Playoff Probabilities Report

Results are based on 7500 simulations of the remainder of season.

Teams are sorted by their average conference rank in the simulations, so a team with a worse average W-L record might possibly
be ranked ahead of a team with a better average W-L record.

See more details about the results. We also use these simulations to project the draft order and lottery winners.

Projected Standings

Projected Standings Table
Rk Eastern Conference W L W/L% SOS rSOS SRS Current Remain Best Worst Playoffs Division Top Seed Win Conf Win Finals Win Lottery
1Milwaukee Bucks59.822.2.729-0.95-1.059.0533-1227-1068-1450-32100.0%96.7%73.2%53.9%40.4%
2Toronto Raptors57.224.8.698-0.42-1.165.1835-1322-1266-1648-34100.0%91.3%25.0%19.2%10.5%
3Indiana Pacers52.429.6.639-1.620.254.2331-1521-1562-2042-40100.0%3.3%1.4%10.0%4.7%
4Boston Celtics51.230.8.624-0.90-0.475.2528-1823-1360-2241-41100.0%6.9%0.4%13.1%6.9%
5Philadelphia 76ers49.232.8.600-1.110.102.1730-1719-1659-2339-43100.0%1.8%0.1%2.7%0.9%
6Brooklyn Nets40.341.7.491-0.820.22-1.3024-2316-1950-3230-5286.8%0.2%0.5%
7Miami Heat39.942.1.487-0.950.26-0.6622-2218-2051-3129-5378.8%49.8%0.4%0.9%
8Charlotte Hornets39.142.9.476-1.060.37-0.5622-2417-1950-3228-5476.0%43.5%0.3%0.1%1.3%
9Detroit Pistons36.545.5.445-0.08-0.65-2.5520-2516-2147-3526-5633.7%0.1%4.0%
10Washington Wizards34.647.4.422-0.58-0.51-3.8019-2616-2146-3624-5814.8%4.3%6.4%
11Orlando Magic34.048.0.4150.01-0.92-3.9719-2715-2144-3825-579.9%2.5%6.3%
12Atlanta Hawks26.255.8.3190.10-0.26-7.8414-3112-2536-4617-6511.5%
13New York Knicks23.358.7.2840.74-0.70-7.5810-3413-2534-4813-6912.7%
14Chicago Bulls20.561.5.2500.75-1.05-9.8110-3610-2630-5212-7014.2%
15Cleveland Cavaliers18.363.7.2230.55-0.36-10.539-389-2628-5410-7213.4%

Table
Rk Western Conference W L W/L% SOS rSOS SRS Current Remain Best Worst Playoffs Division Top Seed Win Conf Win Finals Win Lottery
1Golden State Warriors54.827.2.669-0.260.536.2832-1423-1365-1745-37100.0%99.3%68.8%34.8%15.8%
2Denver Nuggets52.429.6.639-0.361.164.7131-1421-1662-2042-4099.9%76.2%25.0%19.5%6.7%
3Utah Jazz48.133.9.5860.69-0.494.1626-2122-1358-2438-4495.6%10.0%1.9%13.0%4.6%
4Portland Trail Blazers47.734.3.5820.77-0.033.2228-1920-1558-2437-4593.9%6.7%1.4%8.1%2.4%
5Oklahoma City Thunder47.434.6.578-0.991.803.5227-1820-1759-2337-4590.8%7.2%1.5%9.2%2.7%0.1%
6San Antonio Spurs46.435.6.5660.63-0.312.8627-2119-1555-2736-4687.3%45.6%0.6%6.4%2.0%
7Houston Rockets46.335.7.5650.590.282.6626-1920-1756-2635-4784.5%50.5%0.6%5.4%1.5%0.2%
8Los Angeles Clippers44.337.7.5400.99-0.411.3025-2119-1754-2835-4764.9%0.5%1.9%0.4%0.4%
9Los Angeles Lakers42.139.9.513-0.191.230.8125-2217-1852-3032-5029.7%0.2%0.7%0.2%1.0%
10Sacramento Kings41.240.8.5030.630.17-0.4624-2217-1952-3031-5121.7%0.2%0.1%1.4%
11New Orleans Pelicans40.941.1.4990.250.291.9021-2520-1651-3129-5319.6%3.2%0.7%0.1%1.5%
12Minnesota Timberwolves39.142.9.4760.370.84-0.0222-2417-1951-3128-546.5%0.1%2.5%
13Dallas Mavericks38.643.4.4710.450.470.4520-2519-1849-3329-534.4%0.7%0.1%2.9%
14Memphis Grizzlies36.345.7.4421.33-0.34-1.5419-2717-1947-3526-561.2%5.0%
15Phoenix Suns21.960.1.2671.330.17-7.3411-3711-2331-5114-6813.5%

 

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