Playoff Probabilities Report

Results are based on 10,000 simulations of the remainder of season, including the play-in round.

See more details about the results. We also use these simulations to project the draft order and lottery winners.

Projected Standings

Projected Standings Table
  First Round Seed  
Rk Eastern Conference W L W/L% SOS SRS Current Playoffs Division 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Win 1st Rd Win Semi Win Conf Win Finals
1Detroit Pistons60.022.0.732-0.637.5360-22100.0%100.0%100.0100.0%0.0%
2Boston Celtics56.026.0.683-0.337.3756-26100.0%100.0%100.00.0%0.0%
3New York Knicks53.029.0.646-0.286.0553-29100.0%100.0100.0%100.0%100.0%59.6%
4Cleveland Cavaliers52.030.0.634-0.343.7852-30100.0%100.0100.0%100.0%
5Toronto Raptors46.036.0.561-0.082.7546-36100.0%100.00.0%0.0%
6Atlanta Hawks46.036.0.561-0.032.3846-36100.0%100.0%100.00.0%0.0%
7Philadelphia 76ers45.037.0.549-0.09-0.2745-37100.0%100.0100.0%0.0%
8Orlando Magic45.037.0.5490.170.8145-37100.0%100.00.0%0.0%
9Charlotte Hornets44.038.0.537-0.354.4844-38
10Miami Heat43.039.0.5240.022.3543-39
11Milwaukee Bucks32.050.0.3900.09-6.1232-50
12Chicago Bulls31.051.0.3780.12-5.0931-51
13Brooklyn Nets20.062.0.2440.29-9.7020-62
14Indiana Pacers19.063.0.2320.35-7.6419-63
15Washington Wizards17.065.0.2070.36-11.6217-65

Table
  First Round Seed  
Rk Western Conference W L W/L% SOS SRS Current Playoffs Division 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Win 1st Rd Win Semi Win Conf Win Finals
1Oklahoma City Thunder64.018.0.780-0.1111.0464-18100.0%100.0%100.0100.0%100.0%
2San Antonio Spurs62.020.0.756-0.038.2862-20100.0%100.0%100.0100.0%100.0%100.0%40.4%
3Denver Nuggets54.028.0.659-0.174.9754-28100.0%100.00.0%0.0%
4Los Angeles Lakers53.029.0.646-0.071.6853-29100.0%100.0%100.0100.0%0.0%
5Houston Rockets52.030.0.634-0.354.8752-30100.0%100.00.0%0.0%
6Minnesota Timberwolves49.033.0.598-0.283.0749-33100.0%100.0100.0%0.0%
7Portland Trail Blazers42.040.0.5120.01-0.2942-40100.0%100.00.0%0.0%
8Phoenix Suns45.037.0.5490.281.7545-37100.0%100.00.0%0.0%
9Los Angeles Clippers42.040.0.512-0.170.9642-40
10Golden State Warriors37.045.0.4510.22-0.3437-45
11New Orleans Pelicans26.056.0.3170.24-4.2626-56
12Dallas Mavericks26.056.0.3170.18-5.3326-56
13Memphis Grizzlies25.057.0.3050.18-5.8325-57
14Sacramento Kings22.060.0.2680.42-9.5822-60
15Utah Jazz22.060.0.2680.38-8.0522-60