Playoff Probabilities Report

Results are based on 10,000 simulations of the remainder of season, including the play-in round.

See more details about the results. We also use these simulations to project the draft order and lottery winners.

Projected Standings

Projected Standings Table
  First Round Seed  
Rk Eastern Conference W L W/L% SOS SRS Current Playoffs Division 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Win 1st Rd Win Semi Win Conf Win Finals
1Boston Celtics64.018.0.780-0.6010.7564-18100.0%100.0%100.0100.0%100.0%89.9%71.5%
2New York Knicks50.032.0.610-0.234.3650-32100.0%100.0100.0%0.0%
3Milwaukee Bucks49.033.0.598-0.182.4449-33100.0%100.0%100.00.0%0.0%
4Cleveland Cavaliers48.034.0.585-0.441.9848-34100.0%100.0100.0%0.0%
5Orlando Magic47.035.0.573-0.551.4847-35100.0%100.0%100.00.0%0.0%
6Indiana Pacers47.035.0.573-0.302.7547-35100.0%100.0100.0%100.0%10.1%3.4%
7Philadelphia 76ers47.035.0.573-0.542.5147-35100.0%100.00.0%0.0%
8Miami Heat46.036.0.561-0.661.1046-36100.0%100.00.0%0.0%
9Chicago Bulls39.043.0.476-0.33-1.7739-43
10Atlanta Hawks36.046.0.439-0.19-2.3836-46
11Brooklyn Nets32.050.0.390-0.13-3.0232-50
12Toronto Raptors25.057.0.305-0.01-6.4525-57
13Charlotte Hornets21.061.0.2560.13-10.1221-61
14Washington Wizards15.067.0.1830.00-9.2915-67
15Detroit Pistons14.068.0.1710.05-9.0614-68

Table
  First Round Seed  
Rk Western Conference W L W/L% SOS SRS Current Playoffs Division 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Win 1st Rd Win Semi Win Conf Win Finals
1Oklahoma City Thunder57.025.0.695-0.057.3657-25100.0%100.0%100.0100.0%0.0%
2Denver Nuggets57.025.0.695-0.035.2357-25100.0%100.0100.0%0.0%
3Minnesota Timberwolves56.026.0.683-0.076.3956-26100.0%100.0100.0%100.0%73.4%21.6%
4Los Angeles Clippers51.031.0.6220.133.4151-31100.0%100.0%100.00.0%0.0%
5Dallas Mavericks50.032.0.6100.092.3050-32100.0%100.0%100.0100.0%100.0%26.6%3.5%
6Phoenix Suns49.033.0.5980.023.0849-33100.0%100.00.0%0.0%
7Los Angeles Lakers47.035.0.5730.481.0747-35100.0%100.00.0%0.0%
8New Orleans Pelicans49.033.0.5980.054.4649-33100.0%100.00.0%0.0%
9Sacramento Kings46.036.0.5610.552.2946-36
10Golden State Warriors46.036.0.5610.162.7746-36
11Houston Rockets41.041.0.5000.121.2441-41
12Utah Jazz31.051.0.3780.68-4.2231-51
13Memphis Grizzlies27.055.0.3290.43-6.5727-55
14San Antonio Spurs22.060.0.2680.69-5.8022-60
15Portland Trail Blazers21.061.0.2560.74-8.2921-61