Playoff Probabilities Report

Results are based on 7500 simulations of the remainder of season.

Teams are sorted by their average conference rank in the simulations, so a team with a worse average W-L record might possibly
be ranked ahead of a team with a better average W-L record.

See more details about the results. We also use these simulations to project the draft order and lottery winners.

Projected Standings

Projected Standings Table
Rk Eastern Conference W L W/L% SOS SRS Current Remain Best Worst Playoffs Division Top Seed Win Conf Win Finals Win Lottery
1Boston Celtics56.525.5.688-0.524.5634-1122-1566-1646-36100.0%49.6%49.4%27.2%9.4%
2Toronto Raptors56.425.6.688-0.597.1429-1327-1366-1646-36100.0%50.4%50.5%49.9%22.6%
3Cleveland Cavaliers46.235.8.563-0.440.3226-1720-1957-2535-4795.3%52.9%0.1%3.6%0.6%
4Miami Heat44.437.6.5410.01-0.7425-1819-2055-2733-4987.0%51.9%1.7%0.1%0.1%
5Washington Wizards44.038.0.537-0.861.3525-1919-1956-2633-4984.3%45.9%4.5%0.9%0.1%
6Detroit Pistons43.738.3.5330.230.7522-2022-1854-2830-5282.4%19.7%3.2%0.6%0.1%
7Indiana Pacers43.638.4.532-0.261.1324-2020-1855-2733-4981.5%17.7%3.9%0.7%0.1%
8Philadelphia 76ers43.338.7.5280.901.3520-2023-1954-2829-5376.8%4.2%0.7%0.1%
9Milwaukee Bucks42.339.7.5160.29-0.5723-2019-2052-3031-5166.7%9.7%1.3%0.2%0.2%
10New York Knicks37.744.3.459-0.18-0.9120-2418-2049-3327-5512.3%0.2%1.1%
11Charlotte Hornets37.744.3.4600.680.0217-2521-1949-3327-5513.6%2.2%0.4%0.1%0.9%
12Brooklyn Nets31.450.6.383-0.11-3.2916-2815-2342-4020-620.1%6.1%
13Chicago Bulls31.051.0.3780.42-5.1717-2714-2442-4022-600.1%7.0%
14Orlando Magic27.654.4.3370.29-5.3013-3115-2339-4317-6513.8%
15Atlanta Hawks27.154.9.331-0.18-4.3212-3115-2439-4316-6614.6%

Table
Rk Western Conference W L W/L% SOS SRS Current Remain Best Worst Playoffs Division Top Seed Win Conf Win Finals Win Lottery
1Golden State Warriors63.218.8.7710.039.1436-927-1072-1053-29100.0%100.0%94.8%53.8%39.7%
2Houston Rockets56.725.3.692-0.487.0930-1227-1366-1645-37100.0%95.2%5.1%29.0%17.8%
3San Antonio Spurs49.632.4.605-0.712.7129-1621-1660-2239-4399.9%4.8%4.8%1.8%
4Minnesota Timberwolves49.332.7.602-0.583.3129-1720-1660-2240-4299.8%78.8%6.0%2.7%
5Oklahoma City Thunder45.636.4.556-0.182.8924-2022-1656-2635-4796.4%16.7%3.7%1.4%
6New Orleans Pelicans43.338.7.5280.320.4123-2020-1954-2833-4985.3%0.1%0.9%0.2%0.1%
7Denver Nuggets42.139.9.514-0.300.3623-2119-1952-3032-5073.4%2.5%0.7%0.2%0.3%
8Portland Trail Blazers41.640.4.507-0.600.0623-2119-1954-2831-5166.9%2.0%0.6%0.1%0.2%
9Los Angeles Clippers41.640.4.508-0.290.4622-2120-1952-3031-5167.2%0.5%0.1%0.3%
10Utah Jazz36.645.4.4460.84-0.4417-2620-1947-3526-569.6%0.1%0.1%1.5%
11Dallas Mavericks32.649.4.3980.80-1.1815-3018-1943-3920-620.7%5.0%
12Memphis Grizzlies32.149.9.3910.83-2.3114-2818-2243-3921-610.5%5.0%
13Los Angeles Lakers31.250.8.3800.48-3.3115-2816-2344-3821-610.2%7.0%
14Phoenix Suns26.955.1.328-0.09-7.1316-2911-2638-4418-6415.7%
15Sacramento Kings24.457.6.2980.35-8.4913-3011-2835-4715-6720.6%

 

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