Playoff Probabilities Report

Results are based on 7500 simulations of the remainder of season.

Teams are sorted by their average conference rank in the simulations, so a team with a worse average W-L record might possibly
be ranked ahead of a team with a better average W-L record.

See more details about the results. We also use these simulations to project the draft order and lottery winners.

Projected Standings

Projected Standings Table
Rk Eastern Conference W L W/L% SOS rSOS SRS Current Remain Best Worst Playoffs Division Top Seed Win Conf Win Finals Win Lottery
1Toronto Raptors59.023.0.720-0.497.2959-230-059-2359-23100.0%100.0%100.0%54.7%30.7%
2Boston Celtics55.027.0.671-0.353.2355-270-055-2755-27100.0%14.8%4.6%
3Philadelphia 76ers52.030.0.634-0.204.3052-300-052-3052-30100.0%18.8%6.4%
4Cleveland Cavaliers50.032.0.610-0.350.5950-320-050-3250-32100.0%100.0%3.1%0.7%
5Indiana Pacers48.034.0.585-0.201.1848-340-048-3448-34100.0%3.6%0.6%
6Miami Heat44.038.0.537-0.330.1544-380-044-3844-38100.0%100.0%1.9%0.3%
7Milwaukee Bucks44.038.0.537-0.15-0.4544-380-044-3844-38100.0%1.3%0.1%
8Washington Wizards43.039.0.524-0.060.5343-390-043-3943-39100.0%1.9%0.2%
9Detroit Pistons39.043.0.476-0.11-0.2639-430-039-4339-430.7%
10Charlotte Hornets36.046.0.439-0.190.0736-460-036-4636-460.8%
11New York Knicks29.053.0.3540.03-3.5329-530-029-5329-531.8%
12Brooklyn Nets28.054.0.3410.07-3.6728-540-028-5428-542.8%
13Chicago Bulls27.055.0.3290.20-6.8427-550-027-5527-555.3%
14Orlando Magic25.057.0.305-0.10-4.9225-570-025-5725-578.6%
15Atlanta Hawks24.058.0.2930.15-5.3024-580-024-5824-5814.1%

Table
Rk Western Conference W L W/L% SOS rSOS SRS Current Remain Best Worst Playoffs Division Top Seed Win Conf Win Finals Win Lottery
1Houston Rockets65.017.0.793-0.278.2165-170-065-1765-17100.0%100.0%100.0%48.8%33.8%
2Golden State Warriors58.024.0.707-0.195.7958-240-058-2458-24100.0%100.0%22.4%11.9%
3Portland Trail Blazers49.033.0.5980.002.6049-330-049-3349-33100.0%100.0%4.4%1.3%
4New Orleans Pelicans48.034.0.5850.181.4848-340-048-3448-34100.0%1.7%0.6%
5Utah Jazz48.034.0.5850.174.4748-340-048-3448-34100.0%11.4%5.0%
6Oklahoma City Thunder48.034.0.5850.003.4248-340-048-3448-34100.0%5.7%2.1%
7San Antonio Spurs47.035.0.5730.002.8947-350-047-3547-35100.0%3.5%1.1%
8Minnesota Timberwolves47.035.0.5730.122.3547-350-047-3547-35100.0%2.2%0.6%
9Denver Nuggets46.036.0.5610.091.5746-360-046-3646-360.6%
10Los Angeles Clippers42.040.0.5120.110.1542-400-042-4042-400.6%
11Los Angeles Lakers35.047.0.4270.11-1.4435-470-035-4735-471.3%
12Sacramento Kings27.055.0.3290.39-6.6027-550-027-5527-555.3%
13Dallas Mavericks24.058.0.2930.34-2.7024-580-024-5824-5813.1%
14Memphis Grizzlies22.060.0.2680.39-5.8122-600-022-6022-6019.9%
15Phoenix Suns21.061.0.2560.57-8.8021-610-021-6121-6125.1%

 

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