Playoff Probabilities Report

Results are based on 7500 simulations of the remainder of season.

Teams are sorted by their average conference rank in the simulations, so a team with a worse average W-L record might possibly
be ranked ahead of a team with a better average W-L record.

See more details about the results. We also use these simulations to project the draft order and lottery winners.

Projected Standings

Projected Standings Table
Rk Eastern Conference W L W/L% SOS SRS Current Remain Best Worst Playoffs Division Top Seed Win Conf Win Finals Win Lottery
1Toronto Raptors56.725.3.691-0.567.1130-1327-1266-1647-35100.0%52.4%52.1%51.2%24.7%
2Boston Celtics56.525.5.689-0.504.5934-1122-1566-1647-35100.0%47.6%47.8%26.2%9.1%
3Cleveland Cavaliers46.235.8.563-0.440.3326-1720-1957-2535-4795.6%55.1%0.1%3.7%0.6%
4Miami Heat45.136.9.5500.02-0.6026-1819-1957-2536-4692.7%66.0%2.0%0.1%0.1%
5Indiana Pacers43.738.3.533-0.221.1724-2020-1854-2832-5083.3%18.9%4.1%0.9%0.1%
6Detroit Pistons43.538.5.5300.390.7822-2121-1854-2833-4981.2%19.0%3.2%0.5%0.2%
7Philadelphia 76ers43.238.8.5270.861.3120-2023-1954-2832-5077.3%4.0%0.8%0.1%
8Washington Wizards43.138.9.526-0.820.8025-2018-1956-2632-5077.3%30.6%3.2%0.6%0.1%
9Milwaukee Bucks41.740.3.5080.31-0.6423-2119-1953-2931-5160.3%7.0%1.5%0.2%0.2%
10Charlotte Hornets38.643.4.4710.680.5918-2521-1849-3327-5522.3%3.3%0.8%0.1%0.9%
11New York Knicks37.144.9.453-0.18-1.0220-2517-2048-3424-5810.0%0.1%1.2%
12Chicago Bulls31.051.0.3780.64-4.9917-2814-2341-4121-610.1%7.0%
13Brooklyn Nets30.951.1.377-0.07-3.2916-2915-2242-4021-610.1%7.5%
14Atlanta Hawks27.854.2.338-0.18-4.2013-3115-2338-4418-6413.2%
15Orlando Magic27.754.3.3380.31-5.2813-3115-2338-4417-6513.7%

Table
Rk Western Conference W L W/L% SOS SRS Current Remain Best Worst Playoffs Division Top Seed Win Conf Win Finals Win Lottery
1Golden State Warriors63.418.6.773-0.079.0037-926-1072-1053-29100.0%100.0%95.5%53.2%38.7%
2Houston Rockets56.725.3.692-0.477.1030-1227-1366-1646-36100.0%93.8%4.4%27.9%16.6%
3San Antonio Spurs50.231.8.612-0.722.7330-1620-1660-2239-4399.9%6.1%0.1%4.8%1.9%
4Minnesota Timberwolves49.332.7.602-0.553.3429-1720-1660-2238-4499.9%74.6%6.1%2.5%
5Oklahoma City Thunder46.435.6.565-0.233.3025-2021-1657-2535-4797.9%22.0%5.0%1.9%
6New Orleans Pelicans42.639.4.5200.200.2723-2120-1854-2832-5079.0%0.1%0.8%0.2%0.2%
7Los Angeles Clippers42.139.9.514-0.290.5623-2119-1952-3032-5075.0%0.8%0.2%0.1%
8Denver Nuggets41.640.4.507-0.280.2623-2219-1853-2931-5166.6%1.7%0.6%0.1%0.3%
9Portland Trail Blazers41.640.4.507-0.610.0523-2119-1951-3131-5167.8%1.8%0.5%0.1%0.3%
10Utah Jazz37.144.9.4520.64-0.2718-2619-1949-3327-5512.4%0.1%1.2%
11Dallas Mavericks32.649.4.3980.83-1.1515-3018-1945-3723-590.9%4.4%
12Memphis Grizzlies32.649.4.3970.75-2.1815-2818-2144-3822-600.7%5.1%
13Los Angeles Lakers30.451.6.3710.55-3.7015-2915-2341-4119-630.1%7.3%
14Phoenix Suns26.855.2.327-0.12-7.1616-2911-2637-4518-6415.5%
15Sacramento Kings23.858.2.2910.32-8.6613-3111-2734-4815-6721.3%

 

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