Playoff Probabilities Report

Results are based on 7500 simulations of the remainder of season.

Teams are sorted by their average conference rank in the simulations, so a team with a worse average W-L record might possibly
be ranked ahead of a team with a better average W-L record.

See more details about the results. We also use these simulations to project the draft order and lottery winners.

Projected Standings

Projected Standings Table
Rk Eastern Conference W L W/L% SOS SRS Current Remain Best Worst Playoffs Division Top Seed Win Conf Win Finals Win Lottery
1Boston Celtics55.826.2.680-0.786.5416-340-2368-1443-39100.0%66.5%65.2%32.2%12.8%
2Toronto Raptors53.128.9.6481.137.1311-642-2365-1739-4399.7%29.4%28.4%31.5%12.7%
3Washington Wizards45.136.9.550-1.222.8910-835-2959-2330-5284.3%67.4%0.8%6.7%1.7%0.3%
4Philadelphia 76ers47.634.4.5802.213.3810-738-2764-1833-4993.5%3.2%2.9%10.3%2.5%
5Detroit Pistons45.736.3.557-0.211.7311-635-3061-2131-5186.2%45.7%1.1%5.1%1.0%0.1%
6Indiana Pacers44.337.7.540-0.181.3710-834-3059-2331-5177.4%29.5%0.5%3.4%0.9%0.2%
7New York Knicks45.136.9.5500.792.3210-735-3059-2332-5082.9%0.9%0.7%6.5%1.3%0.2%
8Cleveland Cavaliers43.438.6.529-0.520.2011-732-3257-2529-5368.9%22.3%0.3%2.0%0.3%0.3%
9Charlotte Hornets41.340.7.5030.190.608-933-3254-2827-5547.3%20.9%0.1%1.7%0.3%0.8%
10Milwaukee Bucks38.643.4.4700.38-2.219-830-3553-2926-5621.2%2.6%0.2%1.4%
11Miami Heat38.343.7.4660.44-1.918-930-3554-2821-6119.7%6.4%0.2%1.6%
12Orlando Magic37.944.1.463-0.24-1.968-1030-3455-2724-5817.6%5.3%0.1%1.9%
13Brooklyn Nets33.049.0.402-0.40-4.176-1127-3847-3520-621.2%6.1%
14Atlanta Hawks28.153.9.342-0.11-5.563-1525-3944-3812-700.1%11.9%
15Chicago Bulls23.458.6.2850.28-10.353-1320-4637-458-7419.3%

Table
Rk Western Conference W L W/L% SOS SRS Current Remain Best Worst Playoffs Division Top Seed Win Conf Win Finals Win Lottery
1Houston Rockets58.523.5.7130.149.9714-444-2073-944-38100.0%99.6%50.4%41.4%29.3%
2Golden State Warriors58.523.5.7131.5210.4113-545-1972-1045-37100.0%100.0%49.4%43.1%31.4%
3Oklahoma City Thunder45.936.1.560-0.894.468-938-2762-2032-5093.0%42.3%0.1%6.8%3.2%
4Portland Trail Blazers44.237.8.539-1.872.3610-834-3061-2129-5385.6%23.7%0.1%2.6%0.9%0.1%
5San Antonio Spurs43.838.2.534-0.970.9711-733-3157-2531-5182.6%0.4%1.6%0.5%0.2%
6Minnesota Timberwolves43.438.6.5290.160.0511-732-3257-2531-5179.5%17.9%1.1%0.3%0.2%
7Denver Nuggets42.939.1.524-0.130.6510-833-3157-2530-5276.5%14.3%1.4%0.4%0.3%
8Memphis Grizzlies41.041.0.5001.920.867-1034-3155-2728-5458.4%1.0%0.3%0.5%
9New Orleans Pelicans41.041.0.500-0.10-0.7110-831-3354-2825-5757.5%0.6%0.1%0.8%
10Utah Jazz38.643.4.471-0.38-0.128-1131-3252-3025-5733.0%1.9%0.4%0.1%1.5%
11Los Angeles Clippers37.944.1.4620.08-0.696-1132-3351-3126-5626.9%0.2%1.8%
12Los Angeles Lakers34.447.6.420-1.47-3.318-1126-3748-3421-616.7%5.0%
13Dallas Mavericks28.853.2.3521.15-5.164-1525-3844-3817-650.3%11.7%
14Phoenix Suns25.756.3.314-1.31-9.267-1219-4438-4414-6815.9%
15Sacramento Kings24.757.3.3010.98-10.305-1320-4440-4213-6917.9%

 

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