Projected Draft Order

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Results are based on 10,000 simulations of remainder of season.

Teams are sorted by their projected draft order, given their rank within their conference. The first table projects the draft order prior to the lottery process, and the second table applies lottery probabilities.

During the season these likelihoods are based on the simulations we use to project the final standings.

Pre-Lottery Draft Position

Pre-Lottery Draft Position Table
Tm.	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30
NYK	48.5	25.5	12.1	6.5	3.1	1.7	1.1	0.6	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.1	0.0
GSW	29.6	27.2	17.1	10.2	5.9	3.5	2.3	1.4	1.0	0.7	0.4	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
MEM	10.9	17.1	19.2	15.0	10.9	7.6	5.4	3.9	3.0	2.1	1.5	1.1	0.9	0.5	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
NOP	4.2	9.3	13.2	13.3	12.0	10.8	8.1	6.8	5.6	4.5	3.3	2.5	2.1	1.5	1.1	0.6	0.4	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0
CHI	1.3	3.8	6.6	8.2	9.1	9.4	8.8	8.4	7.9	6.8	6.2	5.7	4.6	3.9	3.2	2.4	1.6	1.0	0.6	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0
WAS	1.2	3.0	5.5	7.2	9.1	9.1	8.8	8.8	8.5	7.5	6.7	5.7	4.9	3.9	3.1	2.4	1.9	1.3	0.7	0.5	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
CHO	1.8	4.9	7.4	9.6	10.3	9.8	9.6	8.5	7.3	6.2	5.6	4.7	4.1	3.2	2.3	1.9	1.2	0.7	0.5	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0
ATL	0.4	1.2	2.3	3.4	5.0	5.3	6.5	7.1	7.7	8.2	7.8	7.8	7.6	6.7	5.9	5.4	4.2	3.2	2.0	1.1	0.7	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0
OKC	0.2	0.9	1.7	3.5	4.2	5.6	5.9	6.8	6.9	7.5	7.5	7.8	8.2	7.7	6.5	6.3	4.9	3.2	1.9	1.5	0.7	0.3	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
BRK	0.4	1.4	2.9	4.4	5.8	6.7	7.7	7.6	7.8	7.2	8.2	7.1	7.0	6.5	5.7	4.4	3.4	2.4	1.5	0.8	0.5	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0
POR	0.2	0.6	1.4	2.6	3.2	4.0	5.4	6.1	6.6	7.8	7.6	7.8	7.9	7.8	7.7	6.7	5.6	4.3	3.1	1.9	1.0	0.5	0.2	0.1	0.1		0.0
SAC	0.4	1.6	3.2	4.7	6.2	7.2	7.4	8.1	8.2	7.6	7.5	7.3	6.4	5.8	5.2	4.6	3.4	2.1	1.5	1.0	0.4	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
DET	0.7	2.3	4.5	6.3	7.6	8.2	8.9	8.5	7.9	7.7	7.2	6.9	6.2	4.6	4.1	2.9	2.0	1.8	0.8	0.4	0.2	0.1	0.0		0.0	0.0		0.0
SAS	0.1	0.4	0.7	1.3	2.0	2.8	4.0	4.6	5.1	6.2	6.7	7.7	7.4	9.0	8.6	8.4	7.3	5.9	5.0	2.9	1.8	1.0	0.6	0.2	0.1	0.0		0.0
MIN	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.5	0.8	1.4	1.6	2.3	3.0	4.0	5.1	5.7	6.8	7.8	8.8	9.7	10.2	9.7	7.6	5.9	4.1	2.4	1.2	0.7	0.3	0.1	0.1	0.1
ORL	0.1	0.6	1.6	2.3	3.5	4.8	5.4	6.1	6.7	7.3	7.7	8.1	7.3	8.1	7.3	6.6	5.9	4.1	2.9	1.8	0.9	0.5	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0			0.0
CLE	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.5	0.9	1.4	1.7	2.2	3.4	3.9	5.1	5.8	6.7	7.9	9.1	9.5	9.6	9.1	8.1	5.8	4.0	2.5	1.2	0.6	0.4	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
HOU		0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.5	0.7	1.1	1.6	2.2	2.4	3.5	4.7	5.8	7.1	8.6	10.8	11.5	11.3	9.1	7.2	4.5	3.0	1.7	1.1	0.6	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0
DAL			0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.4	0.4	0.8	0.9	1.6	2.0	3.0	3.4	4.9	6.8	7.9	11.1	11.7	12.1	10.8	7.7	5.2	3.7	2.2	1.5	0.9	0.5	0.3	0.1
IND			0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.5	1.0	1.1	1.3	2.3	3.1	4.3	5.7	8.6	9.8	12.5	12.9	11.1	8.6	6.1	4.2	2.6	1.7	0.9	0.6	0.1	0.1
DEN				0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.4	0.6	0.7	1.2	1.7	2.5	3.9	5.6	8.1	10.4	12.9	12.5	10.8	8.5	6.7	4.9	3.3	2.2	1.5	0.9	0.3
PHI						0.0	0.0	0.0		0.1	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.8	1.2	1.9	3.5	5.2	7.3	9.8	11.4	11.9	11.0	9.7	8.8	6.6	4.7	3.6	1.8
PHO									0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.4	0.7	0.8	1.9	3.3	5.5	8.1	10.3	11.7	11.4	11.4	9.6	9.1	7.4	5.1	3.1
TOR					0.0				0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.5	0.8	1.3	2.5	4.0	6.5	8.6	10.5	11.4	11.4	11.0	10.1	8.8	7.1	5.0
MIA								0.0		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.3	0.7	1.3	2.2	3.9	5.6	8.0	9.9	12.2	11.4	11.3	10.3	9.6	7.7	5.2
LAC									0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.5	0.8	1.7	3.0	4.9	7.1	9.1	10.2	11.5	12.1	11.5	11.2	9.1	6.7
UTA											0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.4	0.6	1.8	2.5	4.3	6.5	8.3	9.1	11.1	11.9	12.3	12.2	11.0	7.7
BOS															0.0	0.1	0.2	0.4	0.7	1.7	2.4	4.3	6.1	7.6	9.2	11.1	12.8	14.2	14.9	14.2
LAL																0.0	0.1	0.1	0.3	0.7	1.4	2.4	3.5	4.9	6.8	8.8	11.7	14.7	20.1	24.5
MIL																0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.5	0.9	1.6	2.5	4.0	5.6	7.8	11.0	14.3	20.0	31.4

Post-Lottery Draft Position

Post-Lottery Draft Position Table
Tm.	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30
NYK	13.5	13.0	12.4	11.7	32.6	10.7	3.5	1.4	0.6	0.3	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0
GSW	12.9	12.4	11.9	11.4	25.1	14.0	6.0	2.7	1.4	0.9	0.5	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
MEM	11.2	11.0	10.7	10.4	14.2	15.1	10.1	6.0	3.8	2.5	1.7	1.2	0.9	0.5	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
NOP	9.2	9.1	9.0	8.9	7.8	12.0	11.2	8.7	6.6	5.0	3.6	2.7	2.1	1.5	1.1	0.6	0.4	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0
CHI	6.5	6.5	6.6	6.7	3.5	7.2	8.8	8.8	8.3	7.2	6.3	5.8	4.7	3.9	3.2	2.4	1.6	1.0	0.6	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0
WAS	6.1	6.2	6.3	6.4	2.9	6.5	8.5	8.9	8.7	7.9	6.9	5.8	5.0	4.0	3.1	2.4	1.9	1.3	0.7	0.5	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
CHO	7.1	7.2	7.2	7.3	4.2	8.2	9.7	9.3	8.1	6.7	5.8	4.8	4.1	3.3	2.3	1.9	1.2	0.7	0.5	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0
ATL	3.9	4.0	4.1	4.3	1.2	3.2	4.9	6.3	7.3	8.0	7.8	7.8	7.6	6.8	5.9	5.4	4.2	3.2	2.0	1.1	0.7	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0
OKC	3.5	3.7	3.8	3.9	0.9	2.8	4.7	6.0	6.7	7.3	7.5	7.8	8.1	7.8	6.5	6.3	4.9	3.2	1.9	1.5	0.7	0.3	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
BRK	4.4	4.5	4.6	4.8	1.4	3.9	6.0	7.2	7.7	7.4	8.0	7.2	7.0	6.5	5.7	4.4	3.4	2.4	1.5	0.8	0.5	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0
POR	3.0	3.1	3.2	3.4	0.7	2.1	3.6	5.1	6.2	7.3	7.6	7.7	7.9	7.8	7.7	6.7	5.6	4.3	3.1	1.9	1.0	0.5	0.2	0.1	0.1		0.0
SAC	4.6	4.7	4.8	5.0	1.6	4.2	6.3	7.4	8.0	7.8	7.6	7.3	6.5	5.9	5.2	4.6	3.4	2.1	1.5	1.0	0.4	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
DET	5.5	5.6	5.7	5.8	2.3	5.5	7.6	8.4	8.2	7.8	7.3	6.9	6.2	4.7	4.1	2.9	2.0	1.8	0.8	0.4	0.2	0.1	0.0		0.0	0.0		0.0
SAS	2.1	2.2	2.3	2.5	0.4	1.2	2.4	3.7	4.7	5.7	6.5	7.6	7.4	9.0	8.6	8.4	7.3	5.9	5.0	2.9	1.8	1.0	0.6	0.2	0.1	0.0		0.0
MIN	1.1	1.2	1.3	1.4	0.1	0.5	1.0	1.7	2.5	3.6	4.8	5.6	6.7	7.8	8.8	9.7	10.2	9.7	7.6	5.9	4.1	2.4	1.2	0.7	0.3	0.1	0.1	0.1
ORL	3.1	3.2	3.3	3.5	0.7	2.2	3.9	5.3	6.2	7.1	7.6	8.0	7.4	8.1	7.3	6.6	5.9	4.1	2.9	1.8	0.9	0.5	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0			0.0
CLE	1.1	1.2	1.3	1.4	0.1	0.5	1.1	1.7	2.7	3.6	4.8	5.7	6.6	7.8	9.1	9.5	9.6	9.1	8.1	5.8	4.0	2.5	1.2	0.6	0.4	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
HOU	0.5	0.6	0.6	0.7	0.0	0.2	0.4	0.7	1.2	1.9	2.3	3.4	4.7	5.8	7.1	8.6	10.8	11.5	11.3	9.1	7.2	4.5	3.0	1.7	1.1	0.6	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0
DAL	0.3	0.3	0.3	0.3	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.3	0.6	0.8	1.4	1.9	2.9	3.4	4.9	6.8	7.9	11.1	11.7	12.1	10.8	7.7	5.2	3.7	2.2	1.5	0.9	0.5	0.3	0.1
IND	0.2	0.2	0.2	0.2	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.4	0.8	1.1	1.3	2.2	3.1	4.3	5.7	8.6	9.8	12.5	12.9	11.1	8.6	6.1	4.2	2.6	1.7	0.9	0.6	0.1	0.1
DEN	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.6	0.6	1.2	1.7	2.5	3.9	5.6	8.1	10.4	12.9	12.5	10.8	8.5	6.7	4.9	3.3	2.2	1.5	0.9	0.3
PHI	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.8	1.2	1.9	3.5	5.2	7.3	9.8	11.4	11.9	11.0	9.7	8.8	6.6	4.7	3.6	1.8
PHO	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0					0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.4	0.7	0.8	1.9	3.3	5.5	8.1	10.3	11.7	11.4	11.4	9.6	9.1	7.4	5.1	3.1
TOR	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.5	0.8	1.3	2.5	4.0	6.5	8.6	10.5	11.4	11.4	11.0	10.1	8.8	7.1	5.0
MIA	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0				0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.3	0.7	1.3	2.2	3.9	5.6	8.0	9.9	12.2	11.4	11.3	10.3	9.6	7.7	5.2
LAC	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0					0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.5	0.8	1.7	3.0	4.9	7.1	9.1	10.2	11.5	12.1	11.5	11.2	9.1	6.7
UTA	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0							0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.4	0.6	1.8	2.5	4.3	6.5	8.3	9.1	11.1	11.9	12.3	12.2	11.0	7.7
BOS															0.0	0.1	0.2	0.4	0.7	1.7	2.4	4.3	6.1	7.6	9.2	11.1	12.8	14.2	14.9	14.2
LAL																0.0	0.1	0.1	0.3	0.7	1.4	2.4	3.5	4.9	6.8	8.8	11.7	14.7	20.1	24.5
MIL																0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.5	0.9	1.6	2.5	4.0	5.6	7.8	11.0	14.3	20.0	31.4

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