Playoff Probabilities Report

Results are based on 10,000 simulations of the remainder of season, including the play-in round.

See more details about the results. We also use these simulations to project the draft order and lottery winners.

Projected Standings

Projected Standings Table
  Seed  
Rk Eastern Conference W L W/L% SOS rSOS SRS Current Remain Best Worst Playoffs Division 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Win Conf Win Finals
1Philadelphia 76ers48.024.0.667-0.33-0.164.8036-1712-754-1840-32100.0%70.0%59.426.414.00.227.6%8.6%
2Brooklyn Nets46.825.2.650-0.560.653.7236-1711-854-1839-33100.0%30.0%25.942.630.90.517.2%4.2%
3Milwaukee Bucks45.726.3.634-0.26-0.535.8833-2013-652-2037-35100.0%100.0%14.630.851.82.40.334.6%12.6%
4Atlanta Hawks39.532.5.549-0.06-0.502.0029-2511-746-2633-3996.4%65.4%0.11.747.123.613.66.83.56.8%1.2%
5Boston Celtics38.833.2.5390.22-1.372.2228-2611-746-2631-4195.7%1.125.534.820.58.84.97.7%1.5%
6Charlotte Hornets37.134.9.5150.04-0.31-0.7527-2510-1045-2729-4380.0%20.4%0.311.815.822.217.612.41.4%0.2%
7Miami Heat37.234.8.517-0.01-0.21-0.5928-259-1046-2629-4378.7%14.2%0.28.014.021.520.614.41.3%0.1%
8Indiana Pacers35.836.2.4970.23-0.900.0225-2711-944-2826-4661.5%2.66.111.820.520.51.5%0.2%
9New York Knicks35.536.5.493-0.671.610.3027-279-943-2928-4461.3%1.95.310.022.921.21.5%0.2%
10Chicago Bulls31.240.8.433-0.170.32-1.1722-309-1139-3324-4818.4%0.10.42.215.70.3%
11Toronto Raptors29.842.2.414-0.410.880.0221-339-937-3523-497.7%0.57.20.1%
12Washington Wizards27.144.9.3770.58-1.10-4.8019-338-1234-3820-520.3%0.3
13Cleveland Cavaliers25.446.6.3530.54-0.73-6.9019-346-1335-3719-530.1%0.1
14Orlando Magic22.849.2.3160.300.00-7.3817-366-1330-4217-55
15Detroit Pistons24.048.0.3340.35-0.81-3.4016-388-1031-4117-55

Table
  Seed  
Rk Western Conference W L W/L% SOS rSOS SRS Current Remain Best Worst Playoffs Division 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Win Conf Win Finals
1Utah Jazz54.917.1.7630.37-2.3110.0940-1315-459-1347-25100.0%99.9%95.34.50.253.1%42.9%
2Phoenix Suns50.022.0.694-0.370.266.5737-1513-757-1542-30100.0%63.0%4.356.130.87.90.80.116.3%10.2%
3Los Angeles Clippers48.523.5.674-0.04-0.726.7937-1812-554-1841-31100.0%36.9%0.335.149.313.21.90.217.7%11.7%
4Denver Nuggets45.926.1.638-0.13-0.124.9534-1912-753-1938-3499.9%0.1%0.14.217.051.821.55.10.30.16.7%3.7%
5Los Angeles Lakers43.828.2.608-0.521.153.9333-2011-850-2236-3699.6%0.2%0.22.422.453.617.92.40.93.6%1.9%
6Dallas Mavericks41.230.8.5730.48-1.342.5429-2312-848-2433-3993.4%89.7%0.34.217.646.316.88.01.7%0.6%
7Portland Trail Blazers39.232.8.545-0.471.73-0.6631-228-1148-2432-4077.7%0.43.923.430.919.10.1%
8Memphis Grizzlies37.534.5.5200.25-0.521.4026-2511-1045-2730-4268.2%9.7%0.10.86.635.225.60.7%0.2%
9Golden State Warriors34.437.6.4780.50-0.89-1.2725-289-1042-3027-4525.4%0.27.617.60.1%
10New Orleans Pelicans33.638.4.4670.29-0.49-0.0724-2910-941-3126-4622.5%0.5%0.24.517.80.1%
11San Antonio Spurs33.238.8.461-0.441.65-2.0725-268-1341-3126-4612.2%0.1%0.12.39.8
12Sacramento Kings29.742.3.4130.44-0.30-3.9422-318-1136-3623-491.1%1.1
13Houston Rockets18.953.1.263-0.552.95-7.0614-395-1426-4614-58
14Minnesota Timberwolves19.352.7.2690.141.08-7.1214-405-1327-4514-58
15Oklahoma City Thunder25.246.8.3500.350.63-8.1120-335-1433-3920-52