Playoff Probabilities Report
Results are based on 10,000 simulations of the remainder of
season, including the play-in round.
See more details about the results. We also use these simulations to
project the draft order and lottery winners.
Projected Standings
| First Round Seed | |||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rk | Eastern Conference | W | L | W/L% | SOS | SRS | Current | Playoffs | Division | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | Win 1st Rd | Win Semi | Win Conf | Win Finals |
| 1 | Detroit Pistons | 60.0 | 22.0 | .732 | -0.63 | 7.53 | 60-22 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0 | 100.0% | 0.0% | |||||||||
| 2 | Boston Celtics | 56.0 | 26.0 | .683 | -0.33 | 7.37 | 56-26 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | |||||||||
| 3 | New York Knicks | 53.0 | 29.0 | .646 | -0.28 | 6.05 | 53-29 | 100.0% | 100.0 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 59.6% | ||||||||
| 4 | Cleveland Cavaliers | 52.0 | 30.0 | .634 | -0.34 | 3.78 | 52-30 | 100.0% | 100.0 | 100.0% | 100.0% | ||||||||||
| 5 | Toronto Raptors | 46.0 | 36.0 | .561 | -0.08 | 2.75 | 46-36 | 100.0% | 100.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||||||
| 6 | Atlanta Hawks | 46.0 | 36.0 | .561 | -0.03 | 2.38 | 46-36 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | |||||||||
| 7 | Philadelphia 76ers | 45.0 | 37.0 | .549 | -0.09 | -0.27 | 45-37 | 100.0% | 100.0 | 100.0% | 0.0% | ||||||||||
| 8 | Orlando Magic | 45.0 | 37.0 | .549 | 0.17 | 0.81 | 45-37 | 100.0% | 100.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||||||
| 9 | Charlotte Hornets | 44.0 | 38.0 | .537 | -0.35 | 4.48 | 44-38 | ||||||||||||||
| 10 | Miami Heat | 43.0 | 39.0 | .524 | 0.02 | 2.35 | 43-39 | ||||||||||||||
| 11 | Milwaukee Bucks | 32.0 | 50.0 | .390 | 0.09 | -6.12 | 32-50 | ||||||||||||||
| 12 | Chicago Bulls | 31.0 | 51.0 | .378 | 0.12 | -5.09 | 31-51 | ||||||||||||||
| 13 | Brooklyn Nets | 20.0 | 62.0 | .244 | 0.29 | -9.70 | 20-62 | ||||||||||||||
| 14 | Indiana Pacers | 19.0 | 63.0 | .232 | 0.35 | -7.64 | 19-63 | ||||||||||||||
| 15 | Washington Wizards | 17.0 | 65.0 | .207 | 0.36 | -11.62 | 17-65 | ||||||||||||||
| First Round Seed | |||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rk | Western Conference | W | L | W/L% | SOS | SRS | Current | Playoffs | Division | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | Win 1st Rd | Win Semi | Win Conf | Win Finals |
| 1 | Oklahoma City Thunder | 64.0 | 18.0 | .780 | -0.11 | 11.04 | 64-18 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0 | 100.0% | 100.0% | |||||||||
| 2 | San Antonio Spurs | 62.0 | 20.0 | .756 | -0.03 | 8.28 | 62-20 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 40.4% | |||||||
| 3 | Denver Nuggets | 54.0 | 28.0 | .659 | -0.17 | 4.97 | 54-28 | 100.0% | 100.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||||||
| 4 | Los Angeles Lakers | 53.0 | 29.0 | .646 | -0.07 | 1.68 | 53-29 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0 | 100.0% | 0.0% | |||||||||
| 5 | Houston Rockets | 52.0 | 30.0 | .634 | -0.35 | 4.87 | 52-30 | 100.0% | 100.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||||||
| 6 | Minnesota Timberwolves | 49.0 | 33.0 | .598 | -0.28 | 3.07 | 49-33 | 100.0% | 100.0 | 100.0% | 0.0% | ||||||||||
| 7 | Portland Trail Blazers | 42.0 | 40.0 | .512 | 0.01 | -0.29 | 42-40 | 100.0% | 100.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||||||
| 8 | Phoenix Suns | 45.0 | 37.0 | .549 | 0.28 | 1.75 | 45-37 | 100.0% | 100.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||||||
| 9 | Los Angeles Clippers | 42.0 | 40.0 | .512 | -0.17 | 0.96 | 42-40 | ||||||||||||||
| 10 | Golden State Warriors | 37.0 | 45.0 | .451 | 0.22 | -0.34 | 37-45 | ||||||||||||||
| 11 | New Orleans Pelicans | 26.0 | 56.0 | .317 | 0.24 | -4.26 | 26-56 | ||||||||||||||
| 12 | Dallas Mavericks | 26.0 | 56.0 | .317 | 0.18 | -5.33 | 26-56 | ||||||||||||||
| 13 | Memphis Grizzlies | 25.0 | 57.0 | .305 | 0.18 | -5.83 | 25-57 | ||||||||||||||
| 14 | Sacramento Kings | 22.0 | 60.0 | .268 | 0.42 | -9.58 | 22-60 | ||||||||||||||
| 15 | Utah Jazz | 22.0 | 60.0 | .268 | 0.38 | -8.05 | 22-60 | ||||||||||||||

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