Playoff Probabilities Report

Results are based on 7500 simulations of the remainder of season.

Teams are sorted by their average conference rank in the simulations, so a team with a worse average W-L record might possibly
be ranked ahead of a team with a better average W-L record.

See more details about the results. We also use these simulations to project the draft order and lottery winners.

Projected Standings

Projected Standings Table
Rk	Eastern Conference	W	L	W/L%	SOS	rSOS	SRS	Current	Remain	Best	Worst	Playoffs	Division	Top Seed	Win Conf	Win Finals	Win Lottery
1	Milwaukee Bucks	59.9	22.1	.731	-0.90	-1.01	9.10	34-12	26-10	68-14	49-33	100.0%	95.8%	74.7%	53.8%	40.7%
2	Toronto Raptors	57.2	24.8	.697	-0.29	-1.27	5.31	36-14	21-11	66-16	48-34	100.0%	87.9%	22.4%	19.0%	10.7%
3	Indiana Pacers	52.9	29.1	.645	-1.46	0.21	4.35	32-15	21-14	62-20	42-40	100.0%	4.2%	1.9%	9.2%	4.3%
4	Boston Celtics	51.7	30.3	.630	-1.04	-0.13	5.44	30-18	22-12	61-21	42-40	100.0%	8.9%	0.7%	12.6%	6.8%
5	Philadelphia 76ers	50.7	31.3	.618	-0.89	-0.07	2.87	32-17	19-14	60-22	40-42	100.0%	3.2%	0.3%	4.2%	1.8%
6	Brooklyn Nets	41.6	40.4	.507	-0.83	0.39	-0.63	26-23	16-17	52-30	31-51	93.0%			0.4%	0.1%	0.3%
7	Charlotte Hornets	39.8	42.2	.485	-1.04	0.50	-0.31	23-24	17-18	50-32	29-53	80.5%	57.5%		0.5%	0.1%	1.1%
8	Miami Heat	38.9	43.1	.474	-0.73	0.20	-0.88	22-24	17-19	49-33	26-56	63.7%	32.2%		0.3%	0.1%	1.7%

9	Detroit Pistons	36.7	45.3	.447	-0.05	-0.60	-2.62	21-26	16-19	46-36	27-55	32.8%					4.1%
10	Washington Wizards	35.5	46.5	.433	-0.56	-0.44	-3.41	20-26	16-20	45-37	26-56	20.3%	7.2%				4.9%
11	Orlando Magic	34.2	47.8	.418	-0.17	-0.60	-3.67	20-28	14-20	46-36	26-56	9.6%	3.1%				6.2%
12	Atlanta Hawks	26.3	55.7	.320	-0.11	0.13	-7.68	15-32	11-24	36-46	17-65						11.3%
13	New York Knicks	22.7	59.3	.277	0.98	-0.94	-7.45	10-36	13-23	33-49	13-69						12.7%
14	Chicago Bulls	20.4	61.6	.249	0.39	-0.48	-9.82	11-37	9-25	32-50	12-70						14.0%
15	Cleveland Cavaliers	17.3	64.7	.211	0.51	-0.17	-10.86	9-40	8-25	28-54	9-73						13.9%

Table
Rk	Western Conference	W	L	W/L%	SOS	rSOS	SRS	Current	Remain	Best	Worst	Playoffs	Division	Top Seed	Win Conf	Win Finals	Win Lottery
1	Golden State Warriors	55.5	26.5	.677	-0.30	0.47	6.51	33-14	23-12	67-15	43-39	100.0%	99.7%	78.8%	37.1%	17.1%
2	Denver Nuggets	51.8	30.2	.632	-0.32	1.12	4.50	31-15	21-15	62-20	42-40	99.7%	69.1%	16.1%	17.9%	5.6%
3	Oklahoma City Thunder	48.4	33.6	.590	-1.09	1.99	3.81	29-18	19-16	59-23	39-43	95.7%	13.7%	2.2%	10.9%	3.4%
4	Portland Trail Blazers	47.9	34.1	.584	0.86	-0.26	3.13	29-20	19-14	57-25	38-44	96.2%	8.6%	1.2%	9.1%	2.5%
5	Utah Jazz	47.7	34.3	.582	0.76	-0.76	4.11	27-22	21-12	57-25	38-44	95.7%	8.7%	1.0%	11.7%	4.0%
6	San Antonio Spurs	45.9	36.1	.560	0.61	-0.39	2.76	27-22	19-14	55-27	36-46	85.6%	46.5%	0.3%	5.7%	1.5%	0.1%
7	Houston Rockets	45.7	36.3	.557	0.45	0.44	1.92	27-20	19-16	55-27	35-47	81.3%	47.8%	0.4%	3.5%	0.7%	0.1%
8	Los Angeles Clippers	44.5	37.5	.543	0.93	-0.51	1.31	26-22	19-15	56-26	33-49	70.5%	0.3%	0.1%	2.1%	0.3%	0.4%

9	Los Angeles Lakers	41.3	40.7	.504	-0.13	1.14	0.45	25-23	16-18	50-32	31-51	23.3%			0.5%	0.1%	1.2%
10	New Orleans Pelicans	40.9	41.1	.498	0.13	0.34	2.05	22-26	19-15	51-31	30-52	21.9%	4.5%		0.9%	0.2%	1.3%
11	Minnesota Timberwolves	39.9	42.1	.486	0.16	1.04	0.35	23-24	17-18	52-30	30-52	11.0%			0.3%		2.2%
12	Sacramento Kings	39.8	42.2	.485	0.69	0.06	-1.27	24-24	16-18	49-33	29-53	11.6%			0.1%		2.0%
13	Dallas Mavericks	39.0	43.0	.476	0.66	0.10	0.62	21-26	18-17	49-33	28-54	7.2%	1.2%		0.1%		2.6%
14	Memphis Grizzlies	34.7	47.3	.423	1.26	-0.35	-2.13	19-29	16-18	45-37	25-57	0.3%					6.3%
15	Phoenix Suns	21.3	60.7	.260	1.38	0.03	-7.66	11-38	10-23	32-50	13-69						13.6%

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