Playoff Probabilities Report

Results are based on 7500 simulations of the remainder of season.

Teams are sorted by their average conference rank in the simulations, so a team with a worse average W-L record might possibly
be ranked ahead of a team with a better average W-L record.

See more details about the results. We also use these simulations to project the draft order and lottery winners.

Projected Standings

Projected Standings Table
Rk Eastern Conference W L W/L% SOS SRS Current Remain Best Worst Playoffs Division Top Seed Win Conf Win Finals Win Lottery
1Toronto Raptors56.325.7.686-0.887.5920-836-1868-1443-39100.0%57.9%53.3%45.3%16.6%
2Boston Celtics55.326.7.674-0.824.6525-730-2067-1542-40100.0%41.9%38.7%22.3%5.7%
3Cleveland Cavaliers51.330.7.626-1.202.8023-828-2363-1935-4799.7%79.3%7.5%10.6%2.0%
4Indiana Pacers45.836.2.5590.531.9317-1329-2359-2332-5090.7%10.8%0.3%5.9%0.9%
5Detroit Pistons45.136.9.5510.261.2217-1328-2457-2532-5087.1%8.8%0.2%4.1%0.5%0.1%
6Washington Wizards43.638.4.531-0.731.4716-1428-2456-2630-5281.5%71.5%4.2%0.5%0.1%
7Philadelphia 76ers43.338.7.5281.571.1814-1429-2555-2731-5172.2%0.1%3.1%0.5%0.2%
8New York Knicks43.039.0.525-0.081.0216-1327-2655-2731-5170.1%3.2%0.3%0.3%
9Milwaukee Bucks41.140.9.501-0.16-0.7015-1326-2853-2928-5447.3%1.1%0.7%0.1%0.4%
10Miami Heat40.341.7.4920.22-1.6815-1425-2854-2828-5444.2%25.7%0.6%0.1%0.4%
11Charlotte Hornets35.146.9.4280.72-1.4210-1925-2848-3421-615.3%2.5%2.7%
12Brooklyn Nets33.049.0.4020.22-3.6111-1822-3145-3721-611.1%4.2%
13Orlando Magic32.549.5.3960.27-3.9011-2021-3045-3719-630.8%0.3%4.8%
14Chicago Bulls25.956.1.3160.35-7.338-2018-3639-4313-6917.0%
15Atlanta Hawks25.956.1.316-0.03-5.586-2320-3339-4314-6816.4%

Table
Rk Western Conference W L W/L% SOS SRS Current Remain Best Worst Playoffs Division Top Seed Win Conf Win Finals Win Lottery
1Houston Rockets63.218.8.770-0.2310.7024-439-1573-951-31100.0%99.9%60.5%45.4%34.2%
2Golden State Warriors62.020.0.756-0.3810.7523-639-1472-1048-34100.0%100.0%39.5%47.0%36.2%
3San Antonio Spurs48.133.9.586-0.622.2520-1028-2460-2235-4798.8%0.1%2.1%0.6%
4Portland Trail Blazers43.838.2.534-0.811.3316-1328-2557-2528-5488.8%28.1%1.2%0.3%
5Utah Jazz42.939.1.524-0.032.8014-1629-2358-2430-5283.7%19.3%1.7%0.6%0.1%
6Minnesota Timberwolves42.939.1.523-0.830.4017-1326-2655-2730-5283.3%19.6%0.7%0.3%0.1%
7Oklahoma City Thunder42.539.5.519-0.231.4614-1529-2454-2829-5381.1%16.5%1.1%0.3%0.2%
8Denver Nuggets42.439.6.517-0.44-0.1016-1326-2755-2730-5279.7%16.6%0.5%0.2%0.2%
9New Orleans Pelicans41.041.0.5000.68-0.1915-1526-2654-2825-5766.3%0.3%0.1%0.2%
10Los Angeles Clippers35.146.9.428-0.21-2.3511-1724-3048-3422-609.7%2.5%
11Los Angeles Lakers33.648.4.410-0.18-3.1810-1724-3146-3622-604.9%3.8%
12Memphis Grizzlies32.649.4.3981.74-2.469-2124-2845-3721-612.6%4.9%
13Dallas Mavericks31.450.6.3831.04-2.408-2223-2944-3819-631.1%7.0%
14Phoenix Suns25.556.5.311-0.32-7.8310-2116-3539-4314-6816.8%
15Sacramento Kings25.456.6.3100.64-8.859-2016-3737-4514-6817.4%

 

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