Playoff Probabilities Report

Results are based on 7500 simulations of the remainder of season.

Teams are sorted by their average conference rank in the simulations, so a team with a worse average W-L record might possibly
be ranked ahead of a team with a better average W-L record.

See more details about the results. We also use these simulations to project the draft order and lottery winners.

Projected Standings

Projected Standings Table
Rk	Eastern Conference	W	L	W/L%	SOS	rSOS	SRS	Current	Remain	Best	Worst	Playoffs	Division	Top Seed	Win Conf	Win Finals	Win Lottery
1	Milwaukee Bucks	61.7	20.3	.752	-0.74	-1.26	9.04	43-14	19-6	68-14	53-29	100.0%	99.9%	88.3%	55.1%	40.8%
2	Toronto Raptors	58.5	23.5	.714	-0.28	-1.38	5.35	43-16	16-7	66-16	49-33	100.0%	97.2%	11.6%	19.7%	10.3%
3	Boston Celtics	51.8	30.2	.632	-0.96	0.17	5.46	37-21	15-9	60-22	44-38	100.0%	2.5%		12.8%	6.7%
4	Indiana Pacers	51.7	30.3	.631	-1.21	0.81	4.01	38-20	14-10	60-22	41-41	100.0%	0.1%		7.2%	2.9%
5	Philadelphia 76ers	51.1	30.9	.623	-0.50	-0.47	3.23	37-21	14-10	59-23	43-39	100.0%	0.4%		4.3%	1.6%
6	Brooklyn Nets	40.0	42.0	.488	-0.79	1.08	-1.22	30-29	10-13	48-34	32-50	83.0%			0.2%	0.1%	0.5%
7	Orlando Magic	38.5	43.5	.469	0.03	-1.47	-1.02	27-32	11-12	47-35	30-52	57.5%	37.9%		0.2%		1.9%
8	Detroit Pistons	38.3	43.7	.467	0.05	-0.90	-1.46	26-30	12-14	48-34	28-54	54.5%			0.1%		2.4%

9	Charlotte Hornets	38.0	44.0	.463	-0.88	1.17	-1.39	27-30	11-14	47-35	29-53	53.9%	34.6%		0.1%		2.3%
10	Miami Heat	38.0	44.0	.463	-0.61	0.57	-1.22	26-30	12-14	47-35	29-53	44.7%	24.5%		0.1%		2.6%
11	Washington Wizards	34.4	47.6	.419	-0.43	-0.44	-3.40	24-34	10-14	44-38	26-56	6.4%	3.0%				6.1%
12	Atlanta Hawks	26.4	55.6	.322	-0.23	0.79	-7.78	19-39	7-17	34-48	19-63						10.3%
13	Chicago Bulls	21.2	60.8	.258	0.22	-0.33	-8.23	14-44	7-17	31-51	14-68						12.9%
14	New York Knicks	18.8	63.2	.229	0.61	-0.62	-8.08	11-47	8-16	27-55	11-71						14.3%
15	Cleveland Cavaliers	17.7	64.3	.216	0.20	0.43	-10.34	12-46	6-18	26-56	12-70						14.3%

Table
Rk	Western Conference	W	L	W/L%	SOS	rSOS	SRS	Current	Remain	Best	Worst	Playoffs	Division	Top Seed	Win Conf	Win Finals	Win Lottery
1	Golden State Warriors	57.6	24.4	.702	-0.12	0.15	6.98	41-16	17-8	65-17	48-34	100.0%	100.0%	86.7%	39.2%	18.4%
2	Denver Nuggets	53.2	28.8	.649	-0.38	1.74	4.51	39-18	14-11	63-19	45-37	100.0%	71.1%	10.5%	16.9%	5.6%
3	Oklahoma City Thunder	51.3	30.7	.625	-0.73	2.17	4.52	37-20	14-11	59-23	42-40	99.9%	22.5%	2.4%	15.6%	5.6%
4	Portland Trail Blazers	48.6	33.4	.592	0.70	-0.51	3.71	34-23	15-10	56-26	40-42	99.1%	3.4%	0.2%	9.3%	2.8%
5	Utah Jazz	48.1	33.9	.586	0.75	-1.34	4.00	32-25	16-9	56-26	39-43	98.6%	3.0%		9.8%	3.1%
6	Houston Rockets	47.0	35.0	.573	0.51	0.00	2.60	33-24	14-11	55-27	38-44	95.2%	64.3%		4.6%	1.1%
7	San Antonio Spurs	45.9	36.1	.560	0.50	-0.63	1.49	33-26	13-10	54-28	38-44	91.7%	35.5%		2.8%	0.5%	0.1%
8	Los Angeles Clippers	44.5	37.5	.543	0.48	-0.19	0.94	32-27	12-11	52-30	37-45	78.9%			1.5%	0.3%	0.2%

9	Sacramento Kings	41.5	40.5	.506	0.44	0.16	-0.79	30-27	12-13	51-31	33-49	22.3%			0.1%		0.9%
10	Los Angeles Lakers	39.2	42.8	.478	0.08	1.14	-1.11	28-29	11-14	48-34	31-51	4.9%					2.1%
11	Minnesota Timberwolves	39.0	43.0	.476	0.21	1.09	0.39	27-30	12-13	47-35	31-51	4.4%					2.4%
12	New Orleans Pelicans	38.5	43.5	.469	0.30	-0.07	1.08	26-33	12-11	46-36	30-52	2.5%	0.1%		0.1%		2.8%
13	Dallas Mavericks	38.4	43.6	.468	0.40	0.35	0.36	26-31	12-13	48-34	29-53	2.5%	0.1%				3.1%
14	Memphis Grizzlies	33.3	48.7	.406	0.83	-0.12	-2.36	23-36	10-13	42-40	25-57						7.3%
15	Phoenix Suns	17.9	64.1	.219	1.38	-0.63	-8.82	11-48	7-16	25-57	12-70						13.5%

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