Playoff Probabilities Report

Results are based on 7500 simulations of the remainder of season.

Teams are sorted by their average conference rank in the simulations, so a team with a worse average W-L record might possibly
be ranked ahead of a team with a better average W-L record.

See more details about the results. We also use these simulations to project the draft order and lottery winners.

Projected Standings

Projected Standings Table
Rk	Eastern Conference	W	L	W/L%	SOS	rSOS	SRS	Current	Remain	Best	Worst	Playoffs	Division	Top Seed	Win Conf	Win Finals	Win Lottery
1	Milwaukee Bucks	59.8	22.2	.729	-0.95	-1.05	9.05	33-12	27-10	68-14	50-32	100.0%	96.7%	73.2%	53.9%	40.4%
2	Toronto Raptors	57.2	24.8	.698	-0.42	-1.16	5.18	35-13	22-12	66-16	48-34	100.0%	91.3%	25.0%	19.2%	10.5%
3	Indiana Pacers	52.4	29.6	.639	-1.62	0.25	4.23	31-15	21-15	62-20	42-40	100.0%	3.3%	1.4%	10.0%	4.7%
4	Boston Celtics	51.2	30.8	.624	-0.90	-0.47	5.25	28-18	23-13	60-22	41-41	100.0%	6.9%	0.4%	13.1%	6.9%
5	Philadelphia 76ers	49.2	32.8	.600	-1.11	0.10	2.17	30-17	19-16	59-23	39-43	100.0%	1.8%	0.1%	2.7%	0.9%
6	Brooklyn Nets	40.3	41.7	.491	-0.82	0.22	-1.30	24-23	16-19	50-32	30-52	86.8%			0.2%		0.5%
7	Miami Heat	39.9	42.1	.487	-0.95	0.26	-0.66	22-22	18-20	51-31	29-53	78.8%	49.8%		0.4%		0.9%
8	Charlotte Hornets	39.1	42.9	.476	-1.06	0.37	-0.56	22-24	17-19	50-32	28-54	76.0%	43.5%		0.3%	0.1%	1.3%

9	Detroit Pistons	36.5	45.5	.445	-0.08	-0.65	-2.55	20-25	16-21	47-35	26-56	33.7%			0.1%		4.0%
10	Washington Wizards	34.6	47.4	.422	-0.58	-0.51	-3.80	19-26	16-21	46-36	24-58	14.8%	4.3%				6.4%
11	Orlando Magic	34.0	48.0	.415	0.01	-0.92	-3.97	19-27	15-21	44-38	25-57	9.9%	2.5%				6.3%
12	Atlanta Hawks	26.2	55.8	.319	0.10	-0.26	-7.84	14-31	12-25	36-46	17-65						11.5%
13	New York Knicks	23.3	58.7	.284	0.74	-0.70	-7.58	10-34	13-25	34-48	13-69						12.7%
14	Chicago Bulls	20.5	61.5	.250	0.75	-1.05	-9.81	10-36	10-26	30-52	12-70						14.2%
15	Cleveland Cavaliers	18.3	63.7	.223	0.55	-0.36	-10.53	9-38	9-26	28-54	10-72						13.4%

Table
Rk	Western Conference	W	L	W/L%	SOS	rSOS	SRS	Current	Remain	Best	Worst	Playoffs	Division	Top Seed	Win Conf	Win Finals	Win Lottery
1	Golden State Warriors	54.8	27.2	.669	-0.26	0.53	6.28	32-14	23-13	65-17	45-37	100.0%	99.3%	68.8%	34.8%	15.8%
2	Denver Nuggets	52.4	29.6	.639	-0.36	1.16	4.71	31-14	21-16	62-20	42-40	99.9%	76.2%	25.0%	19.5%	6.7%
3	Utah Jazz	48.1	33.9	.586	0.69	-0.49	4.16	26-21	22-13	58-24	38-44	95.6%	10.0%	1.9%	13.0%	4.6%
4	Portland Trail Blazers	47.7	34.3	.582	0.77	-0.03	3.22	28-19	20-15	58-24	37-45	93.9%	6.7%	1.4%	8.1%	2.4%
5	Oklahoma City Thunder	47.4	34.6	.578	-0.99	1.80	3.52	27-18	20-17	59-23	37-45	90.8%	7.2%	1.5%	9.2%	2.7%	0.1%
6	San Antonio Spurs	46.4	35.6	.566	0.63	-0.31	2.86	27-21	19-15	55-27	36-46	87.3%	45.6%	0.6%	6.4%	2.0%
7	Houston Rockets	46.3	35.7	.565	0.59	0.28	2.66	26-19	20-17	56-26	35-47	84.5%	50.5%	0.6%	5.4%	1.5%	0.2%
8	Los Angeles Clippers	44.3	37.7	.540	0.99	-0.41	1.30	25-21	19-17	54-28	35-47	64.9%	0.5%		1.9%	0.4%	0.4%

9	Los Angeles Lakers	42.1	39.9	.513	-0.19	1.23	0.81	25-22	17-18	52-30	32-50	29.7%	0.2%		0.7%	0.2%	1.0%
10	Sacramento Kings	41.2	40.8	.503	0.63	0.17	-0.46	24-22	17-19	52-30	31-51	21.7%			0.2%	0.1%	1.4%
11	New Orleans Pelicans	40.9	41.1	.499	0.25	0.29	1.90	21-25	20-16	51-31	29-53	19.6%	3.2%		0.7%	0.1%	1.5%
12	Minnesota Timberwolves	39.1	42.9	.476	0.37	0.84	-0.02	22-24	17-19	51-31	28-54	6.5%			0.1%		2.5%
13	Dallas Mavericks	38.6	43.4	.471	0.45	0.47	0.45	20-25	19-18	49-33	29-53	4.4%	0.7%		0.1%		2.9%
14	Memphis Grizzlies	36.3	45.7	.442	1.33	-0.34	-1.54	19-27	17-19	47-35	26-56	1.2%					5.0%
15	Phoenix Suns	21.9	60.1	.267	1.33	0.17	-7.34	11-37	11-23	31-51	14-68						13.5%

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