Playoff Probabilities Report

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Results are based on 10,000 simulations of the remainder of season.

See more details about the results. We also use these simulations to project the draft order and lottery winners.

Projected Standings

Projected Standings Table
														Seed
Rk	Eastern Conference	W	L	W/L%	SOS	rSOS	SRS	Current	Remain	Best	Worst	Playoffs	Division	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	Win Conf	Win Finals
1	Milwaukee Bucks	67.1	14.9	.818	-1.38	0.24	11.40	41-6	26-9	75-7	58-24	100.0%	100.0%	99.8	0.2							70.8%	54.9%
2	Toronto Raptors	55.7	26.3	.679	-0.35	-0.53	5.82	33-14	23-12	65-17	46-36	100.0%	59.5%	0.1	49.9	27.1	14.9	6.3	1.7			11.5%	5.2%
3	Boston Celtics	54.1	27.9	.660	-0.72	0.03	5.97	31-15	23-13	64-18	41-41	100.0%	31.3%	0.1	27.3	29.9	22.0	14.6	6.1			10.2%	5.0%
4	Miami Heat	53.0	29.0	.646	-0.45	-0.80	3.19	32-15	21-14	63-19	41-41	100.0%	100.0%		14.8	25.0	30.8	21.2	8.3			2.9%	0.9%
5	Philadelphia 76ers	51.7	30.3	.631	-0.05	-0.70	3.70	31-17	21-13	61-21	41-41	100.0%	9.1%		6.8	14.4	22.8	34.6	21.4			3.3%	1.1%
6	Indiana Pacers	49.2	32.8	.601	-0.75	0.48	2.14	30-17	19-16	60-22	40-42	100.0%			1.0	3.6	9.6	23.4	62.3	0.2		1.0%	0.2%
7	Orlando Magic	38.3	43.7	.467	0.47	-1.04	-0.78	21-27	17-17	49-33	28-54	95.4%							0.2	77.6	17.6	0.2%
8	Brooklyn Nets	35.1	46.9	.427	-0.28	-0.04	-2.86	19-26	16-21	46-36	25-57	69.3%								17.1	52.2

9	Chicago Bulls	32.8	49.2	.400	-0.63	0.48	-2.55	19-30	14-19	45-37	24-58	25.5%								3.9	21.6
10	Detroit Pistons	30.6	51.4	.373	-1.06	0.77	-3.12	17-31	14-20	40-42	21-61	7.1%								1.0	6.1
11	Washington Wizards	28.7	53.3	.351	0.01	0.00	-5.64	15-31	14-22	40-42	19-63	1.8%								0.1	1.7
12	Charlotte Hornets	27.3	54.7	.333	-0.19	0.01	-7.24	16-31	11-24	38-44	17-65	0.8%									0.8
13	New York Knicks	25.0	57.0	.304	0.58	-0.87	-6.84	13-35	12-22	35-47	16-66	0.1%									0.1
14	Atlanta Hawks	23.5	58.5	.286	0.99	-1.12	-8.26	12-36	11-23	34-48	14-68
15	Cleveland Cavaliers	23.2	58.8	.284	0.57	-0.28	-8.26	13-35	10-24	33-49	15-67

Table
														Seed
Rk	Western Conference	W	L	W/L%	SOS	rSOS	SRS	Current	Remain	Best	Worst	Playoffs	Division	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	Win Conf	Win Finals
1	Los Angeles Lakers	60.5	20.5	.746	0.28	-0.52	7.54	36-10	24-11	69-12	51-30	100.0%	84.7%	83.1	14.3	2.1	0.4	0.1				38.3%	14.6%
2	Los Angeles Clippers	56.2	24.8	.693	0.31	-0.70	6.67	33-14	23-11	66-15	46-35	100.0%	15.3%	14.3	56.6	18.8	6.9	2.5	0.8	0.1		24.3%	8.5%
3	Utah Jazz	53.7	28.3	.655	-0.37	0.60	4.63	32-14	22-14	64-18	42-40	100.0%	78.9%	1.8	17.4	35.8	23.1	12.3	7.2	2.3		9.1%	2.1%
4	Dallas Mavericks	52.0	30.0	.634	0.21	-0.33	6.34	29-18	23-12	61-21	41-41	100.0%	65.9%	0.4	6.2	20.7	29.6	22.2	15.1	5.9		15.9%	4.9%
5	Houston Rockets	50.8	31.2	.620	-0.04	0.08	4.28	29-17	22-14	62-20	40-42	100.0%	34.1%	0.2	3.0	11.4	19.9	23.1	27.2	15.2	0.1	6.8%	1.7%
6	Denver Nuggets	50.6	31.4	.617	-0.55	1.38	2.66	32-15	19-16	62-20	39-43	100.0%	17.8%	0.2	2.4	9.9	16.5	29.7	27.1	14.2	0.1	3.1%	0.5%
7	Oklahoma City Thunder	47.4	34.6	.578	0.45	-0.27	2.72	28-20	19-15	57-25	38-44	99.8%	3.3%		0.1	1.2	3.7	10.1	22.7	61.0	1.0	2.4%	0.4%
8	San Antonio Spurs	37.2	44.8	.454	0.37	0.21	-0.61	20-26	17-19	48-34	28-54	29.4%								0.5	28.9	0.1%

9	Memphis Grizzlies	37.1	44.9	.453	0.08	1.18	-2.07	23-24	14-21	48-34	28-54	26.5%								0.4	26.0
10	Portland Trail Blazers	36.5	45.5	.445	0.50	0.03	-1.56	20-27	16-19	48-34	24-58	20.0%								0.3	19.7
11	New Orleans Pelicans	35.7	46.3	.436	1.37	-0.77	-1.17	19-29	17-17	48-34	25-57	14.5%								0.1	14.4
12	Phoenix Suns	35.4	46.6	.431	-0.41	1.34	-0.81	20-27	15-20	46-36	27-55	8.7%								0.1	8.6
13	Sacramento Kings	32.3	49.7	.394	0.16	0.66	-2.93	17-29	15-21	43-39	23-59	1.1%									1.1
14	Minnesota Timberwolves	28.4	53.6	.346	0.12	1.21	-3.58	15-32	13-22	40-42	19-63
15	Golden State Warriors	19.9	62.1	.243	0.65	0.81	-7.94	10-38	10-24	29-53	11-71

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