Playoff Probabilities Report

Results are based on 7500 simulations of the remainder of season.

Teams are sorted by their average conference rank in the simulations, so a team with a worse average W-L record might possibly
be ranked ahead of a team with a better average W-L record.

See more details about the results. We also use these simulations to project the draft order and lottery winners.

Projected Standings

Projected Standings Table
Rk Eastern Conference W L W/L% SOS SRS Current Remain Best Worst Playoffs Division Top Seed Win Conf Win Finals Win Lottery
1Toronto Raptors57.025.0.696-0.477.1031-1326-1267-1547-35100.0%62.8%62.8%52.2%24.4%
2Boston Celtics55.626.4.679-0.474.3134-1222-1465-1745-37100.0%37.2%37.2%25.1%8.0%
3Cleveland Cavaliers46.335.7.565-0.580.2027-1719-1957-2535-4796.3%66.7%0.1%3.6%0.7%
4Miami Heat44.437.6.541-0.11-0.8526-1918-1956-2634-4889.1%51.5%2.1%0.2%0.1%
5Philadelphia 76ers44.237.8.5390.941.6021-2023-1856-2632-5086.1%5.3%1.0%0.1%
6Washington Wizards44.038.0.537-0.761.0526-2018-1854-2834-4886.4%45.2%4.2%0.7%0.1%
7Detroit Pistons42.639.4.5190.350.5122-2221-1753-2931-5173.6%14.5%2.5%0.5%0.2%
8Indiana Pacers42.139.9.513-0.300.4424-2218-1852-3033-4967.5%10.4%2.3%0.3%0.2%
9Milwaukee Bucks41.640.4.5080.27-0.6923-2119-1952-3030-5261.6%8.4%1.5%0.2%0.3%
10Charlotte Hornets38.643.4.4710.680.5918-2521-1851-3126-5623.2%3.3%0.8%0.1%0.7%
11New York Knicks37.944.1.462-0.20-0.9821-2517-1948-3428-5416.0%0.4%1.2%
12Brooklyn Nets31.550.5.384-0.12-3.1417-2915-2142-4021-610.1%6.0%
13Chicago Bulls30.951.1.3760.57-5.0517-2814-2344-3820-620.1%7.4%
14Atlanta Hawks27.954.1.340-0.17-4.2013-3115-2339-4318-6413.4%
15Orlando Magic27.454.6.3350.27-5.2213-3214-2338-4417-6514.9%

Table
Rk Western Conference W L W/L% SOS SRS Current Remain Best Worst Playoffs Division Top Seed Win Conf Win Finals Win Lottery
1Golden State Warriors63.418.6.773-0.049.0337-926-1072-1053-29100.0%100.0%93.8%51.8%37.8%
2Houston Rockets57.424.6.700-0.337.4831-1226-1366-1647-35100.0%96.3%6.2%32.2%20.3%
3San Antonio Spurs49.932.1.609-0.552.7730-1720-1559-2340-4299.9%3.6%4.1%1.6%
4Minnesota Timberwolves48.733.3.594-0.373.0529-1820-1559-2339-4399.8%69.4%5.3%2.0%
5Oklahoma City Thunder46.335.7.565-0.263.2725-2021-1657-2537-4598.0%26.0%4.1%1.6%
6New Orleans Pelicans42.639.4.5190.200.2723-2120-1854-2833-4980.7%0.7%0.1%0.2%
7Portland Trail Blazers42.439.6.517-0.550.4124-2118-1953-2931-5179.0%3.8%0.7%0.3%0.2%
8Los Angeles Clippers42.139.9.514-0.230.6123-2119-1954-2830-5275.6%0.7%0.1%0.2%
9Denver Nuggets40.541.5.494-0.40-0.0523-2318-1853-2930-5255.8%0.8%0.2%0.1%0.3%
10Utah Jazz36.345.7.4420.60-0.3418-2718-1947-3526-569.1%1.4%
11Memphis Grizzlies33.148.9.4040.59-1.8616-2817-2144-3823-591.2%4.0%
12Dallas Mavericks32.649.4.3980.81-1.1715-3018-1943-3921-610.7%5.0%
13Los Angeles Lakers31.450.6.3830.61-3.2616-2915-2242-4022-600.2%6.9%
14Phoenix Suns27.954.1.340-0.08-6.8017-2911-2539-4319-6314.0%
15Sacramento Kings23.358.7.2840.31-8.8613-3210-2734-4815-6723.1%

 

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