Projected Draft Order

Results are based on 7,500 simulations of remainder of season.

Teams are sorted by their projected draft order, given their rank within their conference. The first table projects the draft order prior to the lottery process, and the second table actually simulates the lottery. Note that, because this is a simulation, exceedingly unlikely but mathematically possible events may not be projected.

We also use these simulations to project the final standings.

Pre-Lottery Draft Position

Pre-Lottery Draft Position Table
Tm.	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30
PHO	57.6	24.0	12.5	4.9	1.0	0.1	0.0
CHI	19.0	29.9	28.4	17.4	4.5	0.6	0.1	0.0
ATL	17.0	29.3	28.8	18.8	5.1	0.9	0.1	0.0	0.0
CLE	6.0	14.5	23.5	38.8	13.8	2.6	0.5	0.1	0.0	0.0					0.1
NYK	0.4	2.2	6.0	15.7	48.3	15.8	6.5	2.9	0.8	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0		0.6	0.2	0.0	0.0
WAS		0.1	0.4	1.8	9.7	24.9	20.7	14.2	8.0	3.8	1.3	0.2	0.2	0.0	8.7	5.0	0.6	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0
BRK		0.1	0.4	1.8	8.8	24.0	20.3	12.9	5.9	2.2	0.6	0.2	0.0	0.0	16.4	5.6	0.5	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0		0.0
MIA		0.0	0.0	0.5	3.9	9.7	13.5	16.2	9.9	4.3	1.5	0.4	0.2	0.0	19.4	15.2	3.2	1.0	0.6	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0
HOU			0.0	0.1	1.1	4.6	8.0	11.8	18.3	17.8	12.7	8.8	6.3	3.6	0.1	0.3	1.7	1.8	1.4	0.8	0.5	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0
ORL			0.0	0.1	1.3	6.5	11.0	12.4	8.4	3.9	1.4	0.3	0.2	0.1	23.3	22.1	5.0	1.6	0.8	0.6	0.4	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0
DET				0.1	1.0	4.2	7.2	9.1	5.7	2.7	0.8	0.2	0.1		25.2	28.2	8.4	2.9	1.9	1.0	0.7	0.4	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0
MIN				0.0	0.1	0.6	1.5	2.6	6.8	10.5	13.1	12.8	11.9	9.6	0.1	0.8	4.0	5.7	5.5	4.2	3.7	3.0	1.7	0.9	0.6	0.1	0.0	0.0
SAS				0.0	1.1	4.4	7.3	10.2	16.3	18.3	13.7	9.9	6.5	5.7		0.2	1.3	1.5	1.3	0.9	0.6	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
SAC					0.1	0.4	1.2	2.0	5.4	9.1	11.6	12.4	12.1	14.0	0.0	0.5	3.1	5.5	5.7	4.6	4.2	2.9	2.3	1.4	0.7	0.4	0.2	0.0
LAL					0.0	0.1	0.1	0.3	0.9	2.0	4.2	5.8	6.9	6.6	0.1	1.1	5.7	8.5	9.2	8.7	8.8	8.4	7.3	6.0	4.5	2.4	1.4	0.6	0.1	0.0
MEM					0.0	0.1	0.3	0.8	1.8	3.5	6.4	8.2	9.7	9.0	0.1	1.1	5.9	8.3	8.4	7.8	7.4	6.7	5.4	4.1	2.5	1.4	0.8	0.3	0.0	0.0
DAL					0.0	0.1	0.7	1.6	4.0	7.4	10.2	11.4	10.4	8.8	0.1	1.4	6.2	8.4	7.1	6.2	5.1	4.3	2.7	1.7	1.1	0.6	0.2	0.1	0.0
POR					0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	1.0	2.7	4.0	6.3	8.0	11.0	0.0	0.7	3.7	6.6	8.5	8.9	8.7	8.3	7.1	5.8	4.1	2.3	1.2	0.6	0.1
UTA						0.1	0.4	1.1	2.5	4.5	7.9	9.4	11.4	14.5	0.1	0.8	4.6	7.1	8.5	7.2	6.3	4.8	3.5	2.8	1.4	0.9	0.3	0.2
NOP						0.1	0.5	0.9	3.5	5.8	8.4	10.1	11.5	11.4	0.1	0.9	4.3	8.3	8.0	7.3	5.6	4.9	3.7	2.4	1.2	0.9	0.2	0.1	0.0
CHO						0.1	0.2	0.3	0.4	0.3	0.1		0.0		4.7	11.8	24.7	10.4	9.3	8.8	8.2	6.6	5.8	3.3	2.5	1.5	0.8	0.2	0.1	0.0
LAC							0.0	0.1	0.3	0.9	1.5	3.0	3.8	3.7	0.1	0.6	3.6	6.7	7.2	9.6	9.3	10.0	10.8	9.2	7.9	5.9	3.7	1.8	0.4	0.1
PHI							0.0		0.0	0.1		0.0			0.3	1.5	5.4	5.2	5.2	6.8	7.8	9.7	11.2	13.5	10.9	9.4	7.4	4.1	1.3	0.4
IND								0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0				0.4	1.8	6.4	6.6	5.7	8.0	9.3	10.3	11.7	11.5	9.9	8.2	5.6	3.2	1.1	0.1
OKC									0.0	0.1	0.2	0.4	0.6	1.1	0.0	0.1	0.6	1.5	2.7	3.5	5.3	6.8	8.8	11.6	14.2	14.6	12.9	9.6	4.0	1.4
GSW										0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.5		0.0	0.4	1.2	1.5	2.3	4.1	5.1	7.4	10.3	13.4	15.9	16.6	14.0	5.5	1.3
DEN											0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1		0.0	0.2	0.4	0.5	1.2	1.9	3.2	4.9	7.0	11.0	15.2	18.3	20.7	11.0	4.2
BOS															0.0	0.1	0.4	0.5	0.9	1.3	1.8	3.5	4.6	7.4	11.8	15.4	19.8	18.7	10.0	3.7
MIL																			0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.4	1.0	2.1	5.0	12.7	34.1	44.4
TOR																			0.0		0.0	0.1	0.2	0.3	1.2	2.7	5.8	13.1	32.3	44.3

Post-Lottery Draft Position

Post-Lottery Draft Position Table
Tm.	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30
PHO	22.0	20.2	17.2	30.3	8.1	1.9	0.1
CHI	17.8	15.8	15.9	25.4	18.6	5.7	0.8	0.1
ATL	17.0	16.1	15.5	24.3	19.5	6.5	0.9	0.1	0.0
CLE	14.0	14.0	14.2	15.3	25.6	13.7	2.7	0.3	0.1	0.0					0.1
NYK	9.0	10.0	10.4	3.9	19.8	26.3	13.1	4.9	1.2	0.4	0.1	0.0	0.0		0.6	0.2	0.0	0.0
WAS	4.3	5.2	5.5	0.4	3.3	14.3	20.7	16.1	9.1	4.4	1.6	0.3	0.2	0.0	8.7	5.0	0.6	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0
BRK	3.5	3.7	5.2	0.3	2.7	14.4	20.8	14.8	7.9	2.9	0.7	0.3	0.0	0.0	16.4	5.6	0.5	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0		0.0
MIA	2.1	2.7	3.2	0.0	1.0	6.0	11.3	15.0	11.1	5.1	1.9	0.5	0.2	0.0	19.4	15.2	3.2	1.0	0.6	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0
ORL	2.0	1.8	2.1		0.3	3.3	8.6	11.8	9.0	4.4	1.7	0.4	0.2	0.1	23.3	22.1	5.0	1.6	0.8	0.6	0.4	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0
SAS	1.9	2.4	2.5		0.2	2.4	5.8	9.0	15.3	17.4	14.1	10.1	6.7	5.7		0.2	1.3	1.5	1.3	0.9	0.6	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
HOU	1.7	2.5	2.1		0.3	2.4	5.9	10.9	17.1	17.8	13.2	8.9	6.3	3.6	0.1	0.3	1.7	1.8	1.4	0.8	0.5	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0
DET	1.1	1.2	1.1	0.0	0.3	2.3	5.7	8.4	6.6	3.2	1.0	0.2	0.1		25.2	28.2	8.4	2.9	1.9	1.0	0.7	0.4	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0
SAC	0.7	0.8	0.9		0.0	0.3	0.9	1.7	4.8	8.2	11.5	12.3	12.1	13.9	0.0	0.5	3.1	5.5	5.7	4.6	4.2	2.9	2.3	1.4	0.7	0.4	0.2	0.0
MIN	0.6	0.9	1.0		0.1	0.2	1.2	2.2	5.5	10.4	12.8	12.9	12.0	9.7	0.1	0.8	4.0	5.7	5.5	4.2	3.7	3.0	1.7	0.9	0.6	0.1	0.0	0.0
DAL	0.5	0.5	0.7			0.0	0.4	1.4	3.5	7.2	9.9	11.4	10.4	8.9	0.1	1.4	6.2	8.4	7.1	6.2	5.1	4.3	2.7	1.7	1.1	0.6	0.2	0.1	0.0
UTA	0.5	0.5	0.7			0.1	0.2	0.9	2.2	4.1	7.6	9.1	11.4	14.5	0.1	0.8	4.6	7.1	8.5	7.2	6.3	4.8	3.5	2.8	1.4	0.9	0.3	0.2
NOP	0.4	0.7	0.8			0.1	0.3	0.7	2.9	5.3	8.2	10.0	11.4	11.4	0.1	0.9	4.3	8.3	8.0	7.3	5.6	4.9	3.7	2.4	1.2	0.9	0.2	0.1	0.0
POR	0.4	0.3	0.3			0.0	0.0	0.3	0.8	2.6	3.7	6.1	7.9	11.1	0.0	0.7	3.7	6.6	8.5	8.9	8.7	8.3	7.1	5.8	4.1	2.3	1.2	0.6	0.1
MEM	0.3	0.3	0.3		0.0	0.0	0.3	0.7	1.4	3.4	6.1	8.1	9.7	9.1	0.1	1.1	5.9	8.3	8.4	7.8	7.4	6.7	5.4	4.1	2.5	1.4	0.8	0.3	0.0	0.0
LAL	0.2	0.2	0.3			0.0	0.1	0.2	0.8	1.9	3.9	5.8	6.7	6.7	0.1	1.1	5.7	8.5	9.2	8.7	8.8	8.4	7.3	6.0	4.5	2.4	1.4	0.6	0.1	0.0
LAC	0.1	0.1	0.2				0.0	0.1	0.2	0.8	1.4	3.0	3.7	3.7	0.1	0.6	3.6	6.7	7.2	9.6	9.3	10.0	10.8	9.2	7.9	5.9	3.7	1.8	0.4	0.1
CHO	0.0	0.0	0.0			0.1	0.1	0.4	0.3	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0		4.7	11.8	24.7	10.4	9.3	8.8	8.2	6.6	5.8	3.3	2.5	1.5	0.8	0.2	0.1	0.0
GSW	0.0	0.0	0.0							0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.5		0.0	0.4	1.2	1.5	2.3	4.1	5.1	7.4	10.3	13.4	15.9	16.6	14.0	5.5	1.3
OKC		0.0							0.0	0.1	0.2	0.4	0.6	1.1	0.0	0.1	0.6	1.5	2.7	3.5	5.3	6.8	8.8	11.6	14.2	14.6	12.9	9.6	4.0	1.4
PHI							0.0		0.0	0.1		0.0			0.3	1.5	5.4	5.2	5.2	6.8	7.8	9.7	11.2	13.5	10.9	9.4	7.4	4.1	1.3	0.4
IND								0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0				0.4	1.8	6.4	6.6	5.7	8.0	9.3	10.3	11.7	11.5	9.9	8.2	5.6	3.2	1.1	0.1
DEN											0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1		0.0	0.2	0.4	0.5	1.2	1.9	3.2	4.9	7.0	11.0	15.2	18.3	20.7	11.0	4.2
BOS															0.0	0.1	0.4	0.5	0.9	1.3	1.8	3.5	4.6	7.4	11.8	15.4	19.8	18.7	10.0	3.7
MIL																			0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.4	1.0	2.1	5.0	12.7	34.1	44.4
TOR																			0.0		0.0	0.1	0.2	0.3	1.2	2.7	5.8	13.1	32.3	44.3

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Projected Draft Order

Pre-Lottery Draft Position

Post-Lottery Draft Position

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