Playoff Probabilities Report

Results are based on 7500 simulations of the remainder of season.

Teams are sorted by their average conference rank in the simulations, so a team with a worse average W-L record might possibly
be ranked ahead of a team with a better average W-L record.

See more details about the results. We also use these simulations to project the draft order and lottery winners.

Projected Standings

Projected Standings Table
Rk	Eastern Conference	W	L	W/L%	SOS	rSOS	SRS	Current	Remain	Best	Worst	Playoffs	Division	Top Seed	Win Conf	Win Finals	Win Lottery
1	Milwaukee Bucks	61.6	20.4	.751	2.61	-1.90	14.53	10-3	52-17	74-8	47-35	100.0%	99.8%	90.5%	68.0%	48.6%
2	Toronto Raptors	54.7	27.3	.667	-0.99	-0.76	7.01	12-2	43-25	69-13	41-41	100.0%	90.9%	9.3%	18.1%	8.3%
3	Boston Celtics	46.6	35.4	.568	1.34	-1.05	3.03	7-6	40-29	62-20	34-48	99.0%	7.4%	0.1%	4.3%	1.2%
4	Indiana Pacers	46.2	35.8	.563	-0.19	-0.88	2.53	8-6	38-30	60-22	32-50	98.5%	0.2%	0.1%	3.6%	1.2%
5	Charlotte Hornets	45.0	37.0	.549	-2.30	-0.32	2.85	7-7	38-30	58-24	31-51	97.7%	90.4%		3.8%	1.0%
6	Philadelphia 76ers	43.7	38.3	.533	0.34	-0.74	0.14	9-6	35-32	58-24	29-53	95.3%	1.6%		1.3%	0.2%	0.1%
7	Brooklyn Nets	38.4	43.6	.469	-1.01	-0.12	-1.94	6-8	32-36	54-28	25-57	64.2%	0.1%		0.5%	0.1%	1.0%
8	Detroit Pistons	37.0	45.0	.451	-2.43	0.14	-3.60	6-6	31-39	52-30	23-59	48.7%			0.1%		1.8%

9	Miami Heat	36.8	45.2	.449	-1.55	-0.09	-2.32	5-8	32-37	52-30	24-58	46.7%	5.6%		0.3%	0.1%	1.6%
10	Orlando Magic	35.3	46.7	.431	0.30	-0.59	-4.49	6-8	29-39	51-31	22-60	31.8%	3.2%				2.7%
11	Washington Wizards	32.0	50.0	.390	0.85	-0.66	-6.69	4-9	28-41	47-35	17-65	9.9%	0.8%				6.7%
12	New York Knicks	30.5	51.5	.372	-1.21	0.17	-6.43	4-10	27-41	44-38	16-66	4.8%					8.5%
13	Chicago Bulls	29.4	52.6	.359	-1.02	0.00	-7.45	4-10	25-43	43-39	16-66	2.9%					9.6%
14	Cleveland Cavaliers	26.2	55.8	.319	-1.53	0.44	-8.76	2-11	24-45	41-41	11-71	0.4%					15.1%
15	Atlanta Hawks	23.6	58.4	.287	-2.62	0.63	-11.48	3-11	21-47	38-44	10-72	0.1%					18.9%

Table
Rk	Western Conference	W	L	W/L%	SOS	rSOS	SRS	Current	Remain	Best	Worst	Playoffs	Division	Top Seed	Win Conf	Win Finals	Win Lottery
1	Portland Trail Blazers	55.9	26.1	.682	1.17	-0.08	10.86	10-3	46-23	70-12	39-43	99.9%	85.2%	49.9%	36.1%	16.7%
2	Golden State Warriors	55.1	26.9	.672	-0.89	0.19	8.85	12-3	43-24	68-14	41-41	99.9%	77.1%	37.5%	28.7%	12.3%
3	Los Angeles Clippers	50.7	31.3	.619	2.59	-0.30	7.20	8-5	43-26	64-18	34-48	97.8%	22.0%	7.3%	14.1%	4.7%
4	Denver Nuggets	49.2	32.8	.600	0.77	0.22	5.98	9-5	40-28	62-20	34-48	94.4%	10.8%	3.7%	10.4%	3.2%
5	New Orleans Pelicans	46.3	35.7	.564	1.87	-0.36	3.72	7-6	39-30	60-22	31-51	82.1%	64.4%	0.8%	3.7%	1.1%	0.1%
6	Utah Jazz	45.3	36.7	.553	1.08	-0.04	3.23	7-6	38-31	60-22	30-52	76.2%	2.2%	0.3%	2.7%	0.6%	0.2%
7	Oklahoma City Thunder	44.9	37.1	.547	-0.89	0.52	2.65	8-5	37-32	59-23	29-53	71.2%	1.7%	0.4%	2.2%	0.4%	0.2%
8	Los Angeles Lakers	41.6	40.4	.507	-0.02	0.56	0.67	7-6	35-34	58-24	26-56	38.8%	0.5%		0.5%	0.1%	0.7%

9	San Antonio Spurs	41.6	40.4	.508	-0.76	0.54	0.32	7-5	35-35	59-23	27-55	41.2%	16.4%	0.1%	0.6%	0.1%	0.7%
10	Sacramento Kings	41.3	40.7	.504	0.70	0.35	-0.30	8-6	33-35	57-25	28-54	36.7%	0.4%	0.1%	0.3%		0.5%
11	Memphis Grizzlies	41.1	40.9	.501	-1.17	0.87	-0.01	7-5	34-36	55-27	26-56	34.6%	12.8%		0.4%		0.6%
12	Houston Rockets	40.0	42.0	.488	2.89	0.09	-0.65	6-7	34-35	54-28	27-55	23.4%	6.4%		0.3%		0.9%
13	Minnesota Timberwolves	34.9	47.1	.425	2.84	0.41	-3.31	5-9	30-38	48-34	22-60	3.1%					3.5%
14	Dallas Mavericks	32.1	49.9	.392	-2.85	1.44	-5.16	5-8	27-42	48-34	19-63	0.6%	0.1%				6.4%
15	Phoenix Suns	23.0	59.0	.280	2.14	0.80	-11.40	2-11	21-48	38-44	10-72						20.1%

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