Playoff Probabilities Report

Results are based on 10,000 simulations of the remainder of season, including the play-in round.

See more details about the results. We also use these simulations to project the draft order and lottery winners.

Projected Standings

Projected Standings Table
  Seed Pre Play-In  
Rk Eastern Conference W L W/L% SOS rSOS SRS Current Remain Best Worst Playoffs Division 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8   7 8 9 10   Win Conf Win Finals
1Miami Heat51.830.2.631-0.41-0.185.8413-739-2367-1537-4599.0%80.5%51.822.211.46.23.52.01.20.71.30.70.50.330.7%9.9%
2Brooklyn Nets49.732.3.606-0.50-0.123.6014-636-2664-1835-4796.4%83.8%23.226.919.210.77.44.52.71.93.12.01.30.916.0%4.1%
3Chicago Bulls48.233.8.587-0.43-0.073.5713-835-2662-2034-4892.2%63.2%12.720.019.013.59.87.65.64.15.84.13.32.015.7%3.7%
4Atlanta Hawks45.136.9.5500.07-0.072.6911-1034-2760-2231-5174.4%8.2%3.06.99.812.412.011.49.69.39.89.18.06.29.1%2.1%
5Washington Wizards44.737.3.546-0.350.080.6113-732-3059-2330-5269.8%6.5%2.45.48.711.112.111.49.88.910.89.88.26.94.1%0.8%
6Milwaukee Bucks44.237.8.539-1.610.451.3412-832-3060-2230-5265.4%18.1%2.15.37.49.910.110.710.49.610.610.19.28.24.8%0.9%
7Charlotte Hornets44.137.9.5370.39-0.070.5813-931-2957-2530-5263.9%4.8%1.64.27.09.611.011.110.39.210.810.59.68.43.8%0.6%
8Philadelphia 76ers43.338.7.5290.59-0.301.4410-1033-2956-2629-5356.9%8.8%1.23.05.57.89.09.710.010.710.010.010.010.14.1%0.7%
9Indiana Pacers43.138.9.5250.20-0.142.489-1234-2756-2630-5255.5%11.7%1.02.64.96.98.29.510.911.610.110.410.610.95.7%1.2%
10Cleveland Cavaliers42.040.0.5120.62-0.060.7710-1032-3056-2627-5544.1%7.1%0.51.73.25.06.27.49.610.59.59.810.812.02.7%0.4%
11Boston Celtics40.441.6.493-1.220.50-0.0710-1030-3255-2725-5727.4%2.4%0.20.71.32.33.55.06.77.86.17.99.211.01.2%0.1%
12Toronto Raptors40.641.4.4950.650.130.409-1132-3057-2527-5530.6%2.6%0.10.71.52.64.15.17.49.06.98.610.211.21.5%0.2%
13New York Knicks40.141.9.489-1.120.54-0.9711-929-3355-2727-5524.5%2.4%0.10.61.22.13.14.75.86.95.37.19.012.00.8%0.1%
14Orlando Magic21.160.9.2580.670.50-10.474-1717-4435-4710-72
15Detroit Pistons24.957.1.3041.210.21-8.214-1521-4240-4213-69

Table
  Seed Pre Play-In  
Rk Western Conference W L W/L% SOS rSOS SRS Current Remain Best Worst Playoffs Division 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8   7 8 9 10   Win Conf Win Finals
1Golden State Warriors62.719.3.764-1.34-0.2212.2417-246-1777-550-32100.0%92.5%89.98.51.658.1%48.5%
2Phoenix Suns55.526.5.676-1.520.046.0817-338-2469-1341-41100.0%7.5%6.954.833.14.30.60.213.1%8.4%
3Utah Jazz53.628.4.654-1.16-0.137.8913-741-2167-1540-42100.0%95.1%3.234.552.08.01.80.40.10.10.120.7%14.9%
4Los Angeles Clippers46.335.7.565-0.34-0.073.1311-835-2861-2131-5196.9%1.47.943.523.311.76.03.16.93.21.30.63.9%1.8%
5Portland Trail Blazers44.337.7.5401.24-0.751.7910-1034-2857-2531-5191.3%3.5%0.63.421.527.119.512.17.213.18.04.71.51.8%0.7%
6Minnesota Timberwolves41.440.6.505-0.930.240.6210-1031-3155-2726-5675.9%0.9%0.10.76.814.318.519.615.920.117.412.06.10.9%0.3%
7Dallas Mavericks40.841.2.4980.21-0.19-1.3510-831-3356-2628-5470.9%86.3%0.86.713.018.317.215.018.517.712.97.00.4%0.1%
8Denver Nuggets41.041.0.4990.83-0.270.099-1032-3155-2725-5772.6%0.5%0.56.612.818.018.716.118.717.712.87.50.7%0.2%
9Sacramento Kings38.843.2.4731.13-0.37-0.578-1231-3154-2823-5953.8%0.12.36.09.816.219.514.318.920.814.30.5%0.1%
10Memphis Grizzlies34.447.6.4191.45-0.38-5.189-1025-3848-3418-6414.2%10.2%0.20.61.63.98.03.66.812.219.8
11Los Angeles Lakers34.847.2.424-0.880.39-4.0210-1125-3649-3322-6015.9%0.10.61.64.49.23.57.214.022.4
12San Antonio Spurs31.650.4.386-1.210.27-4.095-1327-3746-3619-635.1%2.9%0.10.41.13.50.71.94.910.3
13Oklahoma City Thunder30.351.7.3691.14-0.20-5.816-1324-3943-3916-662.4%0.10.51.80.41.03.16.9
14New Orleans Pelicans28.853.2.3512.07-0.62-5.575-1724-3643-3917-651.1%0.7%0.10.90.10.31.13.5
15Houston Rockets22.859.2.2780.180.14-9.453-1620-4337-4510-720.1