Playoff Probabilities Report

Results are based on 10,000 simulations of the remainder of season, including the play-in round.

See more details about the results. We also use these simulations to project the draft order and lottery winners.

Projected Standings

Projected Standings Table
														Seed
Rk	Eastern Conference	W	L	W/L%	SOS	rSOS	SRS	Current	Remain	Best	Worst	Playoffs	Division	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	Win Conf	Win Finals
1	Philadelphia 76ers	48.0	24.0	.667	-0.33	-0.16	4.80	36-17	12-7	54-18	40-32	100.0%	70.0%	59.4	26.4	14.0	0.2					27.6%	8.6%
2	Brooklyn Nets	46.8	25.2	.650	-0.56	0.65	3.72	36-17	11-8	54-18	39-33	100.0%	30.0%	25.9	42.6	30.9	0.5					17.2%	4.2%
3	Milwaukee Bucks	45.7	26.3	.634	-0.26	-0.53	5.88	33-20	13-6	52-20	37-35	100.0%	100.0%	14.6	30.8	51.8	2.4	0.3				34.6%	12.6%
4	Atlanta Hawks	39.5	32.5	.549	-0.06	-0.50	2.00	29-25	11-7	46-26	33-39	96.4%	65.4%		0.1	1.7	47.1	23.6	13.6	6.8	3.5	6.8%	1.2%
5	Boston Celtics	38.8	33.2	.539	0.22	-1.37	2.22	28-26	11-7	46-26	31-41	95.7%				1.1	25.5	34.8	20.5	8.8	4.9	7.7%	1.5%
6	Charlotte Hornets	37.1	34.9	.515	0.04	-0.31	-0.75	27-25	10-10	45-27	29-43	80.0%	20.4%			0.3	11.8	15.8	22.2	17.6	12.4	1.4%	0.2%
7	Miami Heat	37.2	34.8	.517	-0.01	-0.21	-0.59	28-25	9-10	46-26	29-43	78.7%	14.2%			0.2	8.0	14.0	21.5	20.6	14.4	1.3%	0.1%
8	Indiana Pacers	35.8	36.2	.497	0.23	-0.90	0.02	25-27	11-9	44-28	26-46	61.5%					2.6	6.1	11.8	20.5	20.5	1.5%	0.2%

9	New York Knicks	35.5	36.5	.493	-0.67	1.61	0.30	27-27	9-9	43-29	28-44	61.3%					1.9	5.3	10.0	22.9	21.2	1.5%	0.2%
10	Chicago Bulls	31.2	40.8	.433	-0.17	0.32	-1.17	22-30	9-11	39-33	24-48	18.4%						0.1	0.4	2.2	15.7	0.3%
11	Toronto Raptors	29.8	42.2	.414	-0.41	0.88	0.02	21-33	9-9	37-35	23-49	7.7%								0.5	7.2	0.1%
12	Washington Wizards	27.1	44.9	.377	0.58	-1.10	-4.80	19-33	8-12	34-38	20-52	0.3%									0.3
13	Cleveland Cavaliers	25.4	46.6	.353	0.54	-0.73	-6.90	19-34	6-13	35-37	19-53	0.1%									0.1
14	Orlando Magic	22.8	49.2	.316	0.30	0.00	-7.38	17-36	6-13	30-42	17-55
15	Detroit Pistons	24.0	48.0	.334	0.35	-0.81	-3.40	16-38	8-10	31-41	17-55

Table
														Seed
Rk	Western Conference	W	L	W/L%	SOS	rSOS	SRS	Current	Remain	Best	Worst	Playoffs	Division	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	Win Conf	Win Finals
1	Utah Jazz	54.9	17.1	.763	0.37	-2.31	10.09	40-13	15-4	59-13	47-25	100.0%	99.9%	95.3	4.5	0.2						53.1%	42.9%
2	Phoenix Suns	50.0	22.0	.694	-0.37	0.26	6.57	37-15	13-7	57-15	42-30	100.0%	63.0%	4.3	56.1	30.8	7.9	0.8	0.1			16.3%	10.2%
3	Los Angeles Clippers	48.5	23.5	.674	-0.04	-0.72	6.79	37-18	12-5	54-18	41-31	100.0%	36.9%	0.3	35.1	49.3	13.2	1.9	0.2			17.7%	11.7%
4	Denver Nuggets	45.9	26.1	.638	-0.13	-0.12	4.95	34-19	12-7	53-19	38-34	99.9%	0.1%	0.1	4.2	17.0	51.8	21.5	5.1	0.3	0.1	6.7%	3.7%
5	Los Angeles Lakers	43.8	28.2	.608	-0.52	1.15	3.93	33-20	11-8	50-22	36-36	99.6%	0.2%		0.2	2.4	22.4	53.6	17.9	2.4	0.9	3.6%	1.9%
6	Dallas Mavericks	41.2	30.8	.573	0.48	-1.34	2.54	29-23	12-8	48-24	33-39	93.4%	89.7%			0.3	4.2	17.6	46.3	16.8	8.0	1.7%	0.6%
7	Portland Trail Blazers	39.2	32.8	.545	-0.47	1.73	-0.66	31-22	8-11	48-24	32-40	77.7%					0.4	3.9	23.4	30.9	19.1	0.1%
8	Memphis Grizzlies	37.5	34.5	.520	0.25	-0.52	1.40	26-25	11-10	45-27	30-42	68.2%	9.7%				0.1	0.8	6.6	35.2	25.6	0.7%	0.2%

9	Golden State Warriors	34.4	37.6	.478	0.50	-0.89	-1.27	25-28	9-10	42-30	27-45	25.4%							0.2	7.6	17.6	0.1%
10	New Orleans Pelicans	33.6	38.4	.467	0.29	-0.49	-0.07	24-29	10-9	41-31	26-46	22.5%	0.5%						0.2	4.5	17.8	0.1%
11	San Antonio Spurs	33.2	38.8	.461	-0.44	1.65	-2.07	25-26	8-13	41-31	26-46	12.2%	0.1%						0.1	2.3	9.8
12	Sacramento Kings	29.7	42.3	.413	0.44	-0.30	-3.94	22-31	8-11	36-36	23-49	1.1%									1.1
13	Houston Rockets	18.9	53.1	.263	-0.55	2.95	-7.06	14-39	5-14	26-46	14-58
14	Minnesota Timberwolves	19.3	52.7	.269	0.14	1.08	-7.12	14-40	5-13	27-45	14-58
15	Oklahoma City Thunder	25.2	46.8	.350	0.35	0.63	-8.11	20-33	5-14	33-39	20-52