Rk	Western Conference	W	L	W/L%	SOS	rSOS	SRS	Current	Remain	Best	Worst	Playoffs	Division	Top Seed	Win Conf	Win Finals	Win Lottery
1	Denver Nuggets	53.4	28.6	.651	0.26	-0.08	6.56	18-9	35-20	66-16	40-42	99.7%	71.1%	49.9%	32.3%	12.9%
2	Golden State Warriors	51.8	30.2	.631	-0.53	0.37	5.33	19-9	33-21	63-19	39-43	99.1%	74.8%	25.7%	22.9%	8.0%
3	Oklahoma City Thunder	50.5	31.5	.616	-1.77	0.89	5.07	17-8	33-24	65-17	37-45	97.6%	25.9%	17.2%	19.2%	5.7%
4	Los Angeles Clippers	47.1	34.9	.575	0.09	0.33	2.20	17-10	30-25	61-21	33-49	86.7%	16.3%	3.6%	6.4%	1.3%	0.1%
5	Los Angeles Lakers	45.3	36.7	.552	-0.74	0.59	1.48	17-10	28-27	59-23	30-52	73.1%	8.1%	1.2%	3.6%	0.7%	0.2%
6	Portland Trail Blazers	44.7	37.3	.545	0.63	0.29	2.23	15-12	30-25	57-25	31-51	66.6%	2.0%	0.9%	4.2%	0.8%	0.4%
7	Memphis Grizzlies	44.1	37.9	.538	0.40	0.27	0.94	15-11	29-27	56-26	31-51	60.2%	41.3%	0.7%	2.3%	0.3%	0.3%
8	Dallas Mavericks	42.9	39.1	.523	-0.81	0.68	1.27	14-11	29-28	56-26	29-53	45.2%	25.8%	0.3%	2.2%	0.5%	0.5%

9	New Orleans Pelicans	42.9	39.1	.524	0.24	0.12	2.07	14-15	29-24	55-27	30-52	47.7%	27.6%	0.2%	2.7%	0.4%	0.4%
10	Utah Jazz	42.8	39.2	.522	1.74	-0.53	1.17	13-15	30-24	56-26	30-52	48.3%	0.7%	0.2%	2.1%	0.5%	0.5%
11	Sacramento Kings	41.5	40.5	.507	0.30	0.32	-0.36	14-12	28-28	54-28	28-54	31.7%	0.9%	0.1%	0.5%	0.1%	0.7%
12	Minnesota Timberwolves	41.4	40.6	.505	1.08	0.13	0.97	13-14	28-27	53-29	29-53	30.5%	0.3%		1.2%	0.2%	0.6%
13	Houston Rockets	38.0	44.0	.463	-0.08	0.79	-1.20	12-14	26-30	50-32	24-58	7.1%	2.8%		0.1%		1.7%
14	San Antonio Spurs	37.7	44.3	.460	-0.11	0.61	-2.14	14-14	24-30	51-31	26-56	6.5%	2.4%		0.1%		1.9%
15	Phoenix Suns	18.7	63.3	.228	1.65	0.44	-10.21	4-24	15-39	31-51	8-74						22.0%

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