Projected Draft Order
Results are based on 10,000 simulations of remainder of
season, including the play-in round.
Teams are sorted by their projected draft order, given their rank within
their conference. The first table projects the draft order prior to the lottery
process, and the second table applies lottery probabilities.
During the season these likelihoods are based on the simulations we use to
project the final standings.
Pre-Lottery Draft Position
| Tm. | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ORL | 61.8 | 29.6 | 7.0 | 1.5 | 0.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| DET | 33.1 | 47.3 | 14.7 | 4.5 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| HOU | 3.7 | 15.3 | 45.9 | 29.1 | 5.2 | 0.7 | 0.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| OKC | 1.4 | 7.5 | 29.6 | 47.9 | 11.0 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| SAC | 0.0 | 0.2 | 2.6 | 13.3 | 51.5 | 19.3 | 8.2 | 2.9 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.5 | ||||||||||||||||||
| NOP | 0.0 | 0.2 | 2.2 | 14.4 | 28.8 | 21.6 | 14.0 | 8.0 | 3.8 | 1.9 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 3.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||||||||||||
| SAS | 0.1 | 0.7 | 6.7 | 17.0 | 20.2 | 17.7 | 12.1 | 6.9 | 4.0 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 10.7 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||||||||||||
| IND | 0.1 | 0.6 | 7.7 | 19.0 | 21.6 | 21.1 | 13.8 | 8.4 | 4.5 | 1.9 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||||||||||||
| POR | 0.0 | 0.1 | 2.3 | 8.4 | 15.4 | 17.9 | 16.2 | 11.5 | 7.9 | 4.7 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 10.6 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||||||||||||
| WAS | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 3.2 | 6.5 | 11.4 | 16.2 | 17.9 | 15.7 | 12.2 | 5.6 | 1.6 | 3.1 | 2.3 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||||||||
| NYK | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.7 | 3.5 | 7.2 | 13.0 | 17.0 | 16.7 | 16.0 | 11.2 | 5.1 | 1.7 | 2.7 | 2.1 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||||||||
| LAL | 0.2 | 1.1 | 3.1 | 5.7 | 9.8 | 11.3 | 11.8 | 10.6 | 6.2 | 2.6 | 21.2 | 9.4 | 3.9 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | ||||||||||||
| ATL | 0.1 | 0.4 | 1.5 | 3.4 | 7.2 | 10.7 | 14.6 | 16.6 | 16.4 | 9.0 | 2.7 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 3.2 | 2.2 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | ||||||||||
| LAC | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.9 | 2.5 | 4.6 | 7.2 | 8.4 | 8.5 | 6.5 | 3.7 | 24.9 | 17.4 | 7.6 | 3.8 | 1.8 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | |||||||||||
| MIN | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 1.5 | 2.3 | 3.6 | 4.0 | 4.1 | 11.0 | 20.0 | 16.4 | 11.4 | 8.8 | 6.2 | 4.1 | 2.6 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||||||
| TOR | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 1.5 | 3.2 | 5.2 | 9.0 | 14.2 | 15.6 | 2.9 | 8.4 | 10.5 | 8.6 | 6.9 | 5.1 | 3.5 | 2.2 | 1.5 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | |||||||||
| CHO | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 2.0 | 4.3 | 9.8 | 17.6 | 1.7 | 5.8 | 9.0 | 10.3 | 9.7 | 8.3 | 7.4 | 5.4 | 3.6 | 2.0 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 | |||||||||
| BOS | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 1.3 | 2.8 | 6.4 | 10.8 | 1.6 | 5.6 | 10.3 | 12.1 | 12.0 | 10.5 | 9.1 | 6.9 | 4.7 | 2.8 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | ||||||||||
| DEN | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 1.9 | 2.5 | 3.4 | 8.8 | 12.4 | 13.8 | 12.8 | 12.3 | 9.7 | 7.4 | 5.8 | 3.8 | 2.1 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 | ||||||||||
| BRK | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 2.9 | 7.3 | 0.5 | 2.9 | 5.2 | 7.9 | 10.0 | 11.4 | 11.2 | 12.1 | 10.5 | 7.6 | 4.7 | 2.7 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.0 | |||||||||
| PHI | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 2.6 | 7.6 | 0.4 | 2.2 | 4.7 | 7.6 | 8.9 | 11.1 | 12.1 | 11.9 | 10.6 | 8.5 | 5.0 | 3.1 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 0.0 | ||||||||||
| DAL | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 3.0 | 5.1 | 7.8 | 10.0 | 12.3 | 12.6 | 12.7 | 12.1 | 9.9 | 6.2 | 3.7 | 1.6 | 0.7 | 0.1 | ||||||||||
| MIL | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 1.1 | 3.6 | 0.1 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 4.9 | 6.8 | 8.4 | 11.0 | 13.0 | 14.6 | 12.9 | 9.2 | 5.8 | 3.3 | 1.4 | 0.1 | ||||||||||
| CHI | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 2.9 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 2.0 | 3.5 | 5.8 | 7.5 | 10.3 | 11.9 | 13.1 | 14.2 | 11.3 | 7.4 | 5.3 | 2.6 | 0.1 | ||||||||||||
| MIA | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 1.1 | 2.1 | 3.9 | 5.7 | 10.1 | 14.7 | 18.1 | 20.2 | 20.2 | 2.6 | 0.1 | ||||||||||||||
| CLE | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 1.6 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 8.9 | 14.0 | 19.3 | 21.8 | 21.8 | 2.5 | 0.1 | ||||||||||||||
| UTA | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 1.4 | 2.1 | 3.8 | 6.7 | 10.4 | 17.2 | 19.2 | 19.4 | 16.7 | 1.8 | 0.1 | |||||||||||||||
| MEM | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 1.4 | 2.3 | 4.5 | 7.3 | 12.1 | 17.8 | 22.6 | 27.0 | 3.8 | 0.1 | ||||||||||||||||
| GSW | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 2.0 | 7.5 | 75.1 | 14.4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| PHO | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 14.0 | 85.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Tm. | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 |
Post-Lottery Draft Position
| Tm. | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ORL | 14.0 | 13.4 | 12.7 | 12.0 | 39.0 | 8.1 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| DET | 13.9 | 13.3 | 12.7 | 12.0 | 31.5 | 14.5 | 1.9 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| HOU | 13.3 | 12.9 | 12.3 | 11.8 | 15.0 | 23.6 | 9.7 | 1.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| OKC | 12.8 | 12.4 | 12.0 | 11.5 | 10.8 | 23.8 | 13.7 | 2.6 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||||||||||||||||||
| SAC | 10.0 | 10.1 | 10.1 | 10.1 | 2.5 | 15.9 | 23.5 | 12.5 | 3.5 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | ||||||||||||||||
| NOP | 7.4 | 7.6 | 7.8 | 8.1 | 0.5 | 5.9 | 17.1 | 19.4 | 12.5 | 5.8 | 2.5 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 3.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||||||||||||
| SAS | 5.8 | 6.0 | 6.2 | 6.5 | 0.2 | 3.0 | 10.9 | 17.1 | 15.1 | 9.1 | 4.8 | 2.2 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 10.7 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||||||||||
| IND | 6.5 | 6.7 | 7.0 | 7.4 | 0.2 | 3.3 | 12.1 | 19.2 | 17.3 | 10.8 | 5.6 | 2.4 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||||||||||
| POR | 4.6 | 4.8 | 5.1 | 5.4 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 6.2 | 13.4 | 16.3 | 13.2 | 8.8 | 5.2 | 2.1 | 0.6 | 10.6 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||||||||||
| WAS | 2.5 | 2.7 | 2.9 | 3.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.1 | 3.6 | 8.3 | 14.1 | 17.3 | 16.0 | 12.5 | 5.7 | 1.6 | 3.1 | 2.3 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||||||
| NYK | 2.7 | 2.9 | 3.1 | 3.4 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 4.0 | 9.4 | 15.1 | 16.6 | 16.1 | 11.5 | 5.3 | 1.7 | 2.7 | 2.1 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||||||
| LAL | 1.9 | 2.1 | 2.2 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 1.0 | 3.3 | 7.2 | 10.4 | 11.6 | 10.8 | 6.5 | 2.7 | 21.2 | 9.4 | 3.9 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | ||||||||
| ATL | 1.8 | 1.9 | 2.1 | 2.3 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 1.8 | 4.9 | 9.1 | 13.6 | 16.3 | 16.4 | 9.1 | 2.7 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 3.2 | 2.2 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | ||||||
| LAC | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.2 | 3.2 | 6.1 | 8.0 | 8.5 | 6.6 | 3.7 | 24.9 | 17.4 | 7.6 | 3.8 | 1.8 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | |||||||
| MIN | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 1.2 | 2.1 | 3.4 | 4.0 | 4.1 | 11.0 | 20.0 | 16.4 | 11.4 | 8.8 | 6.2 | 4.1 | 2.6 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
| TOR | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 4.7 | 8.4 | 13.9 | 15.6 | 2.9 | 8.4 | 10.5 | 8.6 | 6.9 | 5.1 | 3.5 | 2.2 | 1.5 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | |||||
| CHO | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 1.7 | 4.0 | 9.4 | 17.4 | 1.7 | 5.8 | 9.0 | 10.3 | 9.7 | 8.3 | 7.4 | 5.4 | 3.6 | 2.0 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 | |||||
| BOS | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 1.1 | 2.5 | 6.1 | 10.7 | 1.6 | 5.6 | 10.3 | 12.1 | 12.0 | 10.5 | 9.1 | 6.9 | 4.7 | 2.8 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | ||||||
| DEN | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.9 | 2.5 | 3.4 | 8.8 | 12.4 | 13.8 | 12.8 | 12.3 | 9.7 | 7.4 | 5.8 | 3.8 | 2.1 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 | ||||||
| BRK | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 2.8 | 7.2 | 0.5 | 2.9 | 5.2 | 7.9 | 10.0 | 11.4 | 11.2 | 12.1 | 10.5 | 7.6 | 4.7 | 2.7 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.0 | |||||
| PHI | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 2.5 | 7.5 | 0.4 | 2.2 | 4.7 | 7.6 | 8.9 | 11.1 | 12.1 | 11.9 | 10.6 | 8.5 | 5.0 | 3.1 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 0.0 | ||||||
| DAL | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 3.0 | 5.1 | 7.8 | 10.0 | 12.3 | 12.6 | 12.7 | 12.1 | 9.9 | 6.2 | 3.7 | 1.6 | 0.7 | 0.1 | ||||||
| MIL | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 3.6 | 0.1 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 4.9 | 6.8 | 8.4 | 11.0 | 13.0 | 14.6 | 12.9 | 9.2 | 5.8 | 3.3 | 1.4 | 0.1 | ||||||
| CHI | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 2.9 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 2.0 | 3.5 | 5.8 | 7.5 | 10.3 | 11.9 | 13.1 | 14.2 | 11.3 | 7.4 | 5.3 | 2.6 | 0.1 | ||||||||
| MIA | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 1.1 | 2.1 | 3.9 | 5.7 | 10.1 | 14.7 | 18.1 | 20.2 | 20.2 | 2.6 | 0.1 | ||||||||||
| CLE | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 1.6 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 8.9 | 14.0 | 19.3 | 21.8 | 21.8 | 2.5 | 0.1 | ||||||||||
| UTA | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 1.4 | 2.1 | 3.8 | 6.7 | 10.4 | 17.2 | 19.2 | 19.4 | 16.7 | 1.8 | 0.1 | |||||||||||
| MEM | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 1.4 | 2.3 | 4.5 | 7.3 | 12.1 | 17.8 | 22.6 | 27.0 | 3.8 | 0.1 | ||||||||||||||||
| GSW | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 2.0 | 7.5 | 75.1 | 14.4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| PHO | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 14.0 | 85.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Tm. | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 |
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