Playoff Probabilities Report

Results are based on 7500 simulations of the remainder of season.

Teams are sorted by their average conference rank in the simulations, so a team with a worse average W-L record might possibly
be ranked ahead of a team with a better average W-L record.

See more details about the results. We also use these simulations to project the draft order and lottery winners.

Projected Standings

Projected Standings Table
Rk Eastern Conference W L W/L% SOS rSOS SRS Current Remain Best Worst Playoffs Division Top Seed Win Conf Win Finals Win Lottery
1Milwaukee Bucks61.720.3.752-0.74-1.269.0443-1419-668-1453-29100.0%99.9%88.3%55.1%40.8%
2Toronto Raptors58.523.5.714-0.28-1.385.3543-1616-766-1649-33100.0%97.2%11.6%19.7%10.3%
3Boston Celtics51.830.2.632-0.960.175.4637-2115-960-2244-38100.0%2.5%12.8%6.7%
4Indiana Pacers51.730.3.631-1.210.814.0138-2014-1060-2241-41100.0%0.1%7.2%2.9%
5Philadelphia 76ers51.130.9.623-0.50-0.473.2337-2114-1059-2343-39100.0%0.4%4.3%1.6%
6Brooklyn Nets40.042.0.488-0.791.08-1.2230-2910-1348-3432-5083.0%0.2%0.1%0.5%
7Orlando Magic38.543.5.4690.03-1.47-1.0227-3211-1247-3530-5257.5%37.9%0.2%1.9%
8Detroit Pistons38.343.7.4670.05-0.90-1.4626-3012-1448-3428-5454.5%0.1%2.4%
9Charlotte Hornets38.044.0.463-0.881.17-1.3927-3011-1447-3529-5353.9%34.6%0.1%2.3%
10Miami Heat38.044.0.463-0.610.57-1.2226-3012-1447-3529-5344.7%24.5%0.1%2.6%
11Washington Wizards34.447.6.419-0.43-0.44-3.4024-3410-1444-3826-566.4%3.0%6.1%
12Atlanta Hawks26.455.6.322-0.230.79-7.7819-397-1734-4819-6310.3%
13Chicago Bulls21.260.8.2580.22-0.33-8.2314-447-1731-5114-6812.9%
14New York Knicks18.863.2.2290.61-0.62-8.0811-478-1627-5511-7114.3%
15Cleveland Cavaliers17.764.3.2160.200.43-10.3412-466-1826-5612-7014.3%

Table
Rk Western Conference W L W/L% SOS rSOS SRS Current Remain Best Worst Playoffs Division Top Seed Win Conf Win Finals Win Lottery
1Golden State Warriors57.624.4.702-0.120.156.9841-1617-865-1748-34100.0%100.0%86.7%39.2%18.4%
2Denver Nuggets53.228.8.649-0.381.744.5139-1814-1163-1945-37100.0%71.1%10.5%16.9%5.6%
3Oklahoma City Thunder51.330.7.625-0.732.174.5237-2014-1159-2342-4099.9%22.5%2.4%15.6%5.6%
4Portland Trail Blazers48.633.4.5920.70-0.513.7134-2315-1056-2640-4299.1%3.4%0.2%9.3%2.8%
5Utah Jazz48.133.9.5860.75-1.344.0032-2516-956-2639-4398.6%3.0%9.8%3.1%
6Houston Rockets47.035.0.5730.510.002.6033-2414-1155-2738-4495.2%64.3%4.6%1.1%
7San Antonio Spurs45.936.1.5600.50-0.631.4933-2613-1054-2838-4491.7%35.5%2.8%0.5%0.1%
8Los Angeles Clippers44.537.5.5430.48-0.190.9432-2712-1152-3037-4578.9%1.5%0.3%0.2%
9Sacramento Kings41.540.5.5060.440.16-0.7930-2712-1351-3133-4922.3%0.1%0.9%
10Los Angeles Lakers39.242.8.4780.081.14-1.1128-2911-1448-3431-514.9%2.1%
11Minnesota Timberwolves39.043.0.4760.211.090.3927-3012-1347-3531-514.4%2.4%
12New Orleans Pelicans38.543.5.4690.30-0.071.0826-3312-1146-3630-522.5%0.1%0.1%2.8%
13Dallas Mavericks38.443.6.4680.400.350.3626-3112-1348-3429-532.5%0.1%3.1%
14Memphis Grizzlies33.348.7.4060.83-0.12-2.3623-3610-1342-4025-577.3%
15Phoenix Suns17.964.1.2191.38-0.63-8.8211-487-1625-5712-7013.5%

 

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