Playoff Probabilities Report

Results are based on 10,000 simulations of the remainder of season, including the 8th-seed play-in round and removal of home-court advantage for the neutral Orlando site.

See more details about the results. We also use these simulations to project the draft order and lottery winners.

Projected Standings

Projected Standings Table
  Seed  
Rk Eastern Conference W L W/L% SOS rSOS SRS Current Remain Best Worst Playoffs Division 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Win Conf Win Finals
1Milwaukee Bucks58.714.3.804-0.852.0810.4453-126-261-1254-19100.0%100.0%100.064.1%47.3%
2Toronto Raptors50.521.5.702-0.573.725.8846-185-354-1846-26100.0%86.2%86.213.816.3%8.5%
3Boston Celtics48.024.0.666-0.481.235.6943-215-351-2144-28100.0%13.8%13.883.72.40.112.6%6.8%
4Miami Heat44.828.2.613-0.653.752.5841-244-448-2541-32100.0%100.0%1.974.917.16.12.8%0.3%
5Philadelphia 76ers43.529.5.5950.010.272.2239-264-447-2639-34100.0%0.413.343.243.12.3%0.7%
6Indiana Pacers43.030.0.589-0.331.521.6139-264-447-2639-34100.0%0.29.439.650.81.4%0.4%
7Brooklyn Nets33.538.5.465-0.541.72-1.1830-343-538-3430-4294.7%58.036.70.2%0.1%
8Orlando Magic33.539.5.4590.121.49-0.8530-354-437-3630-4393.4%42.051.40.3%
9Washington Wizards26.545.5.368-0.812.60-4.8624-402-630-4224-4811.9%11.9
10Charlotte Hornets23.042.0.354-0.12-6.8823-420-023-4223-42
11Chicago Bulls22.043.0.338-0.73-3.8122-430-022-4322-43
12New York Knicks21.045.0.318-0.09-6.5521-450-021-4521-45
13Atlanta Hawks20.047.0.2990.40-7.5720-470-020-4720-47
14Detroit Pistons20.046.0.303-0.66-4.2220-460-020-4620-46
15Cleveland Cavaliers19.046.0.2920.33-7.5519-460-019-4619-46

Table
  Seed  
Rk Western Conference W L W/L% SOS rSOS SRS Current Remain Best Worst Playoffs Division 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Win Conf Win Finals
1Los Angeles Lakers54.017.0.7610.343.207.7549-145-357-1450-21100.0%99.9%99.90.141.0%18.4%
2Los Angeles Clippers49.122.9.6820.222.046.7444-205-352-2044-28100.0%0.1%0.189.28.51.60.622.1%8.2%
3Denver Nuggets46.926.1.6420.063.333.0243-224-451-2243-30100.0%66.9%7.855.721.010.43.91.24.9%1.2%
4Utah Jazz45.326.7.6290.032.033.2041-234-449-2341-31100.0%22.9%2.218.732.123.415.87.85.0%1.2%
5Dallas Mavericks44.830.2.597-0.212.445.8440-275-348-2741-34100.0%31.0%1.15.515.626.651.214.5%4.5%
6Oklahoma City Thunder44.227.8.6140.342.042.7940-244-448-2440-32100.0%10.2%0.48.618.830.823.318.14.6%0.9%
7Houston Rockets44.227.8.6130.033.013.7840-244-448-2440-32100.0%69.0%0.37.421.019.230.421.77.6%1.4%
8Memphis Grizzlies35.237.8.4820.023.25-1.0532-333-539-3432-4175.0%75.00.3%0.1%
9New Orleans Pelicans32.040.0.4441.13-0.110.3028-364-435-3728-4411.5%11.5
10Portland Trail Blazers32.042.0.4330.493.13-1.1129-373-536-3829-455.8%5.8
11Sacramento Kings31.340.7.4350.481.84-1.4428-363-536-3628-444.9%4.9
12San Antonio Spurs30.340.7.4270.571.65-1.2127-363-535-3627-442.8%2.8
13Phoenix Suns29.143.9.3980.322.85-1.0526-393-533-4026-47
14Minnesota Timberwolves19.045.0.2970.51-3.7819-450-019-4519-45
15Golden State Warriors15.050.0.2310.79-7.9215-500-015-5015-50