Playoff Probabilities Report

Results are based on 7500 simulations of the remainder of season.

Teams are sorted by their average conference rank in the simulations, so a team with a worse average W-L record might possibly
be ranked ahead of a team with a better average W-L record.

See more details about the results. We also use these simulations to project the draft order and lottery winners.

Projected Standings

Projected Standings Table
Rk Eastern Conference W L W/L% SOS SRS Current Remain Best Worst Playoffs Division Top Seed Win Conf Win Finals Win Lottery
1Boston Celtics57.224.8.697-0.697.3616-241-2372-1044-38100.0%68.3%67.2%35.8%15.2%
2Toronto Raptors54.527.5.6651.308.1811-544-2267-1537-45100.0%31.0%30.1%37.4%17.0%
3Washington Wizards46.335.7.565-1.213.4310-736-2960-2233-4991.2%77.8%1.0%8.4%2.2%0.1%
4Detroit Pistons45.436.6.554-0.391.5511-634-3159-2332-5087.4%48.0%0.6%4.4%0.9%0.1%
5Philadelphia 76ers45.436.6.5542.102.109-736-3060-2233-4986.7%0.5%0.5%4.8%1.1%0.1%
6Indiana Pacers43.838.2.534-0.441.1210-834-3058-2425-5777.6%29.4%0.2%2.8%0.7%0.2%
7New York Knicks43.138.9.5260.191.329-734-3257-2529-5370.9%0.2%0.2%2.8%0.5%0.4%
8Cleveland Cavaliers42.439.6.518-0.41-0.2310-732-3357-2530-5264.8%19.1%0.1%1.4%0.2%0.2%
9Charlotte Hornets40.441.6.4930.110.237-933-3354-2825-5744.8%12.5%1.3%0.2%0.7%
10Orlando Magic38.843.2.473-0.04-1.518-931-3455-2724-5829.5%6.6%0.4%1.6%
11Milwaukee Bucks38.543.5.4701.12-2.008-831-3553-2925-5726.1%3.6%0.4%0.1%1.6%
12Miami Heat37.144.9.4530.37-2.517-930-3654-2821-6115.9%3.0%0.1%2.0%
13Brooklyn Nets34.347.7.418-0.18-3.556-1028-3848-3422-604.9%4.7%
14Atlanta Hawks29.352.7.357-0.08-5.083-1426-3945-3715-670.2%11.0%
15Chicago Bulls25.656.4.3120.41-8.923-1223-4441-4113-6916.3%

Table
Rk Western Conference W L W/L% SOS SRS Current Remain Best Worst Playoffs Division Top Seed Win Conf Win Finals Win Lottery
1Golden State Warriors60.022.0.7321.2711.6813-447-1871-1148-34100.0%100.0%75.3%54.5%38.8%
2Houston Rockets56.425.6.688-0.128.5313-443-2270-1243-39100.0%96.9%24.2%29.3%17.7%
3Portland Trail Blazers45.936.1.559-2.243.4110-736-2960-2232-5093.5%40.5%0.1%4.4%1.8%
4San Antonio Spurs45.936.1.560-0.862.2011-635-3061-2132-5092.8%2.8%0.2%3.4%1.1%
5Denver Nuggets44.637.4.544-0.751.8410-735-3058-2430-5287.3%27.5%0.1%2.8%1.0%0.2%
6Oklahoma City Thunder43.638.4.532-1.573.067-937-2957-2530-5282.6%19.2%0.1%3.2%0.9%0.3%
7Minnesota Timberwolves42.339.7.516-0.04-0.5110-732-3356-2629-5372.3%12.2%0.8%0.2%0.5%
8Memphis Grizzlies41.940.1.5112.111.057-935-3154-2826-5668.9%0.3%1.3%0.4%0.5%
9New Orleans Pelicans39.742.3.4840.09-1.559-831-3452-3025-5746.4%0.1%0.3%0.1%1.0%
10Los Angeles Lakers36.845.2.449-0.76-2.108-1029-3551-3123-5919.7%0.1%2.6%
11Utah Jazz36.745.3.4480.00-1.397-1130-3453-2921-6118.6%0.5%0.1%2.3%
12Los Angeles Clippers36.645.4.4460.24-1.385-1132-3451-3122-6017.6%2.7%
13Dallas Mavericks27.354.7.3330.91-5.813-1524-4042-4014-680.1%14.1%
14Phoenix Suns26.755.3.326-1.04-9.097-1120-4442-4014-680.1%15.8%
15Sacramento Kings23.258.8.2831.23-11.364-1319-4638-4412-7020.9%

 

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