Playoff Probabilities Report

March Madness Bracket Picks

In the past two years, TeamRankings subscribers have won over 1.1 million in bracket pool prizes. As a Sports Reference user, you get 10% off their data-driven bracket picks and tools. ad

Get 2019 bracket pool picks

Results are based on 7500 simulations of the remainder of season.

Teams are sorted by their average conference rank in the simulations, so a team with a worse average W-L record might possibly
be ranked ahead of a team with a better average W-L record.

See more details about the results. We also use these simulations to project the draft order and lottery winners.

Projected Standings

Projected Standings Table
Rk Eastern Conference W L W/L% SOS rSOS SRS Current Remain Best Worst Playoffs Division Top Seed Win Conf Win Finals Win Lottery
1Milwaukee Bucks60.621.4.739-0.72-1.338.2453-198-263-1956-26100.0%100.0%94.7%52.6%37.5%
2Toronto Raptors58.123.9.708-0.24-2.625.3451-217-361-2153-29100.0%99.7%5.3%23.7%13.5%
3Philadelphia 76ers53.128.9.648-0.18-2.413.1947-256-457-2548-34100.0%0.3%8.6%3.7%
4Indiana Pacers49.532.5.603-0.781.353.0844-285-554-2844-38100.0%4.3%1.5%
5Boston Celtics49.332.7.601-0.50-0.744.4943-296-453-2944-38100.0%9.2%4.5%
6Detroit Pistons41.440.6.504-0.390.67-0.8236-345-747-3536-4693.6%0.5%0.1%
7Brooklyn Nets40.241.8.491-0.733.84-1.0637-363-646-3637-4588.0%0.3%0.1%0.1%
8Miami Heat39.942.1.487-0.400.95-0.1635-365-646-3635-4769.1%60.7%0.5%0.1%0.4%
9Orlando Magic38.743.3.472-0.35-0.37-0.5434-385-543-3934-4843.6%36.0%0.2%0.9%
10Charlotte Hornets35.946.1.438-0.411.22-1.6131-395-742-4031-515.4%3.1%3.4%
11Washington Wizards34.447.6.419-0.36-0.52-2.9630-424-640-4230-520.3%0.2%5.4%
12Atlanta Hawks26.555.5.323-0.453.60-6.6524-482-832-5024-5810.4%
13Chicago Bulls23.758.3.2890.030.64-7.5621-523-630-5221-6112.6%
14Cleveland Cavaliers21.260.8.2590.071.50-8.9219-532-827-5519-6314.2%
15New York Knicks17.264.8.2090.40-0.45-8.6214-583-723-5914-6814.3%

Table
Rk Western Conference W L W/L% SOS rSOS SRS Current Remain Best Worst Playoffs Division Top Seed Win Conf Win Finals Win Lottery
1Golden State Warriors56.325.7.6860.10-0.836.0348-228-460-2250-32100.0%100.0%78.9%30.2%14.3%
2Denver Nuggets54.527.5.6650.031.115.0547-228-560-2249-33100.0%92.7%20.2%21.8%8.8%
3Portland Trail Blazers51.031.0.6220.45-1.104.1344-277-455-2745-37100.0%5.1%0.6%12.3%4.6%
4Houston Rockets50.831.2.6190.270.193.3545-276-455-2745-37100.0%90.2%0.3%8.2%2.4%
5Utah Jazz49.832.2.6080.51-3.014.7342-298-353-2943-39100.0%2.2%15.2%5.9%
6San Antonio Spurs47.734.3.5820.39-1.801.8842-306-452-3043-39100.0%9.8%3.3%0.7%
7Los Angeles Clippers47.634.4.5810.38-0.891.3942-306-452-3042-40100.0%2.3%0.5%
8Oklahoma City Thunder47.634.4.581-0.061.823.3042-306-452-3042-40100.0%6.6%1.8%
9Sacramento Kings39.742.3.4840.40-0.36-0.5634-366-645-3734-480.1%0.7%
10Minnesota Timberwolves36.945.1.4500.222.13-0.8232-395-643-3932-502.6%
11Los Angeles Lakers35.746.3.4350.231.64-2.0031-405-641-4131-513.8%
12New Orleans Pelicans35.746.3.4350.34-1.26-0.1031-435-339-4331-513.8%
13Memphis Grizzlies33.648.4.4100.460.73-1.9429-425-639-4329-536.8%
14Dallas Mavericks33.049.0.4030.480.03-1.3128-435-638-4428-547.2%
15Phoenix Suns20.261.8.2470.87-0.38-8.0817-553-726-5617-6513.5%

 

Support us without the ads? Go Ad-Free.