Playoff Probabilities Report

Results are based on 10,000 simulations of the remainder of season, including the 8th-seed play-in round and removal of home-court advantage for the neutral Orlando site.

See more details about the results. We also use these simulations to project the draft order and lottery winners.

Projected Standings

Projected Standings Table
														Seed
Rk	Eastern Conference	W	L	W/L%	SOS	rSOS	SRS	Current	Remain	Best	Worst	Playoffs	Division	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	Win Conf	Win Finals
1	Milwaukee Bucks	58.7	14.3	.804	-0.85	2.08	10.44	53-12	6-2	61-12	54-19	100.0%	100.0%	100.0								64.1%	47.3%
2	Toronto Raptors	50.5	21.5	.702	-0.57	3.72	5.88	46-18	5-3	54-18	46-26	100.0%	86.2%		86.2	13.8						16.3%	8.5%
3	Boston Celtics	48.0	24.0	.666	-0.48	1.23	5.69	43-21	5-3	51-21	44-28	100.0%	13.8%		13.8	83.7	2.4	0.1				12.6%	6.8%
4	Miami Heat	44.8	28.2	.613	-0.65	3.75	2.58	41-24	4-4	48-25	41-32	100.0%	100.0%			1.9	74.9	17.1	6.1			2.8%	0.3%
5	Philadelphia 76ers	43.5	29.5	.595	0.01	0.27	2.22	39-26	4-4	47-26	39-34	100.0%				0.4	13.3	43.2	43.1			2.3%	0.7%
6	Indiana Pacers	43.0	30.0	.589	-0.33	1.52	1.61	39-26	4-4	47-26	39-34	100.0%				0.2	9.4	39.6	50.8			1.4%	0.4%
7	Brooklyn Nets	33.5	38.5	.465	-0.54	1.72	-1.18	30-34	3-5	38-34	30-42	94.7%								58.0	36.7	0.2%	0.1%
8	Orlando Magic	33.5	39.5	.459	0.12	1.49	-0.85	30-35	4-4	37-36	30-43	93.4%								42.0	51.4	0.3%

9	Washington Wizards	26.5	45.5	.368	-0.81	2.60	-4.86	24-40	2-6	30-42	24-48	11.9%									11.9
10	Charlotte Hornets	23.0	42.0	.354	-0.12		-6.88	23-42	0-0	23-42	23-42
11	Chicago Bulls	22.0	43.0	.338	-0.73		-3.81	22-43	0-0	22-43	22-43
12	New York Knicks	21.0	45.0	.318	-0.09		-6.55	21-45	0-0	21-45	21-45
13	Atlanta Hawks	20.0	47.0	.299	0.40		-7.57	20-47	0-0	20-47	20-47
14	Detroit Pistons	20.0	46.0	.303	-0.66		-4.22	20-46	0-0	20-46	20-46
15	Cleveland Cavaliers	19.0	46.0	.292	0.33		-7.55	19-46	0-0	19-46	19-46

Table
														Seed
Rk	Western Conference	W	L	W/L%	SOS	rSOS	SRS	Current	Remain	Best	Worst	Playoffs	Division	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	Win Conf	Win Finals
1	Los Angeles Lakers	54.0	17.0	.761	0.34	3.20	7.75	49-14	5-3	57-14	50-21	100.0%	99.9%	99.9	0.1							41.0%	18.4%
2	Los Angeles Clippers	49.1	22.9	.682	0.22	2.04	6.74	44-20	5-3	52-20	44-28	100.0%	0.1%	0.1	89.2	8.5	1.6	0.6				22.1%	8.2%
3	Denver Nuggets	46.9	26.1	.642	0.06	3.33	3.02	43-22	4-4	51-22	43-30	100.0%	66.9%		7.8	55.7	21.0	10.4	3.9	1.2		4.9%	1.2%
4	Utah Jazz	45.3	26.7	.629	0.03	2.03	3.20	41-23	4-4	49-23	41-31	100.0%	22.9%		2.2	18.7	32.1	23.4	15.8	7.8		5.0%	1.2%
5	Dallas Mavericks	44.8	30.2	.597	-0.21	2.44	5.84	40-27	5-3	48-27	41-34	100.0%	31.0%			1.1	5.5	15.6	26.6	51.2		14.5%	4.5%
6	Oklahoma City Thunder	44.2	27.8	.614	0.34	2.04	2.79	40-24	4-4	48-24	40-32	100.0%	10.2%		0.4	8.6	18.8	30.8	23.3	18.1		4.6%	0.9%
7	Houston Rockets	44.2	27.8	.613	0.03	3.01	3.78	40-24	4-4	48-24	40-32	100.0%	69.0%		0.3	7.4	21.0	19.2	30.4	21.7		7.6%	1.4%
8	Memphis Grizzlies	35.2	37.8	.482	0.02	3.25	-1.05	32-33	3-5	39-34	32-41	75.0%									75.0	0.3%	0.1%

9	New Orleans Pelicans	32.0	40.0	.444	1.13	-0.11	0.30	28-36	4-4	35-37	28-44	11.5%									11.5
10	Portland Trail Blazers	32.0	42.0	.433	0.49	3.13	-1.11	29-37	3-5	36-38	29-45	5.8%									5.8
11	Sacramento Kings	31.3	40.7	.435	0.48	1.84	-1.44	28-36	3-5	36-36	28-44	4.9%									4.9
12	San Antonio Spurs	30.3	40.7	.427	0.57	1.65	-1.21	27-36	3-5	35-36	27-44	2.8%									2.8
13	Phoenix Suns	29.1	43.9	.398	0.32	2.85	-1.05	26-39	3-5	33-40	26-47
14	Minnesota Timberwolves	19.0	45.0	.297	0.51		-3.78	19-45	0-0	19-45	19-45
15	Golden State Warriors	15.0	50.0	.231	0.79		-7.92	15-50	0-0	15-50	15-50

Playoff Probabilities Report

Projected Standings

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