Projected Draft Order

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Results are based on 10,000 simulations of remainder of season.

Teams are sorted by their projected draft order, given their rank within their conference. The first table projects the draft order prior to the lottery process, and the second table applies lottery probabilities.

During the season these likelihoods are based on the simulations we use to project the final standings.

Pre-Lottery Draft Position

Pre-Lottery Draft Position Table
Tm.	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30
GSW	61.9	22.5	10.3	3.9	1.1	0.3	0.1	0.0
CLE	15.3	29.2	26.1	16.9	7.9	2.9	1.3	0.3	0.2	0.1
ATL	16.4	28.7	26.8	16.6	7.1	2.9	0.9	0.4	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0
NYK	5.4	14.2	22.1	27.6	17.6	7.1	3.4	1.7	0.6	0.2	0.1	0.0
CHO	0.8	3.9	9.7	18.8	27.0	17.7	10.2	5.6	3.2	1.7	0.6	0.5	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0
MIN	0.1	0.8	2.7	7.3	15.3	22.1	18.0	12.4	8.7	5.2	3.3	2.0	1.0	0.6	0.2	0.2	0.0
WAS	0.1	0.5	1.6	4.5	11.0	17.5	17.9	14.8	11.2	8.0	5.5	3.1	2.1	1.3	0.6	0.2	0.1
SAC		0.1	0.4	1.6	4.5	9.3	12.7	14.6	14.9	12.9	10.1	7.2	5.3	3.4	2.1	0.9	0.3
DET		0.1	0.2	1.3	4.1	8.1	12.6	15.1	15.2	12.1	10.2	7.9	5.5	3.8	2.1	1.3	0.4
CHI		0.1	0.1	1.0	2.8	6.4	10.9	13.3	13.8	14.0	12.1	8.7	7.0	4.8	2.9	1.6	0.4
NOP			0.0	0.2	0.7	1.8	4.0	6.2	8.5	11.2	13.0	13.7	12.7	10.6	8.9	5.7	2.9	0.0
POR				0.0	0.1	0.8	1.6	3.1	5.0	7.4	9.1	12.8	13.9	14.2	13.5	11.6	6.7	0.1
BRK				0.0	0.1	0.6	1.3	3.2	4.4	6.7	9.0	10.9	12.9	14.7	15.2	13.2	7.7	0.1
PHO		0.0	0.0	0.2	0.7	1.6	3.6	5.4	8.0	10.6	12.6	13.9	12.8	12.1	9.7	5.8	2.8	0.0	0.0
MEM				0.1	0.1	0.6	1.3	3.0	4.5	6.8	9.1	11.2	13.9	14.8	14.8	12.5	7.4	0.1	0.0
SAS					0.0	0.1	0.3	0.7	1.4	2.5	3.8	5.6	8.1	12.4	16.6	23.9	23.6	0.9	0.1
ORL						0.0	0.1	0.1	0.4	0.7	1.5	2.6	4.6	7.3	13.1	22.8	44.6	1.9	0.2	0.0
OKC															0.1	0.2	2.0	41.7	21.9	13.2	8.8	5.1	3.1	2.0	1.1	0.4	0.2	0.1
IND																0.0	0.5	16.6	18.4	17.0	13.9	10.8	8.5	6.0	3.9	2.5	1.4	0.6	0.1
DEN																	0.3	12.0	15.0	14.7	13.4	12.4	10.5	8.2	5.6	4.0	2.7	1.3	0.1
HOU																0.0	0.3	11.6	16.1	16.0	13.8	12.5	10.0	7.5	5.4	3.5	2.2	1.0	0.1
PHI																	0.1	6.2	10.7	11.9	13.8	13.7	12.4	10.4	8.6	6.5	3.7	1.9	0.1
DAL																	0.1	3.2	6.0	8.1	10.4	11.6	13.0	12.6	12.2	10.0	7.5	4.7	0.7
MIA																0.0	0.1	3.2	5.2	8.4	9.5	11.2	11.9	13.4	12.1	10.2	8.7	5.4	0.7
BOS																	0.0	0.8	2.3	3.8	5.2	7.1	8.9	11.3	13.8	15.2	15.5	13.6	2.5	0.0
UTA																		1.0	2.4	3.5	5.1	7.2	9.4	11.1	12.9	15.6	15.4	13.4	2.9	0.0
TOR																		0.3	1.3	2.2	3.9	5.1	7.0	10.0	12.8	15.6	19.4	18.5	4.0	0.0
LAC																		0.2	0.5	1.1	2.1	3.2	5.1	7.3	10.9	15.1	19.6	27.5	7.1	0.1
LAL																				0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.7	1.4	3.7	11.8	75.6	6.3
MIL																										0.0	0.0	0.2	6.2	93.5

Post-Lottery Draft Position

Post-Lottery Draft Position Table
Tm.	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30
GSW	13.9	13.3	12.6	12.0	37.7	8.4	1.8	0.3	0.0	0.0	0.0
CLE	13.2	12.7	12.2	11.7	20.7	18.7	7.9	2.2	0.5	0.1	0.0	0.0
ATL	13.3	12.8	12.2	11.7	21.2	18.6	7.6	2.0	0.5	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
NYK	12.2	11.9	11.5	11.2	12.2	19.8	13.7	5.3	1.6	0.4	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0
CHO	10.1	10.1	10.0	10.0	4.8	15.0	18.3	11.8	5.5	2.5	0.9	0.5	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0
MIN	7.8	7.9	8.1	8.3	1.5	7.6	15.6	16.5	11.6	6.7	3.9	2.2	1.1	0.7	0.2	0.2	0.0
WAS	6.8	6.9	7.2	7.4	1.0	5.3	12.6	15.9	13.5	9.4	6.2	3.5	2.2	1.3	0.6	0.2	0.1
SAC	4.8	5.0	5.3	5.6	0.3	2.2	6.7	11.7	14.2	13.5	10.8	7.6	5.4	3.4	2.1	0.9	0.3
DET	4.7	4.9	5.1	5.5	0.2	1.9	6.2	11.6	14.5	13.1	10.7	8.2	5.7	3.8	2.1	1.3	0.4
CHI	4.1	4.4	4.6	4.9	0.2	1.4	5.0	9.9	12.9	13.9	12.5	9.2	7.1	4.9	2.9	1.6	0.4
NOP	2.3	2.5	2.6	2.9	0.0	0.3	1.5	3.9	6.9	10.0	12.5	13.5	12.7	10.6	8.9	5.7	2.9	0.0
POR	1.4	1.6	1.7	1.9	0.0	0.1	0.6	1.8	3.8	6.4	8.7	12.3	13.8	14.2	13.5	11.6	6.7	0.1
BRK	1.3	1.4	1.5	1.7	0.0	0.1	0.5	1.7	3.4	5.7	8.4	10.6	12.7	14.6	15.2	13.2	7.7	0.1
PHO	2.2	2.3	2.5	2.7	0.0	0.3	1.4	3.5	6.3	9.4	12.1	13.7	12.9	12.1	9.7	5.8	2.8	0.0	0.0
MEM	1.3	1.4	1.5	1.7	0.0	0.1	0.5	1.6	3.4	5.9	8.5	10.8	13.7	14.8	14.8	12.5	7.4	0.1	0.0
SAS	0.5	0.6	0.6	0.7	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.4	1.0	2.1	3.5	5.3	7.9	12.3	16.6	23.9	23.6	0.9	0.1
ORL	0.2	0.2	0.2	0.3		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.6	1.3	2.5	4.5	7.2	13.1	22.8	44.6	1.9	0.2	0.0
OKC															0.1	0.2	2.0	41.7	21.9	13.2	8.8	5.1	3.1	2.0	1.1	0.4	0.2	0.1
IND																0.0	0.5	16.6	18.4	17.0	13.9	10.8	8.5	6.0	3.9	2.5	1.4	0.6	0.1
DEN																	0.3	12.0	15.0	14.7	13.4	12.4	10.5	8.2	5.6	4.0	2.7	1.3	0.1
HOU																0.0	0.3	11.6	16.1	16.0	13.8	12.5	10.0	7.5	5.4	3.5	2.2	1.0	0.1
PHI																	0.1	6.2	10.7	11.9	13.8	13.7	12.4	10.4	8.6	6.5	3.7	1.9	0.1
DAL																	0.1	3.2	6.0	8.1	10.4	11.6	13.0	12.6	12.2	10.0	7.5	4.7	0.7
MIA																0.0	0.1	3.2	5.2	8.4	9.5	11.2	11.9	13.4	12.1	10.2	8.7	5.4	0.7
BOS																	0.0	0.8	2.3	3.8	5.2	7.1	8.9	11.3	13.8	15.2	15.5	13.6	2.5	0.0
UTA																		1.0	2.4	3.5	5.1	7.2	9.4	11.1	12.9	15.6	15.4	13.4	2.9	0.0
TOR																		0.3	1.3	2.2	3.9	5.1	7.0	10.0	12.8	15.6	19.4	18.5	4.0	0.0
LAC																		0.2	0.5	1.1	2.1	3.2	5.1	7.3	10.9	15.1	19.6	27.5	7.1	0.1
LAL																				0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.7	1.4	3.7	11.8	75.6	6.3
MIL																										0.0	0.0	0.2	6.2	93.5

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