Playoff Probabilities Report

Results are based on 7500 simulations of the remainder of season.

Teams are sorted by their average conference rank in the simulations, so a team with a worse average W-L record might possibly
be ranked ahead of a team with a better average W-L record.

See more details about the results. We also use these simulations to project the draft order and lottery winners.

Projected Standings

Projected Standings Table
Rk Eastern Conference W L W/L% SOS rSOS SRS Current Remain Best Worst Playoffs Division Top Seed Win Conf Win Finals Win Lottery
1Milwaukee Bucks61.620.4.7512.61-1.9014.5310-352-1774-847-35100.0%99.8%90.5%68.0%48.6%
2Toronto Raptors54.727.3.667-0.99-0.767.0112-243-2569-1341-41100.0%90.9%9.3%18.1%8.3%
3Boston Celtics46.635.4.5681.34-1.053.037-640-2962-2034-4899.0%7.4%0.1%4.3%1.2%
4Indiana Pacers46.235.8.563-0.19-0.882.538-638-3060-2232-5098.5%0.2%0.1%3.6%1.2%
5Charlotte Hornets45.037.0.549-2.30-0.322.857-738-3058-2431-5197.7%90.4%3.8%1.0%
6Philadelphia 76ers43.738.3.5330.34-0.740.149-635-3258-2429-5395.3%1.6%1.3%0.2%0.1%
7Brooklyn Nets38.443.6.469-1.01-0.12-1.946-832-3654-2825-5764.2%0.1%0.5%0.1%1.0%
8Detroit Pistons37.045.0.451-2.430.14-3.606-631-3952-3023-5948.7%0.1%1.8%
9Miami Heat36.845.2.449-1.55-0.09-2.325-832-3752-3024-5846.7%5.6%0.3%0.1%1.6%
10Orlando Magic35.346.7.4310.30-0.59-4.496-829-3951-3122-6031.8%3.2%2.7%
11Washington Wizards32.050.0.3900.85-0.66-6.694-928-4147-3517-659.9%0.8%6.7%
12New York Knicks30.551.5.372-1.210.17-6.434-1027-4144-3816-664.8%8.5%
13Chicago Bulls29.452.6.359-1.020.00-7.454-1025-4343-3916-662.9%9.6%
14Cleveland Cavaliers26.255.8.319-1.530.44-8.762-1124-4541-4111-710.4%15.1%
15Atlanta Hawks23.658.4.287-2.620.63-11.483-1121-4738-4410-720.1%18.9%

Table
Rk Western Conference W L W/L% SOS rSOS SRS Current Remain Best Worst Playoffs Division Top Seed Win Conf Win Finals Win Lottery
1Portland Trail Blazers55.926.1.6821.17-0.0810.8610-346-2370-1239-4399.9%85.2%49.9%36.1%16.7%
2Golden State Warriors55.126.9.672-0.890.198.8512-343-2468-1441-4199.9%77.1%37.5%28.7%12.3%
3Los Angeles Clippers50.731.3.6192.59-0.307.208-543-2664-1834-4897.8%22.0%7.3%14.1%4.7%
4Denver Nuggets49.232.8.6000.770.225.989-540-2862-2034-4894.4%10.8%3.7%10.4%3.2%
5New Orleans Pelicans46.335.7.5641.87-0.363.727-639-3060-2231-5182.1%64.4%0.8%3.7%1.1%0.1%
6Utah Jazz45.336.7.5531.08-0.043.237-638-3160-2230-5276.2%2.2%0.3%2.7%0.6%0.2%
7Oklahoma City Thunder44.937.1.547-0.890.522.658-537-3259-2329-5371.2%1.7%0.4%2.2%0.4%0.2%
8Los Angeles Lakers41.640.4.507-0.020.560.677-635-3458-2426-5638.8%0.5%0.5%0.1%0.7%
9San Antonio Spurs41.640.4.508-0.760.540.327-535-3559-2327-5541.2%16.4%0.1%0.6%0.1%0.7%
10Sacramento Kings41.340.7.5040.700.35-0.308-633-3557-2528-5436.7%0.4%0.1%0.3%0.5%
11Memphis Grizzlies41.140.9.501-1.170.87-0.017-534-3655-2726-5634.6%12.8%0.4%0.6%
12Houston Rockets40.042.0.4882.890.09-0.656-734-3554-2827-5523.4%6.4%0.3%0.9%
13Minnesota Timberwolves34.947.1.4252.840.41-3.315-930-3848-3422-603.1%3.5%
14Dallas Mavericks32.149.9.392-2.851.44-5.165-827-4248-3419-630.6%0.1%6.4%
15Phoenix Suns23.059.0.2802.140.80-11.402-1121-4838-4410-7220.1%

 

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